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Thread: Thursday 06/07/18 ... Comps / Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

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  1. #51  
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    Jack Brayman

    So let me start by saying, that if you're playing with a traditional, I do understand that you may not be getting period-props. So I am advising you to play the Over in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final. Both teams have major goals, and both goalies will be under siege.

    But I really like the total soaring in the first period, as we need two goals to get there. I don't see this one taking long, as the Vegas Golden Knights will want to get things started immediately, and will try to ignite the crowd, and the Washington Capitals will be fighting for the first goal to deflate the crowd early.

    In the playoffs, the Capitals have taken 235 shots on goal in the first period, their second most behind the 249 they've taken in the second period.

    Washington is 12-4 when it has scored first, while the Golden Knights are 11-2 when putting the puck in the net first. And when leading after one period, Washington is 7-3 and Vegas is 7-1.

    The first period dictates how this game will go tonight, and it will be the start of a wild scene in Las Vegas, where the Golden Knights will look to keep the fairy tale going. If there is any team that can do that, after the season they've had, it's the Knights.

    I don't know Vegas wins, but I like the first period to go Over. And if you can't get that play, take the Over in the game.

    2* OVER Capitals/Golden Knights, 1st period
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  2. #52  
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    Jeff Benton

    Your Thursday freebie is the Over in the Stanley Cup Final between the Capitals and the Golden Knights.

    I have the feeling that Marc-Andre Fleury is a little "rattled" right now, and with elimination of the line, there could be a few empty-net opportunities for the Caps before this one is all said and done.

    Monday's meeting turned into a 6-2 rout for Washington in a game that landed Over the total, and I see this game tonight also devolving into a game that stays tight early, but results in a flurry of late goals to send it over the total.

    Game One was 6-4 in favor of Vegas, and Game Two on Knights' ice ended at 3-2 in favor of Washington in a game that held Under by a hook.

    Washington has been rolling on offense, and that momentum will continue tonight I believe.

    If Vegas wishes to play again in this series, they had better find the back of the net tonight. At home, I think they will.

    Lotsa goals in this one.

    Caps-Knights Over the total.

    2* WASHINGTON-VEGAS OVER
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  3. #53  
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    Chris Jordan

    I like two player props for tonight's Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final, and that is to see Vegas' James Neal and Evgeny Kuznetsov to score goals. The prices I am seeing are incredible value, so I'm going to play on both of these guys.

    Neal, who is making his second-straight Stanley Cup Final appearance after playing with Nashville last season, has tied a career high with six goals in the postseason, including a goal in Game 4. He would have liked to have two goals last game, as he clanked the post after staring at a wide open net. It wouldn't surprise me to see him net the first goal of the game tonight, and even score a couple.

    Meanwhile, Kuznetsov recorded four assists in Game 4 to match a single-game Stanley Cup Final record. Kuznetsov, who leads the playoffs with 31 points (12 goals, 19 assists)
    in 23 games, became the fifth NHL player since 1997 to register 30 or more points in a single postseason. He plays on the team's top line with Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson, and arguably has been the team's MVP during this Final run. I think he scores tonight.


    Based on 1♦ to 5♦

    2* KUZNETSOV GOAL (YES, +190) 1* NEAL GOAL (YES, +200)
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  4. #54  
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    Brad Wilton


    Thursday's comp play comes in hockey on the Washington Capitals over the Vegas Golden Knights.

    It has been a magical first season of hockey in Sin City, as the expansion Golden Knights have far exceeded the hockey world's expectations by advancing to the Stanley Cup in their first season on the ice!

    Look for the clock to strike 12 tonight on the Knights, as Washington has been the better - more dominant - team the longer this series has gone on, as the Capitals took the last game played at the T-Mobile Arena last Wednesday night, and have now reeled off 3 straight victories over Vegas.

    Not only have the Caps been winning, but it really has not been close, as Washington has outscored Vegas, 12-5 in taking the 3-1 series lead.

    Alexander Ovechkin and his team can finally see the finish line, and clearly they have Marc-Andre Fleury's number of late.

    Take the Caps plus money to end the hockey season tonight.

