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  1. #26  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    Today's Amazing Stat:

    The Ohio State Buckeyes are 16-3-1 against the spread after playing Penn State. Indiana
    will follow PSU this season on October 13th.
    Use caution. Ohio State is 0-2 ATS in the past two seasons after the Penn State game. In 2016, they defeated Northwestern by 4 as a 25 point favorite at home. Last season they were destroyed by Iowa, 55-24 as 20.5 point chalk in Iowa. That game cost them a playoff spot. Another thing to look for. Ohio State is 7-0 S/U against Indiana in their last 7 games, but 1-6 ATS in those 7 games. That is because of some real huge point spreads, none of which were under 19 points and only 1 under 20 points.
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  2. #27  
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    247Sports predicts 16 games for Week 1:

    Oklahoma (-21) 44 Florida Atlantic 17
    Oregon (-28.5) 55 Bowling Green 20
    LSU (+3) 23 Miami 20
    Virginia Tech (+6.5) 23 Florida State 20
    Washington (+3) 26 Auburn 24
    Cal (-5.5) 30 North Carolina 20
    South Carolina (-29.5) 44 Coastal Carolina 9
    *Kentucky (-17) 37 Central Michigan 17
    Penn State (-24) 37 Appalachian State 10
    Southern Cal (-26.5) UNLV 10
    West Virginia (-9.5) Tennessee 27
    Arizona (-13.5) 38 BYU 17
    Michigan (-2.5) 27 Notre Dame 17
    Maryland (+10.5) 31 Texas 27
    Ohio State (-38) 45 Oregon State 10
    *Alabama (-25) 41 Louisville 13

    For informational purposes only!
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  3. #28  
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    Clover, I do not see any point totals for USC or West Virginia.

    As far as the ones I do see, I totally disagree with LSU and Va. Tech defeating the two ACC Florida Schools. If Miami cannot defeat a LSU team that has no offense, and if Florida State cannot defeat a Va. Tech team with no defense, at home, then the ACC is in major trouble. I also do not see Notre Dame losing by 10 points at home to a Michigan team that has under-achieved for the past 4 years. As far as Maryland defeating Texas is concerned, that is Phil Steele type predicting. Ridiculous.
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  4. #29  
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    Sorry about that. I've got too much going on today and didn't check over my post.

    West Virginia (-9.5) 31 Tennessee 27
    Southern Cal (-26.5) 48 UNLV 10

    For what its worth, I'm playing Kentucky, Alabama and Texas week one out of this list.
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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    Louisiana Tech: The Bulldogs have won four consecutive bowl games and are generally in
    the mix for the C-USA division crown. After two straight nine win seasons, Louisiana Tech
    slipped to a 7-6 record last year. Three of the losses were by one point. Looking forward,
    15 starters return including quarterback J'Mar Smith (2,974 yds, 16 tds) who got better
    as the 2017 progressed. He'll get help from top receiver Teddy Veal (74 catches, 950 yds)
    and a loaded offensive line that features two all conference selections. The defense has
    typically been good during coach Skip Holtz (Lou's son) tenure, but took a step back the
    past two seasons. The defense will need to improve in order to extend the Bulldogs bowl
    streak. Louisiana Tech plays just five home games and faces tough competition in the West
    division, but they return enough experience and talent to battle for the league crown.

    @South Alabama.....Southern.....@LSU.....@North Texas.....UAB.....@UTEP.....@FAU
    …..@Mississippi State.....Rice.....@Southern Miss.....Western Kentucky

    Sidenote: Louisiana Tech's Skip Holtz is 44-23-1 against the spread as a DOG in his career.
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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    Today's Amazing Stat:

    The North Carolina Tar Heels are 21-5 against the spread in games 8 and 9 of the season.
    NC will be at Virginia game 8 and home against Georgia Tech in game 9 this year.

    GL
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  7. #32  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    Today's Amazing Stat:

    The North Carolina Tar Heels are 21-5 against the spread in games 8 and 9 of the season.
    NC will be at Virginia game 8 and home against Georgia Tech in game 9 this year.

