Belmont Stakes

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#BelmontStakes betting odds (via Bet365):

Justify +125
Audible +400
Good Magic +550
My Boy Jack +800
Bravazo +800
Hofburg +900
Tenfold +1100
Blended Citizen +1200
Vino Rosso +2000
Solomini +2500
Instilled Regard +3300
Machismo +3300#TripleCrown

6:15 PM - May 19, 2018
 

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Damn Kaboom, this race is 3 weeks away! Way too early for me, especially when we don't know who is actually running!
 

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Damn Kaboom, this race is 3 weeks away! Way too early for me, especially when we don't know who is actually running!

Breaking down pedigree's today .... Past previous Belmont runners who finished in top 4

Looking for line breeding tendencies as far as their percentages of some top horses in their pedigree ....

After I'm through with 40 years or so .. I will look it over for an edge of any kind ...

Just a hobby bro ....


GL bro !!!
 

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#BelmontStakes betting odds (via Bet365):

Justify +125
Audible +400
Good Magic +550
My Boy Jack +800
Bravazo +800
Hofburg +900
Tenfold +1100
Blended Citizen +1200
Vino Rosso +2000
Solomini +2500
Instilled Regard +3300
Machismo +3300#TripleCrown

6:15 PM - May 19, 2018

Hello guys, newbie here,

I can't believe the price of Instilled Regard, when do we get to know the final field for this race ?
 

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If Justify does well next 3 weeks & Baffert says he looks great & doing great & has 1 workout, I think he can win the triple crown.
 

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[FONT=&quot]Looking at Audible ...in the Conduit Mare Profile ....his Stamina Number is 11 ... probably don't matter that much but last 8 years ...as long as I've gone back so far ... no Winner had a Stamina Number lower than last year's winner Tapwrit Stamina # 12 .... [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]No horse placed or showed as well ... with a Stamina # lower than 12 in the last 8 years ... So that's 24 Spots ..win , place , show ...that have had a Stamina Number of at least 12 .... [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]In 2016 Governor Charlie finished 4th with a Stamina # 11 .... just an fyi ... [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Not a toss for me ...just something I noticed .... [/FONT]
 

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[FONT=&quot]Hofburg can win the Belmont here but no horse that finished in the Top 4 spots in the Belmont had any AP Indy in their linebreeding in the last 8 Years ??? [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]You guys that know anything about linebreeding ...please help me out ... does that matter much when going distances of the Belmont ? [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]I take it AP Indy is not known for distances and doing well ? Unsure ? [/FONT]
 

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Dont know if this helps you but here is info on AP Indy:

Sire
Seattle Slew (USA)
1974
Bold Reasoning (USA)
1968
BoldnesianBold Ruler
Alanesian
Reason to EarnHail To Reason
Sailing Home
My Charmer (USA)
1969
PokerRound Table
Glamour
Fair CharmerJet Action
Myrtle Charm
Dam
Weekend Surprise (USA)
1980
Secretariat (USA)
1970
Bold RulerNasrullah
Miss Disco
SomethingroyalPrincequillo
Imperatrice
Lassie Dear (USA)
1974
BuckpasserTom Fool
Busanda
Gay MissileSir Gaylord
Missy Baba, family 3-l

Pedigree of A.P. Indy, dark bay or brown horse, 1989[SUP] [26] [/SUP]

 

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Dont know if this helps you but here is info on AP Indy:

Sire
Seattle Slew (USA)
1974
Bold Reasoning (USA)
1968
BoldnesianBold Ruler
Alanesian
Reason to EarnHail To Reason
Sailing Home
My Charmer (USA)
1969
PokerRound Table
Glamour
Fair CharmerJet Action
Myrtle Charm
Dam
Weekend Surprise (USA)
1980
Secretariat (USA)
1970
Bold RulerNasrullah
Miss Disco
SomethingroyalPrincequillo
Imperatrice
Lassie Dear (USA)
1974
BuckpasserTom Fool
Busanda
Gay MissileSir Gaylord
Missy Baba, family 3-l



Thank u Gravy ... and yes ... a few guys got me straight on Hofburg ...from AP Indy .... he won the Belmont , so known for a long distance win ....

I like this horse now very much ...

Appreciate your input bro !
 

