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CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
David Schwab

Week 5 Betting Recap

With only three games on the CFL slate last week, the UNDER on the total line was the best bet with the books given that all three contests turned into low-scoring affairs.

Calgary remained perfect on the year both straight-up and against the spread with Thursday’s 27-3 victory against Ottawa as a three-point road favorite.

On Friday night, Edmonton squeaked past Toronto 16-15 as a 9 ½-point favorite at home and on Saturday the British Columbia Lions knocked off Winnipeg 20-17 as a 4 ½-point home underdog.

Friday, July 20

British Columbia Lions (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -6 ½
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

The Lions are coming off a split both SU and ATS in a recent home-and-home series against Winnipeg as part of their 2-2 record both ways on the year. The total stayed UNDER 55 points in Saturday’s upset against the Blue Bombers after going OVER the closing line in two of BC’s first three games. Travis Lulay got the call at quarterback in Week 5 and he responded with 326 yards passing with one touchdown throw against one interception. He completed at least one pass to eight different players.

Ottawa’s two losses this season have come against Calgary on the road and at home. It has also beaten Saskatchewan at home and Montreal on the road closing as a favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in each of its last three contests with a scoring average of 15.0 points per game. Trevor Harris looked awful in his two losses to the Stampeders, but he still has 915 yards passing and five touchdown throws in his first four games.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has a 4-2 edge both SU and ATS in its last six games against BC and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last six home games against the Lions.
 

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CFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Friday, July 20

BC Lions @ Ottawa

Game 373-374
July 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
107.536
Ottawa
111.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 4 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 7
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7); Over
 

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CFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Friday, July 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 2) at OTTAWA (2 - 2) - 7/20/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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CFL

Week 6

BC Lions (2-2) @ Ottawa (2-2) (-7, 53)— Teams split eight series meetings, going 2-2 in each city; over is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Home side won all four BC games this season; Lions lost 41-19/41-22 in visits to Winnipeg, Edmonton- both those games went over the total. Lions covered only one of last eight road games. BC allowed 17-10 points in their wins. RedBlacks split their first four games, losing twice to unbeaten Calgary, winning other two games by 23-10 points. Ottawa’s last three games stayed under total- under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games overall.
 

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CFL

Week 6

Trend Report

Friday, July 20

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
British Columbia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
 

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Marc Lawrence
Jul 20 '18, 8:15 PM in 11h
MLB | Twins vs Royals
Play on: Twins -123

Play - Minnesota Twins w/Gibson vs Duffy (Game 919).

Edges - Twins: Gibson 6-1 last seventeen starts in this series … Royals: Duffy 1-6 with 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP home this season; and 2-7 versus AL Central this season. With that we recommend a 1* play on Minnesota. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

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Dustin Hawkins
Jul 20 '18, 7:05 PM in 10h
MLB | Mets vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -140

Bonus Play on Yankees -140
 

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Scott Rickenbach
Jul 20 '18, 7:30 PM in 11h
CFL | BC vs Ottawa
Play on: BC +7 +101

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFL Game #373 Friday Free Pick BC Lions (+) @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - BC is a long-term 57-33 ATS as an underdog in a range of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Lions are also 12-5 SU and ATS against East Division teams. After rallying for the win last week, QB Travis Dulay and company have plenty of momentum coming into this week's game as they got the W last week after being down 17-0. BC has a bye week on deck so they certainly do not have any type of lookahead situation and, in fact, can simply go "all out" here knowing that an opportunity for rest looms. The Redblacks are an ugly 2-5 ATS as a home favorite in a range of 3.5 to 7 points. In home games with a posted total of 52 points or more Ottawa is on a 4-10 ATS run. After scoring just 3 points last week the Redblacks offense will be hungry to get back on track but they're facing a BC team that can match them point for point. None of the last 4 meetings have been decided by more than 7 points so there is big value with the generous points available in this one. Free Pick BC LIONS
 

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Stephen Nover
Jul 20 '18, 7:05 PM in 10h
MLB | NYM vs NYY
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115


Under the total is a good way to look in the first game back for teams following All-Star break. Not only have most of the hitters been out of action for four straight days, but bullpens are rested. I don't see the Mets and Yankees combining for more than eight runs here in a pitching matchup of Noah Syndergaard versus Domingo German. Syndergaard is an elite pitcher when healthy, which he is now. He has given up three runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts. This will be his secong start since returning from a finger injury that sidelined him for more than a month. So he should be able to go deep into the game. German has been up-and-down. He certainly won't lack motivation, though, as he's battling to keep his spot in the Yankees' starting rotation. One of German's better performances came against the Mets on June 9. He gave up three runs in six innings with nine strikeouts and no walks. German can go all out knowing the Yankees' deep bullpen can take over after five innings if necessary. German is facing a Mets offense that has the second-lowest batting average in the majors and ranks seventh-from-the-bottom in runs. The Mets have scored four runs or less in nine of their last 10 games. Both teams have a strong recent history of going Under during interleague play. The Under has cashed in eight of the Mets' last 10 interleague games. The Yankees have gone Under in 12 of their past 13 interleague games.
 