    GL
    To piggy back off this, UNC has been crap in their first game against a P5 school under Fedora (0-6). 4 of those losses came in week 1, and all 4 were ATS losses as well. Currently 5.5 dogs @ Cal week 1. Cal beat them last year in NC as big dogs, and the score wasnít as close as it looked. Cal has a bunch of guys back last year from a squad that lost a multiple close games. Iíll be on Cal week 1 this year.
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  8. #33  
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    Quote Originally Posted by No Coke View Post
    To piggy back off this, UNC has been crap in their first game against a P5 school under Fedora (0-6). 4 of those losses came in week 1, and all 4 were ATS losses as well. Currently 5.5 dogs @ Cal week 1. Cal beat them last year in NC as big dogs, and the score wasn’t as close as it looked. Cal has a bunch of guys back last year from a squad that lost a multiple close games. I’ll be on Cal week 1 this year.
    With 10 players returning for the Cal offense, the Bears should be able to run up a big number against a rather unimpressive (to say the least) UNC defense.
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    Gus Malzahn joined Nick Saban in calling for a 9 conference game schedule to be played by the SEC. The SEC and ACC currently play 8 conference games, while the Big 10, Big 12, and Pac 12 play 9. Malzahn believes that a 9 game schedule would put more "equity" in the Conference. This may be prompted by the fact that Alabama's permanent crossover game is against Tennessee, while Auburn's is against Georgia.
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  10. #35  
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    Pooh, regarding your above post...……

    As an SEC fan, I would love to see the league go to nine conference games. Alabama playing
    teams like The Citadel this season among others is ridiculous. SEC fans have been sounding
    off about some of the FCS teams being schedule...especially with the price of tickets. Hell, I
    wouldn't drive to Tuscaloosa to watch The Citadel play if someone gave me free tickets. I'd
    rather drive 45 minutes and watch North Alabama play.

    North Carolina may be losing a number of players (rumor 9-13, not confirmed) for their opening game
    with Cal because of players selling University issued shoes and athletic gear. Players involved could
    face being suspended for one or more games. After last season's 3-9 record, coach Larry Fedora better
    get a handle on this team fast or he will be looking for a new job next year. Depending on any/number
    of starters involved...the books could take the Cal game off the board.
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  11. #36  
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    It is time to jump all over Cal, if you can get it. No Coke suggested that we take Cal now, and he certainly appears to be spot on with his assessment. It is time to grab Cal at -5 1/2 widely available in Vegas. Good call, gentlemen.
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  12. #37  
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    Ole Miss: The Rebels had the SEC's top passing offense and will attack defenses through the
    air again in 2018. Receiver A.J. Brown is one of the best in the country. The 6-foot-1, 225 pound
    junior totaled 75 catches, 1,252 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns during 2017. DK Metcal (39)
    and DaMarcus Lodge (41) each caught seven touchdowns and averaged more than 16 yards a
    reception. The trio joins quarterback Jordan Ta'amu's smooth transition into the quarterback
    position. In part time duty last year, Ta'amu completed 66.5 percent of his passes for eleven
    touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Four offensive line starters return in what should be one of the
    top offenses in the Southeastern Conference. Ole Miss' defense has many more questions than
    answers a season after allowing an average of 271 rushing yards during SEC play. Seven new
    starters will need to be found by opening game day. Depth is a huge concern as Ole Miss must
    replace the most players from last year's 2-deep roster than any team in the nation. Still, talent
    is there, especially at receiver and on offense. A six win season and bowl game would be cause
    for celebration.

    Texas Tech (Houston)…..Southern Illinois.....Alabama.....Kent State.....@LSU.....Louisiana-Monroe
    …..@Arkansas (Little Rock)…..Auburn.....South Carolina.....@Texas A&M.....@Vanderbilt.....Miss St.

    Sidenote: Ole Miss is 14-3 against the spread in Game 6 of the season. (ULM visits as the game six
    opponent this year)
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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    Today's Amazing Stat:

    New Mexico is 7-31 against the spread in their first four games of the season. Opponents
    this season are Incarnate Word, Wisconsin, New Mexico State and Liberty University.

    GL
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  14. #39  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    Today's Amazing Stat:

    New Mexico is 7-31 against the spread in their first four games of the season. Opponents
    this season are Incarnate Word, Wisconsin, New Mexico State and Liberty University.

    GL
    New Mexico is 0-4 ATS against their in state rivals in the past 4 years. The Wisconsin and New Mexico State games are on the road.
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  15. #40  
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    Conference USA: One conference that never shy's away from playing challenging non-conference
    competition is C-USA and this season is no exception. Conference USA will face at least one opponent
    from each of the nine FBS conferences in 2018 and a total of 22 games are scheduled against teams
    that played in a bowl game last season. The projected winner of this little conference is Florida Atlantic
    and there's a lot of excitement down in Boca Raton surrounding the second year of the Lane Kiffin era.
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  16. #41  
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    Today's Amazing Stat:

    Texas A&M is 21-0 straight up in Game 2 of the season. The Aggies will host Clemson in the
    second game this season. (Hyde the kids Lucy...something has to give)

    GL
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  17. #42  
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    Ohio State: Is this the most talented team in college football? Maybe. It's definitely the
    deepest and most athletic team of Urban Meyer's tenure at Ohio State, which is saying
    something (Meyer 73-8 SU). One of the keys is the play of new quarterback Dwayne
    Haskins, and how the offense changes to fit his skill set. That remains to be seen. But
    the Buckeyes are loaded. Having the nation's strongest running back tandem in 1000-yard
    rushers J.k. Gobbins and Mike Weber is a powerful weapon, to say the least. That and 229
    career starts back on both sides of the ball make the Buckeyes a team to deal with. Any-
    thing less than a New Year's Six bowl...if not a spot in the CFB Playoffs would be a huge
    disappointment.

