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Knightrofins · Jul 28, 2018

[h=2]Clemson 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +525
To win the ACC: -190
To win the ACC Atlantic: -340
Makes Playoff: Yes -130, No +100
Makes NY6 Bowl: Yes -430, No +310
Win Total: 11 (over -120)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 23. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Clemson 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 11.4[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Clemson to make the College Football Playoff (-100, Westgate)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]I’ve written plenty of content on Clemson deserving a bet to make the College Football Playoff. BetOnline and 5Dimes no longer have this bet at plus-money, but you can still find even-money at Westgate in Las Vegas.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]With Clemson listed at -340 to win the Atlantic Division and -190 to win the ACC, I still think the playoff prop offers the most value. I am personally invested in all things Tigers.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Quarterback Kelly Bryant had issues with explosiveness last season, as Clemson ranked 119th offensively in 2017. That showed in the College Football Playoff semifinal against Alabama, as the Tigers just didn’t have the offensive firepower to come back from a two-score deficit.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]However, the addition of true freshman quarterback Trevor Lawrence could resolve the explosiveness piece of the puzzle. Couple that with a defense that ranked No. 2 in defensive S&P+ and returns a strong 75% of its production on that side of the ball, and this is a scary-good team.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you need to know about Clemson[/h][FONT=&quot]Lawrence’s opening-drive bomb in the spring game was exciting, but it exposed a potential problem at cornerback. Clemson is two-deep at every position and has the fewest flaws in FBS, but corner play could become an issue.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]Luckily for the Tigers, they don’t face many quarterbacks who can exploit their corners — especially in their two toughest games against Texas A&M and Florida State.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]However, N.C. State senior signal-caller Ryan Finley could have a field day. Even with Clemson an anticipated three-score favorite, that game (on Oct. 20) smells like a trap. I’ll patiently wait for a Wolfpack +21 to pop before making an investment.

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[h=2]Louisville 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +70000
To win the ACC: +4000
To win the ACC Atlantic: +2200
Makes Playoff: +8000
Win Total: 7 (over -105, under -115)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 23. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Louisville 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.8[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Louisville Under 7 Wins (-115)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Louisville obviously took a hit with quarterback Lamar Jackson’s departure to the NFL. The Cardinals rank 124th overall in returning production — and the defense actually lost more personnel than the offense did.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Jackson spent his career running for his life behind an offensive line that couldn’t protect him. However, that unit may be the strength of a team that lost plenty of experience from last season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Louisville may have a completely different identity this year. If it does, coach Bobby Petrino will return to his roots. New quarterback Jawon Pass fits the mold of previous Petrino passers Ryan Mallett and Brian Brohm.[/FONT]

ACC Digital Network
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.@UofLFootball QB Jawon Pass is MORE than ready for the challenge of taking over where Louisville legend @Lj_era8 left off. #L1C4
4:27 PM - May 15, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]As for the defense, plenty of questions exist at every level with only two returning starters. New defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder was last seen leading a defense at Notre Dame — where he was fired four games into the 2016 season. He spent the past two seasons as an analyst at Georgia and Oklahoma State.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The schedule is downright brutal — starting with a neutral site game to open the season against reigning national champion Alabama. That initial point spread sits significantly above my projections, but Nick Saban owned Petrino in SEC play when the latter coached Arkansas. Petrino covered one point spread (a 24-20 loss in 2010) in his four head-to-head meetings with Saban.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]Oh, and did I mention Louisville also has to travel to Clemson? Yikes.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Almost every other game on the schedule could go either way, but a brand-new defense could really struggle against Georgia Tech. Not only will it see the triple option for the first time, but that game comes a week after the Cardinals face Florida State at home.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]With two certain losses and seven coin tosses for a team dealing with a ton of turnover, I’m rolling with under 7 wins.

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[h=2]Syracuse 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +200000
To win the ACC: +10000
To win the ACC Atlantic: +4100
Win Total: 5.5 (over -125)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 23. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Syracuse 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 5.7[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Syracuse Over 5.5 (-125)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]I wrote back in May to take the BetDSI opener of over 4.5 wins on the Orange. Since then, the win total has moved a full game north.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]My projections put Syracuse at 5.7, but Cuse will need a November to remember to get to six wins. Trouble is, Syracuse has not won a game in November since 2015.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Plenty of reasons account for the November slides. The Orange have frequently faced peak Clemson, Louisville and Florida State in November. Depth on both sides of the ball has also not recovered from late-October bye weeks. And most notably, famous jump-kicking quarterback Eric Dungey cannot stay healthy.[/FONT]

NOTSportsCenter@NOTSportsCenter

Eric Dungey...from the top rope!