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#BelmontStakes betting odds (via Bet365):

Justify +125
Audible +400
Good Magic +550
My Boy Jack +800
Bravazo +800
Hofburg +900
Tenfold +1100
Blended Citizen +1200
Vino Rosso +2000
Solomini +2500
Instilled Regard +3300
Machismo +3300#TripleCrown

6:15 PM - May 19, 2018

GIVE ME +125 FOR THE LIMIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

if he runs he Wins!!!!!
 

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[FONT=&quot]That 5.00 Dosage on Audible is a real bad number for the Win Spot ...not sure how many horse have finished in Top 4 Spots with a dosage of 5.00 or higher ... Get my hands on that info would be nice .... ??? Anyone have and willing to share ?
Just breaking down names and percentages in linebreeding inside the pedigree chart ....just a hobby of mine ....
Noticed since 2009 .... NO HORSE ... has finished in 1st / 2nd / 3rd or 4th that had 5 % or more of the Horse named Hawaii inside it's linebreeding chart ....
Now I know ZIP about the horse Hawaii .... I just do this as a hobby I'm into right now ...
Justify ...has 5 % Hawaii in his linebreeding chart .... Sure this means ZERO just posting it up in case someone thinks this may be okay info , is all ...
Below is Justify's Chart .... also noticed that Justify has only a few of the Large Heart Trait Horses that are over 3 % .... I look for horses like Mahmoud / War Admiral / Princequillo / Nasrullah / Teddy / Hyperion / .. maybe one or two more ... especially with longer distance races ...
If someone can help us out and inform us all what AGR stands ...appreciate it
Horse AGR
21.59%
13.72%
10.84%
7.23%
7.86%*
11.05%
6.05%*
5.36%3.13%*
6.57%



[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
 

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5/3/18 11:08pm$5.00$91.25Pending5/5/18 6:50pm Horses Other Sports 9513 Justify wins Triple Crown +1825*vs Justify won't win Triple Crown



3/31/18 11:13am$5.00$30.00Pending5/5/18 5:45pm Horses Other Sports 9551 Any horse wins Triple Crown 2018 +600*vs No Triple Crown winner 2018

3/31/18 8:28am$5.00$30.00Pending5/5/18 5:45pm Horses Other Sports 9551 Any horse wins Triple Crown 2018 +600*vs No Triple Crown winner 2018




5/24/18 5:34pm$5.00$125.00Pending6/9/18 6:00pm Horses Other Sports 219 Blended Citizen wins Belmont Stakes +2500*vs Field wins Belmont Stakes

5/24/18 5:29pm$20.00$160.00Pending6/9/18 6:00pm Horses Other Sports 209 Bravazo wins Belmont Stakes +800*vs Field wins Belmont Stakes
 

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From Doc Sports

[FONT=open_sansregular]Over the last 24 years, 18 winners of the Belmont have run in at least one of the two prior Triple Crown races. The biggest reason for this is clear - the best of the best colts are aimed at the Kentucky Derby, so if a colt wasn't good enough for that race then you have to ask why and what makes him good enough here. It's worth noting, though, that a horse doesn't have to have done well in his prior Triple Crown appearance to win the Belmont. Tapwrit was sixth in the Derby last year before his Belmont score. Creator was 13th in Kentucky the year before. What matters is that they were good enough to run in a prior Triple Crown race, and they learned from that experience.

[/FONT]
[FONT=open_sansregular]In the last 14 years we have just seen two horses win the Belmont in their third Triple Crown appearance. One was, of course, Triple Crown winner American Pharoah. And the other was Afleet Alex, who should have won the Triple Crown as well but was the victim of a ride so bad in the Derby by Jeremy Rose that it still gives me nightmares. The other 12 winners of the Belmont in the last 14 years have skipped at least one leg of the Triple Crown.[/FONT]
 

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​If good magic runs he pulls the upset. Ran good a week ago and tired and finished a close 4th.
 

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Regardless of Post Positions ... looking at this play ...changed my tune a bit ....

$1 Tri = around $18

Justify and Hofburg on top / Justify , Hofburg , Vino Rosso / Hofburg , Vino Rosso , Bravazo , Blended Citizen , Tenfold , Gronkowski ....

Really like what I'm seeing out of Hofburg with how she looks right now ...Vino Rosso ...has the class over Bravazo /Blended Citizen / Tenfold
 

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