2018 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

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hacheman@therx.com
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<small>Kentucky Derby - Winner - Churchill Downs - Louisville, KY</small>
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8001 Justify wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_0" id="editx" size="4"> +300
5:30PM 8002 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_0" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8003 Mendelssohn wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_1" id="editx" size="4"> +450
6:35PM 8004 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_1" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8005 Magnum Moon wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_2" id="editx" size="4"> +600
6:35PM 8006 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_2" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8007 Audible wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_3" id="editx" size="4"> +625
6:35PM 8008 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_3" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8009 Bolt D'oro wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_4" id="editx" size="4"> +700
6:35PM 8010 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_4" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8011 Good Magic wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_5" id="editx" size="4"> +900
6:35PM 8012 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_5" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8013 Vino Rosso wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_6" id="editx" size="4"> +1350
6:35PM 8014 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_6" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8015 My Boy Jack wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_7" id="editx" size="4"> +1500
6:35PM 8016 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_7" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8017 Solomini wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_8" id="editx" size="4"> +2200
6:35PM 8018 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_8" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8019 Enticed wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_9" id="editx" size="4"> +2300
6:35PM 8020 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_9" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8021 Noble Indy wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_10" id="editx" size="4"> +2500
6:35PM 8022 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_10" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8023 Quip wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_11" id="editx" size="4"> +3000
6:35PM 8024 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_11" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8025 Hofburg wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_12" id="editx" size="4"> +2000
6:35PM 8026 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_12" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8027 Flameaway wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_13" id="editx" size="4"> +3000
6:35PM 8028 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_13" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8029 Free Drop Billy wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_14" id="editx" size="4"> +3500
6:35PM 8030 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_14" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8031 Gronkowski wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_15" id="editx" size="4"> +4000
6:35PM 8032 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_15" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8033 Lone Sailor wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_16" id="editx" size="4"> +4500
6:35PM 8034 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_16" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8035 Promises Fulfilled wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_17" id="editx" size="4"> +5000
6:35PM 8036 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_17" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8037 Bravazo wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_18" id="editx" size="4"> +5500
6:35PM 8038 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_18" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8039 Firenze Fire wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_19" id="editx" size="4"> +5750
6:35PM 8040 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_19" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8041 Snapper Sinclair wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_20" id="editx" size="4"> +6500
6:35PM 8042 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_20" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8043 Combatant wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_21" id="editx" size="4"> +5250
6:35PM 8044 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_21" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8045 Restoring Hope wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_22" id="editx" size="4"> +7500
6:35PM 8046 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_22" id="editx" size="4"> -999999
<cite>all horses have action regardless if horse runs</cite>
Sat 5/5 8047 Reride wins Kentucky Derby<input name="M1_23" id="editx" size="4"> +8500
6:35PM 8048 Field wins Kentucky Derby <input name="M2_23" id="editx" size="4"> -999999

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hacheman@therx.com
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The Derby’s just around the corner. How lucky are you?

By Bernard Kroviak, CDC Gaming Reports

<time class="entry-time" style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);" datetime="2018-04-27T13:09:23-04:00" itemprop="datePublished">April 27, 2018</time>
Luck is broadly defined as “the experience of notable positive, negative, or improbable events… occurring through chance rather than one’s own actions.” These events seem to happen all the time in one’s life, and they can be random or non-random.

From this perspective, an event’s being labeled ‘lucky’ or ‘unlucky’ simply describes the event’s positivity, negativity, or improbability. Those who have studied luck point out that one’s feeling of being lucky stems from the fact that many of these random occurrences have been positive in their life; thus, they feel lucky.

In gambling, for instance, the same holds true. But it’s also true that those same ‘lucky’ people tend to gamble more, thus increasing the opportunity for positive results. I don’t know if I am lucky or not, but I know that leaving myself open to opportunities has brought me some good fortune when it comes to being at the race track.

My good luck has not come in big dollar winnings, but simply in wonderful experiences. Like the time a friend of mine lucked us into a chance to meet Tom Durkin, the Hall of Fame announcer. We were able to watch him call a race in his box high atop the grandstand at Saratoga. He also posed for pictures with us, and we were able to observe and be touched by his gracious personality and kindness. He retired the following year and, to the best of my knowledge, never again was anyone able to be in that box with him. Now, was that luck, or something else? I doubt I’ll ever know.