    2* WASHINGTON
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  5. #55  
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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
    RACE #6 - BELMONT PARK - 4:40 PM EASTERN POST
    The Astoria Stakes
    5½ FURLONGS DIRT TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

    #7 TIJORI
    #1 WONDER STONE
    #3 EYEINTHESKY
    #8 ATHENS QUEEN

    Just F.Y.I. folks ... this race is named for Astoria,which is a town in here in the New York City borough of Queens. Here in the 107th renewal of this stakes event, which was first run at Gravesend Raceway, #7 TIJORI comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" in her "first asking," in a race which was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 91. Jockey Flavien Prat was in her irons for that win, which came at Santa Anita Park in Southern California, and is here in New York this afternoon for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #1 WONDER STONE also comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her respective maiden in her "first asking."
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  6. #56  
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:24pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 70

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #12 SHAPE OF YOU (ML=8/1)
    #7 GALES OF NOVEMBER (ML=5/2)
    #6 SPIRIT WARRIOR (ML=20/1)


    SHAPE OF YOU - You always have to be on the lookout for revenue generating jockey/conditioner tandems; we have it right here. Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. McCutchen enters her at a similar class level today. I'd expect an improved performance. This filly is tops in earnings per race. Take a good look at this thoroughbred in the saddling ring. I know the stable is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the 1st time. GALES OF NOVEMBER - Have to like the way Santangelo has raced this filly back into shape off the layoff. Equine is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. Horse has improved at least two speed rating points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction today. SPIRIT WARRIOR - Rounding her way back into form. Each of her finish positions is getting better in her recent starts. This is this filly's first try on the turf. Ran well finishing first on May 18th. The track was slow that day, so I think this equine will take to the turf. Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. Don't often see a beneficial return on investment like +175. This jockey/conditioner tandem has done well together over the last 12 months. This horse has increased her speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is telling me this horse is ready.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SPIRIT FLY (ML=7/2), #9 TIZ B B N (ML=5/1),

    SPIRIT FLY - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to back her. TIZ B B N - In the last event this vulnerable equine finished fourth. Doesn't bode well for her chances in today's event.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Putting our cash on #12 SHAPE OF YOU to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [6,7,12]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [6,7,12] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [6,7,12] with [6,7,12] with [2,3,6,7,12] with [2,3,6,7,12] Total Cost: $36


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  7. #57  
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

    06/07/18, CD, Race 4, 6.27 ET
    6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,700.
    Claiming Price $10,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) - Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
    Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    Top Horse Win Percent 38.18, $1 ROI 1.09, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
    Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
    100.0000 3 Ship Stalker 3-1 Bridgmohan S Cox Brad H. J
    097.3607 9 Myluckycharm 9/2 Morales E Tomlinson Michael A. T
    097.1849 5 Uncle Pancho 10-1 Saez G Milligan Allen WL
    097.1151 6 Big Tom D 5-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Drury. Jr. Thomas
    096.8842 8 Tap You're It(b-) 6-1 Court J K Quartarolo Anthony T. EC
    096.7243 7 Aggravator 7/2 Borel C H Wiggins Lon F
    094.6569 4 Mini Chunk 10-1 McMahon C Hartman Chris A.
    094.5976 2 First Set 8-1 Hill C Romans Dale L.
    093.4326 1 B Efficient 20-1 Miranda R Barnett Bobby C.
    093.3698 1A Hitthegroundrunnin 20-1 Miranda R Barnett Bobby C.
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  8. #58  
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
    Delta Downs - Race 1

    DD (Races 1-2) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (.50 min.) (Races 1-2-3-4) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


    Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 6:15P
    QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

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    Odds


    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS AMAZING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TOAST TO YOU AND ME: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. PATRIOTSASTREAKIN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    10
    JESS AMAZING
    8/1

    6/1
    9
    ADIOS JESS
    20/1

    7/1
    1
    TOAST TO YOU AND ME
    3/1

    7/1
    8
    SALUTE TEE COS
    10/1

    8/1
    4
    PATRIOTSASTREAKIN
    7/2

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    TOAST TO YOU AND ME
    1

