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  1. #601  
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    Big 12 Report - Week 11
    November 6, 2018
    By Joe Williams



    2018 BIG 12 STANDINGS


    Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
    Baylor 5-4 3-3 3-5-1 6-3
    Iowa State 5-3 4-2 6-2 3-5
    Kansas 3-6 1-5 4-5 4-5
    Kansas State 3-6 1-5 5-4 3-6
    Oklahoma 8-1 5-1 4-5 8-1
    Oklahoma State 5-4 3-4 4-5 5-4
    Texas 6-3 4-2 3-5-1 5-4
    Texas Christian 4-5 2-4 2-7 4-5
    Texas Tech 5-4 3-3 6-3 7-2
    West Virginia 7-1 5-1 5-2-1 4-4


    Texas Christian at West Virginia (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
    The Horned Frogs limp into Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown hoping to avoid their sixth loss of the season. There were some high expectations early on in the season for TCU, but now they are just trying to qualify for a bowl. A win over a Top 10 West Virginia team would be a big feather in their cap. The Mountaineers picked up a giant road win over Texas last week, yet are favored by just 13 in this one because of TCU's defense. The rank 27th nationally, allowing just 335 yards per game, and 190.7 yards per game through the air. TCU is just 0-8 ATS over the past eight conference games, 0-6 ATS in their past six overall and 1-7 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has a 5-2-1 ATS mark over their past eight overall, and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. TCU. The 'under' has also cashed in each of the past four meetings in this series.


    Kansas at Kansas State (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
    The Battle for the Sunflower State is rather significant, as the winner still has a chance for a shot at a bowl, while the loser will have a seventh loss and is officially going to be home for the holidays. In past years Kansas has been a pushover, and this game was an automatic win for K-State. However, the Wildcats have been putrid on offense this season, while the Jayhawks are slowly making progress. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record, while the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the past five against conference opponents and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall. The under is 22-10 in the past 32 road games for the Jayhawks, while the under is 8-3 in the past 11 overall for K-State and 5-2 in their past seven conference tilts. KU is 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings, and 2-9 ATS in their past 11 sojourns to Manhattan. The favorite has cashed in 18 of the past 23 in this rivalry, too.


    Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
    Ahh, Bedlam. This is one of the better rivalries in college football, especially in recent years. The Sooners are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive, and Vegas likes OU by more than 17 points as of Tuesday evening. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games, while going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 conference tilts. The Sooners are 14-5 ATS in the past 19 home outings, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The over is an impressive 8-3 in OK State's past 11 Big 12 battles, while going a perfect 5-0 in OU's past five and 6-1 in their past seven at home. The over is also an impressive 40-19-1 in the past 60 conference battles for the Sooners. In this series, the over is 4-1-1 in the past six, too. As far as the line, Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in the past seven home games against their rivals, and 4-1 ATS in the past five Bedlam meetings overall.


    Baylor at Iowa State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
    The Cyclones have been a doormat in recent seasons, but lately they're really turning it around and serving as a tough out in the Big 12. They're two games over .500, and an impressive 6-2 ATS overall on the season. Just ask West Virginia how tough it is to play in Ames. Or ask Texas Tech. Or even ask Oklahoma, as the Sooners only won by 10 in Ames are 18 1/2-point favorites back on Sept. 15. Iowa State is 3-1 SU/ATS in four home outings this season. The Cyclones are 24-6-1 ATS over the past 31 games overall, and 16-5 ATS in their past 21 home games. They're also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 against winning opponents. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four trips to Ames, too. The home team has hit an 11-3-1 ATS mark over the past 15 meetings, too.

    Texas at Texas Tech (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)

    For the second consecutive weekend there will be a national television audience checking in on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders put on an offensive show against Oklahoma last weekend but came up just short. Texas also came up short against West Virginia at home, so these are two teams on the come, trying to get back on a roll into the final weekends of the college football season. The Longhorns are 11-5-2 ATS in the past 18 against teams with a winning overall record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS across their past five league games. For Texas Tech, they have covered a healthy five of the past six against winning sides, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall. They're also 5-2 ATS in the past seven league games.


    The total trends are complete opposites. The under is 10-3 in the past 13 road games for Texas, while the under is an impressive 40-16 in the past 56 conference battles and 29-10 in the past 39 against winning teams. The over is 8-2 in the past 10 for the Red Raiders, and 21-8 in the past 29 home battles. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in this series, including a 4-0 under in the past four in Lubbock. The Longhorns have covered four straight trips to Lubbock, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall in this series.
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    Mississippi State at Alabama
    November 6, 2018
    By Bookmaker



    By Kyle Markus


    NCAA Preview - Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide



    The Alabama Crimson Tide isn’t just the best team in the nation this year, but one of the best in recent memory. Alabama cruised past LSU last time out and will now aim to pick up another blowout victory when it hosts the Mississippi State Bulldogs.


    The Crimson Tide is undefeated and has been absolutely dominating every opponent that tries to slow them down. Mississippi State is a ranked team but the talent gulf between these teams is very wide and Alabama will be expected to pull away early and pick up a sizable win.


    The Crimson Tide has been huge favorites throughout the season and continue to live up to the billing. Is it possible Alabama has a letdown? Not likely with this much talent. The Crimson Tide should take another step toward clinching a College Football Playoff spot with a win in NCAA football wagering.


    This NCAA football game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide will be held at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama at 3:30 p.m ET on Saturday, November 10th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on CBS.


    We'll have NCAA football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NCAA football season.


    Odds Analysis

    Alabama is coming off a game in which it was a 13-point favorite on the road against No. 3 LSU and easily covered. The Crimson Tide is listed as the 24.5-point favorite against Mississippi State in this one. Alabama is a massive -2700 favorite on the moneyline as the oddsmakers seem hardly any chance at the Crimson Tide losing at home. The Bulldogs are the +1221 for those who want to take a flier.


    The scoring total is listed at 51.5 points. Alabama’s offense has been much more powerful than usual on the season but the team’s elite defense keeps scoring down. If the Bulldogs can reach the end zone a couple times this game has a good chance of going “over” the total in NCAA football wagering.


    Key Stat

    7. That’s the national rank in Alabama’s points per game allowed, as the Crimson Tide is only giving up 14.1 per contest. Alabama’s number went down after shutting out LSU as the defense dominated against a team with some talented players at the skill positions. The Crimson Tide has always had a super talented defensive front, and that group is leading the way for yet another great defense.


    As good as Alabama’s defense has been, Mississippi State’s defense has been even better. The Bulldogs are second in the country in points allowed at 12.3 per game. Mississippi State has held five opponents to 10 points or fewer.


    The Bulldogs recently had a stretch where it faced off against three straight ranked teams and held Auburn, LSU and Texas A&M to an average of 13.7 points per game. Mississippi State will need its defense to hold stout to have a shot to win this one.


    Player To Watch


    Tua Tagovailoa -- The Bulldogs may have trouble holding up because they are facing the best quarterback in college football. Tagovailoa has been unreal this season, throwing for 2,361 yards with 27 touchdowns and one interception. He was picked off for the first time last week by LSU but still finished the contest with 295 yards through the air with a pair of touchdowns while adding a 44-yard touchdown run.


    Mississippi State needs to get pressure on Tagovailoa to have a chance at keeping him in check.


    Free NCAA Football ATS Picks


    This is a big spread, and the Bulldogs are strong enough defensively to feel like they will have a shot at pulling the upset. They will be in for a rude awakening, as Alabama is by far the better team in this matchup.


    The Crimson Tide offense will be able to score against Mississippi State’s tough defense. The spread is big but Alabama is still the pick to cover in NCAA football gambling.


    NCAA Football Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide 37, Mississippi State Bulldogs 10
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    Auburn at Georgia
    November 6, 2018
    By BetDSI



    By Tom Wilkinson


    College Football Betting Preview – Auburn at Georgia



    The No. 5 ranked Georgia Bulldogs host the Auburn Tigers on Saturday night in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The Bulldogs have already clinched the SEC East, but Georgia has higher goals in mind, as they still could reach the College Football Playoff if they run the table. They have to be careful about this game on Saturday, as the Tigers come in playing well, having won their last two games, beating Ole Miss and Texas A&M. Let’s look at this matchup and college football picks.


    Date and Time: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 3:30 p.m. ET
    Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
    College Football Odds at BetDSI: Georgia -14.5, O/U 50.5
    Auburn vs. Georgia TV Coverage: ESPN



    The Bulldogs are 8-1 overall and 6-1 in the SEC, while Auburn is 6-3 and 3-3. Georgia clinched the SEC East last week with a 34-17 win at Kentucky. Georgia will play Alabama in the SEC Championship Game on December 1st. This is a regular season revenge game on Saturday for Georgia, as they were routed last year at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, losing 40-17. The Bulldogs did beat Auburn last year in the SEC title game 28-7.


    The Tigers started this season slowly, losing to Mississippi State and Tennessee, but they have gotten better and have looked good recently with a 31-16 win over Mississippi and a 28-24 win over A&M.


    On the other side, Georgia is also playing well, having routed Florida and Kentucky the last two weeks. Despite that fact, quarterback Jake Fromm said to the media that winning the SEC East this year has been tougher than a year ago. "In my head, I remember last year blowing teams out and coming out of games in the second half," Fromm said, "That's not the way it's been this year. I don't think we're any worse or any better than we were last year. We're still trying to get to the level of where we want to play, and we haven't played there yet. It's an uphill climb, and we're ready to get there."


    Matchup to Watch


    If Auburn is going to stay close in this one, they have to stop Fromm and the Georgia passing attack. The Bulldogs are averaging 222.4 yards per game through the air, while Auburn is giving up 222.2 yards per game through the air. The Tigers simply can’t afford to get into a shootout with the Bulldogs, as Auburn’s offense is not as good as Georgia’s, as Auburn is only averaging about 28 points per game, while Georgia is putting up 38 points per contest.


    Key Stats


    Georgia leads the all-time series 58-56-8. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Georgia. The Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.


    Looking at the total, the Under is 10-3 in the Tigers last 13 games overall. The Under is 7-3 in the Tigers last 10 games in November. The Under is 19-6-1 in the Bulldogs last 26 home games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings at Georgia.


    Auburn vs. Georgia Picks


    Remember what we said about the key matchup in this contest? If Auburn is going to be competitive they have to keep this a low scoring contest. They simply can’t trade points with Georgia and expect to win. I think that means a game that will see a lot of running and both teams playing tough defense and the trends definitely support the under.


    I know the risk is that this game gets away from Auburn, but I think the situation is a good one for the Tigers and that this will be a tight, hard fought contest. I will take the points with the Tigers and I also really like the game to go under the total.


    Auburn vs. Georgia Pick: Auburn +14.5 and Under 50.5 at BetDSI
    Auburn vs. Georgia Score Prediction: Georgia 24, Auburn 17
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    Wednesday, November 7


    Ohio @ Miami-OH
    Ohio

    Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
    Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games


    Miami-OH
    Miami-OH is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games


    Toledo @ Northern Illinois
    Toledo

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
    Toledo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois

    Northern Illinois

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Toledo
    Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games




    *************************




    Wednesday, November 7


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    OHIO U (6 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (3 - 6) - 11/7/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    OHIO U is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    TOLEDO (5 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 11/7/2018, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    Wednesday’s games


    Ohio won its last three games, scoring 49-52-59 points; Bobcats are 2-2 on road, are 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-1 this year. Ohio ran ball for 1,159 yards in last three games. Miami OH lost its last two games, allowing 31-51 points; Red Hawks covered five of their last six games. Under Martin, Miami is 5-4-1 as home underdogs, 1-0 this year- they’re 0-5 when they allow more than 23 points. Over is 5-3 in Ohio games this year; five of last six Miami games also went over.


    Northern Illinois won its last five games; under Carey, Huskies are 11-15 as home favorites, 0-2 this year. NIU ran ball for 227+ yards in each of its last four wins. Toledo won its last two games, scoring 51-45 points; Rockets scored 45+ points in all five of their wins- they were held to 27 or less in their four losses. Toledo is 18-9 in its last 27 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Toledo allowed 300+ PY in each of its last three games. Three of last four Toledo games, six of last eight NIU games stayed under the total.




    --------------------------------






    Wednesday's MACtion
    November 6, 2018
    By Brian Edwards



    Gamblers have a pair of MACtion games to tackle Wednesday, meaning there are a pair of sides and totals, in addition to first quarter and first-half wagers. Let’s get you prepped up for these contests now before sorting through a plethora of national notes in Bonus Nuggets down below…


    **Ohio at Miami (OH.)**


    -- As of Tuesday morning, most betting shops had Ohio (6-3 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) installed as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 63. The RedHawks were +145 on the money line (risk $100 to win $145).


    -- Ohio is 4-1 in MAC play, one game back of 5-0 Buffalo in the East Division standings. (The Bulls were hosting Kent State as heavy home favorites on Tuesday night. These rivals will collide in Athens in next Wednesday.


    -- Frank Solich’s squad has won five of its past six games both SU and ATS, including last week’s 59-14 win at Western Michigan as a three-point road ‘chalk.’ The 73 combined points went ‘over’ the 65-point tally. The Bobcats stormed out to a 45-0 halftime lead and coasted into the win column. QB Nathan Rourke connected on 12-of-14 passes for 149 yards and three TDs without an interception. He also ran for 68 yards and two TDs on nine attempts. Senior RB A.J. Ouellette ran for 71 yards and one score on eight carries. Senior WR Andrew Meyer had four receptions for 65 yards, while senior WR Papi White had four grabs for 39 yards and one TD.


    -- Ohio has won three straight games vs. Bowling Green (49-14), vs. Ball State (52-14) and at Western Michigan, combining to score 160 points. The Bobcats have taken the cash in four straight outings. Their three defeats came vs. Virginia (45-31 in Nashville), at Cincinnati (34-30) and at No. Illinois (24-21).