    Oregon State....Rutgers.....@TCU.....Tulane.....@Penn State.....Indiana.....Minnesota.....
    @Purdue.....Nebraska.....@Michigan State.....@Maryland.....Michigan

    Sidenote: The Buckeyes are 0-8 against the spread after playing Indiana. (Minnesota, Nov. 10)
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  18. #43  
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    Today's Amazing Stat:

    The Southern Cal Trojans are 34-2 straight up in the first two games of the season. They
    will open the season at home against UNLV and then travel to Stanford for game two.

    GL
    FAKE Sports Championships are like pennies, two-faced and worthless! Sad Central Florida,
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  19. #44  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    Today's Amazing Stat:

    The Southern Cal Trojans are 34-2 straight up in the first two games of the season. They
    will open the season at home against UNLV and then travel to Stanford for game two.

    GL
    Remember that 52-6 rout of USC
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  20. #45  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Pooh View Post
    Use caution. Ohio State is 0-2 ATS in the past two seasons after the Penn State game. In 2016, they defeated Northwestern by 4 as a 25 point favorite at home. Last season they were destroyed by Iowa, 55-24 as 20.5 point chalk in Iowa. That game cost them a playoff spot. Another thing to look for. Ohio State is 7-0 S/U against Indiana in their last 7 games, but 1-6 ATS in those 7 games. That is because of some real huge point spreads, none of which were under 19 points and only 1 under 20 points.
    I saw that too. That Penn St game last year gassed both teams as they both lost SU next week. Big comeback for Barrett as he went 13 of 13 in 4th quarter to come from behind. Next week, first pass is a pick-6 at Iowa. Situational bet there.
    When I see these trends have to asked myself, Why are they happening? Can you find a logical explanation, a reason?

    Here is one; Northwestern has been 4-0 SU playing at Michigan State. Michigan State was 4-0 SU at Northwestern until last year. What happened last year? MSU boarded their plane for the one hour flight to Evanston Ill when the plane had to abort a takeoff as the pilot had a warning light. They cleared it and tried again with same thing. Everybody off the plane and took a 4-hour bus ride instead. Messed up their schedule/walkthrough and they end up losing in 3 OT's.

    I think Ohio State will score more than 45 on Oregon State. Ohio State had five wins last year greater than 37 points. They have upped their offensive tempo by almost 5 seconds per play. Credit QB coach Ryan Day for that. Haskins is laser sharp with his throws. Urban does not let up and his reserves who play late get scoring plays from the coaches box, not run the clock out.

    Michigan's defense is for real and this year they have more depth, experience. Don Brown is a master of defensive schemes. But the offense is totally unproven. And speaking of Ole Miss, I watched tapes of Patterson after he transferred to Mich. The kid was running for his life. Defenses were teeing off on him as Ole Miss had no running game at all. Pass happy cause that's all they could do. Harbaugh is 18-1 when his QB has a game QB rating greater than 40, just 40. Under 40 and he is 10-10. Against Alabama Patterson had a rating of 7. But again, no run game. But I'm not sold on Shea being a savior for the Michigan offense. He is going from a gun slinging cowboy to a game manager. He's not going to get three chances to pass every set of downs, maybe one and it has to count. He has the tools and Harbaugh has the reputation of developing good QB's, which has had none up to now, so I see why Notre Dame opened at -7 at the South Point and is now +2, 2.5. ND's QB Wimbush had mental training during the offseason. He felt most of his trouble was all in his head. We'll see how that turns out.
    Michigan is 4-0 at home SU against the Irish and 1-3 SU away. If anything I would bet a halftime Under in this one.

    247 has Maryland beating Texas again, interesting. Do not think that is going to happen. Not sure if Texas covers but that lose stung them bad last year. This year they want it bad. Another interesting point, Herman is not saying who will call plays this year, has Beck on a short leash it seems. Meanwhile Harbaugh has no OC at all, appears it will be a committee effort between all offensive coaches with Harbaugh having the final say.
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  21. #46  
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    Quote Originally Posted by pathologist View Post
    Remember that 52-6 rout of USC
    That's one thing about Nick Saban and Alabama. If game one is a nationally televised affair with a brand name ranked foe Alabama will kick their azz. I had Bama big against Denard Robinson and the undersized Wolverines in 2012 and BIG against Wisky in 2015, USC 2016, and FSU last year. Easiest way to start the season on the +++++ side!
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