Thursday 07/26/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

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Thursday's Diamond Notes
Tony Mejia


Hottest team: Pirates (11-1 last 12, 13-2 +1370 last 15)

Even though their 11-game run was snapped by Trevor Bauer and Cleveland in a 4-0 loss on Wednesday afternoon, the Pirates still deserve respect as the league’s hottest team despite no longer owning baseball’s longest winning streak. The A's have won seven of eight, including five straight, but we'll discuss their exploits below. Although Oakland's comebacks have been impressive, the Bucs have outscored opponents 84-37 over the last 15 contests, a stretch in which the team’s starting pitchers have compiled an ERA of under 2.50.

Offensively, Pittsburgh’s 31 homers are tied with the Yankees for most in July. Leadoff hitter Corey Dickerson, the left fielder, missed yesterday’s game due to a hamstring tweak. Standout center fielder Starling Marte exited Wednesday after being drilled by Trevor Bauer pitch in the first inning. Both may miss this series opener. Mets lefty Steven Matz has surrendered just two homers in four starts this month but has nonetheless lost in his last three appearances. The Pirates haven’t dropped two straight since July 6-7 and send rookie Nick Kingham to the mound for his first career encounter with the Mets. He's given up seven homers over 21.2 innings this month but is 3-1 with a 2.90 ERA at PNC Park. Pittsburgh is heavily favored (-160) at home against New York.

Coldest team: Rangers (4-15, -1195 last 19)

After blowing a 10-2 lead that it took into the seventh inning on Tuesday by giving up 11 unanswered runs, Texas managed to top itself in adding to its misery when Jose Leclerc surrendering a go-ahead two-run HR to Khris Davis on Wednesday with victory only one strike away. Davis won Tuesday's game with a 3-run blast off in the 10th after closer Keone Kela surrendered a Stephen Piscotty homer to lead off the ninth to blow the save.

Kela should be available again after being asked to get five outs on Tuesday, so the Rangers will likely have their closer in the mix if they're in position to avoid a sweep. Oakland is now a season-high 17 games over .500 after a 26-7 run since June 16 and have rallied from behind 17 times per the San Francisco Chronicle's Susan Slusser. Davis has homered in four consecutive contests and six straight games against Texas. He's up to 27 HRs and is batting .333 over nine career at-bats against Rangers starter Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85), connecting on one dinger. Texas has lost five of its last six series and is an underdog (+125) here. Most books list the A's at -135.

Hottest pitcher: Dereck Rodriguez, Giants (5-1, 2.72 ERA)

The Giants rookie, son of Hall of Famer Ivan Rodriguez, has wasted no time getting comfortable in the bigs. The 26-year-old has looked poised beyond his years and has helped San Francisco win eight of his 10 starts, including seven consecutively. In that span, he’s 5-0, surrendering just two homers and nine earned runs over 41 innings. He hasn’t faced any Brewers hitters in the majors but is hoping to remain perfect at AT&T Park, where he’s 3-0 with a 2.28 ERA over five career games. Counterpart Wade Miley (1-1, 1.56) shut out the Dodgers threw six innings in his last start, but the Brewers are an underdog here (+105). The Giants are slightly favored (-115) as they open a four-game set against Milwaukee before venturing back out on the road for six games against NL West opponents.

Coldest pitcher: Jake Junis, Royals (5-10, 5.03 ERA)

The second-year righty had won 13 of his first 18 decisions after improving to 4-2 with a strong performance against the Tigers on May 6 but is just 1-8 since. His only victory came on May 18 vs. the same Yankees team he’ll square off against tonight. Junis’ ERA has climbed over 1.5 runs since he saw the Bronx Bombers last, which includes opening July by giving up nine runs (eight earned) at home against the Rangers. He immediately went on the disabled list due to a sore back and surfaced again last Saturday, giving up one run over four innings against the Twins.

Junis was limited by a pitch count but didn’t let up a homer after allowing 12 over a five-start span from June 8-July 2, suffering a loss each time out. Kansas City is counting on him rebounding over the final few months so this is a big start for him and counterpart Sonny Gray, who has put together wins in consecutive starts for the first time since joining the Yanks last August. New York is heavily favored (-250) in the Bronx, where Junis was touched up for six runs over 5.2 innings in an 11-3 loss last Sept. 25. The Royals are Thursday’s biggest underdog (+240)

Biggest OVER run: Twins (10-5 last 15)

After scoring six runs in the 11th inning to sweep the Blue Jays in Toronto, the Twins will wrap up a 10-game road trip at Fenway, opening a four-game set. The 12 runs Minnesota scored on Wednesday were a season-best as Mitch Garver came up with a career-high five RBI, banging out four hits. The Twins won two of three in Minneapolis when the teams met from June 19-21 and the ‘over’ hit in two of the contests. Kyle Gibson (4-7, 3.57) has been decent for the past few months and squares off against Boston lefty Brian Johnson, who will be moving back into the bullpen to make way for the newly acquired Nathan Eovaldi following this start. Boston had a 5-0 lead through two innings in Baltimore but ended up rained out. The total has been set at 10.

Biggest UNDER run: Diamondbacks (10-3 last 13)

The Diamondbacks have allowed just five runs over the last four games. Despite failing to sweep the Cubs after a 2-1 loss on Wednesday, Robbie Ray pitched seven innings and allowed a single run, becoming the fourth straight Snakes starter to come through with a quality start. Zack Greinke got the run started, Patrick Corbin followed it up Monday and Clay Buchholz pitched into the seventh on Tuesday so the bullpen is in fantastic shape as they send Zack Godley (11-6, 4.65) to the mound to oppose Tyler Chatwood (4-5, 4.84), the major-league leader in walks.

Matchup to watch: Dodgers vs. Braves

The National League race is tightly-packed, featuring 11 teams that have picked up 50 or more wins. The Dodgers lead the NL West by a half-game while the Braves trail the Phillies by 1.5 in the NL East, so the fact they’re basically even illustrates why all eyes will be on this four-game set all weekend.

