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Thread: Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

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  1. #26  
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    Saturday, June 16


    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-12 SU, 9-9 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (13-4-1 SU, 8-10 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -9
    Total: 53



    Game Overview


    The Tigers-Cats have been front page news in the States heading into the new season with the addition of former Cleveland Browns’ quarterback Johnny Manziel to the roster. June Jones, who was a head coach in the NFL with Atlanta continues to stick with Jeremiah Masoli as his starter, but that could be subject to change if Hamilton falls behind early on Saturday night. The Tiger-Cats started last season with eight straight-up losses before turning things around with a 6-4 record over their last 10 games.


    Calgary has been the best CFL team in the regular season for the past two years, but its quest for a Grey Cup came up short in back-to-back losses to Ottawa and Toronto in the title game. The Stampeders started the 2016 season with a stunning Week 1 loss to BC as 2 -point road favorites. Last season, they had to settle for a SU tie against Ottawa in Week 1 as six-point favorites on the road. They closed out the 2017 campaign with a 0-6 record ATS in their final six games.


    Betting Trends


    -- Hamilton has been able to cover in five of its last seven road games against Calgary and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 11 meetings overall.


    Montreal Alouettes (3-15 SU, 8-10 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (7-11 SU, 8-8-1 ATS)
    Point-spread: BC -6
    Total: 49



    Game Overview


    Montreal has nowhere to go but up as the longest shot in the CFL futures (+1800) to win the 2018 Grey Cup. In an effort to get things going in the other direction after winning just three games last season, Mike Sherman was brought in as head coach after making a name for himself in the NFL. It appears that Drew Willy will get the call at quarterback after getting the majority of the reps in the preseason.


    The Lions finished last in the West in 2017 in light of some stiff competition from the other four teams, but there is still enough talent on both sides of the ball to stay in the mix this time around. Jonathon Jennings is penciled in as BC’s starter at quarterback after throwing for 3,639 yards and 16 touchdowns in 15 starts last season. He also tossed 19 interceptions, which were the most in the league. The Lions added quarterback Cody Fajardo as a free agent in the offseason.


    Betting Trends


    -- BC is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home games against Montreal and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 16 meetings at BC Place.


    ****************




    Saturday June 16


    Hamilton @ Calgary



    Game 375-376
    June 16, 2018 @ 7:00 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Hamilton
    116.525
    Calgary
    113.007
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hamilton
    by 3 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    by 9
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Hamilton
    (+9); Under


    Montreal @ BC Lions



    Game 377-378
    June 16, 2018 @ 10:00 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Montreal
    98.172
    BC Lions
    102.039
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    BC Lions
    by 4
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    BC Lions
    by 7
    49
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+7); Under





    **************************


    Saturday, June 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HAMILTON (0-0) at CALGARY (0-0) - 6/16/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
    CALGARY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
    HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MONTREAL (0-0) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (0-0) - 6/16/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------






    Hamilton @ Calgary (-9, 53)— Calgary won last 10 series games, covering four of last five; Ti-Cats lost last visit here 60-1 last July, but now June Jones/Jerry Glanville are in their first full year coaching Hamilton. Hamilton is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games, but last two went over.


    Montreal @ BC Lions (-7, 49)— Lions won/covered last five series games; Alouettes are 1-4, both SU/ATS in their last five visits here. Three of last four series games went over.




    **********************************




    Saturday, June 16


    Hamilton Tiger-Cats
    Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Hamilton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games
    Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Hamilton is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
    Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing Calgary
    Hamilton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary


    Calgary Stampeders
    Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Calgary is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
    Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
    Calgary is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games at home
    Calgary is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
    Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing Hamilton
    Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton




    Montreal Alouettes
    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
    Montreal is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    Montreal is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia


    British Columbia Lions
    British Columbia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
    British Columbia is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games at home
    British Columbia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    British Columbia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
    British Columbia is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
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  2. #27  
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    Canadian Football Record; ( All Picks )


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    06/15/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    06/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


    Totals.............. 2-2-0........50.00%.....-1.00




    CFL Best Bets:


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    DATE.........................ATS.......................UNITS.....................O/U...................UNITS...........TOTAL


    06/15/2018...............1 - 0 .....................+5.00.....................0 - 1...................-5.50..............0.50
    06/14/2018...............1 - 0......................+5.00.....................0 - 1...................-5.50..............0.50