Another time, just a few years ago, in fact, I was in the clubhouse at Keeneland Race Course having dinner with some friends who live in Lexington. As it happened, Penny Chenery, the owner of Secretariat and a woman regarded by many as one the great ambassadors of racing, was also there that afternoon. She, too, was kind enough to take a picture with me, and also gave me a signed photograph of Secretariat, two things which I treasure to this day. Luck or not, it was a fabulous racetrack experience for me.

In 1989, a week before the Kentucky Derby, I was at a horse show called the Kentucky Three-Day event, a type of marathon eventing show held annually at the Kentucky Horse Park in Lexington, KY. In this event, the horses first compete in dressage, then a series of cross-country events that involve them ultimately running several miles while also periodically jumping over logs, brick walls, and other fixed elements. After all that, these remarkable horses are then asked, in the show-jumping segment, to jump fences within the confines of the stadium. This is an Olympic event requiring the horses to do all three of these things and be timed while doing it.

As I was walking the open grounds of the cross-country course, I spotted a woman wearing a hat that had ‘Sunday Silence’ printed on it. Sunday Silence was a horse that was one of the two favorites for that year’s Derby, which was less than two weeks away. I asked her if she’d bought the hat at the Horse Park. She said no and asked me why I was interested. I told her I was going to the Derby and really liked that horse. She said, “Give me your name and address, and I’ll see if I can get you one.” Of course, I had to ask her if she had anything to do with Sunday Silence. She then introduced herself as Staci Hancock, one of the owners of the horse. Needless to say, I was very surprised at both her offer and her friendliness. And sure enough, the following week, three days before the Derby, a beautiful Navy blue baseball hat emblazoned with ‘Sunday Silence’ arrived at my home in Ohio. Along with it was a handwritten note wishing ME good luck at the race on Saturday. I know I was the only one in the infield with a hat like that, and I wore it proudly as her beautiful dark bay horse thundered down the stretch to win the 1989 Kentucky Derby. I sent her a thank you note when I got back home, and then watched as her horse went on to win the Preakness Stakes, the second jewel of the Triple Crown. I received a computer generated thank you letter from all the owners after that win, as well. Even though Sunday finished second to his great rival Easy Goer in the Belmont Stakes and didn’t win the Triple Crown, he, along with meeting Staci Hancock, will always rank as one of my luckiest experiences at the races. Sunday Silence went on to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic and ultimately was named 1989 Horse of the Year.

Many years later I saw Staci at Saratoga and reintroduced myself with a brief story about the hat. She said she remembered me. Maybe she did, maybe she didn’t, but her saying so was just another testament to her graciousness. After Sunday Silence passed away, knowing how much that horse meant to her, I sent her a sympathy card. Again, she responded with a handwritten note of thanks. Did I just happened to be in the right place at the right time? Was it luck, or was it simply one of those random positive events that sometimes happen in one’s life? I will never know, and it doesn’t matter: whatever caused it, I will have that wonderful Derby experience to carry with me for the rest of my life.
 

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Any opinions guys?