L.A. won two of three when these teams met at Dodger Stadium from June 8-10 and is wrapping up a 10-game road trip, closing a stretch that has seen them play 17 of 20 outside Chavez Ravine. They’re 7-6 away from home in July so far and need at least a split to post their third consecutive winning month on the road. Atlanta is opening up a seven-game homestand and is just 2-3 at SunTrust Park in July as it sends Anibal Sanchez (5-2, 2.76) to the mound. He’s 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA at home since joining the Braves and unexpected rescuing his career. Both Manny Machado (.500, 2 HR, 4 RBI) and Logan Forsythe (.556, 1 HR, 5 RBI) have hit him extremely well in limited career matchups.

The Dodgers counter with lefty Rich Hill (3-4, 4.26), who nearly came out of the bullpen in Philly on Tuesday night and will look to continue an excellent stretch that has seen him surrender two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts, striking out 33 hitters in 25.2 innings. Hill’s form is one factor in L.A. being favored (-125) for the 30th time in 31 games. The total for this series opener has been set at 9.

Betcha didn’t know: Venezuelan 22-year-old Ranger Suarez will make his debut for Philadelphia as they visit Cincinnati to open a four-game set. He’ll become the first left-handed starter the Phillies have sent to the mound since Adam Morgan back on Sept. 28, 2016, a span of 267 games. Suarez has made three starts in Triple-A, allowing one run in 15.2 innings. He had a WHIP of 1.28 at Lehigh Valley and 1.12 over 12 starts at Double-A Reading and has struck out 66 while walking 24 over 90.2 innings. Suarez has lit up the minors since being signed in 2012 and will wear No. 70 as he attempts to take the first step in becoming an x-factor down the stretch for the first-place Phils. He’s one of the organization’s top prospects whose name was included in trade talks with Baltimore for Manny Machado. His fastball gets up in the mid-90s and he throws a slider and a changeup.

Biggest public favorite: Nationals (-190) at Marlins

Biggest public underdog: Mets (+150) vs. Pirates

Biggest line move: Yankees (-270 to -240) vs. Royals
 

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Preview: Diamondbacks at Cubs
Gracenote
Jul 26, 2018

Despite an offensive outage, the Chicago Cubs still have a chance to salvage a split of their four-game series against the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday. The first-place Cubs have totaled only four runs in the first three games of the series, and they might need a little more punch from the lineup to beat the Diamondbacks for a second straight game.


Chicago has only four extra-base hits in the series, but the pitching was strong enough Wednesday for the Cubs to claim a 2-1 victory and extend their National League Central lead to 2 1/2 games over Milwaukee. Arizona’s pitching has been outstanding throughout the series, but the offense didn’t do much Wednesday and two critical errors led to the winning run in the eighth inning as the Diamondbacks remained a half-game behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. The Cubs are dealing with injuries to two of their star infielders, as third baseman Kris Bryant sat out a second consecutive game Wednesday with a sore shoulder and second baseman Javier Baez was limited to pinch-hitting duties with a bruised knee. Manager Joe Maddon didn’t rule out a disabled list stint for Bryant, and Baez was lifted for a pinch-runner after noticeably limping when he beat out an infield single Wednesday.

TV: 2:20 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FS Arizona, NBCS Chicago


PITCHING MATCHUP: Diamondbacks RH Zack Godley (11-6, 4.65 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Tyler Chatwood (4-5, 4.84)

Godley has won six of his last seven decisions and allowed two or fewer earned runs in six of his last eight starts. The 28-year-old gave up four runs (three earned) in five-plus innings in a no-decision last time out against Colorado, as he hurt himself with four walks. Godley is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA in three starts against the Cubs, who drafted him in the 10th round in 2013.

Chatwood did a nice tightrope act in his last start, working around six walks to hold the Cardinals to one run over 5 1/3 innings. The 28-year-old has issued at least four free passes in 12 of his 18 starts and leads the majors with 79 walks in 89 1/3 innings. Chatwood is 5-3 with a 4.09 ERA in 11 games (nine starts) against Arizona.


WALK-OFFS

1. Arizona 1B Paul Goldschmidt has reached base in 25 consecutive road games and is 11-for-25 with six homers and nine RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak against the Cubs, but he is 3-for-19 with eight strikeouts versus Chatwood.

2. Cubs RHP Brandon Morrow (right biceps inflammation) has not thrown since July 18 and will not be activated when he is eligible to come off the disabled list Saturday.

3. Chicago C Willson Contreras is 16-for-41 in his last 12 home games.


PREDICTION: Cubs 6, Diamondbacks 5
 

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W/L Trends
Arizona

Diamondbacks are 12-4 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 19-7 in their last 26 Thursday games.
Diamondbacks are 16-6 in their last 22 road games.
Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League Central.
Diamondbacks are 25-51 in their last 76 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Diamondbacks are 7-15 in their last 22 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 12-26 in their last 38 vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Godleys last 4 road starts.
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Godleys last 5 Thursday starts.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Godleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Diamondbacks are 6-2 in Godleys last 8 starts.
Diamondbacks are 6-2 in Godleys last 8 starts on grass.
Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Godleys last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Godleys last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Godleys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Godleys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 40-14 in their last 55 Thursday games.
Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 27-11 in their last 39 during game 4 of a series.
Cubs are 16-7 in their last 23 overall.
Cubs are 16-7 in their last 23 games on grass.
Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 starts.
Cubs are 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 starts on grass.
Cubs are 5-1 in Chatwoods last 6 home starts.

OU Trends
Arizona

Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 16 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games following a loss.
Over is 6-0 in Godleys last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-0-1 in Godleys last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Godleys last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Godleys last 8 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-2 in Godleys last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Chi. Cubs

Over is 9-1 in Cubs last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games following a win.
Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Cubs last 12 overall.
Over is 9-3 in Cubs last 12 on grass.
Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 starts on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 starts overall.
Over is 4-0-1 in Chatwoods last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Chatwoods last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Chatwoods last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Chatwoods last 8 home starts.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Umpire Trends - Mike Estabrook

Under is 4-0 in Estabrooks last 4 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
Road team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 Thursday games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Home team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Road team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
Under is 45-19-2 in Estabrooks last 66 games behind home plate.
 

