The 'Stros look to take the home series after a 5-4 L on Saturday. Over their last seven games, the Astros are 5-2 where they average 4 RPG with a .239 BA/.286 OBP. Lance McCullers will take the ball who is coming off of a quality road start against the above-average offense of the Angels where he allowed 2 runs through 6 IP on 4 hits, 6 Ks, 2 BBs and 0 HRs. Over McCullers' last 18 IP against the Angels, A's and Yankees, he has posted a respectable 3.50 era where he allowed 14 hits on 0 HRs. With a gradual uptick in his aFBv, and coming off of back to back starts under 100 pitches we like McCullers against an underexposed lineup with a combined 26 ABs. The Indians, winners of four out of their last seven games, will send Carlos Carrasco to the hill. Carrasco is coming off of a road L against the Tigers where he allowed 3 runs through 6 IP on 6 hits, 4 Ks, 2 BBs and 1 HR. Carrasco is trending in the wrong direction after posting a 64% hard contact% (season high). With this being Carrasco's third road start in a row as well as coming off of three straight outings of 110+ pitches, we will fade Carrasco against an Astros lineup that he is exposed to, with a combined 79 ABs to go with a .304 BA/.341 OBP and 2 HRs. With both teams heading into an off-day, we will back the Astros pen at home with a 2.87 era compared to the Indians pen of 5.74.
Play on the Astros at -130
Play on the Astros at -130