    -- Rourke has completed 62.9 percent of his throws for 1,766 yards with a 17/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The junior signal caller has rushed for a team-high 637 yards and eight TDs with a 7.3 yards-per-carry average. Rourke’s favorite target is White, who has 42 receptions for 706 yards and seven TDs. Andrew Meyer has 27 catches for 370 yards and three TDs.


    -- Ouellette has rushed for 609 yards and eight TDs with a 4.8 YPC average, while Maleek Irons has 566 rushing yards, six TDs and a 6.5 YPC average. Ouellette has 13 catches for 117 yards and one TD, while Irons has five receptions for 34 yards and one TD.


    -- Miami (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) has lost outright in three of four home games while going 2-2 ATS. This is Chuck Martin’s second game as a home underdog this year, as it covered the spread in a 40-39 loss to Western Michigan as a three-point ‘dog.


    -- Miami saw its 5-0 ATS run ended last Tuesday night in a 51-42 loss at Buffalo as a seven-point road underdog. The Bulls missed an extra point when they took a 48-42 advantage with 8:53 remaining, but kicker Adam Mitcheson made amends with 3:54 left by burying a 37-yard field goal to secure the spread cover. The RedHawks twice led by seven in the first quarter and battled back from two separate 14-point deficit in the third quarter. Trailing 42-28 with 2:29 left in the third, senior QB Gus Ragland hit Kenny Young for a 59-yard TD pass. Then with 17 ticks remaining in the third, Ragland pulled his team even at 42-42 on a one-yard TD plunge.


    -- In the loss at Buffalo, Ragland completed 20-of-35 passes for 313 yards and one TD without an interception. He rushed 16 times for 53 yards and three TDs. RB Alonzo Smith ran for a team-best 63 rushing yards and two scores on 13 attempts. Young had five receptions for 95 yards and one TD.


    -- Ragland has enjoyed a stellar career. During his senior campaign, he’s completed 60.2 percent of his passes for 2,082 yards with a 15/3 TD-INT ratio. Ragland has rushed for 198 yards and five TDs. For his career, Ragland has 5,847 passing yards, 866 rushing yards, a 54/11 TD-INT ratio and 12 rushing TDs.


    -- Smith has run for 405 yards and four TDs with a 4.8 YPC average. Young has 34 receptions for 308 yards and four TDs, in addition to rushing for 259 yards and three TDs with a 6.8 YPC average. Jack Sorenson has become Ragland’s favorite target since two-time All-MAC selection James Gardner went down with a season-ending injury. Gardner, who had 92 receptions for 1,677 yards and 17 TDs in 2016 and ’17, had 12 catches for 157 yards before getting injured early in a Week 3 loss at Minnesota. Sorenson had made 39 grabs for 593 yards and two TDs.


    -- As a home underdog during Martin’s five-year tenure, Miami owns a 5-4-1 spread record in 10 such spots.


    -- Before last week’s loss at Buffalo, Miami went 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS with its outright defeats coming by two combined points. In addition to the gut-wrenching defeat vs. Western Michigan, the RedHawks lost 31-30 at Army in double overtime as 6.5-point road underdogs. After the Black Knights went ahead 31-24 on their first possession to start the second OT, Miami responded with Ragland’s 18-yard TD pass to Luke Maycock. Martin then elected to go for two and the win on the road, but Ragland’s conversion pass failed. Ragland threw for 329 yards and four TDs without a pick at Army.


    -- Ohio has won five games in a row in this head-to-head series, going 3-1-1 ATS with three consecutive spread covers. The lone non-cover came in a 41-16 win as a 26-point home favorite in 2013. The Bobcats won a 45-28 decision last season as 6.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The 73 combined points soared ‘over’ the 54-point total to end a 7-1 surge of ‘unders’ in this in-state rivalry. Rourke completed 21-of-33 passes for 294 yards and three TDs without an interception, in addition to rushing for 54 yards and three scores on 10 carries. White had five receptions for 80 yards and one TD. Ragland didn’t play due to an injury.


    -- Miami will be without two defensive starters in senior LB Junior McMullen and senior DT Nate Trawich, both of whom are ‘out’ with season-ending injuries. In six games, McMullen had recorded 42 tackles, one sack, 3.5 tackles for loss, one QB hurry and one pass broken up. In five games, Trawich had produced 11 tackles and 0.5 sacks. Also, three other defensive starters – DB De’Andre Mongomery, DB Daryus Thompson and DB Deondre Daniels – are listed as ‘questionable.’ Daniels has missed four games in a row and Thompson sat out last week’s loss at Buffalo. Montgomery has 55 tackles, one sack and 0.5 TFL’s despite missing the loss at Army and being limited at Buffalo. Thompson has 19 tackles, two PBU, 1.5 TFL’s and one QB hurry.


    -- The ‘over’ is 6-3 overall for the RedHawks, 2-2 in their home games. They’ve seen the ‘over’ hit at a 5-1 clip in their past six games. Miami's games have averaged combined scores of 55.8 PPG.


    -- The ‘under’ is on a 3-1-1 run for the Bobcats, but they’ve watched the ‘over’ go 5-3-1 overall and 2-2 in their road assignments (3-2 if you count the ‘over’ that hit when Ohio’s road game at Virginia was moved to Nashville due to a hurricane in September). Ohio’s games have averaged combined scores of 67.8 PPG.


    -- According to weather.com on Tuesday morning, the forecast in Oxford for Wednesday night was calling for clear skies, lights winds of 4-5 miles per hour and temperatures in the mid-30s Fahrenheit.


    -- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

    **Toledo at Northern Illinois**



    -- As of Tuesday morning, most spots had No. Illinois (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 55.5. The Rockets were available to win outright for a +140 payout (risk $100 to win $140).


    -- Since losing 37-19 at FSU in a game that was closer than the final score indicated on Sept. 22, Rod Carey’s team has won five games in a row while going 4-1 versus the number. NIU is off a 36-26 win at Akron as a six-point road favorite last Thursday. The 62 combined points catapulted ‘over’ the 37-point total to end a 4-0 run of ‘unders’ for the Huskies. Sophomore QB Marcus Childers attempted 28 passes and completed 21 of those for 188 yards and one TD without an interception. Sophomore RB Tre Harbison rushed 23 times for 169 yards and one TD.


    -- No. Illinois has won two of its three home games while compiling a 1-2 spread record. The outright defeat was a 17-6 setback vs. Utah when the Utes got a pick-six late in the fourth quarter to put the game on ice. The only other loss for the Huskies came by a 33-7 count at Iowa in the season opener. They're 5-0 in conference play and sit atop the MAC West with a 1.5-game advantage over Western Michigan, which is 4-2 in league action and hosts NIU on the regular-season finale on Nov. 20. The Rockets still have a pulse in the division with their 3-2 MAC record, but they must win here to keep their conference hopes alive.


    -- NIU is ranked 12th in the nation in run defense and 29th in scoring ‘D,’ limiting foes to an average of 21.7 PPG. This unit won’t have DE Quintin Wynne in the first half due to a targeting penalty from last week. Wynne has produced 21 tackles, one sack, four TFL’s and two QB hurries.


    -- Toledo (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won back-to-back games both SU and ATS, including a 45-13 win over Ball State as a 19.5-point home favorite last Wednesday. The 58 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 64-point total. The Rockets’ defense produced five turnovers and scored a TD. Therefore, QB Eli Peters’s four interception were easily overcome. Peters completed 25-of-34 passes for 327 yards and two TDs. WR Diontae Johnson had five receptions for 100 yards, while Cody Thompson brought down six catches for 75 yards and one TD. Redshirt freshman RB Bryant Koback ran for 78 yards and two TDs on 15 attempts.


    -- Toledo is 1-2 both SU and ATS in its three road assignments. The Rockets are 1-1 both SU and ATS as road underdogs this year and 3-3 ATS as road ‘dogs during Jason Candle’s three-year tenure.


    -- Toledo is ranked 11th in the nation in scoring, averaging 41.2 PPG.


    -- Peters is expected to get the starting nod at NIU since Mitchell Guadagni is ‘doubtful’ with a shoulder injury. Guadagni has missed two games and parts of several others. He has completed 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,053 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. Guadagni has rushed for 429 yards and three TDs with a 5.6 YPC average. Peter has connected on 53.7 percent of his throws for 998 yards with an 11/6 TD-INT ratio.


    -- Toledo has one of the nation's top groups of WRs. Diontae Johnson, a first-team All-MAC selection last year, has 33 receptions for 583 yards and seven TDs. Diontae Johnson is second in the MAC in all-purpose yards with 1,095. Thompson, a first-team All-MAC choice in 2016 who missed last season injured and was redshirted, has 31 catches for 425 yards and 10 TDs. Jon’Vea Johnson has 21 grabs for 415 yards and four TDs.


    -- Koback has rushed for a team-high 512 yards and nine TDs with a 5.8 YPC average. Shakif Seymour has 422 rushing yards, three TDs and a 4.6 YPC average, while Art Thompkins has 328 rushing yards, three TDs and a 5.3 YPC average.


    -- Toledo beat NIU 27-17 as a 7.5-point home favorite in last season’s encounter at The Glass Bowl. The 44 combined points went ‘under’ the 56.5-point tally. Diontae Johnson had 10 receptions for 166 yards.


    -- The ‘under’ is 7-2 overall for NIU, 3-0 in its home contests. The Huskies have seen their games average combined scores of 40.9 PPG.


    -- The ‘over’ is 6-3 overall for Toledo, 2-1 in its road assignments. However, the Rockets have watched the ‘under’ go 3-1 in their past four contests. They’ve seen their games produce average combined scores of 72.0 PPG.


    -- The ‘under’ has been a winner in six straight head-to-head meetings between these schools.


    -- According to weather.com as of Tuesday morning, temperatures in Dekalb on Wednesday night are expected to dip into the mid-20s Fahrenheit. Conditions are supposed to clear but winds could be a factor at 10-20 mph.


    -- ESPN2 will provide the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.


    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


    -- Texas Tech QB Alan Bowman is ‘out’ for Saturday’s home game vs. Texas. The Red Raiders might be without star senior LB Dakota Allen, who was ‘questionable’ after leaving last week’s narrow loss to Oklahoma with a knee injury.


    -- Stanford is dealing with a slew of key injuries heading into Saturday’s home game vs. Oregon State. RB Bryce Love (ankle), WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (ankle), OG Nate Herbig and back-up RB Trevor Speights are listed as ‘questionable.’ Love and Herbig were first-team All-Americans in Phil Steele’s preseason magazine and Arcega-Whiteside was a fourth-teamer. The Cardinal remains without defensive starters in LB Joey Alfieri and safety Ben Edwards, both of whom are out indefinitely. Arcega-Whiteside has 48 receptions for 754 yards and 11 TDs. The ‘over’ is on a 5-1 run for Stanford in its past six games.


    -- The ‘under’ has cashed in five straight games for California, which was – depending on how you look at it -- fortunate to cover the number yet unfortunate to not pull the outright upset in a 19-13 loss at Washington State as a 7.5-point road underdog this past week. The Cougars missed a short field goal and an extra point in the second half, in addition to missing out on an easy scoring opportunity when Willie Taylor‘s interception that appeared destined to become a pick-six turned into a touchback instead. Taylor intercepted Cal’s RS freshman QB Chase Gabers at the Cal 40 and was tripped up three yards shy of paydirt. As Taylor was going down, however, he coughed the ball up before his knee was down and the ball went through the end zone. With the game tied and 7:34 remaining, Garbers was inexplicably lifted in favor of the more mobile back-up QB Brandon McIlwain, who started his career at South Carolina, on a first-and-10 play from WSU’s 12. McIlwain rolled to his right and overthrew his receiver in the end zone and was intercepted by Skyler Thomas. Nevertheless, Justin Wilcox’s defense held Mike Leach’s offense to a season-low 19 points one week after limiting Washington 10 points. The Golden Bears are at USC this week. They were 5.5-point road underdogs Tuesday morning, and a few offshores had released the total at 48.


    -- As of early Tuesday, Utah State QB Jordan Love was ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s home vs. San Jose State. The Aggies improved to 8-1 both SU and ATS with last week’s 56-17 win at Hawaii as 18-point road ‘chalk.’ Love, who has thrown for 2,185 yards with an 19/4 TD-INT ratio, left the game in the first half after taking a knee to the helmet and didn’t return. The ‘over’ also improved to 8-1 when the 73 combined points went ‘over’ the 70.5-point total before the end of the third quarter. Love also has five rushing scores this year. He was replaced by RS freshman Henry Colombi, who has completed 33-of-40 throws this season for 239 yards. Colombi also has 122 rushing yards and one TD on 13 carries. Love has been on fire since Week 3, throwing 18 TD passes compared to merely one interception.


    -- Speaking of Hawaii, this team has needed an open date in the worst way for more than a month. The Warriors, who are finally off this weekend after playing 11 games in 11 weeks, got off to a shocking 6-1 start, but they’ve lost four games in a row both SU and ATS as their insane travel schedule has caught up with them. All four of the L’s during Hawaii’s current slide have come by margins of 18 points or more. Although he’s certainly cooled off in recent weeks, QB Cole McDonald still has outstanding numbers for the season: 3,163 passing yards with a 32/6 TD-INT ratio.


    -- South Alabama QB Evan Orth is dealing with a shoulder issue that has him listed as ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s home game vs. ULM. Orth has thrown for 1,704 yards with a 10/3 TD-INT ratio for the Jaguars.


    -- UNLV QB Armani Rogers is hoping to return to action Saturday at San Diego State. Rogers has been out since late September with a broken toe. He’s ‘questionable’ against the Aztecs. Rogers had a 6/4 TD-INT ratio, 488 rushing yards, six rushing scores and a 6.9 YPC average before going down in Week 4. Without Rogers, the Rebels have lost five consecutive contests and gone 1-4 ATS.