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Preview: White Sox at Angels
Gracenote
Jul 26, 2018

Mike Trout is coming off a show-stopping performance and he'll try to inflict further damage when the Los Angeles Angels close a four-game series against the visiting Chicago White Sox on Thursday. Trout went 3-for-4 with two homers, one double, four RBIs and three runs scored in Wednesday's 11-3 victory to put Los Angeles in position to split the four-game set.

Trout's 13th career multi-homer game was part of four homers hit by the Angels with Albert Pujols (3-for-4) delivering his 631st career blast to break a tie with Ken Griffey Jr. and move into sixth place on the all-time list. Shohei Ohtani also went deep and Los Angeles had 14 hits while winning for the second time in its past seven games. The White Sox are 3-3 entering the finale of a seven-game excursion and have won six of their past 10 overall. Chicago All-Star first baseman Jose Abreu is 5-for-12 with a homer in the series as part of a four-game hitting streak that follows a 14-game stretch in which he went 5-for-47.

TV: 4:07 p.m. ET, MLB Network, WGN (Chicago), FS West (Los Angeles)

PITCHING MATCHUP: White Sox RH Dylan Covey (4-5, 4.95 ERA) vs. Angels RH Nick Tropeano (3-5, 4.58)

Covey halted a four-game losing streak by taking a no-hitter into the sixth inning and blanking the Seattle Mariners on two hits over 8 1/3 frames in his last turn. The 26-year-old had a 11.70 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in a five-start stretch before falling two outs shy of his first career complete game. Covey received a no-decision in his lone career start against the Angels when he allowed four runs and four hits over 5 2/3 innings on Sept. 28, 2017.

Tropeano has dropped both starts since returning from a stint on the disabled list due to shoulder inflammation. The 27-year-old lost to the Houston Astros in his last turn as he gave up two runs (one earned) and two runs in five innings. Tropeano faced the White Sox on August 20, 2015 and took the loss by allowing six runs and eight hits over 4 1/3 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Pujols has 3,059 career hits, one behind Hall of Famer Craig Biggio for 24th on the all-time list.

2. Chicago SS Tim Anderson was hitless in four at-bats Wednesday after recording three straight two-hit outings.

3. Los Angeles INF David Fletcher had two hits and scored twice Wednesday and is a torrid 11-for-20 during a five-game hitting streak.

PREDICTION: Angels 6, White Sox 4
 

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W/L Trends
Chi. White Sox

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
White Sox are 28-62 in their last 90 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
White Sox are 17-40 in their last 57 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
White Sox are 15-36 in their last 51 road games.
White Sox are 14-37 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games.
White Sox are 3-9 in Coveys last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.
White Sox are 2-7 in Coveys last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
White Sox are 1-5 in Coveys last 6 starts.
White Sox are 1-5 in Coveys last 6 starts on grass.
White Sox are 2-12 in Coveys last 14 road starts.
White Sox are 1-6 in Coveys last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 0-7 in Coveys last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

LA Angels

Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Angels are 4-1 in Tropeanos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Angels are 2-6 in Tropeanos last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

OU Trends
Chi. White Sox

Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 6-2-1 in White Sox last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 12-4-1 in White Sox last 17 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 8-3 in White Sox last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 13-5 in White Sox last 18 games following a loss.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 road games.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League West.
Over is 14-6 in White Sox last 20 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Coveys last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Coveys last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Coveys last 5 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Coveys last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

LA Angels

Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 16-4-2 in Angels last 22 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 19-5-3 in Angels last 27 games following a win.
Under is 15-4-3 in Angels last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Angels last 9 vs. American League Central.
Under is 19-7-1 in Angels last 27 during game 4 of a series.
Under is 15-6-1 in Angels last 22 overall.
Under is 15-6-1 in Angels last 22 on grass.
Under is 15-7-3 in Angels last 25 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0-1 in Tropeanos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Tropeanos last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tropeanos last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Tropeanos last 6 starts overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Tropeanos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

White Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.
White Sox are 6-21 in the last 27 meetings in Los Angeles.

Umpire Trends - Gerry Davis

Home team is 6-0 in Davis' last 6 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-0 in Davis' last 4 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Under is 5-1 in Davis' last 6 Thursday games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-1 in Davis' last 5 Thursday games behind home plate.
Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Davis behind home plate.
White Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 games with Davis behind home plate.
 

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Preview: Royals at Yankees
Gracenote
Jul 25, 2018

The New York Yankees have been playing .500 ball for just over the past month but they have a chance to get on a roll when they open a six-game homestand against the worst two teams in the major leagues. Reliever Zach Britton, acquired in a trade Tuesday, will be in uniform when New York begins a four-game series against the Kansas City Royals on Thursday night.

The Yankees are 14-14 over their past 28 games and five of those losses have come at Tampa Bay, including a pair of one-run setbacks this week. "We just have to play better," New York outfielder Brett Gardner told reporters. "We have a lot of baseball left. I feel confident the best is yet to come and we can be better than we’ve been, and I expect us to be." The Royals completed a 4-2 homestand with an 8-4 loss to Detroit on Wednesday and now embark on a 10-game road trip. Third baseman Mike Moustakas leads the team in home runs (20) and RBIs (62) but may not make it through the trek amid reports that he will be dealt by Tuesday's trade deadline.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FS Kansas City, WPIX (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Jakob Junis (5-10, 5.03 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Sonny Gray (7-7, 5.34)

Junis returned from the disabled list with a four-inning stint in a no-decision versus Minnesota on Saturday, allowing one run and four hits. He had lost his previous seven starts - one shy of the franchise record - and was tagged for 12 homers over his past five outings while battling a balky back. Junis' last win came when he beat the Yankees in Kansas City on May 18, allowing two runs and seven hits over 5 1/3 innings.

