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Thread: Del Mar: Summer of ‘18

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  1. #1 Del Mar: Summer of ‘18 
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    This will be the thread for the entire Del Mar meet, here is their Media Guide full of great information

    https://www.dmtc.com/data/assets/Sta...des/MG2018.pdf
     

  2. #2  
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    It’s finally here, my second most favorite meet of the year. First is Oaklawn. I’ll be playing 5 races today

    Meet stats:
    0-0-0-0
    +/-:
    $0

    Race 1: 5 $400WP $200Quniella: 5/1 5/6 $100DD: 1,5/1,5,7 $50 Pick three: 1,5/1,5,7/2,5,7

    5-Out of Patience Kristin Mulhill gets the first win of the meet, this 7 yo gelding is 5-1-1-2 at DMR & 23-6-4-4 at the distance ~ Kristin is 24% first off the claim & 33% dropping off the claim ~ will be sitting just off the pace
    1-Carville won last race very impressively but was over the AW surface ~ is 9-5-2-1 at the distance ~ will be sent from the rail

    Race 3: 7 $400WP $200 Quinella: 7/2 7/5 $200DD: 2,7/5,10,11

    7-Eighty Three 14-4-2-7 at the distance ~ Hollendorfer is 29% off claim repeaters ~ blinkers were added in the last race and won going away posting a 91 bris speed figure
    2-Ketos has been on the bench last 60 days ~ first time with Jacobson he’s striking at 18% with this move ~ has posted two straight 92 bris speed figures ~ 3-1-0-1 at DMR is 7-0-3-1 at the distance

    Race 4: 5 $400WP $200 Quinella: 5/10 5/11

    5-Flying to the Line ran very well first time out & just missed at 7.90/1 ~ Miller/Figueroa is 6-2-0-0 over last 14 days ~ posted a 74 bris speed figure
    10-Dichotomy was solidly bet in her first start 2.60/1 ~ my top choice beat her by a neck ~ posted a 71 speed figure
    11-Opus One Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters 1 a stakes winner ~ last work let’s me know she’s ready to run

    Race 7: 4 $400WP $200 Quinella: 4/3 4/5 $200DD: 3,4/5,9

    4-Vangogo Luis Mendez last 14 days 3-2-1-0 and wins with debut MSW 25% with 100% ITM with 4 starts ~ Dam has 7 winners from 8 starters ~ last two works says this gal is a very quick one
    3-Barbadolla Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters & 1 stakes winner ~ Phil D’Amato 2/2 last 14 days ~ Maldonado 29% win rate & 86% ITM with D’Amato last 60 days
    5-Palm D’ Oro Violence as a sire is 21% with first time starters ~ Trainer Art Sherman doesn’t excel with first time runners 6% exepect a good performance today

    Race 8: 5 $600WP $200 Quinella: 5/9 5/11 5/2

    5-Desert Stone comes into this race winner of 2 in a row ~ improved bris speed number from 82 to 87 ~been on the bench last 47 days ~ can get a great stalking trip & power away as they turn for home
    9-Move Over John Sadler wins at 19% with non graded stakes ~ been on the bench for 62 days ~ consistent bris speed numbers 85-88-88


     

  3. #3  
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    GL Bhp, didn't you even consider betting less than usual for the first few days? One needs to check things out for a week or so, IMO.
     

  4. #4  
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    Quote Originally Posted by HossSense View Post
    GL Bhp, didn't you even consider betting less than usual for the first few days? One needs to check things out for a week or so, IMO.
    Yeah BHP. Have to agree with this sentiment. Really think if you lowered your roll you would get better results. Just saying. GL.
    Tuesday's Gone with The Wind
     

  5. #5  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack1999 View Post
    Yeah BHP. Have to agree with this sentiment. Really think if you lowered your roll you would get better results. Just saying. GL.
    Lol, that’s a very nice way of putting it.
     