(Video via @Deadspin) #Syracuse
7:48 PM - Oct 21, 2017

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[FONT=&quot]If injuries don’t take a toll on Syracuse, the November schedule might. Boston College and Wake Forest should have two of the most dynamic offensive playmakers in the ACC (AJ Dillon and Greg Dortch), while Notre Dame and Louisville return plenty of well-coached depth. That Louisville game is Syracuse’s only November home contest, too.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]However, we could potentially get this ticket to the window by the end of October. Syracuse doesn’t have much of a chance against a Clemson team seeking revenge for a 2017 upset loss, but the Orange will be favored by at least a touchdown in early-season games against Western Michigan, Wagner and UConn. Add in coin flips against Pitt, N.C. State and North Carolina, and Cuse could realistically get to six wins by November if everything breaks right.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]If we can get just a bit of resistance from an experienced defense in passing down situations (111th in success rate, 120th in explosiveness), victories similar to 2017 Clemson will follow. Even after the line move, I still like over 5.5 wins at -125. The Orange just need some good health and five wins before November rolls around.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you need to know about Syracuse[/h][FONT=&quot]Looking for an upset on the schedule? Syracuse should be a live home dog against Florida State on Sept. 15. The current line is FSU -9.5, but my projections make it under a touchdown.[/FONT]

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[FONT=&quot]It won’t be the first time coaches Dino Babers and Willie Taggart go head-to-head. In 2016, South Florida defeatedSyracuse by 25 — despite getting outgained by almost 100 yards. The Orange had 10 more first downs and dominated time of possession. Taggart is an offensive genius, but Babers’ squad won that box score decisively. Take the Orange with the points and sprinkle a little on the moneyline.

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[h=2]Florida State 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +5000
To win the ACC: +1000
To win the ACC Atlantic: +625
Makes Playoff: +775
Win Total: 7.5 (over -160, under +140)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 24. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Florida State 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 7.2[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Florida State Under 7.5 (+140)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Following one season at Oregon, Willie Taggart comes back home after serving as head coach of South Florida from 2013-2016. The Jimbo Fisher era in Tallahassee ended unceremoniously in 2017, thanks in large part to an injury to starting quarterback Deandre Francois. The result? Florida State had the 75th S&P+ offense with an adjusted pace of 127th. That is all about to change with Taggart.[/FONT]

PFF College
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Direct comparison between Deondre Francois & James Blackman's numbers when targeting inside the numbers the past two seasons
12:31 PM - Jun 29, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]There should be an adjustment period on both sides of the ball. Taggart will implement an up-tempo offensive style for a roster that has plenty of freshmen and sophomores. The defense will also have a new look as defensive coordinator Harlon Barnett joins from Michigan State.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]When there are this many changes to a team, there will be bumps in the road against experienced teams, especially in the first half of the season. Unfortunately, the Seminoles will need to deal with Syracuse, Miami and Wake Forest over the first seven games of the season, so that could spell trouble.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]The one thing that isn’t changing is the talent level in Tallahassee. Florida State has not ranked lower than 11th in overall recruiting in the past five years, but it could take some time for the new recruits to find their game. Thus, I think the Seminoles will struggle in the first half, and that’s why we’re rolling with Under 7.5 +140.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you need to know about Florida State[/h][FONT=&quot]Since I think it’s wise to fade the Seminoles in the first half of the season, I’ve got a couple of Game of the Year numbers on my radar. We won’t know when the young roster will adapt to Taggart’s new schemes, but by November, his players should have it down. After a rough two-month stretch that includes Clemson, the Seminoles take on North Carolina State to open November.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]Florida State -2.5 is worth an investment against quarterback Ryan Finley and the Wolfpack. The Action Network has this game projected at 4.5, and the youth on the roster should be up to speed by Game 9. Additionally, a deeper review of the NC State-Pitt box score last year shows Finley had a mediocre day against a similar defense that Florida State will present.[/FONT]