Gray rebounded from a pair of wretched performances to win back-to-back starts for the first time since joining New York 11 months ago, holding the cross-city Mets to three runs over 5 1/3 innings. He tossed six scoreless innings of three-hit ball at Baltimore in his previous turn, which followed two starts in which he failed to get past 2 1/3 innings. Gray beat the Royals with eight innings of one-run ball on May 20.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Yankees have homered once since the All-Star break, their fewest in a five-game stretch since June 10-15, 2016.

2. Moustakas is 4-for-11 with a homer and four RBIs during a three-game hitting streak.

3. Yankees C Gary Sanchez (groin) is expected to be sidelined until at least late August, general manager Brian Cashman said.

PREDICTION: Yankees 5, Royals 2
 

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W/L Trends
Kansas City

Royals are 16-35 in their last 51 road games.
Royals are 20-44 in their last 64 games following a loss.
Royals are 17-38 in their last 55 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 17-38 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Royals are 17-40 in their last 57 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 15-36 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.
Royals are 14-37 in their last 51 overall.
Royals are 14-37 in their last 51 games on grass.
Royals are 18-50 in their last 68 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 12-39 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Royals are 3-10 in their last 13 Thursday games.
Royals are 5-17 in their last 22 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Royals are 12-41 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 6-22 in their last 28 vs. American League East.
Royals are 5-1 in Junis' last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Royals are 1-7 in Junis' last 8 starts.
Royals are 1-7 in Junis' last 8 starts on grass.
Royals are 0-4 in Junis' last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Royals are 0-5 in Junis' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 0-4 in Junis' last 4 Thursday starts.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Yankees are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. American League Central.
Yankees are 53-17 in their last 70 home games.
Yankees are 38-13 in their last 51 games following a loss.
Yankees are 47-18 in their last 65 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Yankees are 50-21 in their last 71 games on grass.
Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 55-27 in their last 82 overall.
Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Yankees are 4-1 in Grays last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Yankees are 7-2 in Grays last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 5-2 in Grays last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 2-5 in Grays last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Yankees are 1-4 in Grays last 5 home starts.
Yankees are 1-5 in Grays last 6 Thursday starts.

OU Trends
Kansas City

Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East.
Under is 7-1 in Royals last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
Over is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 games following a loss.
Under is 7-3-2 in Royals last 12 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Junis' last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Junis' last 7 road starts.

NY Yankees

Over is 6-1-2 in Yankees last 9 on grass.
Over is 6-1-2 in Yankees last 9 games following a loss.
Under is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 Thursday games.
Over is 18-5 in Yankees last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 23-8-2 in Yankees last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 20-7 in Yankees last 27 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 16-6-2 in Yankees last 24 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Yankees last 8 vs. American League Central.
Over is 7-3-2 in Yankees last 12 overall.
Over is 34-15-2 in Yankees last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 5-0-1 in Grays last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 7-0 in Grays last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-1 in Grays last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Grays last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 10-2 in Grays last 12 home starts.
Under is 4-1-1 in Grays last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Grays last 9 starts overall.

Head to Head

Royals are 37-80 in the last 117 meetings.
Royals are 16-43 in the last 59 meetings in New York.

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Preview: Rays at Orioles
Gracenote
Jul 26, 2018

The Tampa Bay Rays took two of three at home against one of baseball’s best teams to start the week and hope to take care of business on the road when they visit the major league-worst Baltimore Orioles on Thursday for the opener of their four-game series. The Rays edged the New York Yankees 3-2 on Wednesday afternoon - hours after announcing the trade of scheduled starter Nathan Eovaldi - for their third win in four contests.

Eovaldi was shipped to Boston for 25-year-old left-hander Jalen Beeks, who will join the team in Baltimore, and six pitchers limited New York to seven hits in the finale as Tampa Bay held baseball’s top home run-hitting team without a blast in the series. Reliever Hunter Wood is expected to start Thursday for the Rays (52-50) as they attempt to piece together another strong pitching effort while former Tampa Bay right-hander Alex Cobb gets the call for the Orioles. Baltimore (29-73) avoided a probable fifth loss in six games Wednesday as its contest against Boston was postponed after a 2-hour, 33-minute rain delay with the club trailing 5-0 in the second inning. Jonathan Schoop, who is batting .310 with three homers and seven RBIs against the Rays this season, brings an eight-game hitting streak into the series for the Orioles.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FS Sun (Tampa Bay), MASN2 (Baltimore)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays RH Hunter Wood (0-0, 2.93 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Alex Cobb (2-13, 6.17)

Wood is slated to make the third start of his career and is likely to work just one or two innings as the Rays use their bullpen to open the game for the third time in four contests. The 24-year-old native of Arkansas gave up one run on four hits and one walk over three frames in his first two starts. Wood, who will be facing Baltimore for the first time as he makes his 11th major-league appearance, has registered 14 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings this year.

Cobb, who won 48 games in parts of six years with the Rays, has recorded three quality starts in his last six outings but is 0-4 in that stretch as he continues to add to his career-high loss total. The 30-year-old Bostonian has given up 125 hits (17 homers) over 97 2/3 innings this season and is 0-5 with a 5.86 ERA in six starts at home. C.J. Cron is 2-for-6 with a homer and Joey Wendle has gone 3-for-5 against Cobb, who is 0-2 with a 6.97 ERA versus his former team in 2018.

WALK-OFFS

1. Orioles CF Adam Jones, who needs three doubles to reach 300 with the team, is batting a club-best .375 versus the Rays this year.

2. Tampa Bay also dealt RHP Mike Andriese to Arizona on Wednesday for C Michael Perez and RHP Brian Shaffer.

3. The Rays have won five of nine overall meetings this season while the teams have split the first six games in Baltimore.

