2018 return starters

Kaboom · Jul 11, 2018

[h=3]2018 college football returning production (as of Jan. 31)[/h]

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Team	OFF RET	Rk	DEF RET	Rk	TOTAL RET	Rk

Michigan State	92%	3	91%	5	92%	1
Kansas	91%	4	92%	4	91%	2
Georgia Southern	85%	12	95%	3	90%	3
Baylor	93%	2	82%	17	88%	4
Ball State	84%	16	85%	12	84%	5
Charlotte	76%	38	90%	6	83%	6
Liberty	77%	37	85%	11	81%	7
Mississippi State	82%	19	80%	22	81%	8
BYU	85%	14	76%	28	81%	9
UAB	96%	1	65%	63	81%	10
Duke	82%	20	78%	25	80%	11
Fresno State	83%	18	74%	39	79%	12
Michigan	74%	42	83%	15	78%	13
Nevada	79%	28	78%	26	78%	14
UL-Monroe	86%	9	70%	44	78%	15
Kent State	87%	8	68%	51	77%	16
Wyoming	79%	26	74%	34	77%	17
Bowling Green	68%	66	85%	13	76%	18
California	85%	13	68%	52	76%	19
Notre Dame	54%	98	96%	1	75%	20
Florida	77%	34	74%	36	75%	21
Washington	70%	58	81%	20	75%	22
Old Dominion	72%	49	79%	24	75%	23
Rice	84%	17	67%	54	75%	24
Arizona	70%	60	79%	23	75%	25
Louisiana Tech	73%	44	76%	29	74%	26
Central Florida	71%	51	76%	30	74%	27
Clemson	73%	45	75%	32	74%	28
Middle Tennessee	86%	10	61%	77	74%	29
North Carolina	77%	33	70%	46	73%	30
Boston College	81%	23	65%	61	73%	31
Marshall	65%	75	81%	19	73%	32
Miami-OH	72%	47	74%	37	73%	33
Buffalo	82%	21	64%	66	73%	34
Texas A&M	66%	70	78%	27	72%	35
Florida Atlantic	53%	103	90%	8	72%	36
Wake Forest	74%	43	69%	49	72%	37
Tulsa	77%	35	66%	59	71%	38
Massachusetts	87%	7	55%	94	71%	39
Arkansas	76%	39	66%	58	71%	40
UTEP	71%	52	71%	43	71%	41
Boise State	54%	101	88%	9	71%	42
Rutgers	60%	82	81%	18	71%	43
San Jose State	90%	5	49%	113	70%	44
North Texas	78%	29	60%	83	69%	45
SMU	58%	88	80%	21	69%	46
Auburn	78%	31	61%	80	69%	47
Miami-FL	68%	67	70%	45	69%	48
UL-Lafayette	89%	6	48%	116	69%	49
Kentucky	47%	109	90%	7	69%	50
South Alabama	79%	24	58%	87	69%	51
Missouri	70%	54	66%	55	68%	52
UNLV	70%	59	66%	56	68%	53
Minnesota	69%	61	66%	60	68%	54
Texas	79%	27	57%	91	68%	55
Coastal Carolina	65%	74	70%	47	67%	56
Pittsburgh	60%	84	75%	33	67%	57
Oregon	72%	50	63%	72	67%	58
Oregon State	58%	90	76%	31	67%	59
Utah State	69%	63	65%	62	67%	60
Stanford	81%	22	51%	110	66%	61
Virginia Tech	68%	65	64%	67	66%	62
Northern Illinois	68%	64	63%	69	66%	63
Temple	71%	53	61%	82	66%	64
Hawaii	58%	94	74%	35	66%	65
New Mexico	64%	77	66%	57	65%	66
South Carolina	84%	15	47%	119	65%	67
Tulane	86%	11	44%	123	65%	68
West Virginia	72%	46	57%	89	65%	69
Texas State	58%	91	71%	42	65%	70
Nebraska	59%	87	70%	48	64%	71
Northwestern	67%	68	61%	79	64%	72
Kansas State	77%	36	52%	107	64%	73
Eastern Michigan	43%	118	84%	14	64%	74
Syracuse	59%	86	68%	53	63%	75
Texas Tech	31%	127	96%	2	63%	76
Ole Miss	64%	78	62%	73	63%	77
Illinois	64%	79	62%	75	63%	78
Arizona State	78%	30	48%	115	63%	79
Cincinnati	69%	62	56%	92	63%	80
Ohio	70%	55	54%	99	62%	81
New Mexico State	41%	122	83%	16	62%	82
Arkansas State	66%	73	58%	86	62%	83
Ohio State	72%	48	51%	109	62%	84
Air Force	70%	57	53%	103	62%	85
Maryland	65%	76	58%	88	61%	86
Connecticut	75%	40	47%	118	61%	87
Akron	35%	126	87%	10	61%	88
Utah	58%	89	64%	65	61%	89
Virginia	50%	106	72%	41	61%	90
Iowa	67%	69	54%	95	61%	91
Wisconsin	79%	25	42%	124	60%	92
Florida State	74%	41	46%	120	60%	93
San Diego State	57%	95	63%	70	60%	94
Georgia	66%	71	54%	96	60%	95
Purdue	77%	32	41%	125	59%	96
UCLA	45%	111	72%	40	59%	97
Georgia Tech	66%	72	52%	108	59%	98
Iowa State	54%	99	62%	74	58%	99
Toledo	54%	100	62%	76	58%	100
Western Kentucky	47%	110	69%	50	58%	101
Army	42%	121	74%	38	58%	102
Alabama	62%	81	53%	102	58%	103
Georgia State	60%	85	54%	97	57%	104
Western Michigan	63%	80	51%	112	57%	105
East Carolina	55%	96	55%	93	55%	106
Washington State	49%	108	61%	81	55%	107
Vanderbilt	58%	92	52%	105	55%	108
Appalachian State	45%	112	63%	71	54%	109
Memphis	44%	114	64%	68	54%	110
Oklahoma	55%	97	52%	106	53%	111
NC State	70%	56	35%	129	53%	112
Tennessee	58%	93	48%	117	53%	113
TCU	44%	116	61%	78	52%	114
USC	40%	123	65%	64	52%	115
Penn State	51%	105	53%	101	52%	116
Troy	44%	117	59%	85	51%	117
Houston	42%	120	59%	84	51%	118
Indiana	60%	83	41%	126	51%	119
Oklahoma State	44%	115	54%	98	49%	120
Navy	51%	104	46%	121	48%	121
LSU	39%	124	57%	90	48%	122
Colorado	44%	113	51%	111	47%	123
Louisville	54%	102	38%	127	46%	124
South Florida	38%	125	54%	100	46%	125
Florida International	50%	107	37%	128	43%	126
UTSA	28%	128	53%	104	40%	127
Central Michigan	27%	130	49%	114	38%	128
Southern Miss	43%	119	30%	130	37%	129
Colorado State	27%	129	44%	122	35%	130

