Why the Mets on Friday at -122...The Mets come into Friday's matchup after a series opening 5-0 shutout win on Thursday night. The Mets have won five out of their last seven games with an average of 3 RPG to go with a .248 BA/.312 OBP. Noah Syndergaard will rock the pearl for New York who has put up quality numbers over his last 18 IP against the DBacks, Jays and Rockies. In those 18 IP, Thor went 2-0 while striking out 19 on 7 BBs and 1 HR. Looking into his saber numbers from his last start against the DBacks, Thor posted a soft contact% of 46% (SA 25%) and a hard contact% of 21% (SA 24%). With a consistent uptick over the course of the season in his aV for all three pitches, we will back Thor tonight against an underexposed lineup. The Brew Crew looks to even the series after being shutout in the opener. Over the course of their last seven games, the Brewers averaged 4 RPG to match a .242 BA/.317 OBP. Junior Guerra will toe the slab for Milwaukee who has posted a 4.11 era over his last 15 IP. Guerra is actually a reverse H/A split guy as he has posted a 3.92 era at home through 20 IP while allowing 18 hits on 3 HRs compared to his road era of 2.08 through 20 innings where he has not allowed a home run. Looking into Guerra's saber numbers from his last start, he posted a 53% FB% (highest of season) which lead to a BABIP against in that start of .308. Adding in the fact that he posted a hard contact% of 69% in that start (highest of season), there is reason to fade Guerra who posted a BOB Score of 58. Looking further into Guerra's last start, he saw his aSLv drop from 85 mph in his previous start to 83.6 mph in his most recent start, which is below is season average (20% usage in LS). With a dip in his aSFv as well, there is room for concern with Guerra heading into this start.
Play on the Mets at -122
Play on the Mets at -122
