Team win totals leaning to the unders

I always play the unders with the belief that injuries will be a huge factor in a team trying to achieve the projected wins. Just about every team is subject to this factor and some teams/players seems to be more prone than others. Any input as to why you like an under or over is appreciated.

cards under 5.5 +125 seems too low of a number
falcons under 9 -105 seems risky
ravens under 8 -105 they always seem to end up at 8 or 9
bills under 6.5 -150 looks too risky and too much juice
panthers under 9 -145 too expensive
bears under 7 -110 looks good (playing this one)
bengals under 6.5 +115 not sure
browns under 5.5 +110 (playing this one)(how many games do they give away in the 4rth?)
cowboys under 8.5 -120 not sure
broncos under 7 +115 not sure
lions under 7.5 +105 burned me last year and always seem capable of 8
packers under 10 -115 (playing this one)(team seems to always get injuries)
Texans under 8.5 +125 juice looks good maybe
colts under 6.5 even not sure
jaguars under 9 -110 number inflated from last years performance?
chiefs under 8.5 -120 seems low
chargers under 9.5 -125 (playing this one)(team seems to always get injuries)
rams under 10 -120 number inflated from last years performance?
dolphins under 6.5 -105 jay cutler isn't there to help go under
Vikings under 10 -120 (playing this one)(not convinced cousins makes this team better)
pats under 11 even is never a good bet
saints under 9.5 -115 I'm expecting saints to go over this number
giants under 7 +105 not sure
jets under 6 -135 low number and expensive
raiders under 8 +105 maybe 8 is their final number
eagles under 10.5 -130 was hoping high expectations would be a better under situation,waiting
steelers under 10.5 -130 hurt me last year but big ben seems to get hurt at some point
49ers under 8.5 -110 seems risky but maybe I'm too caught up in last years good finish
seahawks under 8 -150 juice is too high
titans under 8 -120 not sure
redskins under 7 -130 looks good but too much juice

browns are now +120...already have 200/220

chargers moved to 9 at under for +130 ,took that for 200/260 as they already have an injury before preseason even starts and as mentioned above they always tend to get injuries

steelers under 10.5 total is still the same but the juice moved from -130 to +120
took that for 200/240 even though they hurt me last year ,,big ben has gone out for awhile in most recent years,,expecting that to happen at some point this year

rams came off the 10 number and now at 9.5,,,missed this one for the under

eagles still at 10.5 under for -130,,waiting for a better situation here

the one team that i said i like to go over is the saints,,,now at over 9 -180,,crazy price

another injury in the nfl as preseason hasn't even started for the steelers. although unknown the extent of Antonio brown injury, the win season total has dropped from 10.5 to 10 the day after placing my bet for under on steelers.

waiting on the under 10 for Vikings and packers,,,both have cheaper juice on the under now

Rams went back to 10...got under 10 220/200....11-5 to beat me...sounds good

A lot of hype on the browns lately..love fading the hype..especially in football

got what I was waiting for with the eagles. they dropped from 10.5 to 10 even.
so eagles under 10 for 200/200

final bets:
staying away from the under on the bears,packers,vikings

browns under 5.5 200/220
pitt under 10.5 200/240
chargers under 9 200/260
rams under 10 220/200
eagles under 10 200/200

Thanks for posting and good luck this year GS!

Played most of your TT except Chargers since I lotteried them to win SB

Bears went to 7.5...couldn't resist...first half of their season looks relatively easy with a bye in there...2nd half looks tough..
Under 7.5 240/200