    Totals........................2 - 0.....................+10.00...................0 - 2....................-11.00............-1.00
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  3. #28  
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    SATURDAY, JUNE 16
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    HAM at CGY 07:00 PM
    HAM +7.5
    O 54.5



    MTL at BC 10:00 PM
    BC -8.0
    O 49.0
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  4. #29  
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    GAME RECAP


    WHEN IT COUNTS: STAMPS COME ALIVE IN FOURTH TO TOP TICATS



    CALGARY – It took just over three full quarters but the Calgary Stampeders offence came alive when it counted most, finding pay dirt in the fourth quarter and outlasting the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28-14 in their season opener Saturday evening at McMahon Stadium.


    Despite passing for over 200 yards in the first half it was the Stampeders run game that fueled the home squad in the final frame with Don Jackson and Terry Williams combining for 117 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries in the contest.


    The Ticats — who held the lead for a good majority of the game — ran into an active Stampeders secondary down the stretch which shut down Jeremiah Masoli who passed for 302 yards on just under 70% passing.


    One of the subplots in this matchup was how the young and inexperienced Tiger-Cats secondary would net out against a veteran-laden Stampeders offence. Despite scrimmaging from their own seven-yard line to start the game, Calgary pressed the issue early as Mitchell connected twice with Reggie Begelton totaling 70 yards to set up a 23-yard Rene Paredes field goal to open the contest 3-0.


    The Stampeders continued to move the ball with ease for the remainder of the first quarter but would lament a few missed opportunities as three overthrows stalled Calgary drives.


    Despite being in control most of the opening frame the Stamps would surrender the first major of the game when Masoli helped get his team out of a second-and-long deep in his own end.


    Facing pressure, Masoli stepped into a deep throw down the near sideline to WR Mike Jones who had a step on his man and turned a catch-and-run into a 76-yard gain. On the ensuing play, Masoli went play-action, froze the Stampeders defensive front and scampered 13-yards untouched for the major and a 7-6 Ticats lead heading into the second quarter.


    As the second quarter rolled on, it was the tale of two quarterbacks looking to attack in different ways. Despite some incompletions, Mitchell continued to stretch the field while Masoli took what he could underneath. Both moved the ball well but could not capitalize once in opposing territory.


    The teams traded a pair of field goals before the half with Hamilton holding a slim 11-9 advantage.


    Despite each defence forcing drives to come to a halt, both pivots each put up over 200 yards passing in the first half with Masoli completing passes at a rate of 84%.


    Masoli continued to operate at a high efficiency when the third quarter began but two consecutive positive possessions ended just past midfield – one by fumble, one by sack.


    The Stamps also had challenges gaining traction in the third against a Ticats defence that despite giving up big gains along the ground, took away the deep ball.


    Calgary opened the fourth quarter with a 23-yard field goal by Paredes to regain the lead 12-9 before they finally took their biggest lead of the contest. A 39-yard pass interference call on Hamilton’s DB Don Unamba allowed Mitchell to find Kemar Jorden for a 15-yard touchdown with 9:58 remaining. The five-play, 65-yard touchdown drive was capped off by a Terry Williams run on a two-point conversion to give Calgary a 19-11 lead.


    The Tiger-Cats looked to answer and did so with a 43-yard field goal after a pair of completions from Masoli to Jalen Saunders cut the lead to 19-14 with 4:25 on the clock. Saunders finished with over 100 yards receiving on the day.


    The Ticats had an opportunity to make a comeback, taking the ball with 2:33 left and scrimmaging from their 34 yard line. A pair of Saunders completions put them in Calgary territory Masoli was flished out of the pocket, forced a throw and was picked off by veteran Brandon Smith.


    Jackson put the game away shortly thereafter when he took a handoff 44 yards for the touchdown and iced the 28-14 victory.


    Hamilton will double dip in Alberta visiting the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 2. As for the Stampeders, they will get another shot at an Eastern opponent when they visit Toronto for a Grey Cup rematch with the Argonauts.




    ****************************




    GAME RECAP


    JENNINGS LEADS LIONS OVER ALS IN WEEK 1 FINALE



    VANCOUVER — Jonathon Jennings and the BC Lions clawed their way to a 22-10 home victory over the Montreal Alouettes in the Week 1 finale on Saturday night. The Lions’ versatile quarterback got his 2018 season off to a hot start, completing 20 of 24 passes for 183 yards and two touchdowns while also adding a career-high 57 yards on the ground. BC’s defence did its part as well, adding an interception and five sacks to help hand Montreal their 12th-straight loss.