Knightrofins · Jul 28, 2018

[h=2]Miami 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +4500
To win the ACC: +600
To win the ACC Coastal: +117
To make Playoff: Yes +700, No -1100
To make NY6 Bowl: Yes +220, No -300
Win Total: 9.5 (over +110, under -130)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 23. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Miami 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 8.4[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Miami Under 9.5 (-110)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The resurgent Miami Hurricanes raced to a 10-0 start last season, despite some moments of smoke and mirrors. Toledo, Florida State, and Georgia Tech all had the lead heading into halftime of their respective games with the Canes. The second halves in 2017 can be described as magical defensive havoc for Miami (as it ranked 13th overall), which led to the birth of the turnover chain.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]A 10-0 start to the 2018 season is in play for Miami. The Hurricanes are projected to be favorites up until they visit Virginia Tech. There are tricky situational spots in the schedule against up-and-coming teams, such as Virginia or Boston College, off bye weeks.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Miami also had the benefit of multiple games at home last year, including an Orange Bowl loss to Wisconsin. The tables have turned this season, as Miami hits the road five times. The biggest road contest comes at Blacksburg against Virginia Tech for Coastal Division supremacy.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The roster has question marks on the offensive line, and the fan base is not happy with the play of quarterback Malik Rosier. Third-down conversion percentage was an issue (Miami ranked 125th in the nation), and there was too much dependence on the explosiveness of players such as wide receiver Braxton Berrios, who is gone to the NFL.[/FONT]

ACC Digital Network
✔@theACCDN

With the 210th pick in the #NFLDraft, the @Patriots have selected @CanesFootball WR Braxton Berrios (@HNYNUT_BERRIOS) in the 6th round!
5:12 PM - Apr 28, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]Even with the Canes projected to be favorites in so many games, the schedule is full of rising teams in great situational spots. Virginia comes off a bye week to catch the Hurricanes on a hangover from Florida State. Virginia Tech hosts Miami on back-to-back travel. We will fade the explosiveness, the quarterbacks and the questions on the offensive line for an Under 9.5 -110.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you need to know about Miami[/h][FONT=&quot]5Dimes opened the LSU-Miami game at Canes -3. That line currently sits at Miami -2.5. Although I project Miami to not get to 10 wins, this is a spot I am looking to back the Hurricanes.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LSU is 122nd overall in returning production, and while the Tigers are generally rich in recruiting talents, there is chaos in the coaching staff. Matt Canada departs, making way for tight ends coach Steve Ensminger, a strong Ed Orgeron supporter, to take on the role of offensive coordinator.[/FONT]

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[FONT=&quot]Joe Burrow transfers in from Ohio State to be LSU’s quarterback, but the running back stable doesn’t return a single touchdown. I don’t have faith in Orgeron-Ensminger calling a game, making adjustments or developing the quarterback. Take the Canes in Week 1.

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[h=2]Duke 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +100000
To win the ACC: +5000
To win the ACC Coastal: +935
Win Total: 6 (over -115, under -105)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 23. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Duke 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.7[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Duke Under 6 (-105)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]If you want a lesson in how important an offensive line can be to a football team, check out Duke in 2017. A midseason, six-game losing streak started with injuries to the offensive line, and led to terrible quarterback play.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Daniel Jones is one of the best quarterbacks in the ACC but he scrambled for his life during that losing streak. The offensive line loses three starters, but Duke as a whole has plenty of depth, ranking 11th overall in returning production.[/FONT]

ACC Digital Network
✔@theACCDN

.@quicklanebowl champs

and looking for more.@DukeFOOTBALL's looking to break out in 2018 and these guys could be a big reason why

#DukeGang @BrittainBKB @Big_vic72 @mdwaters2139
12:46 PM - Jul 6, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]The schedule is not as harmonious of a story. Clemson comes on the slate from the Atlantic, while a much improved Baylor team awaits in non-conference play. Other road trips include Miami and Northwestern. Only Army and N.C. Central can be considered absolute wins, especially as Duke coach David Cutcliffe has had plenty of success against the option.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Duke’s biggest weakness is the depth and talent on the offensive line. This unit anchored a struggling offense that ranked 108th in explosiveness and 105th in finishing drives.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Get a 7-day free trial to access all of our premium college football articles and exclusive betting data.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Teams with an outstanding front seven on defense will give Duke its toughest competition. Miami, Virginia Tech and Pitt all fit the mold. Northwestern will take a step back this season, but still have highly-ranked defensive line and linebacker units. Take Duke Under 6 -115 until the offensive line gets more depth and experience.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you need to know about Duke[/h][FONT=&quot]This is college football, and you will be moose’d at some point. One of my larger mooses from 2017 was Duke -3.5 against Army. I am still completely tilted by the Army blocked punt touchdown.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]The Action Network power ratings make this game above two touchdowns in favor of Duke. With revenge on the Blue Devils’ mind and all summer to prepare for the triple option, take Duke -10.5 in Week 1. Army’s lockbox run should come to an end, but keep tabs on the Ahmad Bradshaw situation.[/FONT]
[h=2]More College Football Betting Previews[/h]
[h=2]Virginia Tech 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 8.2[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Virginia Tech to win the ACC Coastal +235[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The news coming out of Blacksburg this offseason has me cracking my team journal and taking notes almost weekly. Reports surfaced that starting quarterback Josh Jackson had academic issues that could keep him off the field.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]After those issues were apparently resolved, the defense had more turnover with the dismissal of Mook Reynolds. The nickel back served a Roquan Smith-type role for the Hokies and will be missed this fall. At least the new orange uniforms are straight fire.[/FONT]
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HokiesFB