    3/1
    Average
    64

    53

    5.5

    0.0

    0.0
    2
    DUKES FAST CHOICE
    2

    20/1
    Slow/Trouble-prone
    0

    0

    9.1

    0.0

    0.0
    3
    PH SHERMAN
    3

    15/1
    Average
    0

    0

    5.4

    0.0

    0.0
    4
    PATRIOTSASTREAKIN
    4

    7/2
    Average
    63

    59

    4.8

    0.0

    0.0
    5
    COUNT AZOOM
    5

    8/1
    Slow
    59

    45

    7.3

    0.0

    0.0
    6
    MIAMI COUNTER
    6

    5/1
    Average
    62

    52

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0
    7
    NL REBS SPECIAL DOC
    7

    4/1
    Average/Trouble-prone
    62

    61

    5.6

    0.0

    0.0
    8
    SALUTE TEE COS
    8

    10/1
    Average
    64

    61

    5.5

    0.0

    0.0
    10
    JESS AMAZING
    10

    8/1
    Average
    66

    66

    5.3

    0.0

    0.0


    Unknown Running Style: ADIOS JESS (20/1) [Jockey: Maldonado Floriberto - Trainer: Celestino Eliseo].
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  9. #59  
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20400 Class Rating: 88

    FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE STATE BRED RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 6 FINAL CHAPTER 2/1

    # 2 GYM TOO 6/1

    # 4 MIGHTY ONE 8/1

    FINAL CHAPTER looks to be a competitive contender. His earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone makes you take a look at him. Looks to have a decent class edge based on the most recent company kept. Is a strong contender based on figures earned as of late under today's conditions. GYM TOO - Looks very good to be on or close to the front end at the first call. Ran a strong last race. MIGHTY ONE - Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 83 - of his last contest.
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  10. #60  
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 73

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 6 MISS SHIRLEY C 7/5

    # 1 PHANTOM FLYER 9/2

    # 5 VACAVILLE SPECIAL 4/1

    MISS SHIRLEY C looks competitive to best this field. Her 70 average has this filly with among the best Speed Figures in here. With Orozco in the saddle guiding her, this filly should be able to break out quickly for this event. Recorded a strong Equibase Speed Figure last time out. PHANTOM FLYER - Looks very good to be up on the lead at the first call. Likely to see a strong attempt with the class drop. VACAVILLE SPECIAL - Vaunts strong Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this group. Earned a sound Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest.
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  11. #61  
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 65

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #7 FIRST AND GOAL (ML=2/1)
    #5 VOLPINATOR (ML=8/1)


    FIRST AND GOAL - This gelding is in top form right now. Ended up second last time out and comes back rapidly. The last rating of 67 is the best last race speed rating in the field. VOLPINATOR - Trainer McMahon moves this one to a lower class rank to face weaker company. Look for a sharp effort given this drop. McMahon is hoping to get a little more out of this gelding by adding blinkers today.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #8 NEW DUDE (ML=3/1), #3 MATTIZAR (ML=5/1), #2 QUINLAN (ML=6/1),

    NEW DUDE - One should normally not play a racer in the next run after finishing off the board following a very long layoff. Didn't hit the board on February 26th at Tampa Bay Downs. Followed it up with another lackluster effort. MATTIZAR - This pony hasn't been close to the winner at the wire recently. QUINLAN - Didn't finish in the money on May 17th at Presque Isle Downs. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #7 FIRST AND GOAL on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [5,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
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  12. #62  
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park
    Santa Anita Park - Race 8

    $1 Exacta /$0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) $1 Rolling Super High 5


    Maiden Claiming $40,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Downhill Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 4:20P
    (RAIL AT 30 FEET). DOWNHILL TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 2 STARTS PREFERRED).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

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    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ARROWSPHERE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top thr ee in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. IT'S ALEXUS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BEAUTY DIVINE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SPECTACULAR MOVE: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
    3
    ARROWSPHERE
    4/1

