Why The RANGERS on Friday at +180

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the Rangers come in after a Thursday 5-2 L. Doug Fister will toe the rubber for Texas who is trending better over his L3 Starts with a steady decrease in his BAA to a season low .182 in his LS and a BABIP against to a season low of .150 in his LS. Fister induced a soft contact% of 33% in his LS against the above-average offense of the Angels which is a healthy sign due to Fister's SA of 18%. With an average velocity increase above SA with all four pitches, this is a great home spot to back Fister against an Astros team that he has a career 3.34 era against. Offensively, the Rangers have posted 10 HRs over their L7 Days, which is third best in MLB; this is key due to the fact that the Rangers have a combined 8 HRs against Justin Verlander. JV comes into Friday's affair after posting his worst sabermetric start of the season. In that start against the Red Sox, JV posted a 40% LD% (season high) to match a 6% soft contact% (season low) and a 40% hard contact% (season high). With his SLv sitting at 85.1 mph (SA 86.1 mph) and a CBv at 78.8 mph (SA 79.3 mph), and coming off of back to back starts of 100+ pitches, this is the road start to fade Verlander going to a Rangers Ballpark that he has allowed 8 HRs on 50 hits through 54 IP and against a Rangers lineup that he is very exposed to with a combined 258 ABs. Going to back this Rangers bullpen who brings an MLB best .89 era over their L14 Days compared to the Astros 4.32 era over that same span. Astros currently taking 80% of the action with a line drop from -220 to -195.

Play on the Rangers at +180
 

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