    -- San Diego State had been without star RB Juwan Washington since Week 4 until he returned this past weekend in a 31-23 non-covering triumph at New Mexico. Washington ran for 95 yards and two TDs on 11 carries. In five games, Washington has run for 608 yards and seven TDs with a 5.5 YPC average. Starting QB Christian Chapman also came back at UNM after missing six straight games while injured. Chapman connected on 13-of-19 throws for 182 yards and one TD without an interception.


    -- Appalachian State QB Zac Thomas (concussion) has been upgraded to ‘probable' at Texas State. Thomas has an 11/4 TD-INT ratio, 1,145 passing yards, 281 rushing yards and six rushing TDs. After going down in a 34-14 loss at Ga. Southern, Thomas missed a 23-7 win at Coastal Carolina.
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    NCAA (COLLEGE)


    DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME



    Toledo at Northern Illinois - Wednesday November 7, 2018


    The Huskies host a Toledo team that is coming off a 45-13 win over Ball State and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in the previous game. Northern Illinois is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3).




    WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 7, 2018


    Ohio
    @
    Miami Of Ohio

    Game 103-104
    November 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm


    Dunkel Rating: Ohio
    88.127
    Miami of Ohio
    81.341
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Ohio
    by 7
    66
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Ohio
    by 4
    61
    Dunkel Pick: Ohio
    (-4); Over


    Toledo
    @
    Northern Illinois

    Game 105-106
    November 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm


    Dunkel Rating: Toledo
    81.625
    Northern Illinois
    87.624
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Northern Illinois
    by 6
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Northern Illinois
    by 3
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois
    (-3); Under
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    Wednesday’s games


    Ohio won its last three games, scoring 49-52-59 points; Bobcats are 2-2 on road, are 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-1 this year. Ohio ran ball for 1,159 yards in last three games. Miami OH lost its last two games, allowing 31-51 points; Red Hawks covered five of their last six games. Under Martin, Miami is 5-4-1 as home underdogs, 1-0 this year- they’re 0-5 when they allow more than 23 points. Over is 5-3 in Ohio games this year; five of last six Miami games also went over.


    Northern Illinois won its last five games; under Carey, Huskies are 11-15 as home favorites, 0-2 this year. NIU ran ball for 227+ yards in each of its last four wins. Toledo won its last two games, scoring 51-45 points; Rockets scored 45+ points in all five of their wins- they were held to 27 or less in their four losses. Toledo is 18-9 in its last 27 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Toledo allowed 300+ PY in each of its last three games. Three of last four Toledo games, six of last eight NIU games stayed under the total.
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    WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 7
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    OHIO at M-OH 07:00 PM
    OHIO -4.5
    U 60.5



    TOL at NIU 08:00 PM
    NIU -3.5
    O 55.5
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    Miami (Ohio) snaps five-game skid against Ohio, wins 30-28
    November 7, 2018
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    OXFORD, Ohio (AP) Alonzo Smith ran for a pair of first-half touchdowns, and a safety in the second half helped Miami (Ohio) hold on for a 30-28 victory over Ohio on Wednesday night to keep its bowl eligibility alive.


    Miami (4-6, 4-2 Mid-American Conference) beat Ohio (6-4, 4-2) for the first time since 2012 to snap a five-game skid in the Battle of the Bricks.


    Smith finished with 94 yards on 20 carries. Gus Ragland was 20-of-32 passing for 199 yards with a touchdown for the RedHawks. Kenny Young had a 16-yard scoring run.


    A.J. Ouellette had 168 yards rushing on 15 carries to lead Ohio. Nathan Rourke threw for 163 yards and two touchdowns.


    Rourke connected with Papi White on a nine-yard scoring throw, and Dylan Conner returned a blocked punt 28 yards for a touchdown to cut Ohio's 28-7 halftime deficit to 28-21 with 9:14 remaining.


    Kyle Kramer's 47-yard punt with 4:40 to play pinned Ohio at the 1-yard line. Doug Costin sacked Rourke in the end zone three plays later to make it 30-21. Rourke then led a seven-play, 80-yard drive capped by an 18-yard TD pass to Andrew Meyer with 2:24 to play.


    The Bobcats got the ball back with 30 seconds remaining and Rourke drove the Bobcats to their 45-yard line, but his Hail Mary attempt went out of bounds to end it.




    *******************************


    NO. ILLINOIS 38,TOLEDO 15
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    Thursday’s 6-pack


    — Sam Darnold (foot) is out for this week’s game with Buffalo.


    — If Le’Veon Bell is going to play for Pittsburgh this year, he has to report by 4pm on Nov. 13.


    — Ohio State 64, Cincinnati 56— Buckeyes win an ugly game.


    — Kansas Jayhawks fired football coach David Beaty; he’ll finish this season.


    — Astros’ P Lance McCullers had Tommy John surgery, will miss all of 2019.


    — Cubs’ manager Joe Maddon will enter 2019 as a lame duck; he didn’t get his contract extension. Guy won the World Series two years ago.


    Quote of the Day
    “I saw some kid on Duke last night who is pretty impressive. I probably can’t say anything more … I thought LeBron, I thought that was a one shot deal, but apparently the next guy’s coming. Before I get fined, I’m going to change the subject.”
    Steve Kerr, talking about Duke’s Zion Williamson

    Thursday’s quiz

    Where did Steve Kerr play his college basketball?
    (Hint: He played in a Final Four)

    Wednesday’s quiz

    Craig Morton started in Super Bowls for Dallas and the Denver Broncos.


    Tuesday’s quiz
    Craig Morton played QB for the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl V, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.


    ***********************


    Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….


    13) So I’m voting Tuesday and this guy voting next to me had his daughter with him- she is maybe 6, 7 years old. As he is voting, the little girl says “Thats not who mommy voted for” and the guy says “Daddy isn’t going to vote for everyone Mommy voted for” and then the little girl and dad start arguing, with the little girl wanting mommy and daddy to agree on everything.


    Quality entertainment. And for free.


    12) Sunday was a rough day for Nevada sports books; every NFL team that the public supported covered the spread. A guy who is a 25-year veteran of working in Las Vegas said it was one of the 10 worst days Nevada sports books have ever had in sports wagering.


    11) Times have changed; the Cowboys willingly wore blue jerseys at home Monday night. There was a time when Dallas went on the road, opposing teams would wear white at home, to force the Cowboys to wear the blue jerseys that they didn’t seem to like wearing.


    10) New Mets’ GM Brodie Van Wagenen is making $10M for four years. He was the agent for the Mets’ two best players, Jacob deGrom and Yoenis Cespedes. He was also Tim Tebow’s agent; Tebow is expected to start next season at AAA Syracuse.


    9) Lot of NBA teams have cameras over the baskets, which provide great replays of action around the rim; the funny thing is that they then put advertising on top of the backboards, so you see it when those replays are shown. Wonder how much they charge for that?


    8) The NBA is more fun to watch now than it has been in a while; lot more passing, solid shooting. The success Golden State is having has influenced the game in a positive way.


    7) Toronto Argonauts fired coach Marc Trestman after a 4-14 season, but his Argos won the Grey Cup LAST YEAR.


    Trestman won two Grey Cups coaching Montreal from 2008-12, then went 13-19 in two years coaching the Chicago Bears. He later was an OC for the Baltimore Ravens, but was fired during the 2016 season. Mr Trestman could write a very interesting book.


    6) Not that I’m bitter or anything, but I see DeAndre Ayton and Allonzo Trier playing major minutes in NBA games this fall, but when I picked Arizona in their first round NCAA game last March, they lost by 21 to a freakin’ MAC team. No bueno!!!! LOLOL


    5) Miami, Florida, Florida State all went 0-2 the last two weekends.


    That is the FIRST time that has EVER happened.


    4) San Francisco Giants hired GM Farhan Zaidi as their new GM Tuesday.


    For the past four years, Zaidi was GM of the rival Dodgers; before that, he was the assistant GM to Billy Beane with the A’s.


    3) Jamal Murray scored 48 points for Denver Monday night; he took a shot late in the game, trying to get to 50, and the Celtics get all offended, like Murray isn’t supposed to try and put the ball in the basket. Thats what he gets paid for.


    You don’t want him to score 50? Guard his bleepin’ ass, don’t let him get to 40!!! Don’t run your mouth after the game, move your feet during the game.


    2) Guy at the Golden Nugget in Atlantic City put $6 down on a 12-team parlay this weekend and he hit it, with Titans (+5) clinching his $9,600 payoff. Well done!!!


    1) Chicago Blackhawks fired coach Joel Quenneville, who won three Stanley Cups in Chicago, the last one in 2015. He’s the second-winningest coach in NHL history with an all-time record of 890-532-214. Sounds like a guy who won’t be unemployed too long.
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    College Football Best Bets and Opinions


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    11/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
    11/06/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    11/03/2018 25-32-3 43.86% -51.00
    11/02/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
    11/01/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00


    Totals............35-40-3........46.66%.....-45.00




    Best Bets:


    Best Bets For November


    DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL


    11/07/2018..............1 - 1..................-0.50....................1 - 1.................-0.50...............-1.00
    11/06/2018..............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0................+5.00..............+10.00
    11/03/2018.............10 - 13...............-21.50...................3 - 4................-7.00...............-28.50
    11/02/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................2 - 1................+4.50..............+9.00
    11/01/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................0 - 3................-16.50..............-12.00


    Totals....................16 - 16.................-8.00....................7 - 9................-14.50..............-22.50
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    Tech Trends - Week 11
    Bruce Marshall


    Thursday, Nov. 8

    WAKE FOREST at NC STATE
    ...Deacs were 10-3-1 as dog entering 2018 (they’re 1-5 in role TY). Home team has covered last three and 10 of last 11 in series.
    N.C. State, based on series trends.






    Friday, Nov. 9

    LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE
    ...‘Ville 1-8 vs. line TY, 6-20 vs. spread since early 2016. But Cards have won and covered big last four vs. ‘Cuse. Babers 2-1-1 as Carrier Dome chalk TY.
    Syracuse, based on team trends.



    FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE....Tedford on 18-3-2 spread surge since arriving at FSU LY. Included are pair of covers LY vs. Boise. Broncos just 3-11 last 14 as MW home chalk.
    Fresno State, based on team trends.






    Saturday, Nov. 10

    TEMPLE at HOUSTON
    ...Owls had covered last 6 prior to UCF and are 22-6 vs. line last 28 AAC games. Temple 15-5 last 20 as dog (2-1 TY). Cougs just 10-12 vs. spread for Applewhite since late 2016.
    Temple, based on team trends.



    MICHIGAN at RUTGERS
    ... Rutgers got cover LY after Harbaugh beat Ash badly previous two years by 49-16 & 78-0. Harbaugh has covered 5 of last 6 TY but only 1-2 vs. spread away and just 2-6 vs. line last 8 away from Big House. Rut surprising 4-2 vs. points last six as Big Ten host.
    Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.



    VIRGINIA TECH at PITTSBURGH
    ...Narduzzi has now covered 4 in a row after the Virginia win (all as a dog), taking 3 of those SU. Narduzzi 17-10 as dog since arriving in 2015. Disappointing VPI no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6. And Panthers have covered last three meetings.
    Pitt, based on team trends.



    CLEMSON at BOSTON COLLEGE
    ...Dabo surging with wins and covers last four TY. BC, however, on 16-2 spread run in reg season, and 7-1 last 8 as dog. Dabo has run up scores on Addazio past two years.
    Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.



    OLE MISS at TEXAS A&M
    ...Ole Miss has covered 5 of last 6 meetings (Freeze was 5-0 vs. line against Sumlin).
    Slight to Ole Miss, based on series trends.



    KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE...UKy got rare win in series LY but it was not easy, only 2 Ws vs. Vols since a win in 1984 with Jerry Claiborne. Stoops 0-3 as chalk TY, however, which drops him to 0-10 last 10 as favorite. Vols have covered 3 of last 4 for Pruitt.
    Tennessee, based on extended series and team trends.



    BYU at UMASS
    ...Mass won in Provo LY. Sitake just 3-8 last 11 as chalk. Mass however on 3-6 spread slide TY.
    Slight to UMass, based on team trends.



    LIBERTY at VIRGINIA
    ... Last 4 games of reg season, Mendenhall now 2-7 vs. line for Hoos after Pitt loss. Cavs had been 7-1 vs. line prior TY to Panther loss.
    Slight to Virginia, based on recent trends.



    TROY at GEORGIA SOUTHERN
    ...Troy 6-1-1 vs. line last 8 TY, and 7-2 vs. spread last nine away from home. Though Southern has covered last four meetings. Eagles however 7-2 vs. line themselves TY.
    Slight to Troy, based on team trends.



    BAYLOR at IOWA STATE
    ...Matt Campbell 6-2 vs. line TY, 22-8-1 last 31 on board since early 2016 for ISU. Campbell has covered last two vs. Baylor, which is 0-3-1 vs. line last four in series.
    Iowa State, based on team and series trends.



    NAVY at UCF...UCF
    now 6-2 vs. line TY, 5-0 vs. spread in Orlando vs. FBS-level foes TY. Mids only 2-7 vs. line TY.
    UCF, based on recent trends.



    TCU at WEST VIRGINIA
    ...Frogs no covers last six TY, 2-10 vs. line since late 2017. WV has covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
    WVU, based on recent and series trends.



    MIAMI-FLORIDA at GEORGIA TECH
    ...Canes 8-1 SU last nine vs. Paul Johnson, though Richt only 3-10 vs. spread since mid 2017. Also 1-6 vs. points last seven away from Hard Rock. Throw out games vs. Clemson and GT is 13-4-1 as dog since 2014.
    Slight to Georgia Tech, based on recent trends.



    KANSAS at KANSAS STATE
    ...Bill Snyder has long owned this series but no covers last two years. Cats had won and covered previous 7 in Snyder II at K-State. Cats have covered last 3 at home TY though just 3-10 last 13 as home chalk.
    K-State, based on extended series trends.