The Pooh · Jul 11, 2018

Define "returning production".

Kaboom · Jul 11, 2018

The Pooh said:
Define "returning production".

returning quarterbacks, receivers, and defensive backs carry more heft — to create numbers for offense and defense.

here is the link ... good info ... https://www.sbnation.com/college-fo...8-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience

The Pooh · Jul 11, 2018

Thanks, but it is all meaningless because he does NOT take into consideration the players who will be replacing the ones that have left. He has Kansas ranked 2nd, and there are at least 110 teams behind them that could easily defeat them. He has USC at 115 and Penn State at 116, yet those two teams could possibly meet in the Rose Bowl again this season.

Kaboom · Jul 11, 2018

The Pooh said:
Thanks, but it is all meaningless because he does NOT take into consideration the players who will be replacing the ones that have left. He has Kansas ranked 2nd, and there are at least 110 teams behind them that could easily defeat them. He has USC at 115 and Penn State at 116, yet those two teams could possibly meet in the Rose Bowl again this season.

I get what u are saying .... just trying to help out ... GL ty !

rolltide · Jul 12, 2018

Bill Connelly is THE MAN but the big surprise, for me, is such a low Offensive Line correlation. I've had great success betting ON week 1-2 teams with 4-5 starting OL returning when matched up against teams with a lot of turnover in front 7

Knightrofins · Jul 12, 2018

This article was printed back in January. I would love to see this article updated 6 months later (after all the injuries/transfers/suspensions, etc).

As rolltide mentioned, its a good tool regarding OL starters (i would throw in DL as well).

I think its also a good tool to use in the early weeks for underdogs getting double digits points

The Pooh · Jul 12, 2018

Knightrofins said:
This article was printed back in January. I would love to see this article updated 6 months later (after all the injuries/transfers/suspensions, etc).