    9/2
    10
    IT'S ALEXUS
    12/1

    6/1
    6
    BEAUTY DIVINE
    4/1

    6/1
    7
    SPECTACULAR MOVE
    12/1

    7/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    ARROWSPHERE
    3

    4/1
    Front-runner
    90

    92

    104.5

    75.0

    70.0
    6
    BEAUTY DIVINE
    6

    4/1
    Front-runner
    89

    88

    96.4

    79.9

    72.9
    4
    MAJESTIC AUTHORITY
    4

    6/1
    Front-runner
    0

    0

    73.9

    72.0

    56.0
    8
    SWEET CONGRATS
    8

    15/1
    Front-runner
    89

    81

    47.4

    63.5

    52.0
    10
    IT'S ALEXUS
    10

    12/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    0

    0

    87.2

    82.5

    75.5
    7
    SPECTACULAR MOVE
    7

    12/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    86

    83

    74.0

    77.2

    69.2
    9
    WEATHER MARKET
    9

    5/1
    Trailer
    89

    84

    70.2

    66.4

    56.9
    5
    CYRIELLE
    5

    7/2
    Alternator/Trailer
    0

    0

    46.5

    59.7

    52.7
    11
    GRECIAN FORT
    11

    50/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    50.9

    48.5

    31.5
    12
    RED BOMBER
    12

    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0


    Unknown Running Style: TAKE A LEAP (10/1) [Jockey: Ceballos Franklin - Trainer: Mullins Jeff], BEDFORD (12/1) [Jockey: Elliott Stewart - Trainer: Sise Jr Clifford W].
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  13. #63  
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    Info Plays
    Jun 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
    MLB | Orioles vs Blue Jays
    Play on: Orioles +141 at BMaker

    1* Free Play on Orioles +141
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  14. #64  
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    Dustin Hawkins
    Jun 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
    MLB | Orioles vs Blue Jays
    Play on: Blue Jays -140

    Free Play on Blue Jays -140
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  15. #65  
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    Kenny Walker
    Jun 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 6h
    MLB | Astros vs Rangers
    Play on: Rangers +170 at YouWager

    Free Pick on Rangers
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  16. #66  
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    Dave Price
    Jun 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
    MLB | Orioles vs Blue Jays
    Play on: Orioles +137

    Dave’s Thursday Free Play:

    1* on Baltimore Orioles +137

    The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Baltimore Orioles as big road underdogs to the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 games and should not be this big of favorites. The Orioles also have the edge on the mound with David Hess, who is 2-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 4 starts this year. He’ll be opposed by Jaime Garcia, who is 2-4 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 10 starts for the Blue Jays. Toronto is 5-16 in its last 21 home games. Take Baltimore.
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  17. #67  
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    Marc Lawrence
    Jun 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 6h
    MLB | Astros vs Rangers
    Play on: Astros -180
    Play - Houston Astros w/Cole (Game 917).

    Edges - Astros: Cole 9-0 away career team starts during June; and 6-0 away career team starts vs A.L. West; and 3-0 career team starts vs Texas… Rangers: 1-5 home behind Hamels this season… We recommend a 1* play on Houston. Thank you and good luck as always.
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  18. #68  
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    Ross Benjamin
    Jun 07 '18, 7:10 PM in 5h
    MLB | SEA vs TAM
    Play on: UNDER 8 -107

    Ross Benjamin has a 10* Top Play money line pick on Thursday’s Game 6 of the 2018 Stanley Cup playoffs between Washington/Las Vegas (8:05 ET/NBC). Since 2012, Ross has gone a solid 147-103 (59%) with his NHL postseason picks.

    Seattle (Leake) @ Tampa Bay (Stanek) 7:10 PM ET

    Game# 915-916

    Play On: Under 8.0

    The Mariners Mike Leake has displayed excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts while posting a 1.66 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. Seattle hasn’t made a fielding error in 14 straight games.

    Tampa Bay is coming off a 11-2 loss at Washington in their previous game. They’ve gone 8-2 under the total during its last 10 games following an over, and that includes 4-0 during their previous 4 when in that precise situation. The Rays are averaging a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game during its last 7 outings while compiling an awful .562 team OPS.

    These teams met in a 3-game series at Seattle earlier this season and each of those games went under the total. As a matter of fact, there was only a combined average of 4.7 runs scored per game.

    Any team (Seattle) with a total of 7.0 to 8.5 that hasn’t made an error in 4 straight games, and their starting pitcher (Leake) has a WHIP of 0.80 or less thru his previous 3 starts, resulted in those games going 56-22 (71.8%) under the total since 2014. Those 78 games average a combined 6.3 runs scored per outing. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Thursday 6/7 MLB free pick.
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