    AKRON at EASTERN MICHIGAN
    ...Zips no covers last four as MAC visitor, Bowden just 5-9-1 last 15 on board. EMU on 23-8-1 spread run since early 2016, though only 4-4 last 8 as Ypsilanti chalk.
    Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.



    MARYLAND at INDIANA
    ...Terps 1-5 vs. line last six as Big Ten visitor. If Hoosiers chalk note 4-1 mark last five at home.
    Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.



    SMU at UCONN
    ...UConn 1-7-1 vs. line TY, 0-4 vs. line at Pratt & Whitney. Edsall 2-8 vs. line at home since LY.
    SMU, based on team trends.



    NORTH CAROLINA at DUKE
    ...Fedora actually 8-4 vs. line since late 2017 , 7-3 last ten as dog. Cutcliffe no covers last three at Durham TY.
    UNC, based on team trends.



    OKLAHOMA STATE at OKLAHOMA
    ...Sooners have won and covered last three meetings. Lincoln Riley has also covered his last five Big 12 home games. OSU just 5-10-1 vs. points last 16 Big 12 games.
    Oklahoma, based on team and series trends.



    NORTHWESTERN at IOWA
    ...Dog team 8-0-1 in Cat games TY! NU 4-0-1 as dog TY. Pat Fitz 11-3-1 as dog since 2016 and 9-1 last 10 as visiting dog. Ferentz however is 7-1 vs. line TY.
    Northwestern, based on team trends.



    USF at CINCINNATI
    ...Charlie Strong just 3-11 vs. line last 13 reg-season games. Cincy 6-3 vs. line TY.
    Cincy, based on team trends.



    ARKANSAS STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA...ASU 4-10 vs. line since late 2017, and 2-5 last 7 vs. spread away from Jonesboro.
    Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.



    EAST CAROLINA at TULANE
    ...Montgomery 8-23-1 vs. line with ECU since arriving in 2016. Pirates 2-10-1 vs. spread away that span. Willie Fritz 8-2 vs. spread at home since LY.
    Tulane, based on team trend.



    OREGON at UTAH
    ...Utes 7-1 last 8 as home chalk. Ducks 1-7 vs. spread last 8 away from Eugene, though they have won and covered last two years vs. Utes. Ducks 2-6 last 8 as dog.
    Utah, based on team trends.



    WASHINGTON STATE at COLORADO
    ...Bottom has dropped out for Buffs, on 4-game SU losing streak (1-3 vs. line) after Arizona loss. Though home team has won and covered handily last 3 in series. CU just 3-8 vs. spread last 11 at home. Leach 4-0 vs. spread away TY, 21-10 vs. points as visitor since 2013.
    Washington State, based on team trends.



    CHARLOTTE at MARSHALL
    ... Herd 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at home. Doc just 5-12 last 17 as chalk. Charlotte current 4-0 spread run.
    Charlotte, based on team trends.



    NORTH TEXAS at OLD DOMINION
    ...UNT only 1-3 vs. line last four TY. But ODU on 6-12 spread skid, 2-7-1 last ten vs. line at home.
    North Texas, based on team trends.



    BOWLING GREEN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
    ...BGSU 2-6-1 vs. line TY, 9-24-1 since late 2015 vs. line. CMU however no covers last four TY and 0-3 vs. points as MAC host TY.
    Slight to Central Michigan, based on team trends.



    COLORADO STATE at NEVADA
    ...Bobo on 3-13 spread skid since mid 2017. Pack 7-2 vs. points TY.
    Nevada, based on team trends.



    OREGON STATE at STANFORD...OSU just 6-14-1 vs. points since LY (3-6 TY). Tree has failed to cover last 2 years vs. Beavs and Shaw just 5-11 vs. points as Farm chalk since late 2015.
    Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.



    MTSU at UTEP
    ...Miners have covered 5 of last 7 TY, but Stockstill 4-1 last five as chalk.
    Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.



    AUBURN at GEORGIA
    ...Underdog side has covered last three reg season meetings. Kirby Smart just 5-9 vs. line as Athens chalk since taking over Dawgs in 2016.
    Slight to Auburn, based on series trends.



    WISCONSIN at PENN STATE
    ...Badgers just 2-7 vs. line TY, though Paul Chryst 6-3 as dog since 2015. Wiscy has dropped last 2 away but still 11-3 vs. line as visitor since 2016. James Franklin no covers last 4 TY.
    Wisconsin, based on extended trends.



    MISSISSIPPI STATE at ALABAMA
    ...Last Tide SU loss in series was Saban’s first year in 2–7 when losing 17-12 to Sly Croom’s MSU. Saban just 5-5-1 vs. spread at Tuscaloosa since LY. Bulldogs were 16-7 last 23 as dog for Dan Mullen but 0-1 in role for Moorhead. MSU 2-5 vs. line last seven as visitor.
    Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.



    NEW MEXICO at AIR FORCE
    ...Series totally dominated by Bob Davie, who has won outright as dog last three and covered all six vs. Force since 2012. Note Falcs just 3-14 vs. spread since 2010 in games immediately after Army or Navy.
    New Mexico, based on series trends.



    VANDERBILT at MISSOURI
    ...Derek Mason now has covered last two TY though just 3-10 vs. spread in SEC games since LY. Odom has won and covered last 2 vs. Mason.
    Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.



    ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA
    ...Frost working on four straight covers TY. Lovie 2-6 last 8 vs. spread as Big Ten road dog.
    Nebraska, based on team trends.



    PURDUE at MINNESOTA
    ...Fleck just 4-10-1 vs. spread in Big Ten play since arriving with Gophers LY. Brohm 14-7 vs. spread since arriving at Purdue LY.
    Purdue, based on team trends.



    TULSA at MEMPHIS
    ...Road team has covered last four in series. Montgomery 11-5 as visiting dog since 2015. Though Tigers have covered last five American home games and 8-4 last 12 laying DD.
    Slight to Memphis, based on team trends.



    SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA
    ...Cocks 10-1 vs. points last nine away from Williams-Brice. Gators no covers L2 TY.
    Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.



    CAL at USC
    ...Bears haven’t beaten Trojans SU since epic 2003 3-OT win at Berkeley, and no wins at Coliseum since 2000. SC 10-3 vs. points last 13 meetings. But Helton on 7-17 spread skid overall and 2-7 last 9 as Coliseum chalk. Wilcox 7-2 last 8 as dog and did cover vs. SC LY.
    Slight to California, based on recent trends.



    TEXAS at TEXAS TECH
    ...Road team has won and covered last four. But Texas only 3-6 last nine vs. points in reg season.
    Slight to Texas, based on series trends.



    LSU at ARKANSAS
    ...Hogs had given LSU trouble before 2016, covering 4 in a row, though Orgeron has gotten Porkers last two years. Orgeron 5-1 vs. points last six on SEC road.
    LSU, based on team trends.



    SAN JOSE STATE at UTAH STATE
    ...SJSU 4-1 L5 vs. line away. Utags however 7-1-1 vs. line TY and 3-0-1 at Logan.
    Utah State, based on team trends.



    APPALACHIAN STATE at TEXAS STATE
    ... App 5-1 last six vs. points away from Boone. Tex State working on four straight covers, though just 5-9 vs. line last 14 at San Marcos.
    App State, based on team trends.



    GEORGIA STATE at ULL
    ...Ragin’ Cajuns on 5-game spread win streak. GS 1-7 vs. line last 8 TY, and 0-4 as road dog.
    ULL, based on recent trends.



    WKU at FAU
    ... Lane Kiffin just 2-7 vs. line TY but still 7-4 vs. spread as home chalk since LY. Sagging WKU 1-8 SU TY and now working on three straight spread Ls after MTSU loss.
    FAU, based on team trends.



    ULM at SOUTH ALABAMA
    ...Jags 8-4 vs. spread last 12 CUSA games. ULM 3-8 last 11 vs. line. Host team has covered last two.
    South Alabama, based on team trends.



    RICE at LA TECH
    ...Skip just 2-3 as chalk in 2018 but has bombed Rice the past four years, winning and covering all by 14 or more.
    La Tech, based on series trends.



    FIU at UTSA
    ...Roadrunners on 3-14 spread skid. Butch Davis on 11-5 spread uptick in reg season since mid 2017.
    FIU, based on team trends.



    FLORIDA STATE at NOTRE DAME
    ...Noles 3-6 vs. line for Taggart and 7-13-2 vs. points since LY. FSU only 1-5 last six as dog. But Irish only 4-8-1 last 13 vs. line reg season and no covers last seven laying DD.
    Slight to Florida State, based on team trends.



    SOUTHERN MISS at UAB
    ...Blazers have covered last seven and 15-3-1 last 19 vs. line reg season. Plus 10-0-1 vs. line L11 at home.
    UAB, based on team trends.



    OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE
    ... Urban no covers last five TY. Dantonio 3-2 vs. line in series last five years though was crushed 48-3 LY. MSU 20-8 as dog since 2011 (1-1 TY).
    Michigan State, based on team trends.



    UCLA at ARIZONA STATE
    ...Herm 3-1 vs. line at home TY, Sun Devils 14-5 vs. spread at Tempe since late 2015.
    Arizona State, based on team trends.



    UNLV at SAN DIEGO STATE
    ...Road team has covered last four in series. Aztecs 0-4 as home chalk TY. Sanchez no covers last two away TY but is 2-2 in role and Rebs 23-10 as road dog since 2012.
    UNLV, based on team and series trends.
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    Big Ten Report - Week 11
    November 7, 2018
    By ASA



    2018 BIG 10 STANDINGS


    Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
    Illinois 4-5 2-4 4-5 5-4
    Indiana 4-5 1-5 3-6 6-3
    Iowa 6-3 3-3 6-3 6-3
    Maryland 5-4 3-3 5-4 4-5
    Michigan 8-1 6-0 6-3 5-4
    Michigan State 6-3 4-2 4-5 4-5
    Minnesota 4-5 1-5 5-4 6-3
    Nebraska 2-7 1-5 3-5-1 5-4
    Northwestern 5-4 5-1 4-3-2 5-4
    Ohio State 8-1 5-1 3-6 4-5
    Penn State 6-3 3-3 5-4 7-2
    Purdue 5-4 4-2 6-3 5-4
    Rutgers 1-8 0-6 4-5 3-6
    Wisconsin 6-3 4-2 2-7 5-4


    Friday, Nov. 10


    Ohio State (-3.5) at Michigan State - (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)


    OHIO STATE
    – A quick commentary on the Buckeyes. There is something off with this team. They are nowhere near as good as recent Buckeye teams despite their 8-1 record. We’ve heard the team chemistry just isn’t a strength and it is starting to show on the field. There have been a few red flags over the last month with the most glaring coming in their 49-20 loss at Purdue a few weeks ago. Last Saturday the Buckeyes were in a spot where they would normally come out and destroy a team. At home, off a bye, and off an embarrassing defeat in their previous game. Even with that this team struggled to put away a 2-win Nebraska team. OSU’s largest lead was just 12 points and that was late in the 4th quarter. They did finally get their struggling running game (averaging just 133 YPG in league play coming into the game) moving in the right direction with 229 yards on the ground. However, that may come to a halt this weekend vs the #1 rush defense in the nation at MSU. Defensively OSU has allowed 80 points and nearly 1,000 yards in the last 2 games alone. They are allowing 402 YPG in conference play this season after giving up just 300 YPG in Big Ten play last year. Following this week’s game at MSU they are at Maryland and then close out the regular season with a gigantic game at home vs Michigan.


    MICHIGAN STATE – While MSU’s offense has its moments where it struggles we can’t say the same for the Spartan defense. They are very good week in and week out. They lead the nation in rush defense allowing just 77 YPG and held a very good Maryland running game to just 26 yards last week in their 24-3 road win. They held the Terps to less than 2 YPP in the win and are now giving up just 4.8 YPP on the season. The offense is still a work in progress. They came into last week’s having relied heavily on the pass while averaging only 107 YPG on the ground. With starting QB Brian Lewerke returning from an injury, the Spartans leaned more on their running game than they had all season putting up 269 yards passes for 87 yards. He also welcomed back one of MSU’s top offensive weapons as starting WR Cody White was back on the lineup for the first time since September 29th. Sparty has now won 3 of their last 4 games including wins over Purdue & Penn State. Their only loss during that 4 game stretch was a 21-7 setback vs red hot Michigan.


    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – OSU rolled over MSU 48-3 last year at home as a 17.5 point favorite. That was the only time in the last 7 meetings that the favorite has covered (dog is 6-1 ATS in this series). Ohio State has been favored in 24 of the 28 meetings since 1980 & they are 12-2 SU (10-4 ATS) their last 14 trips to East Lansing. The Buckeyes are also 7-2 ATS as a favorite at MSU dating back to 1980.


    Maryland at Indiana (-1) – (BTN, 12:00 p.m. ET)


    MARYLAND
    – It was definitely a rough week for Maryland leading into last week’s home tilt with MSU as their head coach DJ Durkin was reinstated after a suspension and then fired within the span of 48 hours. This team did not respond well getting trounced at home by the Spartans 24-3. We’ve mentioned it numerous times this year on these pages but if you can stop Maryland’s running game, they are in trouble. Last week was a bad match up for this offense as they were facing a Michigan State defense that leads the nation allowing just 77 YPG. They lived up to their defensive billing on Saturday holding the potent Maryland running game to 26 yards on 29 carries. The Terps put up just 100 total yards on 53 plays for less than 2 YPP. The Spartans dominated the stat sheet as they were +10 first downs, +248 yards rushing, and +13:00 minute time of possession. The passing game continued to be almost non-existent as QB Kasim Hill has thrown for less than 100 yards in 4 of the Terps last 5 games. Maryland drops to 5-4 overall and still needs one more win to become bowl eligible. This week at Indiana is huge as they close out the season with two very tough games at home vs Ohio State and at Penn State.