As rolltide mentioned, its a good tool regarding OL starters (i would throw in DL as well).

I think its also a good tool to use in the early weeks for underdogs getting double digits points

Are you talking about weeks 1-3, when more non-con games are played than conference games?

Knightrofins · Jul 12, 2018

The Pooh said:
Are you talking about weeks 1-3, when more non-con games are played than conference games?

Correct...However i am not sure if i would use for conference games and i'm not sure how far i'd go into week 3 if it was a team's (who is a DD fav) 3rd game

The Pooh · Jul 12, 2018

Well, you will have a lot to choose from. There are 29 week 1 games where the favorite is double digits.

Knightrofins · Jul 12, 2018

The Pooh said:
Well, you will have a lot to choose from. There are 29 week 1 games where the favorite is double digits.

Correct, now lets look at how many of these dogs have a lot of returning starters coming back (especially OL and DL) and are playing teams that dont have a lot of returning starters coming back (especially on OL and DL)

The Pooh · Jul 12, 2018

I have not checked all of the games, but I think the correct answer will be very close to NONE.

Kaboom · Jul 22, 2018

Top QB'S in CFB per USA Today

1. Trace McSorley, Penn State

2. McKenzie Milton, Central Florida

3. Ryan Finley, North Carolina State

4. Will Grier, West Virginia

5. Jarrett Stidham, Auburn

6. Justin Herbert, Oregon

7. Drew Lock, Missouri

8. Khalil Tate, Arizona

9. Jake Fromm, Georgia

10. Jake Browning, Washington

FIVE JUST OFF THE LIST

Jake Bentley, South Carolina

Alex Hornibrook, Wisconsin

Kyler Murray, Oklahoma

Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama

Clayton Thorson, Northwestern

Top RB 'S in CFB per USA Today

1. Bryce Love, Stanford

2. Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin

3. David Montgomery, Iowa State

4. J.K. Dobbins, Ohio State

5. Justice Hill, Oklahoma State

6. Rodney Anderson, Oklahoma

7. Myles Gaskin, Washington

8. Devin Singletary, Florida Atlantic

9. Cam Akers, Florida State

10. D’Andre Swift, Georgia

FIVE JUST OFF THE LIST

A.J. Dillon, Boston College

Damien Harris, Alabama

Darrell Henderson, Memphis

Benny Snell, Kentucky

Juwan Washington, San Diego State

Kaboom · Jul 22, 2018

Looking over this 2017 Chart of Returning Starters .... 8/10 Top 10 Teams on this chart had improved records in 2017 .... 1/10 had same total wins in both 2016 and 2017 ......ONLY 1 Team had Less Win Total from previous Year ...and that was # 10 Vandy .....

#1 FIU 2016 win total 4 / 2017 win total 8.........+ 4 wins
#2 Tcu 2016 win total 6 / 2017 win total 11............+ 5 wins
#3 Oregon 2016 win total 4 / 2017 win total 7 ........+ 3 wins
#4 FAU 2016 win total 3 / 2017 win total 11 .........+ 8 wins
#5 WF 2016 win total 7 / 2017 win total 8 .............+ 1 win
#6 Texas 2016 win total 5 / 2017 win total 7 ......+ 2 wins
#7 Kentucky 2016 win total 7 / 2017 stayed same 7 ........... Even
#8 South Carolina 2016 win total 6 / 2017 win total 9 ..........+ 3 wins
#9 Georgia 2016 win total 8 / 2017 win total 13 .............+ 5 wins
#10 Vandy 2016 win total 6 / 2017 win total 5 ..............MINUS - 1 win

