Saturday Service Plays 05/19/18

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Jody Demling Preakness


His order is 7,5,1,8,4,2,6,3

His recommended wagers are:
$10 Exacta Box 7,5
$10 Exacta 7 w/1,8 ($20)
$5 Tri 7w5w1,8 ($10)
$1 Tri 7w1,5,8w/all ($18)
$1 Super 7w5w1,8w/all ($10)
$0.10 Super 7w/all, w/all, w/all
 

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May 17, 2018

Eddie Olczyk's Preakness Picks

Analysis: With a pair of strong favorites in JUSTIFY and GOOD MAGIC, it won’t be easy to hit big on this year’s Preakness Stakes. The Kentucky Derby 1-2 finishers were incredibly impressive in Louisville and it’s hard to envision one of the ‘new shooters’ springing an upset. Worried about a wet track? I’m not. JUSTIFY and GOOD MAGIC passed that test in the wettest Kentucky Derby in history, alleviating any concerns that they need perfect conditions to run their best. For those of us betting the Preakness, my best advice is to jump into the mutli-race bets like the $2 Million Guaranteed Late Pick 4 or the $1 Million Guaranteed Late Pick 5. Just wait and see the condition of the turf course and whether those races stay on the lawn.



Main Contenders: JUSTIFY and GOOD MAGIC, obviously. JUSTIFY was able to work out a perfect trip in the Kentucky Derby thanks to his raw talent and ability. He didn’t need luck – he made his own. Mike Smith knew exactly how much horse he had and executed to perfection. I expect he’ll be 1/5 odds in the Preakness, given the Bob Baffert factor, his unbeaten record and his impressive Kentucky Derby. GOOD MAGIC was my bet in the Derby and he ran great. Jose Ortiz doesn’t get enough credit for a perfect ride that day. As a bettor, that’s all you can ask for. Ortiz made all of the right calls and had GOOD MAGIC in perfect position to challenge JUSTIFY down the lane. He just wasn’t quite good enough.



Value Plays:I don’t really have a ‘Place’ horse here because it’s all about JUSTIFYand GOOD MAGIC. Like I said earlier, to find value you’ll need to look to the Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 4, Pick 5 or Pick 6. If you like JUSTIFY as I do, you’ll need to find a way to turn 1/5 odds into 3/1 or 6/1. I don’t see a bomb that could deliver a big Trifecta payout beneath JUSTIFY. QUIP is my third horse, but he’ll be a clear third choice and there isn’t a ton of value there either. Maybe BRAVAZO? He made a nice move in the Derby. It wasn’t a menacing move and he was never a threat to win, but it was the type of move that could get him into the Top 3 or 4 in Baltimore.

$100 Wagering Strategy

$20 Trifecta Key: JUSTIFY with QUIP, GOOD MAGIC ($40) $40 Exacta: JUSTIFY over GOOD MAGIC ($40)

$10 Exacta Box: JUSTIFY and GOOD MAGIC ($20)

Eddie's Kentucky Derby Picks

JUSTIFY
GOOD MAGIC
QUIP
BRAVAZO
 

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Anyone have Marc Lawrence Four Star NBA Game between Boston / Cleveland? (I'll post his CFB & NFL again this season.)
 

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baseball33


San Francisco Giants



Philadelphia Phillies


New York Mets


 

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Stephen Nover


3*GOM Boston +6.5

2* TOW Minnesota / Milwaukee under 8.5


2*Washington (-132)


1*Angles (-170)

 

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Brad Wilton

Comp play for Saturday is another Under in the Celtics-Cavaliers series.


Both games thus far have held Under the posted price, as that makes it a series 5-2 Under run the last 7 times the C's and Cavs have jumped ball.


Boston comes into this game at Quicken Loans Arena having held Under in 4 of their last 5 this postseason, and on the road in the playoffs, the Under stands at 3 in a row low, with their last pair played in the semis in Philadelphia also landing Under the total.


Cleveland has played 6 games at home this postseason, with 4 of those 6 having landed Low. Until I see the Cavaliers actually score 100 points against Boston's number one defense, I am inclined to place my wager on the Under in the Eastern Conference Finals.


Game 3 just like Games 1 and 2....Under the total.



1* BOSTON-CLEVELAND UNDER
 

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Jeff Benton

Saturday freebie is the Over in the Caps-Lightning game.


Both Braden Holtby and Andrei Vasilevskiy are top-notch goaltenders, and both have had some solid moments in this series, especially Vasilevskiy who allowed 2 on Thursday, but it could have easily by 6 goals, as the Caps fired away at him all night long.


Right now the offense has trumped the defense, and I do expect another 6 goals or so to be netted on Saturday night.


In the 4 games in the books, 3 of them have seen 6 combined goals, and the other saw 8 combined goals. The Over is 3-1-4 the last 8 skates between the teams.


Washington is 3-2-3 Over in their last 8 this postseason, while Tampa Bay stands at 3-2-4 Over the total in their last 9 of the playoffs.


Hard to expect one of these keepers to keep the other team off the scoreboard, so why not just play the Over and let the shots fire away!


Caps-Lightning Over on Saturday night.


2* WASHINGTON-TAMPA BAY OVER


 

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[h=3]Saturday 19th of May 2018 07:56:07 AM CST[/h][h=4]New - Raphael Esparza (VSI)'s Picks For Horse Racing[/h]PREAKNESS STAKES
Pimlico Park Selections for Saturday, May 19, 2018
Race 7 - $250K Running of the Dixie Stakes (GII)
TOP HORSE: 4 - Frostmourne
SECOND CHOICE: 7 - World Approval
THIRD CHOICE: 8 - Divisidero
Recommended Bets ($600 Bets)
$100 W/P/S (4)
$40 W/P/S (7)
$20 W/P/S (8)
$10 Exacta Box (4-7-8-1)
Race 8 - $200K Running of the Chick Lang Stakes (GI)
TOP HORSE: 5 - Mitole
SECOND CHOICE: 7 - Curly's Rocket
Recommended Bets ($360 Bets)
$100 W/P/S (5)
$20 W/P/S (7)
Race 13 - $1.5 Million Running of the Preakness Stakes (GI)
TOP HORSE: 7 - Justify
SECOND CHOICE: 5 - Good Magic
THIRD CHOICE: 1- Quip
(LONG SHOT): 2 - Lone Sailor
Recommended Bets ($132 Bets)
$100 W/P/S (7)
$20 W/P/S (5)
$10 W/P/S (1)
$10 Exacta Box (7-5-1-2)
6 Unit Play Take Quip -130 over Tenfold +100 (Preakness Stakes - Head-to-Head Matchup)
Not only do we see Quip beating Tenfold in this race but look for Quip hitting the board in the Preakness Stakes. Quip was originally stated to run in the Derby but they decided to push him back to run at the Preakness and this horse should be fresh and ready to run. Quip dosn't mind the mud and with the weather most likey be raining on/off today I see this being a huge factor on why Quip will out run Tenfold in this head-to-head matchup.




 

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[FONT=&quot]LarryNess[/FONT][FONT=&quot]MLB[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Pick: [/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT][FONT=&quot]Minnesota [/FONT]
 

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