  6. #6  
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    Quote Originally Posted by wabashwonders View Post
    Lol, that’s a very nice way of putting it.
    You are back. LOL. Yeah try to be cordial so to speak. But really BHP needs to lower this roll.
    Tuesday's Gone with The Wind
     

  7. #7  
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    Don't bust Bhp's balls, just divide his posted wagers by 20. More realistic to me?
     

  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack1999 View Post
    You are back. LOL. Yeah try to be cordial so to speak. But really BHP needs to lower this roll.
    Like you said, it’s good fade material so just here looking for the throw outs in my pick 4 plays lol. I wish he was doing the Spa instead but take what I can. Good luck to you today.
     

  9. #9  
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    Quote Originally Posted by wabashwonders View Post
    Like you said, it’s good fade material so just here looking for the throw outs in my pick 4 plays lol. I wish he was doing the Spa instead but take what I can. Good luck to you today.
    OK. Wabash. Yeah BHP has proven to be fade material overall. Maybe this meet will be different. Who knows? Anyway GL to you as well.
    Tuesday's Gone with The Wind
     

  10. #10  
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    recap:

    race 1: my pick ran 5th
    race 3: winner paid $10.60 $5.40 hit the 7/5 Quinella paying $48.20 hit DD: 7/10 paying $45.80 hit consolation DD: 7/5 paying $9.60
    race 4: my pick was a late scratch
    race 7: my pick ran 9th
    race 8: my pick ran 4th

    total bet: $8,900
    collected: $13,560
    +$13,560 -$8,900 = +$4,660

    4-1-0-0
    +$4,600
     

  11. #11  
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    Day 2:
    4-1-0-0
    +$4,600

    Race 1: 7-Jellybeankristine $600 WP $200 Quinella: 7/5
    first time today in with claimers Sherlock is 13% with this move ~ she should take this field gate to wire

    Race 5: 9-Our Tiger’s Boy $400 WP $200 Quinella: 9/10 9/4 $100DD: 9,10/2,4,7 $200 Pick 3: 9,10/2,4/3
    he figured it out on his 8th try to break his maiden posting a career best 83 bris speed figure ~ Jeff Bonde is 19% with MDN last race winners ~ Fuentes is 20% win rate & 60% ITM riding for Bonde

    Race 6:
    2-Majestic Eagle $400 WP $200 Quinella: 2/4 $200DD: 2,4/3
    5-1-4-0 on the turf ~ posted a career best 92 bris speed figure in his last race running a very game 2nd in his first time against winners
    4-Andesh is the “wild card” in this race & the board will tell you how he’s going to run in his first start in the US ~ has 2 races on the turf finishing second both times ~ first time with lasix

    Race 8: 2-Venue $400 WP $200 Quinella: 2/12 2/6
    adding blinkers for the first time McCarthy is 11% with this move ~ this is only her 3rd lifetime race ~ she will sit just off the pace & motor on by as they turn for home
     

  12. #12  
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    Day 2 recap:

    race 1: ran 2nd paying $3.00 missed the Quinella
    race 5: winner $19.80 $11.00 missed the Quinella ~ hit the DD paying $81.60 for $2 ~ hit pick three paying $58.60 for $1
    race 6: winner $7.60 $4.40 missed the Quinella ~ hit the DD paying $12.80 for $2
    race 8: ran 6th

    4-2-1-0
    total bet: $6,600
    collected: $26,540 $900 place 1st ~~ $3,960 win 5th $2,200 place 5th $4,080 DD 5th $11,720 pick 3 5th $1,520 win 6th $880 place 6th $1,280 for DD 6th
    +$26,540 -$6,600 = +$19,940
    +$19,940 +$4,600 = +$24,540

