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  1. #1 Pooh's Picks for the CFB Season 
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    I will post all of my picks for the College Football Season in here. Here are my Over/Under Win picks, my who gets to the CFB Playoff picks, and my "Games of the Year" picks so far. All wagers are for 100 units or to win 100 units:

    Stanford Over 8 wins -110
    Wash State Under 6.5 wins -110
    West Virginia Over 7 wins +100
    Arizona Over 7.5 wins -120
    Colorado Over 4 wins -110
    Michigan Under 9 wins -110
    Notre Dame Under 9.5 wins +100
    Oklahoma Over 10 wins -110
    Alabama makes the CFB Playoff -210
    Oklahoma makes the playogg +600

    9/02...Miami (Fl) -2 1/2 vs LSU*
    9/08...South Carolina +14 vs Georgia
    9/22...Stanford +3 @ Oregon
    9/29...West Virginia +3 @ Texas Tech
    10/06...Florida +3 1/2 vs LSU
    10/12...Utah -5 vs Arizona
    10/20...N.C. State +20 @ Clemson
    10/27...Florida +15 vs Georgia*
    11/03...Penn State +3 1/2 @ Michigan
    11/17...Oregon -9 vs Arizona State
    11/24...Ga. Tech +21 @ Georgia

    * denotes neutral site game.
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  2. #2  
    Super Moderator Betallsports's Avatar
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    welcome to The RX

    to post in the tracker forum you need to have a min of 300 Posts

    So you will have to start here and work your way there.

    Thank you & GL
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    The team that sticks out to me in your post is Washington State under 6.5 wins.

    I like Leach, but his team is a little shallow this season.

    My best take on WSU is season long they will be a loser ATS. I'm banking
    on them being a loser as one of our loser picks (4-8) or (5-7) at best.
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    The team that sticks out to me in your post is Washington State under 6.5 wins.

    I like Leach, but his team is a little shallow this season.

    My best take on WSU is season long they will be a loser ATS. I'm banking
    on them being a loser as one of our loser picks (4-8) or (5-7) at best.
    Wazzu's opener against Wyoming is critical. Both teams lose their starting QB's from last season, but Wyoming plays a game before this one. Even if Wazzu wins all three non-con games, they still must win 4 conference games and that is a tall order, with their crossover games against USC and Colorado on the road, and Arizona and Utah at home.

    Mr. Cloverleaf. My Dad says to tell you Hi.
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  5. #5  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Betallsports View Post
    welcome to The RX

    to post in the tracker forum you need to have a min of 300 Posts

    So you will have to start here and work your way there.

    Thank you & GL
    Sorry sir. My bad.
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    Adding...Washington Over 8 wins at -200. That is giving 2/1 on that wager. Washington should win all 6 home games. Stanford poses the only real challenge but they have not covered in Washington in their past 3 meetings. Away games feature probable wins at UCLA, Cal, and Washington State, a team that is 0-5 S/U against UDub in their 5 previous meeting. The other remaining away games are in Atlanta against Auburn (Washington is a better team talent wise, but can Petersen win the big non-con games?), Utah (always a tough home team) and Oregon (looking for revenge after losing the last two meetings by a 108-24 total margin). Can anyone see Washington losing 5 games this season? I sure can't.
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  7. #7  
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    Washington should easily go over 8 wins in our opinion...even at -300
    which would be giving 3 to 1. With their coach, QB and 17 starters returning
    from a solid team last year. Damn right!
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  8. #8  
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    If Washington defeats Auburn, I see them in the Playoffs. They certainly have a talent advantage over Auburn, especially in both lines, but for some reason, Petersen has problem winning the "Big" non-con games. He is 1-3 in Bowl games, with the one win coming against So. Miss. The only other good non-con opponent he has faces was Boise State in 2015 and he lost that game.
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  9. #9  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    If Washington defeats Auburn, I see them in the Playoffs. They certainly have a talent advantage over Auburn, especially in both lines, but for some reason, Petersen has problem winning the "Big" non-con games. He is 1-3 in Bowl games, with the one win coming against So. Miss. The only other good non-con opponent he has faces was Boise State in 2015 and he lost that game.
    Where do you see Washington's team total being 8? It opened at 10 and have moved up to 10 1/2 everywhere online.