    INDIANA – The Hoosiers had last week off after losing at Minnesota 38-31 two weeks ago. IU was dominated for much of their game in Minneapolis with the Gophers leading 31-9 entering the 4th quarter before Indiana made their mini comeback. IU was outgained by 97 yards in the game and allowed the Gophs to rush for 180 yards. They’ll need to be much better defensively this weekend at home against a Maryland team that is 3rd in the Big Ten in rushing averaging 222 YPG. The Hoosiers have only 1 Big Ten win and that came by just 7 points vs Rutgers. Four of their five Big Ten losses have come by at least a TD with three of those coming by 14 or more. They have some serious work to do to get to bowl eligible as they need to win 2 of their final 3 games vs Indiana, at Michigan, or vs Purdue. It’s been a disappointing season in Indiana after starting with a perfect 3-0 mark in the non-conference slate.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS
    – These two have met 4 times since Maryland joined the Big Ten with each winning twice. Last year IU was favored by 6.5 at Maryland but the Terps pulled off the 42-39 upset. Despite the loss the Hoosiers were +17 first downs & +138 yards in that game. Maryland is 3-0 ATS this year coming off a SU loss & 23-14 ATS their last 37 in that spot. IU is just 7-19 ATS coming off a bye dating back to 1993.


    Illinois at Nebraska (-17) - (BTN, 12:00 p.m. ET)


    ILLINOIS
    – The Illini pulled off quite the performance last week crushing Minnesota 55-31 as 9.5-point underdogs. They gashed the Minnesota defense for a ridiculous 430 yards rushing on 12.3 yards per carry! RB Reggie Corbin led the way with 213 yards on just 13 carries. He has now topped 100 yards rushing in 4 of his last 5 games. Corbin set the stage early running for a 72-yard TD on just the second play of the game. That was just the start for Corbin who had TD runs of 77, 72, and 72 yards. If there is one thing the Illini do well it is run the ball. They now rank 2nd in the Big Ten and 23rd nationally averaging 223 YPG on the ground. Head coach Lovie Smith took over the defense after the abrupt resignation of his defensive coordinator Hardy Nickerson earlier in the week. Under Smith’s watch Illinois gave up “only” 31 points and 438 yards. While that may not seem good (it isn’t) it’s better than they have been performing on that side of the ball. A week earlier they allowed 63 points on 712 yards to a one-dimensional Maryland offense. Coming into last week Illinois had allowed at least 46 points in 4 of their 5 Big Ten games including giving up 60+ twice! Now they face a Nebraska offense that has played very well over the last month and a half.


    NEBRASKA – The ever-improving Huskers took Ohio State to the wire last week in Columbus. Nebraska’s offense continued to play very well putting up 31 points on 450 total yards in the 36-31 loss. It was the 6th consecutive game the Huskers have had at least 450 yards of total offense. Nebraska led 21-16 at half but saw OSU take their biggest lead 36-24 with 4:57 to go in the game. They responded with a quick 75-yard TD drive to cut the lead to 36-31 with just under 3:00 minutes remaining. The Huskers were not able to get the ball back after that TD as the Buckeyes ran out the clock. While the offense has been playing at a high level, the defense continues to struggle. An Ohio State running game that has been very poor as of late rushed for 229 yards which was their highest number on the ground this Big Ten season. The only team they’ve held under 30 points in Big Ten play was Minnesota and the Gophers put up 28 points in that one. This loss pretty much took Nebraska out of bowl contention as they’d now have to sweep the board to finish with a 5-7 record. With games after this one vs Michigan State and at Iowa that even seems unlikely. While they may finish with the same (4) or fewer wins than last year’s team, this Nebraska unit is much better in our opinion.


    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The Huskers dominated last year’s match up at Illinois 28-6. Nebraska tallied 411 total yards while holding the Illini to just 199. These teams have met 7 times since 1980 and the Huskers have been favored in all 7 games. They are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in those meetings. The Illini lone win in this series was 14-13 back in 2015. Illinois has played just 3 road games this year. They beat Rutgers as expected but their other two roadies have been blowout losses to Maryland (lost by 30) & Wisconsin (lost by 29).


    Wisconsin at Penn State (-9) – (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)


    WISCONSIN
    – The Badgers struggled a bit with Rutgers last week but came away with a 31-17 win. As expected they kept the ball on the ground for the most part rushing for 317 yards while holding Rutgers to 72 on the ground. They were led as per usual by Jonathan Taylor who had 208 yards and leading the nation in rushing. Starting QB Alex Hornibrook returned after missing the Northwestern game, however his status for this weekend’s game at Penn State is in doubt. He is again in concussion protocol after getting hit late in the 1st half last week. He did not return to last week’s game and our word is they are preparing his back up Jack Coan to make his 2nd start of the season. We highly doubt Hornibrook will play this weekend. The Wisconsin defense has noticeably taken a step back from previous years due to inexperience and injuries. They allowed Rutgers to score 17 points on 333 total yards while that may not seem that bad this Scarlet Knight offense had scored just 2 TD’s in their previous 164 offensive snaps dating back to their October 6th game vs Illinois. It was also just the 2nd time since their season opener vs Texas State that Rutgers was able to put up over 300 total yards in a game. The Badgers did get two key defensive players back in the line up as starting safety D’Cota Dixon and DL Isaiah Loudermilk both returned from injuries. That should help them moving forward.


    PENN STATE – Penn State ran into a buzz saw last week and to be honest we saw it coming. We had Michigan as our Top Play on Saturday and they didn’t disappoint destroying the Nittany Lions 42-7. PSU’s only points came on a TD with less than 2:00 minutes to play in the game. The Nits were held to just 186 total yards with 75 of those coming on their final drive of the game when the outcome had been long since decided. Trace McSorely completed only 5 passes the entire game and was noticeably restricted by his knee injury which he suffered a week earlier vs Iowa. Back up Tommy Stevens also got some time under center completing just 3 passes and may play a larger role this Saturday depending on the health of McSorely. The defense actually held up pretty well holding Michigan to just 14 points in the first half but they ran out of gas in the 2nd half as they were on the field for 69 plays which was 21 more plays than the Michigan defense was forced to face. This defense has been on the field A LOT and it looks like it’s starting to take a toll. Since their bye week after their home loss to OSU, the Penn State defense has been on the field for 346 plays or an average of 86.5 plays per game. They are 2-2 in those games with their wins both coming down to the wire vs Iowa (won by 6) and at Indiana (won by 5).


    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These two last met in the Big Ten Championship game following the 2106 season. The Badgers were favored by 3 in that game but blew a 28-14 halftime lead losing 38-31. Since the start of the 2005, these two have met 8 times with PSU winning & covering 6 of those games. This is the 2nd time this season Wisconsin has been a dog of more than a TD. First game was a 38-17 loss at Michigan as a 10-point dog. However, entering this season Wisconsin was 30-9-1 ATS when getting more than 7 points dating back to 1990. PSU is 0-8 ATS their last 8 home games coming off a SU loss (back to 2014).


    Michigan (-39) at Rutgers – (BTN, 3:30 p.m. ET)


    MICHIGAN
    – As we mentioned in our Penn State recap, we had a feeling that Michigan was going to dominate the Nittany Lions last week and we released the Wolverines as our Top Play of the weekend. They did just that with a 42-7 win holding a potent offense scoreless for 58 minutes before PSU tacked on a meaningless late TD. They had been waiting for that rematch ever since last year’s embarrassing 42-13 loss in Happy Valley. The defense wanted redemption for their poor performance last year and they got it in a big way holding PSU to just 186 total yards. On offense they continue to lean heavily on their running game as they had 52 rushing attempts and just 17 pass attempts last Saturday. As good as the defense has been, the Michigan offense now leads the Big Ten in scoring at 36 PPG (conference games only). It was the third consecutive week of their “revenge tour” in which they faced Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Penn State, all game they lost a year ago. In those 3 games the Michigan defense allowed 31 total points (10 PPG) and 563 total yards (187 YPG) all versus formidable opponents. They have one leg left on that revenge tour and that comes in a few weeks at Ohio State. This week they face a Rutgers team that ranks dead last in the Big Ten in both total offense and scoring offense. Michigan is laying 39 points on the road in this one and the total is set at 49 so it’s obvious the oddsmakers don’t expect Rutgers to do much of anything offensively. The one semi-concern this week will be the Wolverines mind set. They are coming off three huge games that they labeled the revenge tour. Now playing Rutgers has to a be a huge letdown for this team. Will they potentially lose this game? No chance by covering 39 on the road in this spot might be a task.


    RUTGERS – The Knights offense actually showed a bit of life in last week’s 31-17 loss at Wisconsin. While 17 points on 333 total yards might not catch anyone’s attention, it was a solid performance for this Rutgers offense. This is an offense that had scored only 6 TD’s in their 5 Big Ten games prior to their visit to Madison. They actually had a chance to score more than 17 as they missed a FG and pushed the ball into Wisconsin territory on 6 of their 11 possessions. Despite the small improvement last week, they will most likely take an offensive step back this Saturday facing a Michigan defense that has been lights out. Rutgers is dead last in the Big Ten in scoring at 12 PPG which is a full 9 PPG less than Michigan State who ranks 13th at 21 PPG (conference games). They are also last in total offense averaging only 251 YPG which is 75 yards per game less than Maryland who is 13th in the league. Defensively this team has looked much better the last few weeks. Over the last 3 games (vs Wisconsin, Northwestern, and Maryland) the Knights are allowing just 24 PPG which is a big improvement over their first 6 games of the season where they gave up 40 PPG. They did allow Wisconsin to rush for 300+ yards last week and they are allowing 242 YPG rushing this year so expect a heavy dose of the Wolverine running game on Saturday. We’d be surprised if Michigan put the ball in the air much at all this weekend.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS
    – Rutgers won the first game in this series back in 2014 by a final score of 26-24. Since then Michigan is 3-0 winning each by at least 21 points. The combined score of those 3 games is Michigan 162, Rutgers 30. Since 1980, this is the highest road favorite Michigan has EVER been. They were favored by 38 in 1998 at Hawaii. The Wolverines highest road number in Big Ten play was as a 34-point favorite at Minnesota in 1983. Rutgers has been a home dog of more than 39 points only ONCE in their history when they were +40 vs Miami FL back on 2002.


    Northwestern at Iowa (-11) – (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)


    NORTHWESTERN
    – Surprising to most, the Cats enter their game at Iowa this week in first place in the Big Ten West with a 5-1 mark, one game ahead of Wisconsin and Purdue and two games ahead of this Iowa team. If they could pull the upset here, Northwestern would be in a great spot as they’ve already beaten both Wisconsin & Purdue and then would have a win over Iowa. That would make their lead in the Big Ten West with tiebreakers almost insurmountable. After upsetting Wisconsin two weeks ago, the Cats took a step outside of conference play last week and played host to Notre Dame. While the Irish dominated the stat sheet outgained Northwestern by 215 yards, the Wildcats had shot in this one. After falling down 24-7 early in the fourth quarter, Northwestern rallied to cut the lead to 24-21 midway through the fourth. After the Cats cut the lead to 3, Notre Dame went on an 89-yard game deciding drive then ended in a TD giving them the 31-21 win. The line in this one had the Irish favored by 10 or 10.5 so it fell right on the number. Northwestern now takes the road for the first time since October 20th with games at Iowa and at Minnesota the next two weeks. The road has been good to the Wildcats this year as they sit with a perfect 3-0 record away from home with wins at Purdue, at Michigan State, and at Rutgers.


    IOWA – The Hawkeyes left on their 2 game road trip to PSU & Purdue with a chance to come back to Iowa City in the driver’s seat in the Big Ten West. They left with a 3-1 mark and returned at 3-3 which is good for 4th in their division behind Northwestern, Wisconsin, and Purdue. With their hopes of a conference title now barely flickering, this becomes a must win for the Hawkeyes as the chase Northwestern. Last week at Purdue, the Iowa defense, which had been very stout leading into the game, was shredded for 38 points and 434 total yards. The Hawks trailed for much of the game but were able to take their first lead after a 26-yard TD drive with 10:00 minutes remaining which came following a Purdue interception deep in their own territory. That gave Iowa a 36-35 lead until the Boilers kicked the game winning field goal giving them the 38-36 win as time expired. It was the second straight crushing loss for Iowa last second loss for Iowa as a week earlier they threw an interception at the 3-yard line late in their 30-24 loss at PSU. Last week’s line hovered around Purdue -2 or -2.5 for much of the week. It did drop all the way to -1 on gameday giving many a win of they had the Boilermakers. The Hawkeyes look to get head coach Kirk Ferentz his 150th win this Saturday before traveling to Illinois the following week and then closing out the season at home vs Nebraska.


    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Last year’s match up was a grinder with Northwestern winning 17-10 at home in OT as a 3-point favorite. Defenses obviously dominated with Iowa averaging 4.7 YPP and Northwestern just 4.1. The favorite has covered 6 of the last 7 in this Big Ten series. Since 1993, the Wildcats have been a double digit underdog in this series 7 times. They have covered 6 of those 7 games and won 5 of those games outright. Since 2006 Iowa has been a home favorite of -10 or more in Big Ten play 13 times. They are 2-11 ATS in those games.


    Purdue (-12) at Minnesota – (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)


    PURDUE
    – The Boilers knocked off #16 Iowa last Saturday by a final score of 38-36. The win gives Purdue a 3-1 record this year vs ranked opponents. After starting the season 0-3, they have now won 5 of their las 6 games to move to within 1 game of bowl eligibility. While the defense has improved, it’s Jeff Brohm’s offense that is carrying this team. They have scored at least 38 points in 4 of their last 5 games. QB David Blough continues to make his bid as the top signal caller in the Big Ten throwing for 333 yards and 4 TD’s in their win over Iowa. Since taking over as the full time starter on September 16th, Blough has thrown for 17 TD’s in 7 games and has led Purdue to a 5-2 record. While the defense is improved over previous editions, there is one glaring weakness with this team and that is their pass defense. They allowed Hawkeye QB Nate Stanley to complete 66% of his passes for 275 yards. That was a week after allowing Michigan State first time starter Rocky Lombardi to throw for 318 yards. A week prior to that OSU QB Dwayne Haskins threw for almost 500 yards. You get the point. Purdue ranks dead last in the Big Ten and 127th nationally allowing 296 YPG through the air. The Boilers will have to focus on not coming out flat here after their huge home win over Iowa. They were put in a similar situation a few weeks ago coming off their home win over Ohio State and laid an egg at Michigan State losing 23-13.