    The Alouettes came out strong on their opening possession, with running back Tyrell Sutton carrying the ball five-straight times to put the Lions’ defence on their heels. Receiver B.J. Cunningham appeared to give Montreal the early lead with a long 52-yard touchdown catch, but the play was called back on a holding penalty.


    Drew Willy and the Als’ offence made up for it just two plays later after the veteran quarterback found receiver Chris Williams deep down the field for a 56-yard connection. The ball was knocked loose before Williams could cross the goal line, but receiver Eugene Lewis was there to recover it in the end zone for his first career CFL touchdown. Kicker Boris Bede added the extra point to give Montreal the early 7-0 lead.


    Jennings looked sharp on the Lions’ second offensive drive, zipping a slant pass to receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux to get things rolling. The athletic quarterback used both his arm and legs to push the Lions down the field, and BC’s passing attack found a steady rhythm that would continue throughout the game.


    Receiver Bryan Burnham made an acrobatic 12-yard catch on the drive, and Jennings hit receiver Shaq Johnson on the very next play for a 35-yard touchdown. Johnson used his speed to gain separation and get open on the right side of the field, and kicker Ty Long knocked through the extra point to tie the game at seven apiece. Jennings completed his first ten passes of the game.


    The Montreal offence looked strong again on their second drive, with Willy hooking up with receiver Ernest Jackson for a 54-yard strike. Odell Willis’ first sack as a Lion stifled the Als’ drive, but Bede made the most of the field position by making the 30-yard field goal to give Montreal the 10-7 lead. Willy was 10 of 12 for 183 yards and a touchdown after the opening half.


    Jennings continued to make plays in multiple ways after the Lions got the ball back, and the athletic quarterback found space in the Als’ defensive front for a 21-yard run to bring the Lions into Montreal territory. The Als’ defence bounced back on the drive to hold strong, and Long punted the ball for a single to bring BC within two points.


    Running back Jeremiah Johnson began to get the Lions’ running game going in the second quarter, and Long would boot another punt for a single to bring the score to 10-9 in the second quarter.


    Both defences stole the show in the third quarter, with both defensive lines clogging up running lanes and applying pressure to keep the big plays to a minimum. The lone score of the quarter would be a 27-yard BC field goal from Long, giving the Lions a narrow 11-10 lead.


    BC continued to build momentum near the end of the quarter with Jennings completing seven-straight passes, and Long would knock through a 30-yard field to extend the Lions’ lead to 15-10 early in the fourth quarter.


    The first turnover of the game came when Willy was picked off by Lions defensive back Garry Peters while trying to complete a short pass over the middle to Eugene Lewis. Jennings continued his big performance immediately after getting the ball back, calling his own number for a 16-yard scamper. The Lions’ offence capitalized on the Peters interception when Jennings connected with receiver Cory Watson for an 11-yard touchdown strike, giving BC a 22-10 lead that would hold to seal the Week 1 victory.


    The Alouettes will look to bounce back when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers next Friday in Week 2, while the Lions will be off until travel to face the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 3.
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  5. #30  
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    WEEK 2


    Thursday, June 21, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    7:30 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders Ottawa Redblacks


    Friday, June 22, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    7:00 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Montreal Alouettes
    10:00 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Edmonton Eskimos


    Saturday, June 23, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    7:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Toronto Argonauts




    *****************************




    Canadian Football Record; ( All Picks )


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    06/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
    06/15/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    06/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


    Totals.............. 3-5-0........37.50%.....-12.50




    CFL Best Bets:


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    DATE.........................ATS.................. .....UNITS.....................O/U...................UNITS...........TOTAL


    06/16/2018...............1 - 1......................-0.50......................0 - 2..................-11.00.............-11.50
    06/15/2018...............1 - 0 .....................+5.00.....................0 - 1...................-5.50..............-0.50
    06/14/2018...............1 - 0......................+5.00.....................0 - 1...................-5.50..............-0.50


    Totals.......................3 - 1.....................+9.50.......................0 - 4..................-22.00............-12.50
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