    I like this Washington team. I played a few dollars on them + 3 /1/2 against Auburn when the line opened and a dollar or two on them to win the natty.

    They are an experienced, well coached team. But it doesn't matter how many times you type it, they aren't the more talented team. Auburn's last 5 recruiting classes rank 12-14-8-7-9. Washington ranked 14-23-37-30 and 36. Even if you don't buy into recruiting rankings you can't over-look that disparity. I won't argue Washington's O-line has an advantage. But you are kidding yourself if you think Washington has a more talented D-line. Russell, Brown and Davidson all all projected high NFL picks. And back-up, Coe, may be the best of the bunch.

    If Auburn wins the game it will be because they are the more talented team. Nothing else points to an Auburn win. Their O-line will be a patch work group (especially at center). They don't have a true tailback with experience on the roster. Both corners will be starting their first game. Malzahn normally craps the bed in openers. Benz stadium has been a nightmare for Auburn in the past. All these factors make me like Washington. Only thing preventing me from loading up on Washington is the talent imbalance between the two. Experience can only take you so far.
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    Dead Last. Southpoint, in Las Vegas, is offering Udub at Over 8 -200. If you wager in Vegas at all, you will see that occasionally a shop will offer a team at odds that are totally different from the posted lines at other shops. The truth of the matter is that you can do this with any team and most game. It is basically "hook" playing, something I rarely do, but in this case, it was just too tempting.

    As far as Washington is concerned, there simply is no debate about their talent level compared to Auburn's talent level. Washington has a solid D-line, but more importantly, one of the best, if not the best, defensive backfields in the nation. With a very questionable offensive line in front of him, Stidham will be scrambling all game long. Auburn's D-line may be very good, but they do not compare to Washington's O-line, which is one of the biggest and best in the nation. Now the biggest question mark for UDub is their HC. As good as Petersen has been (37-17 at UDub), he still has not shown the ability to win games against solid non-con opponents. They have Bowl game losses to Penn State, Alabama, and Okie State. The only Bowl win came against a 5 loss Southern Miss. team. Their non-con regular season featurned one good team in the 4 years Petersen has been there. That game ended up in a 16-13 loss to Boise State. That is very alarming.
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  11. #11  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    Dead Last. Southpoint, in Las Vegas, is offering Udub at Over 8 -200. If you wager in Vegas at all, you will see that occasionally a shop will offer a team at odds that are totally different from the posted lines at other shops. The truth of the matter is that you can do this with any team and most game. It is basically "hook" playing, something I rarely do, but in this case, it was just too tempting.

    As far as Washington is concerned, there simply is no debate about their talent level compared to Auburn's talent level. Washington has a solid D-line, but more importantly, one of the best, if not the best, defensive backfields in the nation. With a very questionable offensive line in front of him, Stidham will be scrambling all game long. Auburn's D-line may be very good, but they do not compare to Washington's O-line, which is one of the biggest and best in the nation. Now the biggest question mark for UDub is their HC. As good as Petersen has been (37-17 at UDub), he still has not shown the ability to win games against solid non-con opponents. They have Bowl game losses to Penn State, Alabama, and Okie State. The only Bowl win came against a 5 loss Southern Miss. team. Their non-con regular season featurned one good team in the 4 years Petersen has been there. That game ended up in a 16-13 loss to Boise State. That is very alarming.
    I have been to Vegas many, many times and know very well how their books operate. I just find it strange Southpoint or any other book is offering Washington over 8 when everywhere else in the free world has the over/under at 10 or 10 1/2. Even at -200 it makes no sense. With that said, if you can get over 8, jump on it. Should be a winner.