    MINNESOTA – We’re still kicking ourselves for not taking Illinois +9 last week at home vs the Gophers. Our first comment when the line came out was, “Minnesota should not be favored by 9 over anyone on the road.” Well they proved that comment true as they were crushed at Illinois 55-31. The Gopher rush defense which entered allowing 209 YPG on the ground in Big Ten play exited allowing almost 250 YPG after the Illini ran wild for 430 yards! They are now allowing almost 7 YPC in Big Ten play. The Gopher pass defense isn’t any better as they are now allowing a Big Ten worst 70% completion rate. The Illinois passing attack, which is far from potent, put up 216 yards which means Minnesota gave up 646 yards of offense. To Illinois! They are now allowing 507 YPG in conference play. This all led to head coach PJ Fleck to fire defensive coordinator Robb Smith earlier this week. Defensive line coach Joe Rossi, who was once the defensive coordinator at Rutgers, will step into Smith’s role. The offense may get a boost this week as starting QB Zack Annexstad looks like he may return after missing 2 straight games due to an upper body injury. However, his replacement Tanner Morgan, has actually performed very well with 560 yards passing and 5 TD’s in the last 2 games. Morgan isn’t the problem as he’s led the Gophers to 38 and 31 points the last two weeks. We’re not so sure Annexstad gets the start even if he is ready. The defense is obviously the weak spot on this team and they’re getting worse as the season moves along allowing 53, 31, and 55 points their last 3. After a positive 3-0 start to the season, Minnesota now must win 2 of their final 3 just to get to bowl eligible. That could be tough as they play Purdue, Northwestern, and Wisconsin to close out the year.


    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Purdue rolled to a 31-17 win at home last year as a 3.5 point favorite. So the Boilers were favored by 3.5 at HOME last year and now they are laying double digits on the road 365 days later. The last time Purdue visited Minnesota in 2016 they were 18.5 point underdogs. Thus a swing of more than 30 points in 2 years. Purdue has now been favored in each of their 4 road games this season. They are 2-1 ATS on the road thus far. The Gopher are 18-10 ATS their last 28 as a home underdog.
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    FSU at Notre Dame
    November 7, 2018
    By Bookmaker

    NCAA Prevew - Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish


    The Notre Dame Fighting Irish is getting closer and closer to a berth in the College Football Playoff. The former perennial power has been up and down over the past decade-plus but has put everything together to play extremely well in 2018.


    Notre Dame is one of the few undefeated teams remaining in the country and will aim to remain that way in a matchup against the Florida State Seminoles.The Fighting Irish has the talent advantage and the home field advantage so it will clearly be favored. The season has not gone according to plan for Florida State but it would love to play spoiler in this one.


    It would be a big upset if the Seminoles manage to pull this one out, as covering the spread may be the more realistic push in this matchup in NCAA football wagering.


    This NCAA football game between the Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish will be held at Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, Indiana at 5:30 p.m ET on Saturday, November 10th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on NBC.


    We'll have NCAA football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NCAA football season.


    Odds Analysis

    Notre Dame is listed as the heavy 17.5-point favorite in this one. The Fighting Irish is the -1000 favorite on the moneyline while Florida State is listed at +664 to pull the upset. The scoring total is listed at 54.5 points.


    Many college football games can really put a lot of points up but this game doesn’t seem like it will be a shootout in NCAA football betting.


    Player To Watch


    Ian Book -- Notre Dame was winning early in the season but it wasn’t pretty. Book was elevated to the starting lineup at quarterback and the Fighting Irish has subsequently look much more formidable. Book has thrown for 1,824 yards this season with 15 touchdowns and only four interceptions. He is completing 74.5 percent of his passes, a very impressive numbers, which helps keep drives alive consistently.


    Book has also added 218 rushing yards and four touchdowns on the ground. He isn’t a huge dual threat but has enough scrambling ability to keep defenses honest. Before Book entered the lineup Notre Dame seemed destined to lose a game but now it is in good shape to win out and make it to the national semifinals.

    Scheduling Situation



    The Seminoles are in the meat of their schedule and thus far it has not gone too well. Florida State has played three ranked teams in its past four games and lost them all. The Seminoles first fell to Miami, but that was only by a point. Florida State beat unranked Wake Forest and then dropped games to No. 2 Clemson and No. 21 North Carolina State.


    Both games were blowouts and this one could follow that path. Florida State has traditionally been in Notre Dame’s realm as far as perennial excellence, but that has not been the case this year.


    Free NCAA Football ATS Picks


    Notre Dame may not be as good as its record, but Florida State is just a bad football team. The Fighting Irish is superior on both sides of the ball and should systematically pull away to pick up this victory.


    The spread is large and it’s not an easy cover, but roll with the Fighting Irish to win this game by 18 points or more. The “under” is the pick as Florida State is going to have a tough time putting up points against a solid Notre Dame defense in NCAA football gambling.


    NCAA Football Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 34, Florida State Seminoles 14
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    Ohio State at Michigan State
    November 7, 2018
    By BetDSI



    By Tom Wilkinson


    College Football Betting Preview – Ohio State at Michigan State



    One of the best offenses in the country faces one of the best defenses in the nation, as the Ohio State Buckeyes visit the Michigan State Spartans on Saturday on FOX. The Buckeyes are 10th in the country in points per game at just over 42 points per game, while the Spartans are 16th in defense, allowing just 19 points per contest. The Buckeyes are listed as slight road favorites in this contest. Let’s look at this matchup and college football picks.


    Date and Time: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 12:00 p.m. ET
    Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
    College Football Odds at BetDSI: Ohio State -3.5, O/U 54
    Ohio State vs. Michigan State TV Coverage: FOX



    The Buckeyes still have hopes of reaching the College Football Playoff, but they can’t afford another loss and this game against Michigan State looks a lot tougher now than it did a few weeks ago. The Spartans have won their last two games and the defense is playing really well. The defense for Michigan State has a point to prove after they were thrashed last year, losing 48-3 to OSU. “Last year, they had their way,” Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio said to the media, “So we’re gonna have to play very, very well. And we’re gonna have to know what they do and be on top of our game.”


    Ohio State has not been a good team against the spread on the road, going 0-3. The Spartans have gone over the total in two of those three games. The Spartans have not been good at home vs. the number, as they are 1-4 ATS. They have gone over in three of their five home games.


    If we call the matchup between the Ohio State offense and the Michigan State defense a draw, then this game comes down to the Ohio State defense vs. the Michigan State offense. The Ohio State defense isn’t very good, but the Spartans don’t have a great offense. Michigan State also has an injury problem, as quarterback Brian Lewerke has a right shoulder injury.


    Doctors have said that Lewerke can’t damage his shoulder any further by playing, so it is just a matter of pain. The problem for MSU is that Lewerke has admitted that his shoulder is affecting his passes. He should get a lot of chances to make plays against Ohio State, as the Buckeyes have given up 29.2 points per game in their last five games.

    Matchup to Watch



    It will be interesting to watch the Ohio State offense going up against the Michigan State defense. The Spartans are No. 1 in the country in rushing defense, allowing just 71.7 yards per game. They are just 98th in pass defense, so the Buckeyes will try and throw on Saturday to win this game. Ohio State loves to run the ball, but this game comes down to the Ohio State passing attack against the MSU pass defense.


    Key Stats


    The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Michigan State. The Buckeyes are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games on grass. The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.


    Looking at the total, the Over is 7-2 in the Buckeyes last 9 road games. The Under is 4-0 in the Spartans last 4 games overall. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.


    Ohio State vs. Michigan State Picks


    I don’t trust Ohio State, but I just don’t know how Michigan State is going to keep up with the Buckeyes in terms of scoring points. I lean a little bit to the Buckeyes, but I think the better choice is to play the total. Ohio State can’t stop opposing offenses, so this game should turn into a shootout that goes over the total.


    Ohio State vs. Michigan State Pick: Over 54 at BetDSI
    Ohio State vs. Michigan State Score Prediction: Ohio State 33, Michigan State 27
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    Week 11 Upset Alerts
    November 7, 2018
    By Sportsbetting.ag



    NCAAF Week 11 Upset Alerts


    It was a disappointing Saturday for last week's underdogs that I isolated in this piece as they ended up going 1-2 ATS overall. More importantly though, my 9-0 ATS run on the big 20+ underdogs came to an end as UNLV just couldn't hang with Fresno State as I believed they could. Who knows, maybe the run ended because a certain “animal” from ESPN's College Game Day decided to “mush” my run on big dogs by backing UNLV as well, but I've still got a few weeks left in the season to add to that nice record as I look to get back in the winner's circle with those big dogs this week.


    Outside of the UNLV play, Virginia Tech (another strong pick from said “animal” last week) couldn't manage to hold onto a 14-7 halftime lead in their 10-point home loss to Boston College, but Louisiana-Lafayette did the opposite in using a strong 3rd quarter to get back in their game to end up covering the +10.5 number by the hook. A 1-2 ATS week with the lone winner coming by a hook is not ideal, but hopefully the results this week turn out to be much more profitable.


    Odds per - Sportsbetting.ag


    Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range


    YTD: 3-8 SU; 3-8 ATS


    Tennessee +6 over Kentucky



    The Kentucky Wildcats got served a harsh dose of reality last week when Georgia came into their house and put a beating on them (34-17) in what was a defacto SEC East title game. For as good as this year has been for Kentucky, they just didn't have the talent on either side of the ball to match up with that Georgia team. Now sitting at 7-2 SU and no division crown or conference title game within reach, what's really left to play for if you're Kentucky?


    Last week's game against Georgia got all the hype as one of the biggest in recent history for Kentucky's football program and rightfully so. But with the way it went down, the Wildcats probably can't help but be plenty disappointed if for no other reason than what could have been with a win. Now, they go out on the road to face a Tennessee team that the markets have not given much credit too all year long, so where will the energy be to show up? Sure, a 10-win campaign is still a reasonable goal for the Wildcats (they should be able to beat Middle Tennessee and Louisville in their final two games), but with this spread being bet up to -6 after coming out at -3.5, I believe most of those bettors are not considering this brutal situation the Wildcats are in this week.


    Not only could there be an extreme lack of interest in this game from Kentucky's standpoint, but what's been masked in Kentucky's great campaign is the fact that this Wildcats offense has really struggled for about a month now. Kentucky hasn't scored more than 17 points in their last four games, and that includes games against the likes of Missouri and Vanderbilt, two SEC rivals that aren't exactly known for their defense. This is also the first time Kentucky has laid chalk on the road this year and is it really that warranted? They beat Mizzou on a untimed final play of the game in their last road outing, and if it wasn't for a fumble recovery TD with four minutes left @ Texas A&M prior to that, the Wildcats would have never even got to OT against the Aggies.


    Simply put, that initial -3.5 line the oddsmakers came out with for this game is probably where this line should actually be, but I'll gladly take the extra points with this Tennessee team that's catching Kentucky in a huge letdown spot and trying to become Bowl eligible themselves.


    Odds per - Sportsbetting.ag


    Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range


    YTD: 1-9 SU; 5-5 ATS


    Auburn +14 over Georgia



    Speaking of that Kentucky/Georgia game last week, the Georgia Bulldogs did what they needed to do and now basically have a full month to prepare for Alabama in the SEC title game. Georgia would love to get some revenge for falling to 'Bama in the National Championship a year ago, and you know HC Kirby Smart will isolate some time each week to begin implementing his plan for the Crimson Tide this time around. That's not to say the Bulldogs will be taking this Auburn team extremely lightly as Georgia still has to win games SU to be considered for the CFP playoff, but in this spot, it's just too many points to lay.


    Georgia may already be eyeing their revenge against Alabama next month, but Auburn's got their own vengeful thoughts this week. Remember, it was Georgia who beat Auburn rather handily (28-7) in last year's SEC Championship game, three weeks after Auburn had clobbered the Bulldogs 40-17. That SEC Championship loss likely cost Auburn a spot in last year's playoff (and who knows if Alabama would have got in then), and the Tigers would love to be that speed bump that Georgia stumbles on a year later in their quest for national supremacy.


    The Tigers have not closed as an underdog all year, so to see them catching this many points was rather surprising. However, given that Georgia looked very good a week ago in the national spotlight and are now on a collision course with Alabama, the spread probably had to come out in this range if for no other reason than for oddsmakers to protect themselves from a flood of Bulldogs money. But similar to Kentucky being in a letdown spot after last week, Georgia could feel some of those affects as well here, as they accomplished their first goal of the 2018 season (win the SEC East) and now it's time to just survive and advance. That's going to be easier said than done against this Auburn team that's looking for redemption after how their season ended a year ago. This should be a single-digit margin of victory for the Bulldogs at best.


    Odds per - Sportsbetting.ag


    Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range


    YTD: 9-1 ATS


    Rutgers +39 over Michigan



    I've been a big fan of the “Michigan Revenge Tour” all year long if for no other reason than the Wolverines weren't shy about putting that statement out there from the get-go and have backed it up every step of the way. Last week's 42-7 win over Penn State as the latest instalment for the Tour was impressive, as Michigan has now covered the number in four straight weeks and done so with relative ease. But it's also been three straight weeks where the Revenge Tour has taken center stage in terms of focus (Wisconsin, Michigan State, Penn State) and now the Wolverines – who are currently inside the playoff picture – get a week to let up a bit as they visit lowly Rutgers.


