Why the Blue Jays on Monday at +105...The Jays come into Monday's matchup against the Twins after avoiding a home sweep on Sunday against the Rangers where they won 7-2. The Jays will send Aaron Sanchez to the bump who has been stellar as of late posting a 2.70 era over his last 20 IP where he allowed 13 hits on 9 BB, 14 Ks and just 1 HR. Looking into Sanchez' last two starts against the above average lineups of the Red Sox and Yankees, he posted a BABIP against of .235 which is a positive heading into tonights start against a lesser offense who is coming off of a loss as well as a 1-6 record in their last seven games. Looking further into the saber numbers, Sanchez has seen his soft contact% drop in his last two starts to a season low of 7.7% and a hard contact% drop to a season low of 15.4%. Looking at Sanchez' BABIP against on the road this season, he has posted a .227 (compared to the league average of .300). In Sanchez' two career starts AT Target Field, he posted a 2.77 era over 13 IP where he allowed 3 BBs on 12 Ks and 1 HR. The Twinkies come into Monday's game after losing at home on Sunday to the Reds 8-2. Lance Lynn will take the ball for Minnesota after allowing 6 runs through 3 innings on 7 hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks and 2 HRs in his last start. In Lynn's last few starts, he has seen his GB% drop to a season low of 46% in his last start. Looking into Lynn's BABIP against on the season, he has posted an abysmal .344 BABIP against which doesn't bode well against a lineup that has a combined 51 ABs with a .294 BA/.410 OBP and 4 HRs.
Play on the Blue Jays at +105
Play on the Blue Jays at +105