Timmy's thread Aug1st-end of regular season

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It's much easier to view or troll or whatever you want to call it than take the time
to research picks and list your plays.

So why am I doing this? By NO MEANS am I a great capper, hell probably not even a
good one. The main reason I'm doing this is to force money management on myself.

I have always been an action junkie therefore I make way too many wagers. On the bright
side I wager very small amounts so that my losses don't cause any financial hardships.
On the negative side I always lose in the long run. I'm smart enough to know better and this
is my first attempt to stop all the plays and do my best in showing any profit.

I've learned professionally and personally it's better to explain why you do something rather than
say "I don't know". With that in mind I will be explaining how I handicap, my thoughts on the
game and my plays.

I only use stats on scoresandodds right now. There probably are other sites but currently I am ok
with the data available there.

I will list my plays anywhere from 1 to 4 units. I WILL NOT list the value of a unit. It only matters
on Unit success not on whether I wager $1, $10, $100, $1000 a unit.

I currently have plenty of time so I will list thoughts on all games and post early and welcome constructive criticism.

I recommend waiting to see how this adventure goes before following my plays.

Please remember - money management, let's try to win, constructive criticism welcomed (and probably needed!!)

Six early games today, not all are up but I will be capping soon.

BOL to all. :toast:To winning and losing graciously.
 

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Here we go on the early games

Was-Noah off 21 days and Milone pitched once this year-lean NYM-115 FF
NYY-Gray much better last 3 and Cobb is good for giving up 4 runs.Lean NYY-x FF-175 or NYYov3 -130
Also lean NYYRL-140 but reluctantly passing due to Boston up next.
Cle-Carrasco era 3 in last three but Struggles with Minn. Unders 5-3 this year, early game-1U Under 9-105
Det-Fiers not bad recently-going with early game under 9-115 1Unit
 

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Oak-Stroman has pitched better but Oak is on a roll. If Manaea holds them
to 3 Oak wins. Oak-135 2U
Hou-Throw out the one bad game by Dallas and neither offense doing much. 1U un8-120
Pit-Does the new uniform change Cole? Unsure so only Lean Ov8-115
StL-Kyle's road era 3.6 vs Luke's home era 5 and he got rocked by Col last out. Col 1U+118
LaD-not scoring any runs and Chase stats better than Hill. 1U Milw+148, 2U un8-120
TB-Nick awful and Tyler 1st start. Pass
ChX-Two pitchers who can't string together two decent games. Pass

Waiting on updated pitching info for Atlanta.

I will summarize my unit plays later.
 

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Love the post and ideas for this thread, Timmy.

Best of luck today and going forward !
 

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Thanks Sam!

AtL-Pablo road era 5, Anibal not much better but AtL 8-3 against Mia
making this a 3U play-177. Waiting to see if line drops.

Other view points welcome on this play and any others!
 

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8 plays still a lot but nothing compared to 24:ohno:
dangerous risking 3 Units on 177 favorite

Summary in units

AtL 5.31 to win 3.00
Oak 2.70 to win 2.00
LaD u8 2.40 to win 2.00
Cle u9 1.05 to win 1.00
Det u9 1.15 to win 1.00
Hou u8 1.20 to win 1.00
Col 1.00 to win 1.18
Mil 1.00 to win 1.48
 

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It's much easier to view or troll or whatever you want to call it than take the time
to research picks and list your plays.

So why am I doing this? By NO MEANS am I a great capper, hell probably not even a
good one.
The main reason I'm doing this is to force money management on myself.

I have always been an action junkie therefore I make way too many wagers. On the bright
side I wager very small amounts so that my losses don't cause any financial hardships.
On the negative side I always lose in the long run.
I'm smart enough to know better and this
is my first attempt to stop all the plays and do my best in showing any profit.

I've learned professionally and personally it's better to explain why you do something rather than
say "I don't know". With that in mind I will be explaining how I handicap, my thoughts on the
game and my plays.

I only use stats on scoresandodds right now. There probably are other sites but currently I am ok
with the data available there.

I will list my plays anywhere from 1 to 4 units. I WILL NOT list the value of a unit. It only matters
on Unit success not on whether I wager $1, $10, $100, $1000 a unit.

I currently have plenty of time so I will list thoughts on all games and post early and welcome constructive criticism.

I recommend waiting to see how this adventure goes before following my plays.

Please remember - money management, let's try to win, constructive criticism welcomed (and probably needed!!)

Six early games today, not all are up but I will be capping soon.

BOL to all. :toast:To winning and losing graciously.
I really appreciate hearing or reading posts that I know are honest. But I have already seen many of your posts and we have both exchanged information not only here in MLB but in NCAAF and NCAAB. I so much agree with the items from your post that I have highlighted and you could be describing me with those words. I bet games and enjoy gambling but it is a hobby not a livelihood for example in MLB this year I am 108-118-13 so just slightly underwater. And, I can easily look back and see enough games that I have bet and lost, which would have put me ahead if I wasn't a "Action Junkie".

I always flat-bet to the point that my wagers do not even bet the juice, for example if a team is a -10 fav, I still bet the same as if they are the dog.

I will try to add some comments to your post as time permits (unfortunately NFL and NCAAF will be here very fast so MLB will not be of interest much longer). It is worth it, not only for me but to others, if we could get at least one or two others to add their thoughts just to help us push us just over that hump from slight losers to winners. I also think to many thoughts could hurt since it will dilute the thought process -- don't take this as suggesting you eliminate anyone -- it is to try to include the right people if you understand what I am trying to say.

I hope you carry this over to NCAAF and NCAAB since I think it could work well there too. I am not into NBA at all. I am into a limited amount of NFL betting but most of my NFL time is taken up with fantasy football.

Timmy you are coming up with some good ideas so much thanks for your efforts.
 

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Appreciate the input maddog!
 

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I agree with the Oak game got them @ -128, them being at home was a lot to me and think they outmatch TOR in most catagories. Since the game is about to start I need to submit now.
 

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TR, the next game on your list starts in about 10 mins. I don't do totals in MLB... no matter what I do most of the time it turns out to be a loser. That being said, from everything I have capped Under is the bet... just hope my problems with totals don't travel from my keyboard to your screen. Just so you know, I'll not comment on further totals.
 

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Well if you suck at totals comment away if it's opposite of my playw-thumbs!^
 

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Timmy not playing but like in this order Dodgers, Az, Angels good luck
 

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Timmy not playing but like in this order Dodgers, Az, Angels good luck

Dodgers better not get embarrassed and swept at home, but like the value with Milw.

You think Angels break out of their funk tonight? I don't trust Nick so they better score 5 or more.

You DAMN sure won't lose AZ, especially since they don't play tonight :):)
 

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