Man, it looks like Cilic might win Wimbledon 2018

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Something is not right with Federer. He is scraping by in his matches and has not covered the spread in about 8 of his last 9 matches. Not that spread covering in tennis is a top indicator, but he is needing 7-6, 7-5 matches to beat guys like Kudla and pulling luck out of his ass to beat Paire on grass.

I think Federer will put himself into a situation like he did vs. Benneteau and Shitovksy a few years ago. He escaped from the Benneteau match but lost vs Shitovsky.


Nadal will need a miracle to win on grass again. Djokovic is turning up the heat and getting better, but unlikely he's back to beast mode. Murray still repairing his aching vagina.

Cilic is doing some beast mode shit.


Fed +143
Djok +472
Nadal +716
Cilic +1111
Del Potro +2095
Isner +10098
 

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Fed failed to cover again today. Lost final vs. Coric.

Just went back and checked. Amazingly, Fed is 1-11 ATS in last 12 matches. Only time he covered the spread was vs Kyrgios (19-15)

Of course, Wimbledon up next and so the format changes to 5 sets so he'll chances to cover again.... and it won't be as easy to fade him.



Meanwhile, Cilic having tough time vs. Djokovic. SU is 14-1 Djokovic. Price was -150.
 

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After Day 1


Fed win/not ........... +164/-194

Djok win/not ........... +498/-676

Cilic win/not ........... +546/-760

Rafa win/not ........... +594/847



Fed covered the cap today. But again, switching over to the 5-set from the 3-set.... plus ranking considerations.... not mean much. Coric lost like a fool. He could've definitely been primed to beat Fed so that's out the window. Have to see where Fed might stumble... if at all.

Djok is not in top form yet, but he owns Cilic and even subpar Djok was too much for Cilic. Cilic ended up winning that match, but a top shelf Djok will annihilate Cilic. And Fed, despite his recent winning these 18 months or whatever, if he faces Djok.... he will lose. That to me is a no-brainer.


Did not take a second glance at Nadal's draw, but it sure looked like they removed air-bombing servers.... whereas I think last year they had him lined up with like four in a row with massive serve bots. Will have to double check. I think they've draw-rigged for the Rafer....
 

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Fed route:

R64 Lacko
R32 Ivo/Struff
R16 Mannarino/Medvedev (only two capable of beating Fed)

QF too far out
SF too far out
F too far out


Just not conducive to upset type shit.





Rafa route:


R64 Pospisil ...... only serve bot, but a half bot dude
R32 M.Zverev
R16 ZERO SERVE BOTS..... definitely rigged

QF too far out
SF too far out
F too far out
 

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Fed will win this he sets up his whole year for these 3 majors as he not want any part of a Rafa beat down on clay. A Fed/Cilic match would probably be best match of tourney though with Cilic current form.
 

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Tsits put a 3-0 thrashing on Lopez. Easy money.

Really looking for this matchup with Fed. Maybe a +500 dog? Medv is a quitting bitch, but he's got worlds of talent. The cap on that day may be the answer.
 

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Tsits put a 3-0 thrashing on Lopez. Easy money.

Really looking for this matchup with Fed. Maybe a +500 dog? Medv is a quitting bitch, but he's got worlds of talent. The cap on that day may be the answer.

lol

That was for another bet .... Medv > Garcia-Lopez. Tsits hasn't started yet. :ohno:
 

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Karlovic is such a pathetic choker. He gets tight in matches and causes himself to lose. Up 4-2 and serving in the 3rd breaker.. and lost 5 points in a row.

Then he choked in the 4th set TB. Pathetic.


A better mentality and he'd win a shit-ton more matches.
 

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Speakign of choking.. Wawa up 6-2 in TB .... and he chokes for 6-6

Jesus christ.
 

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and now 7-6 Fabbiano.... there goes 1st set ML live at great odds.... fucking joke
 

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Just took Struff live over Ivo. Ivo always does this. 5th set wear down.... and no TB to save him.... or to choke away.

Struff serving first. The pressure will get to Ivo once again. So sad.
 

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Fabbiano up a set and 5-2.... live -300 odds. Easy money. Wawa is done unless he comes back in the 2nd.
 

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7-6, *5-3

40-30

7-6, 6-3


Waw incredibly tentative. Looks like he'll quit mentally.
 

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Is this the choke thread?

Tsits was up 2-0 sets and 3 games .... and is now down a break in the 5th set.
 

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Nadal up 6-4, 2-1*

Live for Kukushkin is +1600. In case you want to put 10 quid on the over and 10 quid on Kukushkin live.
 

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