    Without question, Michigan will win this game SU rather easily, but winning by 40 on the road after three straight high-intensity weeks (with one more still to come down the road @ Ohio State) is a lot to ask. There are plenty of bettors that would suggest fading Michigan next week prior to that Ohio State game may be the better spot, but I actually believe this is the week to go that route simply because the Wolverines know they've just got to show up for probably a quarter before this game is well within control.


    Rutgers has not been a good team all year long (1-8 SU) and going against arguably the nation's best defense this week won't be fun. But the Scarlet Knights have managed to cover big numbers the last two weeks (vs Northwestern and Wisconsin) and I think Michigan lets them hang around enough to make it three straight ATS wins this week. With the number being as high as it is, a garbage time score by Rutgers may be all they need to cinch the cover, as Michigan can't have too much interest in “style points” given that they are already in the playoff picture; and really, a win by 28-35 points is still plenty of “style” for Michigan to show the committee.


    A mental letdown after three straight weeks of “Touring” will be what holds Michigan back from covering all this chalk, as they just want to leave New Jersey healthy. Michigan will let Rutgers keep some dignity here by sitting on the ball late and giving their depth guys plenty of time on the field, pushing the Scarlet Knights record as double-digit home underdogs this year to a perfect 3-0 ATS.
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    Wake Forest at N.C. State
    November 6, 2018
    By Joe Nelson



    This week’s Thursday night ESPN game comes from the ACC Atlantic as Wake Forest and North Carolina State face off in Raleigh in a battle of schools just over 100 miles apart. While neither will catch Clemson in the Atlantic standings, this is important game on both sides and a rematch of a memorable game from 2017.


    Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at N.C. State Wolfpack
    Venue: at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
    Time/TV: Thursday, November 8, 7:30 PM ET ESPN
    Line: N.C. State -17, Over/Under 69
    Last Meeting: 2017, at Wake Forest (-2) 30, N.C. State 24



    Dave Clawson has taken Wake Forest to a bowl game the past two years but that run is in jeopardy with the Demon Deacons 4-5 with three games to play. This is the final game on the Atlantic side for Wake Forest as the final two contests are Coastal crossover games hosting Pittsburgh and playing at Duke. Wake Forest can expect to be an underdog in all three games and will need to win two of those three games to make the postseason.


    Accomplishing that task has the added hurdle of quarterback Sam Hartman being lost for the season last week. With Kendall Hinton suspended and Jamie Newman injured at the start of the season, the freshman Hartman was thrust into the starting role from the opener and he has performed reasonably well with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Newman, a sophomore, will take over with 19 pass attempts under his belt in three games of the past two seasons. Newman is 6’4” and 240 pounds as his size will be an asset but the Deacons have not come close to matching the production that John Wolford brought to the team last season.


    Wake Forest has a solid running game averaging 224 yards per game on 4.5 yards per carry with two 600 yard rushers, leaning on senior Matt Colbrun more in recent weeks. Newman has some mobility but the top player on the offense has been receiver Greg Dortch who has 69 catches for 846 yards while also providing a threat in the return game.


    At 4-5 the best win for Wake Forest came in overtime in the opener at Tulane with the other victories coming against FCS Towson, Rice, and Louisville. Wake Forest played within seven vs. Boston College early in the season but has lost by double-digits in every defeat since. In ACC play Wake Forest is 1-4 while being outscored by 84 points. The Demon Deacons are 2-1 on the road this season however including getting the only ACC win on the road at Louisville.


    N.C. State is 6-2 but with a lopsided loss to Clemson the Wolfpack also have a negative scoring differential in ACC play. N.C. State went into Clemson undefeated but lost 41-7 and then lost at Syracuse the following week. N.C. State did beat Virginia and Boston College at home and last week bested Florida State 47-28.


    While it has been a down year for the Seminoles that was a big win for N.C. State and despite the 19-point final the Wolfpack were out-gained in the contest but benefited from two turnovers. N.C. State will be favored in all four remaining games as finishing 10-2 is realistic, with the program not reaching 10 wins since 2002 under Chuck Amato.


    Dave Doeren has led steady success in Raleigh with now five straight winning seasons. The Wolpack have frequently played very light non-conference schedules and that will be no different this season, though in fairness West Virginia was on the September schedule but the game was cancelled due to the hurricane.


    Expectations were grounded for this year’s team with very few returning starters from a 9-4 squad that won the Sun Bowl and finished 6-2 in ACC play. The one key player returning was quarterback Ryan Finley and he has delivered a productive senior season. Finley transferred from Boise State and is posting easily his best season with a nearly 68 percent completion rate for 8.5 yards per attempt. He has 16 touchdowns passes and just six interceptions while approaching 2,500 yards passing.


    N.C. State hasn’t run the ball very successfully with Reggie Gallaspy leading the team with 554 yards and nine touchdowns but posting only 4.0 yards per carry and as a team N.C. State gains only 3.6 yards per attempt. The biggest contrast in the numbers between these teams comes in run defense as N.C. State is allowing 3.1 yards per carry for the 13th best mark nationally, with only Michigan State and Texas A&M allowing fewer net rushing yards this season. Wake Forest ranks 119th nationally in rushing yards per carry allowed this season, surrendering 26 rushing touchdowns.
    Ultimately N.C. State should be at a significant advantage in this matchup but it is a possible letdown spot after a prominent win in convincing fashion over Florida State for homecoming. Newman also provides a challenging matchup physically with his size and preparing for a quarterback that there isn’t much film on can provide some surprises for a defense.


    Last Season: N.C. State should have no shortage of motivation for this game after losing 30-24 at Wake Forest last season. Then 7-3, N.C. State was a slight underdog against 6-4 Wake Forest. It was a back-and-forth game with the score tied four different times after 0-0. N.C. State settled for a short field goal in the fourth quarter to knot the game at 24-24 but Wake Forest quickly answered but had the PAT blocked to lead by six. N.C. State went 71 yards on the next drive but Emeka Emezie fumbled right outside the goal line with about two minutes remaining. N.C. State got the ball back in the final minute and picked up a roughing the passer call on first down to reach the Wake Forest 31-yard-line. Finley was ultimately intercepted in the end zone as Wake Forest held on despite a 502-334 yardage edge for N.C. State.


    Historical Trends:


    -- N.C. State is 25-13 straight up but just 20-18 against the spread in this series since 1980, though winning and covering in four of the last six and each of the last five home meetings.


    -- This is set to be the biggest spread in this series since N.C. State was -21 in a 38-3 win in 2010. N.C. State is 21-27 ATS as a double-digit home favorite since 1998 including a 1-5 run since the start of last season.


    -- Wake Forest is 10-5 ATS as a road underdog since 2015 including going 6-2 ATS in the last eight instances as a road underdog of 10 or more points.


    -- Under Doeren, N.C. State is 24-15 S/U and 18-21 ATS at home.


    -- While under Clawson, Wake Forest is 9-17 S/U and 14-12 ATS in road games.
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    Thursday, November 8


    Wake Forest @ North Carolina State
    Wake Forest
    Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 8 games


    North Carolina State
    North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    North Carolina State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest


    ***********************


    Thursday, November 8


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    WAKE FOREST (4 - 5) at NC STATE (6 - 2) - 11/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
    NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    -------------------------------------------




    Thursday, November 8


    Wake Forest @ NC State



    Game 109-110
    November 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Wake Forest
    77.423
    NC State
    100.936
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC State
    by 23 1/2
    71
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NC State
    by 17 1/2
    68 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC State
    (-17 1/2); Over





    ****************************


    NCAA (COLLEGE)


    DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME


    Wake Forest at NC State - Thursday November 8, 2018



    The Demon Deacons head to NC State tonight to face the Wolfpack (6-2) and come into the contest with an 0-6 ATS record in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. NC State is the pick (-17 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 23 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-17 1/2).

    THURSDAY NOVEMBER 8, 2018


    Wake Forest
    @
    NC State

    Game 109-110
    November 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm


    Dunkel Rating: Wake Forest
    77.423
    NC State
    100.936
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: NC State
    by 23 1/2
    71
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: NC State
    by 17 1/2
    68 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: NC State
    (-17 1/2); Over
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  18. #618  
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    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 8
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    WAKE at NCST 07:30 PM


    NCST -19.5


    U 68.0
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    Newman helps Wake upset NC State
    November 8, 2018
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    RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Everything seemed aligned against Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons had a quarterback making his first start, an injury-depleted defense facing an offense peppered with future NFL players, and trailed by 10 points in the fourth quarter in a stadium where they almost never win,


    Yet No. 22 North Carolina State couldn't seal the victory, so Wake Forest snatched it away.


    Jamie Newman threw a 32-yard touchdown pass to Jack Freudenthal with 30 seconds left to give Wake Forest a 27-23 upset victory Thursday night.


    ''It's just about staying poised, honestly,'' Newman said. ''Staying poised and being smart, not letting the moment get too big for you.''


    Making his first career start, Newman was 22 of 33 for 297 yards with three touchdown passes in the second half to help the Demon Deacons (5-5, 2-4 Atlantic Coast Conference) rally from a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter. The 19 1/2-point underdogs earned their first road victory over a Top 25 team in a decade.


    ''This was going to be a game that we just have to grind, and grind, and grind, and somehow find a way to win,'' coach Dave Clawson said. ''And to our kids' credit, they did it. Every time that that thing was on the brink of getting away from us, we just did one thing to stay in it.''


    Newman threw a 38-yard scoring pass to Alex Bachman before his 19-yard TD to Greg Dortch pulled Wake Forest to 23-20 with 6:07 left.


    N.C. State bled nearly 4 1/2 minutes off the clock before its drive stalled at the Wake Forest 20 with 1:39 left. Newman completed 5 of 8 passes on the possession that followed, taking a hit as he connected with Freudenthal - who was wide-open after Bachman blocked two defenders - over the middle for the go-ahead score.


    ''We were in the huddle, and we said, `We've just got to go,''' Freudenthal said.


    The Wolfpack advanced to their own 49 before Ryan Finley's final pass for the end zone was intercepted by receiver Scottie Washington - playing defensive back on the last play - to end it.


    Finley finished 35 of 52 for 374 yards with a 35-yard touchdown pass to Emeka Emezie and a 2-yard touchdown run for the Wolfpack (6-3, 3-3, No. 14 CFP). The pass to Emezie put them up 23-13 one play into the fourth quarter.


    After losing three of four to fall out of contention in the Atlantic Division, they'll only reach their goal of the school's first 10-win season since 2002 if they win out and win their bowl game.


    THE TAKEAWAY


    Wake Forest: Maybe a third straight bowl berth isn't out of the question for the Demon Deacons, who hadn't beaten a nationally ranked opponent on its home field since knocking off No. 24 Florida State in 2008 and had won in Raleigh only once in their previous 16 tries. This didn't look at all like the same Wake Forest team that was routed by No. 3 Notre Dame and No. 2 Clemson.


    N.C. State: This one is going to sting the Wolfpack, who settled for three short field goals after drives stalled deep inside the red zone - twice at the 6-yard line, once at the 12. They also finished with a season-worst 47 yards rushing against the ACC's worst run defense, and on a drive that was supposed to bleed the clock, they rushed for minus-6 yards on three carries while relying heavily on Finley's throwing.


    ''I take responsibility any time my team doesn't play the way that it can, and I do,'' coach Dave Doeren said. ''We had a lot of opportunities, and there (are) a lot of things that happened throughout the course of the game that led to the result.''


    POLL IMPLICATIONS


    The Wolfpack's return to the AP Top 25 figures to be short-lived. N.C. State dropped out of the poll after losing two weeks ago at Syracuse, climbed back in following their rout of Florida State and seems likely to drop right back out.


    KEY STATS


    The Wolfpack averaged just 1.7 yards per carry - also a season worst - while Wake Forest had 11 tackles for losses, including four sacks. N.C. State fell to 1-3 when it averages fewer than 3.5 yards per carry.


    STRATEGY SHIFT


    The Demon Deacons are usually one of the fastest-playing teams in the country, averaging more than 85 plays per game. But the quarterback change and the lack of depth on defense forced Clawson to slow things down. They ran only 71 plays in this one. ''If we do what we normally do ... there's no way we hold them to 23 points,'' Clawson said.


    UP NEXT

    Wake Forest: Returns home to play host to Coastal Division leader Pittsburgh on Nov. 17.


    N.C. State: Visits Louisville on Nov. 17.
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    College Football Best Bets and Opinions


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    11/08/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    11/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
    11/06/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    11/03/2018 25-32-3 43.86% -51.00
    11/02/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
    11/01/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00


    Totals............36-41-3........46.75%.....-45.50




    Best Bets:


    Best Bets For November


    DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL


    11/08/2018..............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0................+5.00...............-0.50
    11/07/2018..............1 - 1..................-0.50....................1 - 1.................-0.50...............-1.00
    11/06/2018..............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0................+5.00..............+10.00
    11/03/2018.............10 - 13...............-21.50...................3 - 4................-7.00...............-28.50
    11/02/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................2 - 1................+4.50..............+9.00
    11/01/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................0 - 3................-16.50..............-12.00


    Totals....................16 - 17.................-13.50....................8 - 9................-9.50..............-23.00
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    Friday’s 6-pack

    QB’s who’ve thrown the most pick 6’s in their careers:


    31— Brett Favre


    28— Dan Marino


    27— Drew Brees, Peyton Manning


    23— Philip Rivers, Vinny Testaverde


    22— Eli Manning, Carson Palmer


    20— Kerry Collins, Steve DeBerg


    Quote of the Day
    “I don’t know what his plans are, but I would say that at this point, we expect him to come back next week. We know he’s back in Pittsburgh and so we’re hoping to have some communications with him over the weekend, and we’re kind of expecting he’ll be back next week.”
    Steelers’ owner Art Rooney, talking about Le’Veon Bell


    Friday’s quiz
    Which two colleges did Russell Wilson play football for?


    Thursday’s quiz
    Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.

    Wednesday’s quiz

    Craig Morton started in Super Bowls for Dallas and the Denver Broncos.