    We agree on AU's O-line. Stidham will be under pressure the whole game. I also believe Washington will have some success throwing the football.

    I don't understand why you are in love with Washington's O-line. Or O in general. They ranked 58th in total offense last year. Hell, Auburn played 8 teams last year statistically better (LSU, Texas A&M, Mo, Miss, Miss State, Clemson, Ga, bama) and only gave up 135 yards per game on the ground to those teams. Do you honestly believe Washington will do much better when AU has everyone back but Holland? In my opinion, the most talented group on the field will be AU's D-line. And, as you said, the talent level between these two can't be debated.

    The smart bet could be the total. It is highly unlikely either team lights up the scoreboard.
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  12. #12  
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    I like all your picks Pooh!!!
    don't think Oklahoma will make the playoffs.
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  13. #13  
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    Deadlast. Washington's OL returns 4 starters from last season. They are huge. I believe that they will simply wear out Auburn's DL in the second half of the game. Washington knows that if they want any chance of getting to the playoffs, they must win this game. It is highly unlikely that they will run the table in the Pac 12, though not impossible. I give Auburn ZERO chance of getting to the Playoffs. Not only will they lose on the road to both Georgia and Alabama (0-5 @ UGA S/U and 1-4 @ Alabama S/U in their last 5 efforts), but they could well lose at Miss. State, a good sleeper team in the SEC. There is no way Washington can get to the Playoffs if they lose to Auburn and also lose a conference game. The UDUb offense starts 7 seniors this season and the defense 6. USC replaces UCLA on the schedule next season. Petersen and team know that it is basically do or die for them this season, and Auburn is a critical game. Let's see if Petersen can finally win a big non-con game against a good team.
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  14. #14  
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    Quote Originally Posted by DeadLast View Post
    I I just find it strange Southpoint or any other book is offering Washington over 8 when everywhere else in the free world has the over/under at 10 or 10 1/2. Even at -200 it makes no sense.
    strange because it's not true. Here are Southpointe's PAC12 season totals:

    Pac-12
    Washington: 10.5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
    Oregon: 8.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    USC: 8.5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
    Stanford: 8 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Arizona: 7.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    Utah: 7 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Washington State: 6.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
    California: 5.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    Arizona State: 5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    UCLA: 5 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Colorado: 4 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Oregon State: 2.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
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    Quote Originally Posted by rolltide View Post
    strange because it's not true. Here are Southpointe's PAC12 season totals:

    Pac-12
    Washington: 10.5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
    Oregon: 8.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    USC: 8.5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
    Stanford: 8 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Arizona: 7.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    Utah: 7 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Washington State: 6.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
    California: 5.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    Arizona State: 5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
    UCLA: 5 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Colorado: 4 (Over -110, Under -110)
    Oregon State: 2.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
    I was going to say... I was just there, and it sure as shit wasn't 8. Also, Florida +3.5 against LSU was available for about 5 minutes when it opened back in May. It settled at Florida +1 on GOY release day.
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  16. #16  
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    Quote Originally Posted by dodo97 View Post
    I was going to say... I was just there, and it sure as shit wasn't 8. Also, Florida +3.5 against LSU was available for about 5 minutes when it opened back in May. It settled at Florida +1 on GOY release day.
    You are correct. Florida +3.5 against LSU was available for a short period of time when it opened back in May. It is, in fact, +1 as we speak. But here is the reason why I was able to get it at 3.5. Anyone of the seasoned players in here will tell you the same thing. The amount you play per game determines when you get to wager. I GUARANTEE
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  17. #17  
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    (continuing...) you that a player who places a "limit" wager on all of his plays will get much more attention and "perks" than a player who does not. These perks include being able to wager BEFORE Joe Pub can. If you were a "high roller" you would know this.