OFF % RET	Rk	Proj. PPG change (Off)	DEF % RET	Rk	Proj. PPG change (Def)	% RET	Rk

FIU	85%	14	2.9	85%	6	-3.6	85%	1
TCU	92%	5	3.3	77%	23	-2.2	85%	2
Oregon	76%	37	2.3	91%	3	-4.6	84%	3
FAU	91%	8	3.3	76%	27	-2.1	83%	4
Wake Forest	97%	1	3.4	69%	49	-0.9	83%	5
Texas	84%	15	2.9	80%	12	-2.8	82%	6
Kentucky	87%	12	3.1	76%	25	-2.1	81%	7
S. Carolina	91%	7	3.3	72%	44	-1.3	81%	8
Georgia	77%	35	2.4	85%	5	-3.6	81%	9
Vanderbilt	94%	3	3.4	68%	59	-0.6	81%	10
Tulane	81%	20	2.7	80%	14	-2.7	80%	11
EMU	92%	6	3.3	69%	52	-0.8	80%	12
Indiana	63%	67	0.8	96%	1	-5.4	79%	13
Colorado St.	84%	16	2.9	74%	34	-1.7	79%	14
UMass	74%	41	2.1	84%	7	-3.4	79%	15
Miami (OH)	82%	18	2.8	75%	31	-2	79%	16
Syracuse	64%	64	1	93%	2	-5	79%	17
UTSA	81%	19	2.7	74%	33	-1.8	78%	18
SMU	94%	2	3.4	59%	81	0.9	77%	19
App. St.	80%	23	2.7	72%	43	-1.3	76%	20
Iowa St.	86%	13	3.1	65%	66	0	75%	21
Stanford	76%	38	2.3	74%	36	-1.7	75%	22
Arizona	70%	47	1.7	79%	16	-2.6	75%	23
Troy	93%	4	3.4	56%	98	1.6	74%	24
Virginia	64%	62	1	84%	8	-3.4	74%	25
USF	71%	46	1.8	77%	21	-2.2	74%	26
Penn St.	79%	26	2.6	68%	55	-0.6	74%	27
ULM	79%	28	2.5	67%	63	-0.5	73%	28
Ga. Tech	62%	70	0.7	82%	10	-3.2	72%	29
Northwestern	67%	55	1.3	77%	22	-2.2	72%	30
Missouri	89%	10	3.2	54%	102	1.9	72%	31
BGSU	74%	42	2.1	69%	53	-0.8	71%	32
Nevada	61%	73	0.5	81%	11	-2.9	71%	33
NC St.	83%	17	2.9	58%	90	1.1	71%	34
Arizona St.	72%	45	1.9	70%	48	-0.9	71%	35
Kansas St.	79%	24	2.6	61%	77	0.6	70%	36
Army	66%	56	1.2	74%	35	-1.7	70%	37
NMSU	57%	87	0	83%	9	-3.2	70%	38
Florida St.	60%	79	0.4	80%	13	-2.8	70%	39
Oregon St.	77%	36	2.3	63%	70	0.2	70%	40
MTSU	81%	22	2.7	59%	83	0.9	70%	41
BC	67%	53	1.4	72%	42	-1.3	69%	42
Wash. St.	67%	54	1.4	72%	41	-1.3	69%	43
Memphis	87%	11	3.1	51%	109	2.5	69%	44
Louisville	58%	84	0.1	80%	15	-2.7	69%	45
Rutgers	60%	76	0.4	76%	29	-2	68%	46
Texas St.	68%	51	1.4	68%	58	-0.6	68%	47
Duke	79%	25	2.6	55%	100	1.6	67%	48
Oklahoma St.	78%	30	2.5	56%	97	1.5	67%	49
Florida	81%	21	2.7	53%	103	2	67%	50
CMU	60%	78	0.4	74%	37	-1.7	67%	51
Wisconsin	66%	58	1.2	68%	56	-0.6	67%	52
Cincinnati	70%	48	1.7	64%	68	0.1	67%	53
Oklahoma	60%	77	0.4	73%	40	-1.6	67%	54
SDSU	79%	27	2.6	53%	104	2	66%	55
Auburn	72%	43	1.9	60%	79	0.8	66%	56
Wyoming	45%	103	-2.1	87%	4	-4	66%	57
Utah St.	76%	39	2.3	56%	94	1.4	66%	58
North Texas	63%	65	0.8	69%	54	-0.8	66%	59
Rice	53%	92	-0.6	78%	19	-2.5	66%	60
UNLV	90%	9	3.2	41%	117	4.2	66%	61
Purdue	55%	89	-0.3	76%	30	-2	66%	62
Miss. St.	72%	44	1.9	59%	85	0.9	65%	63
Ark. St.	78%	29	2.5	50%	111	2.5	64%	64
UTEP	57%	86	0	71%	46	-1.1	64%	65
Georgia St.	65%	59	1.2	62%	72	0.3	64%	66
Marshall	50%	96	-1.1	76%	26	-2.1	63%	67
SJSU	51%	95	-1.1	76%	28	-2.1	63%	68