✔@HokiesFB

Look good, feel good, play good... New threads for 2018!!! #HOKIES

HARD • SMART • TOUGH

12:05 PM - Apr 11, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]Despite all the off-field news, this is still a very talented and capable Hokies team that could return to the ACC championship game. The game to decide this futures bet is Nov. 17 against Miami at home.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Current game of the year numbers have Hokies +2, which correlates to no larger than +140. The ACC road schedule is kind, getting Florida State with all its changes right out of the gate. Road trips to Duke, Pitt and North Carolina make this a very manageable schedule. Take note that both Miami and Virginia come to Blacksburg on back-to-back travel to end the season, making Virginia Tech to win the Coastal +235 the play.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[h=2]What else you need to know about Virginia Tech[/h][FONT=&quot]Old Dominion was shut out 38-0 in 2017 by Virginia Tech, letting 21 second-half points go unanswered to miss covering the 35-point spread. Cautiously look to take an inflated Monarchs number this year. Virginia Tech has Old Dominion scheduled on the road Sept. 22 before a conference game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The Monarchs are 23rd overall in returning production, meaning they will have a fresh memory of 2017 and plenty of experience. This number should open north of 21, and expected steam on the Hokies should move the line, so wait until game day to get the best Old Dominion number.[/FONT]
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Knightrofins · Jul 28, 2018

[h=2]N.C. State 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +40000
To win the ACC: +4000
To win the ACC Atlantic: +2300
To make Playoff: Yes +6000, No -20000
To make NY6 Bowl: Yes +1100, No -2300
Win Total: 7 ( over -130)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 23. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]N.C. State 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.5[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]N.C. State Under 7 (+110)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]While the world knows about senior quarterback Ryan Finley, it’s the Wolfpack defense that will decide the 2018 season. Surrounding Finley are three returning offensive linemen, most of the targets in the receiving corps and a healthy dose of rushing experience. This offense will give plenty of ACC defenses trouble.[/FONT]

ACC Digital Network
✔@theACCDN

.@PackFootball QB Ryan Finley will return for the 2018 season! #1Pack1Goal
5:10 PM - Jan 6, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]The questions for N.C. State will be on the defense, with a returning production rank of 129th, second-lowest in the country. Bradley Chubb departed for the NFL, leaving a major gap on the Wolpack defensive line.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Chubb didn’t play in N.C. State’s bowl victory over Arizona State. The Sun Bowl might have been foreshadowing for 2018 — both teams went for almost 500 yards of total offense.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Like so many other ACC mid-tier teams, there are plenty of coin flip games on the schedule. Georgia State will be a victory, while Clemson should be a loss (although Finley can light up the Tigers’ corners). We will go with Under 7 +110, as we cannot trust a defense with this many holes to have eight victories.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you need to know about N.C. State[/h][FONT=&quot]There are not any over/unders for individual games listed in the futures market, but know that a depleted Wolfpack defense may turn into plenty of over opportunities this season.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]West Virginia, led by Will Grier, comes to town Sept. 15. Boston College is dedicated to an up-tempo offense, and should have one of the most explosive offenses in college football. Syracuse and Wake Forest will bring their own explosive packages that should provide plenty of points. Look for Wolfpack totals to go over weekly.

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[h=4]Georgia Tech 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +60000
To win the ACC: +4000
To win the ACC Coastal: +725
Win Total: 6 (over -120)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 24. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Georgia Tech 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.3[/FONT]
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[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Georgia Tech Over 6 (-120)[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]If Navy is the land of the plug-and-play quarterback, Georgia Tech is the land of the plug-and-play running back. And quarterback TaQuon Marshall will get a bit more time to throw this year with all his offensive linemen back. That’s a good recipe for success.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]When Georgia Tech wants to pass, it comes in huge chunks, as it ranks second overall in passing explosiveness. Of course, Georgia Tech’s entire game is to get the defense to bite on the triple-option play action and throw it over the top.[/FONT]

ACC Digital Network
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TaQuon Marshall. KirVonte Benson.