PREDICTION: Rays 6, Orioles 3
 

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Tampa Bay

Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Rays are 6-17 in their last 23 road games.
Rays are 6-17 in their last 23 games on grass.
Rays are 4-15 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games.

Baltimore

Orioles are 19-40 in their last 59 home games.
Orioles are 31-78 in their last 109 games on grass.
Orioles are 15-39 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Orioles are 16-43 in their last 59 vs. American League East.
Orioles are 16-44 in their last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Orioles are 7-20 in their last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Orioles are 11-32 in their last 43 during game 1 of a series.
Orioles are 12-39 in their last 51 overall.
Orioles are 14-51 in their last 65 vs. a team with a winning record.
Orioles are 11-43 in their last 54 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Orioles are 2-5 in Cobbs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Orioles are 2-6 in Cobbs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Orioles are 3-13 in Cobbs last 16 starts on grass.
Orioles are 1-5 in Cobbs last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Orioles are 3-15 in Cobbs last 18 starts.
Orioles are 0-4 in Cobbs last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Orioles are 0-6 in Cobbs last 6 home starts.
Orioles are 0-8 in Cobbs last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU Trends
Tampa Bay

Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 10-2 in Rays last 12 vs. American League East.
Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Baltimore

Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 Thursday games.
Under is 19-6-1 in Orioles last 26 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 18-7-3 in Orioles last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 10-4-3 in Orioles last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2-1 in Orioles last 8 vs. American League East.
Over is 5-2-2 in Orioles last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 18-8-3 in Orioles last 29 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 starts vs. American League East.

Head to Head

Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Baltimore.

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Preview: Mets at Pirates
Gracenote
Jul 25, 2018

Although they had a number of winning streaks snapped in the finale of a three-game set in Cleveland on Wednesday, the Pittsburgh Pirates resume their drive for a wild-card berth when they open a nine-game homestand with the first of four against the New York Mets on Thursday night. Pittsburgh had ripped off 11 straight wins before dropping a 4-0 decision to the Indians on Wednesday.

The Pirates' main concern as they return home is health as Corey Dickerson sat out Wednesday with a strained hamstring while Starling Marte left the game after he was hit on the left hand by a pitch. Marte, who entered Wednesday's game with a National League-leading 20 RBIs in July, told MLB.com he felt better but he will undergo further testing on Thursday. While Pittsburgh also had eight-game interleague and five-game road winning streaks halted, the Mets put an end to a dubious string of futility as Wednesday's 6-4 win over San Diego ended a 17-series winless drought (0-11-6). Yet, New York's first series win since May 18-20 was tempered by the news that slugger Yoenis Cespedes will undergo season-ending surgeries on both heels.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, SNY (New York), AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mets LH Steven Matz (4-8, 3.65 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Nick Kingham (5-4, 4.11)

Matz is mired in a three-start losing streak after yielding five runs and nine hits over five-plus innings at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. He recorded quality starts in each of his previous two turns, going 6 1/3 innings both times and permitting a combined four runs on 13 hits. Josh Harrison is 3-for-6 against Matz, who tossed seven innings of three-run ball in a no-decision versus the Pirates on June 26.

Kingham has posted three straight quality starts and won each of them after giving up two runs and four hits over 6 1/3 innings at Cincinnati on Saturday. The 26-year-old rookie also won his previous two turns - both at home - but has struggled with the long ball, surrendering seven homers over his last four starts. Kingham, who has never faced the Mets, owns a 3-1 record and 2.90 ERA in five starts at PNC Park.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Pirates have won six in a row and eight of nine at home.

2. Mets RF Jose Bautista hit his 339th homer Wednesday, tying him for 99th place on the all-time list.

3. Marte has hit safely in 17 straight games while Dickerson is 13-for-27 over a six-game string.

PREDICTION: Pirates 4, Mets 3
 

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NY Mets

Mets are 17-36 in their last 53 overall.
Mets are 18-38 in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mets are 16-35 in their last 51 games on grass.
Mets are 32-73 in their last 105 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
Mets are 17-42 in their last 59 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 5-13 in their last 18 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 7-19 in their last 26 Thursday games.
Mets are 14-40 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 8-23 in their last 31 games following a win.
Mets are 4-12 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.
Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. National League Central.
Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Mets are 6-13 in Matzs last 19 starts with 4 days of rest.
Mets are 4-9 in Matzs last 13 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 3-7 in Matzs last 10 starts.
Mets are 3-7 in Matzs last 10 starts on grass.
Mets are 1-4 in Matzs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 1-4 in Matzs last 5 Thursday starts.
Mets are 3-13 in Matzs last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Pittsburgh

Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Pirates are 13-3 in their last 16 overall.
Pirates are 13-3 in their last 16 games on grass.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pirates are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. National League East.
Pirates are 5-12 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pirates are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 1-4 in Kinghams last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

OU Trends
NY Mets

Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games following a win.
Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 21-8-4 in Mets last 33 Thursday games.
Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Mets last 11 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Matzs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 22-6 in Matzs last 28 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Matzs last 9 starts on grass.
Under is 7-2 in Matzs last 9 starts overall.
Under is 7-2 in Matzs last 9 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 6-2 in Matzs last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-4 in Matzs last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-4 in Matzs last 15 road starts.
Under is 9-4 in Matzs last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.

Pittsburgh

Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 Thursday games.
Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League East.
Over is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Kinghams last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Head to Head

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.
Mets are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings.
Mets are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh.

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Preview: Phillies at Reds
Gracenote
Jul 25, 2018

Rhys Hoskins has gotten into the swing of things after raising some eyebrows in the Home Run Derby. After going deep in four of his last five contests, Hoskins hopes to continue his good fortune on Thursday as the Philadelphia Phillies (57-44) begin a six-game road trip with the opener of a four-game series versus the Cincinnati Reds (45-57).