Ball St.	65%	60	1.1	62%	74	0.4	63%	69
Washington	75%	40	2.2	50%	110	2.5	63%	70
USC	58%	82	0.2	67%	61	-0.6	63%	71
Ohio St.	68%	50	1.5	57%	92	1.3	63%	72
Alabama	64%	61	1	59%	84	0.9	62%	73
Texas Tech	62%	69	0.8	59%	82	0.9	61%	74
Charlotte	63%	66	0.8	59%	86	1	61%	75
So. Miss	61%	72	0.6	60%	80	0.8	61%	76
ODU	51%	94	-1	69%	51	-0.8	60%	77
Hawaii	64%	63	1	56%	99	1.6	60%	78
Buffalo	47%	98	-1.7	71%	45	-1.2	59%	79
Fresno St.	77%	34	2.4	40%	121	4.5	58%	80
Toledo	68%	52	1.4	49%	113	2.8	58%	81
California	38%	111	-3.6	78%	18	-2.5	58%	82
Kansas	78%	31	2.4	38%	122	4.8	58%	83
UCF	78%	32	2.4	38%	123	4.8	58%	84
Maryland	38%	110	-3.5	77%	24	-2.1	57%	85
Notre Dame	58%	83	0.2	56%	96	1.5	57%	86
Temple	58%	85	0.1	56%	95	1.5	57%	87
UConn	60%	75	0.5	53%	105	2	57%	88
Akron	63%	68	0.8	51%	108	2.4	57%	89
Arkansas	55%	91	-0.4	58%	89	1.1	57%	90
Minnesota	45%	102	-2	68%	60	-0.6	57%	91
Va. Tech	34%	119	-4.5	79%	17	-2.5	56%	92
Baylor	45%	104	-2.2	67%	62	-0.5	56%	93
NIU	38%	112	-3.6	74%	39	-1.6	56%	94
Boise St.	60%	74	0.5	50%	112	2.6	55%	95
Houston	51%	93	-0.9	58%	91	1.1	55%	96
UL-Laf.	40%	108	-3.2	69%	50	-0.9	54%	97
Kent St.	62%	71	0.6	47%	114	3.1	54%	98
UCLA	68%	49	1.5	40%	120	4.5	54%	99
WKU	46%	101	-1.9	62%	75	0.4	54%	100
Ohio	41%	107	-3	67%	64	-0.5	54%	101
Colorado	77%	33	2.4	29%	126	6.6	53%	102
Navy	32%	122	-5	74%	38	-1.7	53%	103
S. Alabama	46%	100	-1.9	58%	88	1.1	52%	104
Tulsa	29%	124	-5.6	75%	32	-1.9	52%	105
BYU	34%	118	-4.4	70%	47	-0.9	52%	106
Texas A&M	39%	109	-3.3	64%	67	0	52%	107
Illinois	50%	97	-1.2	53%	106	2	51%	108
Tennessee	42%	106	-2.8	61%	78	0.6	51%	109
Ole Miss	37%	115	-3.8	63%	71	0.2	50%	110
LSU	59%	80	0.3	40%	119	4.4	50%	111
Idaho	56%	88	-0.2	43%	116	3.8	50%	112
ECU	37%	113	-3.7	61%	76	0.5	49%	113
New Mexico	66%	57	1.2	33%	125	5.8	49%	114
Utah	59%	81	0.3	37%	124	4.9	48%	115
Coastal Caro.	55%	90	-0.3	41%	118	4.3	48%	116
Clemson	32%	121	-4.8	62%	73	0.4	47%	117
Iowa	27%	125	-6.2	68%	57	-0.6	47%	118
WMU	15%	129	-9.5	78%	20	-2.4	46%	119
Miami	37%	114	-3.7	55%	101	1.7	46%	120
Ga. Southern	35%	117	-4.2	57%	93	1.3	46%	121
Nebraska	26%	127	-6.3	65%	65	-0.1	46%	122
Pittsburgh	44%	105	-2.3	44%	115	3.7	44%	123
Mich. St.	35%	116	-4.2	52%	107	2.2	44%	124
La. Tech	26%	126	-6.3	59%	87	1	43%	125
N. Carolina	19%	128	-8.4	64%	69	0.1	41%	126
Michigan	46%	99	-1.8	22%	128	7.9	34%	127
WVU	30%	123	-5.3	25%	127	7.2	28%	128
Air Force	33%	120	-4.7	18%	129	8.6	25%	129

This Years Top 10 .... I'm on a bunch of these already ...as far as over in win totals ... pretty happy

MSU
Kansas
Ga Southern
Baylor
Ball St
Charlotte
Liberty
Miss St
Byu
Uab

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