Get to know the names of two of @GeorgiaTechFB's biggest offensive weapons. #TogetherWeSwarm

3:41 PM - May 18, 2018

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[FONT=&quot]But enough about the offense — we know what Tech wants to do. The biggest off-field news from a gambling standpoint was the hiring of Nate Woody as defensive coordinator. Woody comes from Appalachian State, where his teams consistently ranked in the havoc top-25 rankings.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The returning production on defense ranks 108th, so Woody does have his work cut out for him. Look for the Jackets to move from a complicated 4-2-5 to a 3-4 scheme on defense during their opener against Alcorn State.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Georgia Tech had a 2nd Order win total of 0.8, indicating it played almost a win better than its record in 2017. The Jackets draw Clemson from the Atlantic and Georgia in nonconference play. Georgia Tech should have easy victories in Alcorn State and Bowling Green. In the remaining eight games, the point spread is projected within one score. Tech also has early games against teams that are rebuilding, including South Florida and Louisville.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Expect coach Paul Johnson to take a team with an experienced offense — combined with havoc defensive coordinator Woody — to go over its win total. It opened at 5.5 and now sits at 6 or 6.5 across the market, but 6 is a number I’m still comfortable with.

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[h=1]Wake Forest 2018 Betting Preview: High-Powered Offense Will Lead to Major Upsets[/h]Collin WilsonJul 26, 2018 / 5:21 PM EDT

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[FONT=&quot][h=2]Wake Forest 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +50000
To win the ACC: +5000
To win the ACC Atlantic: +2650
Win Total: 6.5 (under -120)

All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 24. Always shop for the best line.

[h=2]Wake Forest 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h]The Action Network Projected Wins: 7.4

[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h]Wake Forest Over 6.5 (-110)
In 2017, Dave Clawson’s “Clawfense” went into full effect and had the Demon Deacons up to 28th in explosiveness and second in Passing S&P+ despite missing star wide receiver Greg Dortch for all of November.
The Demon Deacons are well-known for their explosiveness, but were also seventh in red zone scoring percentage. Quarterback John Wolford departs, but Kendall Hinton will do just fine after he serves a three-game suspension (Tulane, Towson and Boston College). Whoever is under center for those three games will have one mission — swing the ball to Dortch.

ACC Digital Network
✔@theACCDN

UNFINISHED BUSINESS.@WakeFB WR Greg Dortch is on a mission to terrorize defenses this season after missing five games last year due to injury.

(@_GDortch)
12:28 PM - May 17, 2018

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Wake Forest returns all five starting offensive linemen and its most productive running backs. And if the Deacons can improve on their third-down conversion percentage (57th in 2017), the Deacs’ offense can give Notre Dame, Clemson and Florida State fits. With Clemson’s suspect cornerbacks, it would not be a reach to say that Wake could upset the Tigers at home, and I wouldn’t count it out on the road against Louisville or Florida State.
The one concern I have about the Demon Deacons is that their defense was average in most advanced stats, but improvement in the passing game (87th Passing S&P+ and 78th in adjusted sack rate) will dramatically help. I think there is plenty of value in backing the Deacons to win over 6.5 games, even with Hinton’s suspension.

>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.

[h=2]What else you need to know about Wake Forest[/h]The Action Network power rankings have the opener against Tulane lined at Wake -14.5. This number has taken a dip with the announcement of Hinton’s suspension, but this is still an elite offense that should plow over Tulane’s underwhelming front seven (98th in Opportunity Rate defense). The Wake Forest defense has all summer to prepare for the triple option, and should have a dominant rushing attack to play ball control. Take Wake Forest -7, currently listed at BookMaker, in Week 1.

[h=2]North Carolina 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +400000
To win the ACC: +13500
To win the ACC Coastal: +2500
Win Total: 5.5 -115

All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 25. Always shop for the best line.

[h=2]North Carolina 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h]The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.2

[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h]North Carolina Over 5.5 Wins -115
There is plenty of anxiety throughout Tar Heel nation after last year’s 3-9 season. Head coach Larry Fedora dealt with every plague you can imagine — from injuries to inefficiencies. North Carolina scored more than 21 points just twice in ACC play, a 34-31 victory over Pitt and 47-35 loss to Louisville … both of which had special teams pad the final point total.