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Dennis Macklin
Jul 20 '18, 9:40 PM in 13h
MLB | COL vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 9½ -110


Mack Attack Bonus Play for Friday, July 20, 2018 is on the Rockies/DBacks Under


The Rockies are heating up and Marquez (3-0, 1.80) has been lights out in his L3 starts. Robbie Ray's ERA is 7.36 L3 but skewed by a start where he was hammered. He's a top of the rotation type of guy. The under is 11-4 in the Rockies L15 while the low is 6-1 L7 for the Snakes. We'll be playing UNDER this very generous 9 and a hook.
 

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Steve Janus
Jul 20 '18, 10:10 PM in 13h
MLB | White Sox vs Mariners
Play on: White Sox +185


1* Free Sharp Play on White Sox +185
 

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Brian Bitler


Brian's 9* MLB Electric Dog


St. Louis vs. Chi Cubs, 07/20/2018 14:20 EDT


Money Line: +134 St. Louis


Jack Flaherty might be 3-4 and Jon Lester might be 12-2 but they have very similar numbers with Flaherty having better numbers in some areas. Cardinals have fired Matheny at the all-star break and they will be pushing hard to get a win today after their loss last night to the Cubs. Flaherty is winless in his last 6 starts but was effective in his last outing as he did not allow a run. Remember Morrow the Cubs closer is out until further notice so that is another advantage I will gladly take. Only 15% of the cash and 25% of the tickets have come in on the road Cardinals yet this plus money has dropped big time from the opening. Invest 9 units on the St.Louis Cardinals rotation #901
 

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Tony Brown


Tonys *5 Mlb free pick


NY Mets vs. NY Yankees, 07/20/2018 19:05 EDT


Total: -115/+8½ Under


Fp: Mets bats have been quiet all season and with syndaguard on the mound yanks bats should stay in check , 9 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick!
 

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Alex Smart


MLB


Baltimore vs. Toronto, 07/20/2018 19:07 EDT


Money Line: -141 Toronto
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.35 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.58)


Bundy the the Orioles starter Is 0-2 in his L/2 trips to the hill along with a ugly 12.27 ERA and is fade material here vs a Toronto side that outscored Baltimore 27-11 while sweeping four game series at home back in June.


Orioles are 1-10 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. American League East


Meanwhile,Gaviglio, the Jays starter, has a 1.97 ERA in seven games (five starts) at home and looks like a viable pitcher to back here this evening.


Blue Jays are 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.


Note:The Orioles have lost 15 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings, which happened before the break.


Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline
 

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MIT Simulator

CFL Fri Free Pick

British Columbia vs. Ottawa, 07/20/2018 19:30 EDT

Total: -104/+53 Over

MIT Simulator Friday CFL Free Pick: OVER 53 in Ottawa - Off of a win over a division rival BC O/U is 6-3. Lions O/U is 4-2 as a road underdog in a range of 3.5 to 7 points. RedBlacks O/U is 12-5 in Friday games. Last 3 games between these foes have all totaled at least 55 points and Ottawa has averaged scoring 31.3 points per game and BC has averaged scoring 29.7 points per game in those match-ups. The Lions rallied for a win last week with a huge 4th quarter so the offense brings plenty of momentum into this game. The RedBlacks scored just 3 points at home versus league-best Calgary and can't wait to take the field tonight and put that ugly performance behind them. As a result, this one is forecast to turn into a high-scoring shootout per the simulation. MIT Simulator Friday CFL Free Pick: OVER 53 in Ottawa
 

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Free Selection from Jim Feist


Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, July 20, 2018


07/20 05:05 PM PT / 8:05 PM ET


MLB (917) CLEVELAND INDIANS VS (918) TEXAS RANGERS


Take: OVER


Reason: Your Bonus Play for Friday, July 20, 2018 is in the MLB scheduled contest between the Cleveland Indians and the Texas Rangers. Take the OVER.
 

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Totals4U


Friday's Free Selection: Houston Astros/Los Angeles Angels under 8
 

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