Why The PHILLIES on Tuesday at -105...

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Why the Phillies on Tuesday at -105...The Phillies come into Tuesdays matchup hot after winning their last four at home and their last five of seven games. In that seven game stretch, the Phils averaged 4 RPG with a .230 BA/.330 OBP. On the season, the Phillies are 5-0 against LHP while averaging 9.4 RPG with a .278 BA/.384 OBP and 10 HRs over their 169 combined ABs off of LHP. The Phillies will be starting Vinnie Velasquez who has posted strong numbers to begin his '18 campaign. Over Velasquez' last three starts, he established a 2.41 era over 18 innings where he allowed 15 hits on 3 BBs, 20 Ks and 1 HR. Despite Vinnie's strong numbers to start the season, his BABIP against is still a bloated .371 through his first four starts. When looking further into his saber numbers, his BABIP against makes sense as his GB% has decreased over his last two starts. Taking a look at his only home start, Velasquez recored 7 GB outs to match his .250 BABIP against which is more of a comp going into tonights game against a DBacks offense that is averaging just 2.9 RPG with a .190 BA/.262 OBP over their last 7 games. Another positive for Velasquez is that he hasn't been exposed to this DBacks lineup with a combined 25 ABs against with a .160 BA/.192 OBP and 0 HRs. The DBacks will be starting Robbie Ray who hasn't been so sharp to start the season. Ray is carrying a 4.98 era over 21 innings where he allowed 19 hits on 5 HRs and 14 BBs. Over Ray's last three starts, he has seen his IP/S decrease, his BBs increase and due to the fact that he is coming off of back-to-back 100 pitch outings, we are going to fade Ray in this spot against a Phillies lineup that has a combined 42 ABs against with a .310 BA/.326 OBP and 3 HRs coming from three different players. Look for the Phillies to come out of the gate fast tonight as they are looking to build on a 9-1 home record and a 2-0 record coming after an off-day.

Play on the Phillies at -105
 

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Diamondbacks have won 7 straight series to open the year. First time that feat has been accomplished since 2003 SF Giants. Fade the dbacks at your own risk, they are the #1 squad in the NL.
 

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I like this play as well- thanks for the quality write-ups as well, good luck 2SIX
 

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Ok drJmali - thought you would have learned from the last time i warned you not to go up against the best team in the NL. You lost that game and the Diamondbacks wooped the Padres ass. Now youre making the same mistake again. I cant help you if you dont open your eyes.
 

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I agree with you and your write up. I will tail along with you. GL sir
 

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GL 2 Six I have the Phillies on my card as well today
 

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Looks like its gonna be a blood bath in here... im gonna double down on my AZ -110 bet
 

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Looks like its gonna be a blood bath in here... im gonna double down on my AZ -110 bet

Can't you just create your own thread w/ your own plays? I don't get why you gotta come into someone else's thread & bash them.....?
 

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Can't you just create your own thread w/ your own plays? I don't get why you gotta come into someone else's thread & bash them.....?

Good luck everyone... Didnt mean to come across as bashing, but i can see how it would be interpreted that way. Enjoy the game!
 

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Tough day for Phillies backers... I tried to tell you but apparently that's not allowed. The diamondbacks are the best team in the NL, go against them at your own risk.
 

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If it sounds like your rubbing their nose in the dirt its bashing. I should know. Lol you are bashing means a ban. Mods. Lol
 

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Good luck everyone... Didnt mean to come across as bashing, but i can see how it would be interpreted that way. Enjoy the game!


shut the fk up you little kid. take your 5$ lunch money bet and go start ur own thread. im sorry your parents don't show enough attention to you so you come trolling into other people's threads to get some love.
 

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shut the fk up you little kid. take your 5$ lunch money bet and go start ur own thread. im sorry your parents don't show enough attention to you so you come trolling into other people's threads to get some love.

I hope things turn around for you
 

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