The Game Haus Sports@TGHSports

If you didn’t know UNC and Pittsburgh are playing football. This is how #UNCvsPITT started:
8:35 PM - Nov 9, 2017

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Not only did the UNC offense rank 115th in third down conversions and 123rd in time of possession, but it also had 22 turnovers lost. It was a bad 2017, to say the least. Fedora desperately needed a reboot ahead of this season.
If the offensive line can find stability, UNC has plenty of weapons for whomever wins the quarterback battle. There is definitely reason for optimism in Chapel Hill.

ACC Digital Network
✔@theACCDN

Anthony Ratliff-Williams can

DO. IT. ALL.

(@TarHeelFootball, @AnthonyRatliff_)
2:08 PM - May 11, 2018

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North Carolina ranks 30th overall in returning production, and avoids Clemson, Florida State and Louisville on the schedule. As a result, the Tar Heels have the third-easiest strength of schedule of all ACC teams, per ESPN’s FPI.
The schedule has two directional schools (East Carolina and Western Carolina), which should serve as check marks in the win column. UNC also will play a number of games as a short underdog, but in favorable scheduling spots.

>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.

The Heels will open the season seeking revenge for their 2017 home opener upset loss to Cal. They’ll also benefit from a bye week before hosting Virginia Tech, while N.C. State and Georgia Tech both travel to Chapel Hill on the second leg of back-to-back road games. And a “road trip” to Duke involves getting on a bus for 25 minutes.
One of North Carolina’s most intriguing games will come in its Week 3 home opener against Central Florida. SouthPoint in Las Vegas opened North Carolina at +11, but that quickly got knocked down to +3.5. If all breaks right, UNC has a realistic shot of starting 4-0 ahead of a prime-time date at Miami to end September.

If UNC can increase its offensive efficiency in the run game, protect the ball a little better and get a little more linebacker havoc (114th in 2017), over 5.5 wins -115 will have no issue cashing. The schedule really sets up favorably for North Carolina to make a bowl.
[/FONT]

Knightrofins · Jul 28, 2018

[h=1]Virginia 2018 Betting Preview: JUCO QB Could Create Explosive Offense[/h]Collin WilsonJul 27, 2018 / 12:23 PM EDT

[FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot][h=2]Virginia 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +250000
To win the ACC: +30000
To win the ACC Coastal: +4000
Win Total: 5 (over +125, under -155)

All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 25. Always shop for the best line.

[h=2]Virginia 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h]The Action Network Projected Wins: 5.4

[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h]Virginia Over 5 Wins
Fading Virginia was one of my biggest bowl plays of 2017. The Wahoos ranked 76th in defensive rushing success rate, specifically 113th in stuff rate. Translation — the Virginia defense did not control the line of scrimmage and could not get into the backfield against Navy’s option.

>> Follow Collin Wilson in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all his college football bets during the season.

The key to beating Navy is filling the A-gap with solid outside contain. Virginia turned a trip to the Military Bowl into a recruiting video for Navy football, and UVA will have to be much better against the run if the defense wants to improve in 2018. There aren’t any strong signs pointing to that.

Virginia ranks 106th in offensive returning production, but that might not be a bad thing after it ranked outside the top 100 in efficiency, pass explosiveness and rushing explosiveness. Addition by subtraction, of sorts.
That leads to the biggest offseason news for Virginia — JUCO recruit Bryce Perkins has won the starting quarterback job. Perkins began his career at Arizona State, but left after being asked to switch positions.
What do we know about Perkins? He’s an electric dual-threat quarterback who makes defenses miss tackles.

NJCAA TV@NJCAATV

Bryce Perkins has been doing it all for Arizona Western today #njcaafootball
7:41 PM - Dec 3, 2017

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Expect plenty of moving pockets, since coach Bronco Mendenhall must replace most of the offensive line production from 2017. Victories over Richmond and Liberty are highly probable, making the Hoos only three wins shy of a push on the season win total over.
Five other games have Virginia favored or within a touchdown dog. Let’s jump aboard the Perkins train for Wahoos over 5 (-110), as half of the teams on the schedule have issues stopping the run.
[h=2]What else you need to know about Virginia[/h]Game of the Year lines (Richmond +11 and Virginia Tech -17.5) are close to the projections from The Action Network power rankings. A wager against the Hokies may be in order, as they ranked 122nd in defending explosiveness.
Virginia Tech has lost a handful of key contributors to the NFL or due to off-field issues, which could be great news for Virginia +17.5 and its explosive new offense.