    Now as far as lines are concerned, you can get lines that may not be published if you ASK. I got Udub over 8 wins -200 because I noticed someone else get that, so I ASKED. I got it. If you want to make money in this game, you had better have money to risk. $100 players are not going to make killings. $5,000 players will, if they know what they are doing. Ask the seasoned veterans in here and they will tell you. You do not have to take my word for it. There are really such things as "high Rollers" and "Gaming Cartels" out there. They really exist. That is what you are up against, not just the books.
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  18. #18  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    (continuing...) you that a player who places a "limit" wager on all of his plays will get much more attention and "perks" than a player who does not. These perks include being able to wager BEFORE Joe Pub can. If you were a "high roller" you would know this.

    Now as far as lines are concerned, you can get lines that may not be published if you ASK. I got Udub over 8 wins -200 because I noticed someone else get that, so I ASKED. I got it. If you want to make money in this game, you had better have money to risk. $100 players are not going to make killings. $5,000 players will, if they know what they are doing. Ask the seasoned veterans in here and they will tell you. You do not have to take my word for it. There are really such things as "high Rollers" and "Gaming Cartels" out there. They really exist. That is what you are up against, not just the books.
    Cartels............Gulp: That has a menacing sound to it. I didn't know our Mexican friends were into sports betting that heavy.
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  19. #19  
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    My Dad is in Vegas. He calls me to tell me that the Westgate GOY lines are out and that some of them are just crazy. He is right. Here are my add ons for my 2018 GOY. All from Westgate.

    9/08. Miss. State -2 1/2 @ Kansas State
    9/22. Oregon pk v Stanford, just to middle out my Stanford +3 pick. Not real sure about that game.
    9/29. Penn State +5 vs Ohio State. I will take Penn State and 5 points at home against anyone.
    10/06. Miss State +7 vs Auburn. Watch the huge change in this line come game day.
    10/13. South Carolina +2 1/2 vs Texas A&M. Just a hunch play.
    10/20. Michigan State +5 vs Michigan. Harbaugh has never covered against State and now he is giving points on the road?
    10/20. Arizona pk @ UCLA. The line could be up to Arizona -7 by game time. Too good to resist.
    11/10. Michigan State + 10 vs Ohio State. Again, too many points for a good home team.
    11/10. West Virginia -1 vs TCU. TCU loses too many players.
    11/10. Penn State -1 1/2 vs Wisconsin. Wisconsin loses a lot of players on defense.
    12/09. Army +7 vs Navy. The last 4 games have been decided by 7 points or less. Would have gone with Navy if the line was reversed.
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  20. #20  
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    Adding. 09/01. Cal -5 1/2 vs North Carolina at the Wynn.
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  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    (continuing...) you that a player who places a "limit" wager on all of his plays will get much more attention and "perks" than a player who does not. These perks include being able to wager BEFORE Joe Pub can. If you were a "high roller" you would know this.

    Now as far as lines are concerned, you can get lines that may not be published if you ASK. I got Udub over 8 wins -200 because I noticed someone else get that, so I ASKED. I got it. If you want to make money in this game, you had better have money to risk. $100 players are not going to make killings. $5,000 players will, if they know what they are doing. Ask the seasoned veterans in here and they will tell you. You do not have to take my word for it. There are really such things as "high Rollers" and "Gaming Cartels" out there. They really exist. That is what you are up against, not just the books.
    "Mr High Roller"
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  22. #22  
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    Quote Originally Posted by pathologist View Post
    "Mr High Roller"
    Please feel free to fade me. I'd much rather have it that way. The only thing I request is that you be willing to post your plays in a thread, like I have. I cannot post in the regular thread for such things in here because I do not have the required number of posts. I will look for your posts in there. By the way, it is "Ms. High Roller" to you.
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  23. #23  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    I will post all of my picks for the College Football Season in here. Here are my Over/Under Win picks, my who gets to the CFB Playoff picks, and my "Games of the Year" picks so far. All wagers are for 100 units or to win 100 units:

    Stanford Over 8 wins -110
    Wash State Under 6.5 wins -110
    West Virginia Over 7 wins +100
    Arizona Over 7.5 wins -120
    Colorado Over 4 wins -110
    Michigan Under 9 wins -110
    Notre Dame Under 9.5 wins +100
    Oklahoma Over 10 wins -110
    Alabama makes the CFB Playoff -210
    Oklahoma makes the playogg +600

    9/02...Miami (Fl) -2 1/2 vs LSU*
    9/08...South Carolina +14 vs Georgia
    9/22...Stanford +3 @ Oregon
    9/29...West Virginia +3 @ Texas Tech
    10/06...Florida +3 1/2 vs LSU
    10/12...Utah -5 vs Arizona
    10/20...N.C. State +20 @ Clemson
    10/27...Florida +15 vs Georgia*
    11/03...Penn State +3 1/2 @ Michigan
    11/17...Oregon -9 vs Arizona State
    11/24...Ga. Tech +21 @ Georgia

    * denotes neutral site game.

    Impressive work bro !!! GL TY !!!

    Just my opinion on your games .... nothing serious ...do or die .... all that ....

    Stanford Over 8 wins -110.......................Like
    Wash State Under 6.5 wins -110...............Like
    West Virginia Over 7 wins +100.......pass
    Arizona Over 7.5 wins -120.....pass
    Colorado Over 4 wins -110......pass
    Michigan Under 9 wins -110.....pass
    Notre Dame Under 9.5 wins +100.....pass
    Oklahoma Over 10 wins -110...........pass
    Alabama makes the CFB Playoff -210...........pass
    Oklahoma makes the playogg +600.....pass

    9/02...Miami (Fl) -2 1/2 vs LSU*.......Like
    9/08...South Carolina +14 vs Georgia.....Like
    9/22...Stanford +3 @ Oregon....................Like
    9/29...West Virginia +3 @ Texas Tech.......Like
    10/06...Florida +3 1/2 vs LSU......LOVE
    10/12...Utah -5 vs Arizona.....Like
    10/20...N.C. State +20 @ Clemson..........pass
    10/27...Florida +15 vs Georgia*.........LOVE
    11/03...Penn State +3 1/2 @ Michigan..........pass
    11/17...Oregon -9 vs Arizona State..........pass
    11/24...Ga. Tech +21 @ Georgia.............pass
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    Adding...Washington Over 8 wins at -200. That is giving 2/1 on that wager. Washington should win all 6 home games. Stanford poses the only real challenge but they have not covered in Washington in their past 3 meetings. Away games feature probable wins at UCLA, Cal, and Washington State, a team that is 0-5 S/U against UDub in their 5 previous meeting. The other remaining away games are in Atlanta against Auburn (Washington is a better team talent wise, but can Petersen win the big non-con games?), Utah (always a tough home team) and Oregon (looking for revenge after losing the last two meetings by a 108-24 total margin). Can anyone see Washington losing 5 games this season? I sure can't.

    Your stats bro ... crazy good ....

    Feel Utah will beat Wash .... and Cal ...may surprise ....just my opinion .... GL !!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    Deadlast. Washington's OL returns 4 starters from last season. They are huge. I believe that they will simply wear out Auburn's DL in the second half of the game. Washington knows that if they want any chance of getting to the playoffs, they must win this game. It is highly unlikely that they will run the table in the Pac 12, though not impossible. I give Auburn ZERO chance of getting to the Playoffs. Not only will they lose on the road to both Georgia and Alabama (0-5 @ UGA S/U and 1-4 @ Alabama S/U in their last 5 efforts), but they could well lose at Miss. State, a good sleeper team in the SEC. There is no way Washington can get to the Playoffs if they lose to Auburn and also lose a conference game. The UDUb offense starts 7 seniors this season and the defense 6. USC replaces UCLA on the schedule next season. Petersen and team know that it is basically do or die for them this season, and Auburn is a critical game. Let's see if Petersen can finally win a big non-con game against a good team.


    Nice call on the Sleeper ...Miss St .... very dangerous club ...loaded offense .... D ...will be the Key
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