    8-3-1-0
    +$24,540

    Off to a decent start but a long long way to go
     

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    Day 3:
    8-3-1-0
    +$24,540

    race 3: 8-Marilyn’s Smile $400 WP $200 Quinella: 8/3 8/4
    first time on the turf today ~ has 6 lifetime races all on AW 6-3-2-1 ~ also first time running against Cal breds ~ taking a drop in class will be getting up late


    race 5: 6-Navajo Dreamer $600 WP $200 Quinella: 6/4 6/10 $100DD: 4,6,/5,8,9 $100 pick three: 4,6/5,8,9/4,12
    comes into the race off a 54 day refreshing Baltas is 19% with this move ~ Pratt 31% with Baltas last 60 days 62% in the money ~ +E/P8 running style


    race 6: 8-Twisted Plot $600 WP
    outran his odds in first start (58.60/1) ran a very game 2nd ~ Art Sherman isn’t strong with second time starters only 10% ~ has 3 works since his race ~ takes them gate to wire


    race 7: 4-Pantsonfire $400 WP $200 Quinella: 4/12
    coming into the race off a 47 day refreshing Baltas is 19% with this move ~ 3-0-2-0 at DMR ~ 5-2-0-3 this year 12-3-2-4 on the turf
     

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    Day 3 recap:

    race 3: ran 7th
    race 5: ran 9th ~ 4 was a scratch
    race 6: ran 2nd paying $5.00
    race 7: ran 9th

    total bet: $5,700
    collected: $1,500
    -$4,200 +$24,540 = +$20,340

    4-0-1-0

    12-3-2-0
    +$20,340

    Made first mistake of the meet in the 7th race, liked both the 4 & 12 thus my 4/12 Quinella ~ 4 ran awful & 12 took them wire to wire paying $15.40
     

  15. #15  
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    Day 4:
    +$20,340
    12-3-2-0


    Race 7: G2 San Diego Handicap
    1-Catalina Cruiser $200 WP $200 Quinella: 1/7 $200 Pick three: 1,7/1,2,8/10
    this lightly raced 4yr old gets the “acid test” today ~ he’s 2/2 both wins at 6F & won each comfortably ~ his bris speed numbers are very impressive 95 & 106 ~ first time going a route Sadler is 17% with this move
    7-Accelerate by far & away the class of this field ~ hasn’t been seen since winning the G1 Gold Cup 5/26/18 at SA ~ he posted a 111 bris speed figure ~ 5-3-0-1 at DMR only 5-1-2-2 at the distance

    Race 8: G2 San Clemente Stakes
    2-Ms Bad Behavior $400 WP
    1/1 at the distance posting a 91 bris speed figure ~ Baltas is 16% with 90+ days off ~ 4-2-2-0 this year



    Race 9: 10-Rowayton $800 WIN $400 Quinella: 10/8 $200 Quinella: 10/3
    been waiting for this son of Into Mischief he went for $325K at FTSAUG ~ been firing bullets in the morning ~ Hollendorfer is 10-4-1-1 last 10 days & 18% debut MSW ~ Van Dyke is 29% riding for Hollendorfer over last 60 days

    8-Magnificent McCool a $625K son of Giants Causeway purchased at OBSAPR ~ Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters

    3-Frosted Grace Dam has 10 winners from 10 starters & 1 stakes winner ~ Fuentes is 7-3-1-0 over last 7 days ~ purchased for only $10K ~ Mendez is 20% debut MSW ~ Fuentes/Mendez is 2/3 last 60 days with a +7.33 ROI



    Race 10: 9-Innocent $200 WP
    2 times on the turf has shown good speed in each 2-0-1-1 ~ C Knock picks up the mount no one rides this turf course better than him


     

  16. #16  
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    Accelerate scratched out of the San Diego Handicap, thus an update

    Day 4:
    +$20,340
    12-3-2-0


    Race 7: G2 San Diego Handicap
    1-Catalina Cruiser $200 WP $200 Quinella: 1/4 $200 Pick three: 1,4/1,2,8/10
    this lightly raced 4yr old gets the “acid test” today ~ he’s 2/2 both wins at 6F & won each comfortably ~ his bris speed numbers are very impressive 95 & 106 ~ first time going a route Sadler is 17% with this move

    4-Two Thirty Five 3-1-0-1 at DMR ~ 4-3-0-0 at the distance ~ third race off the layoff his bris speed figure improved from 90 to 100 in his last race