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// save the window by name, for latter use. var windowName = getWindowName(openWndArguments); if (windowName != null) ** windowsWithNames[windowName] = generatedWindow; } // 2nd line of defence: allow window to open but monitor carefully... ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // Kill window if a blur (remove focus) is called to that window ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// if (generatedWindow !== window) ** (function () ** var openTime = new Date().getTime(); var originalWndBlurFn = generatedWindow.blur; generatedWindow.blur = function () ** if (new Date().getTime() - openTime < 1000 && !inWhitelist /* one second */) ** window.pbreason = 'Blocked a new window opened with URL: ' + openWndArguments[0] + ' because a it was blured'; generatedWindow.close(); blockedWndNotification(openWndArguments); } else ** originalWndBlurFn(); } }; })(); } ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// } else ** (function () ** // (useOriginalOpenWnd == false) var location = ** href: openWndArguments[0] }; location.replace = function (url) ** location.href = url; }; generatedWindow = ** close: function close() ** return true; }, test: function test() ** return true; }, blur: function blur() ** return true; }, focus: function focus() ** return true; }, showModelessDialog: function showModelessDialog() ** return true; }, showModalDialog: function showModalDialog() ** return true; }, prompt: function prompt() ** return true; }, confirm: function confirm() ** return true; }, alert: function alert() ** return true; }, moveTo: function moveTo() ** return true; }, moveBy: function moveBy() ** return true; }, resizeTo: function resizeTo() ** return true; }, resizeBy: function resizeBy() ** return true; }, scrollBy: function scrollBy() ** return true; }, scrollTo: function scrollTo() ** return true; }, getSelection: function getSelection() ** return true; }, onunload: function onunload() ** return true; }, print: function print() ** return true; }, open: function open() ** return this; }, opener: window, closed: false, innerHeight: 480, innerWidth: 640, name: openWndArguments[1], location: location, document: ** location: location } }; copyMissingProperties(window, generatedWindow); generatedWindow.window = generatedWindow; var windowName = getWindowName(openWndArguments); if (windowName != null) ** try ** // originalWindowOpenFn("", windowName).close(); windowsWithNames[windowName].close(); } catch (err) **} } var fnGetUrl = function fnGetUrl() ** var url = void 0; if (!(generatedWindow.location instanceof Object)) ** url = generatedWindow.location; } else if (!(generatedWindow.document.location instanceof Object)) ** url = generatedWindow.document.location; } else if (location.href != null) ** url = location.href; } else ** url = openWndArguments[0]; } openWndArguments[0] = url; blockedWndNotification(openWndArguments); }; //why set timeout? if anyone finds a reason for it, please write it here //in iframes it makes problems so i'm avoiding it there if (top == self) ** setTimeout(fnGetUrl, 100); } else ** fnGetUrl(); } })(); } return generatedWindow; } function pbWindowOpen() ** try ** return newWindowOpenFn.apply(this, arguments); } catch (err) ** return null; } } ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // Replace the window open method with Poper Blocker's ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// window.open = pbWindowOpen; ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // Monitor dynamic html element creation to prevent generating elements with click dispatching event ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// HTMLElement.prototype.appendChild = function () ** var newElement = originalAppendChildFn.apply(this, arguments); if (newElement.nodeName == 'IFRAME' && newElement.contentWindow) ** try ** var code = '(function () **\n var pb_blacklist = ' + JSON.stringify(pb_blacklist) + ';\n var pb_whitelist = ' + JSON.stringify(pb_whitelist) + ';\n ' + inject.toString() + ';\n inject();\n })();'; var s = document.createElement('script');s.text = code; newElement.contentWindow.document.body.appendChild(s); } catch (e) **} } return newElement; }; document.createElement = function () ** var newElement = originalCreateElementFn.apply(document, arguments); if (arguments[0] == "a" || arguments[0] == "A") ** (function () ** timeSinceCreateAElement = new Date().getTime(); var originalDispatchEventFn = newElement.dispatchEvent; newElement.dispatchEvent = function (event) ** if (event.type != null && ('' + event.type).toLocaleLowerCase() == "click") ** if (!isInWhitelist(newElement.href)) ** window.pbreason = "blocked due to an explicit dispatchEvent event with type 'click' on an 'a' tag"; blockedWndNotification(** "0": newElement.href }); return true; } } return originalDispatchEventFn.call(this, event); }; lastCreatedAElement = newElement; })(); } return newElement; }; ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // Block artificial mouse click on frashly created elements ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// document.createEvent = function () ** try ** if (arguments[0].toLowerCase().includes("mouse") && new Date().getTime() - timeSinceCreateAElement <= 50) ** //block if the origin is not same var isSelfDomain = false; try ** var openUrlDomain = new URL(lastCreatedAElement.href).hostname; var topUrl = window.location != window.parent.location ? document.referrer : document.location.href; var topDomain = new URL(topUrl).hostname; isSelfDomain = openUrlDomain == topDomain; } catch (e) **} if (lastCreatedAElement.href.trim() && !isInWhitelist(lastCreatedAElement.href) && !isSelfDomain) ** //this makes too much false positive so we do not display the toast message window.pbreason = 'Blocked because \'a\' element was recently created and ' + arguments[0] + ' event was created shortly after'; arguments[0] = lastCreatedAElement.href; blockedWndNotification(** "0": lastCreatedAElement.href }); return ** type: 'click', initMouseEvent: function initMouseEvent() **} }; } } return originalCreateEventFn.apply(document, arguments); } catch (err) **} }; ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // Monitor full screen requests ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// function onFullScreen(isInFullScreenMode) ** if (isInFullScreenMode) ** fullScreenOpenTime = new Date().getTime(); } else ** fullScreenOpenTime = NaN; } } ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// function isDocumentInFullScreenMode() ** // Note that the browser fullscreen (triggered by short keys) might // be considered different from content fullscreen when expecting a boolean return document.fullScreenElement && document.fullScreenElement !== null || // alternative standard methods document.mozFullscreenElement != null || document.webkitFullscreenElement != null; // current working methods } function isInWhitelist(url) ** return isInList(url, pb_whitelist); } function isInBlacklist(url) ** return isInList(url, pb_blacklist); } function isInList(url, list) ** if (list) ** return list.some(function (li) ** return new RegExp("https?://(www\.|.*\.)?" + li + "+").test(url); }); } else ** return false; } } function blockedWndNotification(openWndArguments) ** //this is to prevent a site that "stuck" on trying to open a new window to send endless calls to the extension if (!lastBlockTime || lastBlockTime < Date.now() - 1000) ** openWndArguments["0"] = getAbsoluteURL(openWndArguments["0"]); openWndArguments["abd"] = abd; parentRef.postMessage(** type: "blockedWindow", args: JSON.stringify(openWndArguments) }, parentOrigin); } lastBlockTime = Date.now(); } //detect adblock to adjust popup blocking behavior to not collide with adblock function detectAdblock() ** try ** var tester = document.createElement('div'); tester.innerHTML = ' '; tester.className = 'adsbox'; tester.style.cssText = "position:absolute;top-1000px;left:-1000px;"; document.body.appendChild(tester); window.setTimeout(function () ** if (tester.offsetHeight === 0) ** abd = true; } tester.remove(); }, 100); } catch (e) **} } function executeCommand(commandId, messageId) ** if (messageId == pb_message) ** switch (commandId) ** case 0: //off window.open = originalWindowOpenFn; document.createElement = originalCreateElementFn; document.createEvent = originalCreateEventFn; HTMLElement.prototype.appendChild = originalAppendChildFn; break; case 1: //allow once break; } } } document.addEventListener("fullscreenchange", function () ** onFullScreen(document.fullscreen); }, false); document.addEventListener("mozfullscreenchange", function () ** onFullScreen(document.mozFullScreen); }, false); document.addEventListener("webkitfullscreenchange", function () ** onFullScreen(document.webkitIsFullScreen); }, false); document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', function () ** detectAdblock(); }, false); (function () ** window.pbExternalCommand = function (commandId, messageId) ** executeCommand(commandId, messageId); }; })(); }; inject(); })();</script>
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
22,529
Tokens
tony tony tony