Hoskins belted a solo homer and Scott Kingery also went deep as Philadelphia posted a 7-3 triumph over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday afternoon to take the rubber match of its three-game series and improve to 16-8 in its last 24 contests. The 25-year-old Hoskins also went deep in the Phillies' 6-5 victory over the Reds on April 9 while Kingery homered in that contest, belted a grand slam the following day and had the game-ending sacrifice fly in the finale to help Philadelphia complete the sweep. Speaking of home runs, Cincinnati's first-time All-Star Eugenio Suarez went deep in his third straight contest during Wednesday's 7-3 victory over St. Louis. Adam Duvall, who also homered versus the Cardinals, went just 1-for-9 with five strikeouts in the previous series against the Phillies.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, NBCS Philadelphia, FS Ohio (Cincinnati)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies LH Ranger Suarez (major-league debut) vs. Reds RH Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.32 ERA)

Suarez owns a 3-1 mark with an 0.91 ERA in his last eight minor-league starts, including a stretch of allowing just one run in three starts since being promoted from Double-A Reading to Triple-A Lehigh Valley. "He's shown the ability to get swings and misses in and out of the strike zone," Phillies manager Gabe Kapler told reporters of the 22-year-old. "... There's some courage there. He has a lot of swag on the mound, there's some bravado. I don't think situations get too big for him." Suarez, who is the Phillies' No. 9 prospect according to MLB Pipeline, will serve as the first left-hander to start for Philadelphia since Adam Morgan on Sept. 28, 2016.

Mahle has answered an eight-start unbeaten string with two crushing losses, during which he has permitted 13 runs and 14 hits over eight innings. The 23-year-old has been taken deep three times in his last two trips to the mound after yielding the same number in his previous eight outings. Mahle will be making his 25th career start overall and first versus Philadelphia on Thursday.

WALK-OFFS

1. Cincinnati 1B Joey Votto, who is just 1-for-14 in his last six outings, went 5-for-13 in his previous series versus Philadelphia.

2. The Phillies own a 10-2-1 record in their last 13 series.

3. Reds SS Jose Peraza is 1-for-14 on the heels of an eight-game hitting streak.

PREDICTION: Reds 4, Phillies 3
 

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Philadelphia

Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 27-11 in their last 38 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cincinnati

Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Reds are 14-6 in their last 20 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 19-39 in their last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Reds are 6-2 in Mahles last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 7-3 in Mahles last 10 starts.
Reds are 7-3 in Mahles last 10 starts on grass.

OU Trends
Philadelphia

Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 Thursday games.
Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 11-3-1 in Phillies last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2-1 in Phillies last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 7-2-1 in Phillies last 10 road games.
Under is 6-2-1 in Phillies last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 35-16-1 in Phillies last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Cincinnati

Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 13-3-2 in Reds last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-3-1 in Reds last 16 games following a win.
Over is 12-3-2 in Reds last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 20-6-2 in Reds last 28 overall.
Over is 20-6-2 in Reds last 28 on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League East.
Over is 11-4-1 in Reds last 16 home games.
Over is 19-7-2 in Reds last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 Thursday games.
Over is 66-31-8 in Reds last 105 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 33-16-4 in Reds last 53 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Mahles last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.

Head to Head

Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Phillies are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings in Cincinnati.

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Preview: Nationals at Marlins
Gracenote
Jul 25, 2018

The Washington Nationals haven't had as much good news as they would've liked this season, as the National League East preseason favorites find themselves a game under .500 and staring up at a pair of upstarts in the division. Their current troubles aside, the Nationals (50-51) can take solace in knowing that Stephen Strasburg takes the mound for Thursday's opener of a four-game series versus the host Miami Marlins (44-59).

Strasburg boasts a sterling 7-0 mark with a stingy 1.13 ERA in his last seven starts against the Marlins. Bryce Harper, who has done his fair share of tormenting Miami throughout his career, returned from a one-game absence in the starting lineup due to a stomach ailment and belted his 25th homer in Wednesday's 7-3 victory for Washington. While the Nationals have won just five of their last 13 contests, the Marlins began an 8-4 stretch with a resounding 10-2 triumph over Washington on July 8. J.T. Realmuto, who had a career-high five hits in that contest, belted a two-run homer and drove in four in Tuesday afternoon's 9-3 romp over Atlanta.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, MASN (Washington), FS Florida (Miami)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (6-7, 3.90 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (4-4, 4.02)

Strasburg's first start since June 8 was a rocky one, as the 30-year-old allowed six runs over 4 2/3 innings of an 8-5 setback against Atlanta. The performance, however, is best remembered for Strasburg and fellow hurler Max Scherzer having words in the dugout before taking their conversation down the tunnel. Strasburg surrendered eights hits - five of which were doubles - in the loss and will look to channel the form he exhibited in his last encounter with Miami, against which he scattered three hits and struck out eight across five scoreless innings of a 5-2 win on May 27.

Straily improved to 1-1 with a 2.42 ERA in his last four starts after yielding one run on four hits over seven innings of a 6-5 win at Tampa Bay last Friday. Included in that four-start stretch for the 29-year-old was a strong performance at Washington, during which he permitted two runs on five hits in six frames of a no-decision. Straily has kept the ball in the park in each of his last three outings after being taken deep seven times in his previous five trips to the mound.

WALK-OFFS

1. Miami 3B-RF Brian Anderson, who had three hits and three runs scored on Tuesday, is 7-for-24 with a homer and five RBIs against Washington this season.

2. Five of Washington rookie LF Juan Soto's seven hits against the Marlins have been doubles.

3. The Marlins are just 13-21 against their fellow NL East representatives.

PREDICTION: Nationals 5, Marlins 3
 

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Washington

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-14 in their last 19 road games.
Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 4-13 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Nationals are 3-11 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.
Nationals are 3-14 in their last 17 games following a win.
Nationals are 3-14 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-0 in Milones last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 4-0 in Milones last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 5-0 in Milones last 5 starts.
Nationals are 4-0 in Milones last 4 starts on grass.