    Race 8: G2 San Clemente Stakes
    2-Ms Bad Behavior $400 WP
    1/1 at the distance posting a 91 bris speed figure ~ Baltas is 16% with 90+ days off ~ 4-2-2-0 this year



    Race 9: 10-Rowayton $800 WIN $400 Quinella: 10/8 $200 Quinella: 10/3
    been waiting for this son of Into Mischief he went for $325K at FTSAUG ~ been firing bullets in the morning ~ Hollendorfer is 10-4-1-1 last 10 days & 18% debut MSW ~ Van Dyke is 29% riding for Hollendorfer over last 60 days

    8-Magnificent McCool a $625K son of Giants Causeway purchased at OBSAPR ~ Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters

    3-Frosted Grace Dam has 10 winners from 10 starters & 1 stakes winner ~ Fuentes is 7-3-1-0 over last 7 days ~ purchased for only $10K ~ Mendez is 20% debut MSW ~ Fuentes/Mendez is 2/3 last 60 days with a +7.33 ROI



    Race 10: 9-Innocent $200 WP
    2 times on the turf has shown good speed in each 2-0-1-1 ~ C Knock picks up the mount no one rides this turf course better than him
     

  17. #17  
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    rowayton easy winner whatta horse great work and info thanks for sharing
     

  18. #18  
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    Day 4 results:

    race 7: winner paying $4.60 $2.80
    race 8: ran 3rd
    race 9: winner paying $3.60
    race 10: ran 2nd paying $4.40

    total bet: $4,400
    collected: $2,620
    $4,400 -$2,620 = -$1,780

    -$1,780 +$20,340 = +$18,560

    16-5-3-1

    Wasting money on Quinellas will stop playing them ~ just play DD’s & pick threes
     

  19. #19  
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    Day 5:
    16-5-3-1
    +$18,560

    Race 1: 5-I Am the Danger $600 WP
    going turf to dirt Puype is 12% with this move ~ cutting back from 6 1/2 to 6F hit a career best bris speed figure of 85 in last race


    Race 6: 9-Big Score $400 WP
    been on the bench for 208 days Yakteen is 23% with layoffs of 90+ days ~ is 4-1-2-1 at DMR & 6-2-2-1 at the distance ~ takes a significant drop in class today


    Race 8: 4-Bowies Hero $600 WP
    4-2-0-1 at DMR ~ has 3 races this year all been good won the G1 Kilroe at SA ~ will have a very good pace to run into ~ been on the bench for 55 days been working very well for return
     

  20. #20  
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    wow the bombs that hit at delmar today were something else
     

  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by richporter View Post
    wow the bombs that hit at delmar today were something else
    Thats for sure
     

  22. #22  
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    Day 5 results:

    race 1: ran 6th
    race 6: ran 4th
    race 8: ran 4th

    total bet: $3,200
    collected: $0
    -$3,200 +$18,560 = +$15,360

    survived the first week with a profit, but haven’t hit anything good in past several days
     

  23. #23  
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    Day 6:
    19-5-3-1
    +$15,360

    Race 1: 7-Robin’s Love $600 WP $100 exacta box: 7/3 7/6
    $400 SHOW Parlay: 1st: 7 2nd: 2 3rd: 1 4th: 7 5th: 2

    Race 2: 2-Street to Indy $600 WP
    $100 pick four: 2nd: 2,5,7 3rd: 1,6,8 4th: 7 5th: 2,5,8

    Race 3: 1-Louden’s Gray $600 WP

    Race 5: 2-Cayate $600 WP
     

  24. #24  
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    Day 6 results:

    race 1: ran 6th
    race 2: ran 2nd paying $3.20
    race 3: ran 6th
    race 5: ran 2nd paying $4.60

    total bet: $8,300
    collected: $2,340
    -$5,960 +$15,360 = +$9,400

    23-5-5-1
    +$9,400
     

  25. #25  
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    Thanks for your insight and picks! Keep up the good work.
     

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