[h=2]Boston College 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +40000
To win the ACC: +4200
To win the ACC Atlantic: +2450
To make Playoff: Yes +5500, No -17500)
Win Total: 6 (over -175, under +145)

All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 26. Always shop for the best line.

[h=2]Boston College 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h]The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.5

[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h]Boston College Under 6 (+145)
Boston College made a dedicated effort to go up-tempo in 2017. It ran 87 plays per game through the first three games last year, and after a 400-yard outburst against Notre Dame, it was clear that the Eagles’ dink-and-dunk approach wouldn’t win them games whether they huddled or not.
It wasn’t until Game 5 against Central Michigan that BC finally started to find its identity in star running back AJ Dillon and started carving teams up on the ground. The Eagles won six of their final eight regular-season games, and Dillon finished the year with 1,589 yards and 14 touchdowns.

ACC Digital Network
✔@theACCDN

Our No. 2 #MustSeeMoment:@BCFootball RB AJ Dillon was NOT going to be denied.

(@ajdillon7)
12:52 PM - Jul 4, 2018

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Boston College ranks 31st overall in returning production, and there is plenty of talent to make some noise in the ACC. But are there seven wins on this schedule?
There is a stretch of games in mid-October that will be the toughest in college football (Louisville, Miami, Virginia Tech, Clemson and Florida State). However, if there is one thing we know about the Eagles, it’s that they have one massive upset in them.
Even though I am more bullish on BC’s projections than that of most other teams, I still have them as an underdog in a minimum of five games. They will be exciting, but not consistent, so I like the value on the under 6 +140. Boston College should be favored against Syracuse, but small enough to hedge this total.

>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.

[h=2]What else you need to know about Boston College[/h]Looking for that upset on the schedule? My focus will be Miami visiting on Oct. 28. Both teams come off a bye week, but it’s Mark Richt’s record off extra rest that intrigues me. Here is a list of Richt coached games off a bye week in recent history:

2017 (Miami): Trailing Toledo heading into the second half
2016 (Miami): Outgained in total yards by Georgia Tech, but handed three turnovers for the win
2015 (Georgia): Loses to Florida 27-3
2014 (Georgia): Loses to Florida 38-20, loses to South Carolina 38-35

Count me in on the Game of the Year line of Boston College +6.5, currently listed at 5Dimes. I’ll get some action down on the moneyline, too.

[h=1]Pittsburgh 2018 Betting Preview: Another Long Year for Narduzzi[/h]Collin WilsonJul 27, 2018 / 3:59 PM EDT

[h=2]Pittsburgh 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +120000
To win the ACC: +10000
To win the ACC Coastal: +1800
Win Total: 5 (over -145, under +115)

All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 25. Always shop for the best line.

[h=2]Pittsburgh 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h]The Action Network Projected Wins: 4.8

[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h]Penn State -13.5 vs. Pitt, Sept. 8
Pittsburgh under 7.5 was one of the easier win totals to cash in 2017. By the time Oklahoma State visited in Week 3, we knew the under was getting across the line. Last year the Panthers ranked 118th in explosiveness, 118th in field position and 116th in adjusted pace on offense. It was enough to put fans to sleep.

Barstool Sports@barstooltweetss

Pitt Football: Catch The Fever @StoolPitt
3:03 PM - Sep 16, 2017

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The good news is that Pitt has made a habit of upsetting teams in the hunt for a spot in the College Football Playoff. The Panthers defeated Clemson and Penn State in 2016 and Miami in 2017.
The bad news is head coach Pat Narduzzi has not developed the defense in the mold of Michigan State, where he served as Mark Dantonio’s defensive coordinator. The Narduzzi era in Pittsburgh has consisted of a sharp decline in havoc each season. The defense ranks 33rd in returning production and comes into the year overrated after it held Virginia Tech and Miami to fewer than three scores to end 2017.

>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.

The Action Network projected win total is 4.8 and is right in line with the betting market. More than half the schedule looks to be a coin-flip situation with point spreads below a touchdown either way. There is no value on the win total, but we can look to the nonconference slate where Narduzzi often struggles to cover.
[h=2]What else you should know about Pitt[/h]I am focusing on Penn State’s visit to Heinz Field on Sept. 8. The last time James Franklin coached at Heinz Field, clap cadence wound up costing him a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Collegian Football@psufootblog

Pitts clapping threw off Penn State.
4:04 PM - Sep 10, 2016

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Penn State rebounded to win and cover in State College last year, but Franklin is the kind of head coach who does not forget. Additionally, Pitt ranked 101st in defending pass explosiveness last year, and that is not a good formula to beat — or cover against — a quarterback such as Trace McSorley.
Pitt has replaced defensive coordinator Josh Conklin with Randy Bates, formerly of Northwestern. Franklin faced a Bates defense last season in a 31-7 victory over the Wildcats. Trace McSorley had one of his best passing games against Northwestern in 2017 and should do the same against Pitt in 2018 as we roll to the window with Penn State -13.5.