Miami

Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.
Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Marlins are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Marlins are 4-11 in their last 15 games following an off day.
Marlins are 4-22 in their last 26 Thursday games.
Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Marlins are 5-0 in Strailys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Marlins are 6-2 in Strailys last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Marlins are 8-3 in Strailys last 11 home starts.
Marlins are 3-7 in Strailys last 10 starts.
Marlins are 2-5 in Strailys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 2-5 in Strailys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Marlins are 2-7 in Strailys last 9 starts on grass.
Marlins are 0-5 in Strailys last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 0-4 in Strailys last 4 Thursday starts.

OU Trends
Washington

Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 Thursday games.
Over is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 vs. National League East.
Under is 15-6 in Nationals last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 45-18-3 in Nationals last 66 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 20-8 in Nationals last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 51-21-6 in Nationals last 78 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 33-15 in Nationals last 48 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 33-15-3 in Nationals last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 52-25-5 in Nationals last 82 games following a win.
Under is 45-22-4 in Nationals last 71 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Miami

Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 8-1-1 in Marlins last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-1-2 in Marlins last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 on grass.
Over is 10-4-2 in Marlins last 16 games following a win.
Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 vs. National League East.
Over is 12-5 in Marlins last 17 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Strailys last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 7-1 in Strailys last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 17-3-1 in Strailys last 21 home starts.
Over is 5-1 in Strailys last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Strailys last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 18-6-3 in Strailys last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 11-4-1 in Strailys last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Strailys last 7 starts on grass.
Over is 20-8-2 in Strailys last 30 starts overall.
Over is 9-4-3 in Strailys last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Nationals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
Under is 18-6-2 in the last 26 meetings in Miami.
Nationals are 21-7 in the last 28 meetings.

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Preview: Twins at Red Sox
Gracenote
Jul 26, 2018

The Minnesota Twins look for their 13th victory in 18 games when they open a four-game series against the host Boston Red Sox on Thursday. The Twins arrive with momentum after outscoring the Blue Jays 25-9 en route to their first sweep in Toronto since April 11-13, 2003.

Mitch Garver went 4-for-6 with a homer and a career-best five RBIs while Minnesota broke loose for sixth 11th-inning runs in Wednesday's 12-6 win over the Blue Jays. Joe Mauer contributed three hits and three RBIs for his fourth multi-hit performance in six contests, with the 35-year-old going 11-for-29 during that stretch. The Red Sox, who had their contest against Baltimore on Wednesday postponed by rain while holding a 5-0 second-inning lead, will take another shot at recording their 16th victory in 19 games. Mookie Betts leads the major leagues with a .351 batting average and is hitting a torrid .380 with 10 multi-hit efforts this month.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FS North (Minnesota), NESN (Boston)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-7, 3.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (1-3, 3.81)

Gibson's bid for a third straight victory came to an end on Friday as he gave up four runs and six hits over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to Kansas City. The 30-year-old owns a 3.18 ERA and has limited opponents to a .204 batting average in 10 road starts but possesses just a 2-3 record. Gibson is 1-3 with a 3.06 ERA in five career starts against the Red Sox, including a loss on June 21 in which he gave up two runs and seven hits over six frames.

Johnson is making his sixth start of the season but is slated to return to the bullpen after the outing versus the Twins. The 27-year-old lost to Detroit in his last turn despite allowing only two unearned runs and five hits over five innings. Johnson, who gave up one run in one frame of relief against the Twins earlier this season, has posted a porous 5.10 ERA in 15 home appearances (two starts) this year compared to a 2.22 mark in 11 road games (three starts).

WALK-OFFS

1. Minnesota INF Taylor Motter was designated for assignment to clear a roster spot for RHP Ervin Santana, who pitched five innings on Wednesday in his season debut following finger surgery.

2. The Red Sox acquired RHP Nathan Eovaldi from Tampa Bay on Wednesday for LHP Jalen Beeks.

3. Garver is 7-for-10 in his last two games while LF Eddie Rosario has gone 5-for-10 over his last two contests and has recorded seven multi-hit performances in his last 10 outings.

PREDICTION: Red Sox 11, Twins 6
 

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W/L Trends
Minnesota

Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. American League East.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Twins are 12-5 in their last 17 overall.
Twins are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.
Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Twins are 9-3 in Gibsons last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.
Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 road starts.
Twins are 1-5 in Gibsons last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Twins are 1-7 in Gibsons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Boston

Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 55-20 in their last 75 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 39-16 in their last 55 games on grass.
Red Sox are 41-17 in their last 58 overall.
Red Sox are 60-25 in their last 85 vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.
Red Sox are 54-24 in their last 78 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 43-21 in their last 64 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
Red Sox are 9-1 in Johnsons last 10 starts.
Red Sox are 8-1 in Johnsons last 9 starts on grass.
Red Sox are 6-1 in Johnsons last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

OU Trends
Minnesota

Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League East.
Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 23-7-1 in Twins last 31 Thursday games.
Over is 6-2 in Twins last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 8-3-1 in Twins last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 8-3 in Twins last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Gibsons last 5 Thursday starts.
Over is 4-1 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 6-2 in Gibsons last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 13-5-1 in Gibsons last 19 road starts.
Over is 5-2 in Gibsons last 7 starts on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Gibsons last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 12-5 in Gibsons last 17 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Boston

Under is 9-1-1 in Red Sox last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 10-3 in Red Sox last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 13-5-1 in Red Sox last 19 home games.
Under is 13-5-1 in Red Sox last 19 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League Central.
Under is 5-0-1 in Johnsons last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
Under is 6-2-1 in Johnsons last 9 starts on grass.
Under is 6-2-1 in Johnsons last 9 starts overall.

Head to Head

Twins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.

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Preview: Dodgers at Braves
Gracenote
Jul 25, 2018

Max Muncy hit just five home runs in his first 215 major-league at-bats, which makes what the Los Angeles Dodgers infielder is doing this season all the more remarkable entering Thursday's opener of a four-game road series against the Atlanta Braves. Muncy belted his 24th shot in 250 at-bats this year in Wednesday’s 7-3 loss at Philadelphia and is just one shy of the National League lead as the Dodgers arrive in Atlanta holding a one-half game lead over Arizona in the NL West.