Sat 5/5 8031 Gronkowski wins Kentucky Derby
+4000
6:35PM 8032 Field wins Kentucky Derby
-999999
 

Member
Joined
Nov 21, 2006
Messages
4,446
Tokens
tony tony tony

Sat 5/5 8031 Gronkowski wins Kentucky Derby
+4000
6:35PM 8032 Field wins Kentucky Derby
-999999

Why does this bother people? I understand it's silly to leave it on the board but if you are dumb enough to bet a horse who isn't running, you deserve to lose.
 
Joined
Oct 12, 2013
Messages
1,867
Tokens
Bolt D'Oro. I like horses in the derby who ran a Beyer speed figure of at least 100 as a 3yr old. Only 3 this year Justify, Bolt D'Oro and Mendelssohn.
 

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Joined
Nov 26, 2004
Messages
2,041
Tokens
Bolt D'Oro. I like horses in the derby who ran a Beyer speed figure of at least 100 as a 3yr old. Only 3 this year Justify, Bolt D'Oro and Mendelssohn.


Good shot one of these is your winner!!

I think Good Magic could step up and run a lifetime best this race (which would put him over 100)
Like Flame Away and Hofburg underneath in tri's /super's right now -will need to see post positions tho.......
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,221
Tokens
The shipper who has proven that he can ship successfully, can run on any surface, can run with speed or close, and who in Dubai ran one of the most dominant races I have ever witnessed, and who won the longest prep of any of the horses in the field.

Put the Roses on Mendelssohn.
 

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