[/FONT]

[h=2]Pittsburgh 2018 Betting Odds[/h]

To win the National Title: +120000
To win the ACC: +10000
To win the ACC Coastal: +1800
Win Total: 5 (over -145, under +115)

[FONT=&quot]All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 25. Always shop for the best line.[/FONT]

[h=2]Pittsburgh 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds[/h][FONT=&quot]The Action Network Projected Wins: 4.8[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[h=2]Bet To Watch[/h][FONT=&quot]Penn State -13.5 vs. Pitt, Sept. 8[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Pittsburgh under 7.5 was one of the easier win totals to cash in 2017. By the time Oklahoma State visited in Week 3, we knew the under was getting across the line. Last year the Panthers ranked 118th in explosiveness, 118th in field position and 116th in adjusted pace on offense. It was enough to put fans to sleep.[/FONT]

Barstool Sports@barstooltweetss

Pitt Football: Catch The Fever @StoolPitt
3:03 PM - Sep 16, 2017

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[FONT=&quot]The good news is that Pitt has made a habit of upsetting teams in the hunt for a spot in the College Football Playoff. The Panthers defeated Clemson and Penn State in 2016 and Miami in 2017.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The bad news is head coach Pat Narduzzi has not developed the defense in the mold of Michigan State, where he served as Mark Dantonio’s defensive coordinator. The Narduzzi era in Pittsburgh has consisted of a sharp decline in havoc each season. The defense ranks 33rd in returning production and comes into the year overrated after it held Virginia Tech and Miami to fewer than three scores to end 2017.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]The Action Network projected win total is 4.8 and is right in line with the betting market. More than half the schedule looks to be a coin-flip situation with point spreads below a touchdown either way. There is no value on the win total, but we can look to the nonconference slate where Narduzzi often struggles to cover.[/FONT]
[h=2]What else you should know about Pitt[/h][FONT=&quot]I am focusing on Penn State’s visit to Heinz Field on Sept. 8. The last time James Franklin coached at Heinz Field, clap cadence wound up costing him a spot in the College Football Playoff.[/FONT]

Collegian Football@psufootblog

Pitts clapping threw off Penn State.
4:04 PM - Sep 10, 2016

Twitter Ads info and privacy

[FONT=&quot]Penn State rebounded to win and cover in State College last year, but Franklin is the kind of head coach who does not forget. Additionally, Pitt ranked 101st in defending pass explosiveness last year, and that is not a good formula to beat — or cover against — a quarterback such as Trace McSorley.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Pitt has replaced defensive coordinator Josh Conklin with Randy Bates, formerly of Northwestern. Franklin faced a Bates defense last season in a 31-7 victory over the Wildcats. Trace McSorley had one of his best passing games against Northwestern in 2017 and should do the same against Pitt in 2018 as we roll to the window with Penn State -13.5.[/FONT]

The Pooh · Jul 29, 2018

N.C. State +20 @ Clemson is a solid wager. A look ahead game for Clemson (@ Florida State the following week) against a team that is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings. On top of all of that, NC State is 12-0 ATS as a Conference Dog after a bye week.

I do not know who the person/people are who did the write ups, but they are not ver good when it comes to predictions. UNC Over 5 1/2 wins? How? I have them losing at home to UCF, Va. Tech, Ga. Tech and N.C. State, and losing away at Cal, Miami (FL), Syracuse and Duke. That looks more like 4-8 than 6-6.

DrJimmy · Jul 30, 2018

The Pooh said:
N.C. State +20 @ Clemson is a solid wager. A look ahead game for Clemson (@ Florida State the following week) against a team that is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings. On top of all of that, NC State is 12-0 ATS as a Conference Dog after a bye week.

I do not know who the person/people are who did the write ups, but they are not ver good when it comes to predictions. UNC Over 5 1/2 wins? How? I have them losing at home to UCF, Va. Tech, Ga. Tech and N.C. State, and losing away at Cal, Miami (FL), Syracuse and Duke. That looks more like 4-8 than 6-6.

On target Pooh. You know what you're talking about.

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