Homers are not unfamiliar to Los Angeles as it leads the NL with 139, although 98 have been solo shots, and the 27-year-old Muncy enters the series having reached base safely in 45 of his last 50 games. The Dodgers dropped two of three at Philadelphia and now take aim at the team trailing the Phillies by 1 ½ games in the NL East as the Braves open a seven-game homestand. Rumored to be interested in almost every reliever available leading up to Tuesday’s non-waiver trade deadline, Atlanta owns a 4.29 bullpen ERA so far this month while losing 10 of its 17 contests. The good news is that Nick Markakis (.319) and Freddie Freeman (.318) are second and third, respectively, in the NL in hitting while the Braves rank second in the league in team batting at .261.

TV: 7:35 p.m. ET, MLB Network, SportsNet LA (Los Angeles), FS Southeast (Atlanta)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Rich Hill (3-4, 4.26 ERA) vs. Braves RH Anibal Sanchez (5-2, 2.76)

Hill has recovered from a blister that cost him a month of the season, and in seven appearances (six starts) since returning from the disabled list in June has posted a 2.95 ERA while holding opponents to a .226 batting average. The 38-year-old, who will make his 260th career appearance on Thursday, struck out nine while holding Milwaukee to one run and five hits over six innings on Friday to earn the victory. Hill, who is limiting left-handed hitters to a .639 OPS, defeated the Braves last year in his first appearance against them since 2013.

Sanchez matched a season high with eight strikeouts at Washington on Friday, limiting the Nationals to three runs and six hits in six innings to notch the victory. The 34-year-old continues to provide solid work in the middle of Atlanta’s young rotation, posting a 2.68 ERA with 54 strikeouts and only 14 walks in nine starts since the beginning of June. Sanchez beat the Dodgers on June 9, allowing two runs and three hits over 5 1/3 frames to improve to 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in six career meetings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Freeman brings an eight-game hitting streak into the series, batting .371 with seven RBIs while recording five multi-hit performances during the run.

2. Los Angeles OF Joc Pederson hit .533 with three doubles and a homer in the series against Philadelphia.

3. Dodgers SS-3B Manny Machado is 7-for-27 with four walks in six games since being acquired from Baltimore.

PREDICTION: Braves 4, Dodgers 2
 

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W/L Trends
LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a loss.
Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Dodgers are 15-5 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 14-5 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 83-36 in their last 119 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 20-9 in their last 29 road games.
Dodgers are 57-27 in their last 84 vs. National League East.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 8-0 in Hills last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Dodgers are 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Dodgers are 9-3 in Hills last 12 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 6-2 in Hills last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Dodgers are 6-2 in Hills last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 2-5 in Hills last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 2-7 in Hills last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Atlanta

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 Thursday games.
Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Braves are 8-2 in Sanchezs last 10 starts on grass.
Braves are 8-3 in Sanchezs last 11 starts.

OU Trends
LA Dodgers

Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 12-3-1 in Dodgers last 16 vs. National League East.
Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 Thursday games.
Over is 2-0-2 in Hills last 4 Thursday starts.
Over is 8-0 in Hills last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-1 in Hills last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 9-3 in Hills last 12 starts on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Hills last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 9-3 in Hills last 12 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Atlanta

Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. National League West.
Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Braves last 8 Thursday games.
Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 home starts.
Under is 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

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Preview: Athletics at Rangers
Gracenote
Jul 26, 2018

The streaking Oakland Athletics have had no trouble overcoming deficits lately, regardless of the size or time in the game. Oakland, which has posted back-to-back comeback victories, looks to complete a four-game sweep when it visits the Texas Rangers for the finale of their series on Thursday.

One day after scoring 11 unanswered runs over their last four innings to post a 13-10 triumph, the Athletics crossed the plate five times over the last three frames on Wednesday to extend their winning streak to five games with a 6-5 victory. Khris Davis accounted for all of Oakland's late scoring as he belted a three-run homer in the seventh and a two-run shot with two outs in the ninth, giving him six blasts - and 13 RBIs - during his four-game hitting streak. Robinson Chirinos launched a three-run homer for Texas, which has lost five of six since the All-Star break and 10 of 12 overall. Chirinos has hit safely in seven of his last eight contests while Adrian Beltre, who shares the major-league lead with seven sacrifice flies, has recorded five RBIs in as many games.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, NBCS California (Oakland), FS Southwest (Texas)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (1-2, 2.95 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85)

Cahill settled for a no-decision against San Francisco on Saturday after giving up just one run and two hits over 5 2/3 innings in his second start since returning from an absence of more than a month due to an Achilles injury. The 30-year-old Californian has allowed a total of five hits over 9 1/3 frames in the two outings after surrendering seven in 4 2/3 innings in his final turn before landing on the disabled list. Cahill is 10-4 with a 2.81 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rangers, including a no-decision at Texas on April 23, with the 10 victories respresenting his most versus any team.

Colon fell to 0-3 with a 5.30 ERA in three starts this month after surrendering five runs and eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland on Saturday. The 45-year-old Dominican remains in search of his 246th career victory, which would move him past Dennis Martinez (Nicaragua) for the all-time lead among pitchers from Latin America. Colon owns a 10-6 record with one shutout and a 3.34 ERA in 22 starts and one relief appearance against Oakland, including a 1-0 mark and 2.45 ERA in two turns this season.

WALK-OFFS

1. Davis, who leads the Athletics with 27 homers and 77 RBIs, has gone deep in six consecutive games against the Rangers.

2. Texas has allowed at least six runs in each of its last six losses, surrendering a total of 65 in those contests.

3. Oakland, which leads the majors with 95 homers on the road, has erased deficits in 17 of their last 26 victories.

PREDICTION: Rangers 6, Athletics 2
 

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