    **************************


    Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….


    13) ESPN’s Mark Jackson is much better as an analyst in a 2-man booth than a 3-man booth; he tells some terrific stories when he has more airtime.


    In 1986, Jackson led the nation in assists; one of his teammates (Walter Berry) won the Wooden Award, symbolic of the year’s best college player, so obviously St John’s must’ve had a damn good season (they went 31-5), but this was the year after Chris Mullin went to the NBA and apparently there were internal issues with the team.


    In their fifth game of the year, St John’s was nursing a late lead and Jackson was dribbling so he would get fouled, make foul shots and preserve the lead, but Berry wanted the team to give the ball to him so he could score more, and from that point on, from the end of the fifth game to the 36th game, Berry and Jackson never spoke again that season. You just never know.


    12) Monday night, Enes Kanter had 23 points, 24 rebounds off the bench for the Knicks, as well as seven assists. Kanter is the first NBA player since Charles Barkley in 1986 to have a 20-20 game, and also have 5+ assists, in a game he didn’t start.


    11) In the Atlanta Hawks’ arena, you can get your haircut during the game. Not sure why you would pay major bucks to watch an NBA game, then spend even more money to not watch the game while they cut your hair. Then again, I don’t have much hair to cut.


    10) Speaking of the Hawks, Atlanta coach Lloyd Pierce was a college teammate of Steve Nash in his playing days at Santa Clara.


    9) Kansas City Chiefs outscored opponents 93-20 on the first drive of each half; thats 18 drives for each team.


    8) Miami Dolphins are only NFL team that hasn’t scored a point on their first drive of a game this season: nine drives, 42 plays, 198 yards, no points. No bueno.


    Jets kicked only one FG on their first drive of a game, but they also gave up a defensive TD, so they’ve actually been outscored 7-3 on their game-opening drives.


    7) Minnesota Vikings are playing better recently; in their last three games, the Vikings scored TD’s on their first drive of the game, going 68-91-65 yards for those TD’s.


    6) Rich Gannon was working the Charger-Seahawk game Sunday; Sebastian Janikowski was kicking for Seattle. Way back in 2000, Janikowski’s rookie year in Oakland, Gannon was the first holder Janikowski had during preseason, but Gannon said he was so bad at holding, they told him to forget about it and make punter Shane Lechler the holder.


    5) Boise State is a home underdog to Fresno State tonight, first time the Broncos have been a underdog on the Blue Turf since 1999.


    4) Pittsburgh Steelers are only team in NFL with only one divisional game left. Everyone plays a divisional game in Week 17.


    3) Last time Alabama had a Senatorial election, Nick Saban got 19,000 write-in votes. If he ever somehow got elected, Saban would have to decline; quite a pay cut from the $8M a year Saban makes now to the $175,000 or however much a senator makes.


    2) How would you like to be the person who ran for assembly in Nevada, and lost to a dead guy?


    72-year old Dennis Hof owned a brothel that was featured on the HBO show Cathouse; he passed away October 16, but he still won an election Tuesday in Nevada’s 36th Assembly District against Democratic educator Lesia Romanov.


    1) Le’Veon Bell posted a couple of Tweets this week with the text upside down; not sure how or why he did that, but it does look pretty cool.


    If Bell doesn’t report to the Steelers by 4:00 Tuesday, he can’t play this year, so he won’t make any of his $14.55M salary and he defeats the purpose of his holdout. Hopefully he is getting good advice, but that doesn’t seem too likely, unless he just doesn’t want to play anymore
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    Friday, November 9


    Louisville @ Syracuse

    Louisville
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
    Louisville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Syracuse


    Syracuse
    Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Syracuse is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games


    Fresno State @ Boise State
    Fresno State
    Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


    Boise State
    Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Fresno State
    Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home




    ***************************




    Friday, November 9


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    LOUISVILLE (2 - 7) at SYRACUSE (7 - 2) - 11/9/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    LOUISVILLE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    LOUISVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
    LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    FRESNO ST (8 - 1) at BOISE ST (7 - 2) - 11/9/2018, 10:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOISE ST is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
    FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
    FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
    BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    Friday, November 9


    Louisville @ Syracuse



    Game 111-112
    November 9, 2018 @ 7:00 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Louisville
    71.245
    Syracuse
    95.943
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Syracuse
    by 24 1/2
    75
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Syracuse
    by 21
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    Syracuse
    (-21); Over


    Fresno State @ Boise State



    Game 113-114
    November 9, 2018 @ 10:30 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Fresno State
    101.865
    Boise State
    92.492
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fresno State
    by 9 1/2
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fresno State
    by 2
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fresno State
    (-2); Under





    ---------------------------------


    Friday’s games


    Louisville is terrible; they hammered Syracuse the last four years, beating them 62-28/56-10 the last two years. Cardinals lost their last six games overall, allowing 59.3 ppg in last four games- they’re 4-6 as road underdogs the last five years,, but 0-4 this year. Louisville allowed 368-492 rushing yards the last two games; their last five games went over the total. Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 40-51-41 points; average total in their last four games is 78.8 (over 3-1). Orangemen allowed average of 492 ypg in their last three games.


    Boise State is 3-2 in last five meetings with Fresno State; Bulldogs upset Boise 28-17 at home LY, then lost to the Broncos 17-14 in MW title game the next week. Fresno lost its last eight visits to Boise, but covered the last two. Fresno won its last seven games overall; they’re 3-1 on road- this is first time this year- they’re an underdog. Bulldogs were 4-0 as an underdog LY. Boise won its last four games; they’re 6-17 vs spread in last 23 games as home favorites, 2-2 this year. Four of last five Fresno games stayed under the total.




    ------------------------------------




    Friday, Nov. 9


    LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE
    ...‘Ville 1-8 vs. line TY, 6-20 vs. spread since early 2016. But Cards have won and covered big last four vs. ‘Cuse. Babers 2-1-1 as Carrier Dome chalk TY.
    Syracuse, based on team trends.




    FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE....Tedford on 18-3-2 spread surge since arriving at FSU LY. Included are pair of covers LY vs. Boise. Broncos just 3-11 last 14 as MW home chalk.
    Fresno State, based on team trends.






    *******************************




    Fresno State at Boise State
    Brian Edwards


    Boise State hasn’t been a home underdog since facing Boston College in the 2005 Humanitarian Bowl in the last game of the Dan Hawkins Era. The Broncos haven’t been home ‘dogs in a regular-season game since the 2001 opener vs. Washington St., and they haven’t been home puppies in a conference game since taking on Nevada in 1999.


    Nevertheless, Bryan Harsin’s team will be in that role Friday night at Bronco Stadium when Fresno State (8-1 straight up, 8-1 against the spread) comes calling in a rematch of last year’s Mountain West Conference Championship Game at this same venue on the smurf turf.


    As of early Thursday night, most betting shops had Fresno State installed as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 53. BSU was +125 on the money line (risk $100 to win $125).


    Jeff Tedford returned to his alma mater after a dreadful 1-11 campaign in 2016. He quickly turned Fresno State into just the second FBS team to go from double-digit losses to double-digit wins in the span of one season. Since Tedford took over, Fresno State has compiled an incredible 18-5 SU record to go with a 18-3-2 ATS mark.


    Two of the losses came in back-to-back weeks last year at top-ranked Alabama and at sixth-ranked Washington. The Bulldogs took the cash in both instances, however.


    Fresno State opened the season with a 79-13 home win over Idaho before dropping a 21-14 decision at Minnesota in Week 2. Since then, the Bulldogs have won seven games in a row both SU and ATS, with each victory coming by at least 18 points. They’re off a 48-3 win at UNLV as 27-point road ‘chalk.’


    Senior QB Marcus McMaryion, the transfer from Oregon State who is in his second season as a starter at FS, completed 26-of-35 passes for 274 yards and two TDs with one interception. He also rushed for 39 yards on seven attempts. KeeSean Johnson had eight receptions for 97 yards, while Michiah Quick had five catches for 49 yards.


    FS is ranked 11th in the country in scoring with its 40.4 points-per-game average. McMaryion has connected on 70.9 percent of his passes for 2,416 yards with a 20/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has rushed for 157 yards and seven scores, averaging 3.7 yards per carry.


    Johnson, a first-team All-MWC selection in 2017, is on his way to duplicating those honors. He has 62 receptions for 858 yards and six TDs. Jared Rice has 38 catches for 477 yards and three TDs, while Jamire Jordan has caught 20 balls for 279 yards and two TDs.


    Sophomore RB Jordan Mims has rushed for 306 yards and four TDs, in addition to making 19 catches for 274 yards and two TDs. Another sophomore RB, Ronnie Rivers, has 265 rushing yards and five TDs with a 5.9 YPC average. Rivers has 10 catches for 167 yards and two TDs.


    FSU is ranked 14th in the nation in total defense, 16th at defending the pass, 30th in run defense and second in scoring ‘D’ (12.3 points per game). This unit is led by junior LB Jeff Allison, who has recorded 84 tackles, three tackles for loss, two interceptions for 27 return yards, two QB hurries, one pass broken up and 0.5 sacks.


    Tedford’s bunch is 4-1 both SU and ATS in five road games, including a 38-14 win at UCLA, a 21-3 victory at Nevada and a 38-7 triumph at New Mexico. As a road favorite on Tedford’s watch, the Bulldogs have produced a 5-0-2 spread record.


    Boise State (7-2 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) is 4-1 in league play, trailing Utah St. by one game in the MWC’s Mountain Division. The Broncos will host the Aggies in both team’s regular-season finale on Nov. 24, so they need a win over FSU to keep control of their own destiny to get back to the MWC Championship Game.


    Since dropping a 19-13 decision to San Diego St. as a 13.5-point home favorite on Oct. 13, BSU has won four consecutive games. However, the Broncos have merely one cover in that span and are mired in a 1-3-1 ATS slide. They failed to get the money in last week’s 21-16 win over BYU as 11.5-point home ‘chalk.’


    BSU jumped out ahead of the number in the first quarter, going ahead 14-0 on an Alexander Mattison one-yard TD run and a seven-yard TD pass from Brett Rypien to A.J. Richardson. The Cougars would get a pair of field goals in the second quarter to cut the deficit to 14-6 at halftime. Then when Zach Wilson scored on a four-yard TD run midway through the third quarter, BYU was down by only one point.


    Boise St. would answer with a Mattison three-yard TD run with 1:44 left in the third quarter. BYU got a 41-yard FG with 6:32 remaining, but that was as close as it would get. The 37 combined points went way ‘under’ the 53.5-point tally.


    Mattison rushed for 89 yards and two scores on 25 carries, in addition to catching five balls for 40 receiving yards. Rypien completed 23-of-35 passes for 214 yards with one TD and an interception. Richardson had four catches for 53 yards and one TD.


    Rypien is second in school history in career passing yards behind only Kellen Moore. He has completed 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,779 yards with a 24/6 TD-INT ratio this year. Senior WR Sean Modster has 45 receptions for 660 yards and four TDs, while Richardson has 39 grabs for 653 yards and eight TDs. Junior WR John Hightower has 30 catches for 496 yards and six TDs, while C.T. Thomas has 30 receptions for 397 yards and three TDs.


    Mattison has run for a team-best 726 yards and 10 TDs while averaging 4.1 YPC. Hightower has rushed eight times for 163 yards and a pair of scores.


    BSU has won three of its four home games while compiling a 2-2 spread record. This is obviously the first home underdog situation since Harsin took over for Chris Petersen in 2014.


    When these schools met in last year’s regular-season finale, Fresno St. won by a 28-17 count as a seven-point home underdog. The victory gave FSU the MWC’s West Division title and forced a rematch in Boise the following week.


    The 45 combined points in the first encounter at Bulldog Stadium dipped ‘under’ the 50-point total. McMaryion threw for 332 yards and two TDs without committing a turnover, while Johnson had six receptions for 119 yards and two TDs. Rypien threw for 278 yards without a TD or a pick, but Mattison was limited to 63 rushing yards and one TD on 15 totes.


    BSU avenged the loss by winning 17-14 as a 9.5-point home ‘chalk’ in the MWC Championship Game the following week. The ‘under’ cashed for a third straight time in this rivalry when the 31 combined points dropped below the 50.5-point tally.


    Fresno State led 14-10 at intermission, but the Broncos got the game-winning points on Ryan Wolpin’s two-yard TD run with 4:42 remaining. Rypien threw for 246 yards without committing a turnover, while Mattison ran for 50 yards and one TD on 14 attempts. McMaryion struggled by completing only 16-of-34 throws for 172 yards and zero TDs compared to one interception. He ran for 33 yards and two scores on seven carries.


    The ‘under’ is 5-4 overall for FSU, 4-1 in its road assignments. The Bulldogs have watched their games average combined scores of 52.8 PPG.


    The ‘over’ is 5-4 overall for BSU, 2-2 in its home outings. The Broncos have seen their games average combined scores of 61.7 PPG.


    Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.


    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


    -- Boise State LB Riley Whimpey will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL sustained in last week’s 21-16 home win over BYU. Whimpey was leading the Broncos in tackles with 55. He also had two sacks, one TFL, two QB hurries and one PBU.


    -- The ‘over’ has hit at a 9-2 clip in BSU’s past 11 games played on Friday.


    -- Ohio State is mired in a 0-5 ATS slide. As of Thursday night, the Buckeyes were 3.5-point road favorites for Saturday’s showdown at Michigan. They are 3.5-point home underdogs to Michigan in their regular-season finale at several books in Las Vegas and offshore.


    -- The ‘over is on a 5-0 run for Louisville, which is a 21-point underdog for Friday’s game at the Carrier Dome against Syracuse. According to a report this week, as many as 20 U of L players have expressed interest in transferring when the season ends.


    -- The ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run for California, which has held its past three foes to 36 combined points. Justin Wilcox owns a 10-4 ATS record as an underdog. The Golden Bears were five-point underdogs for Saturday’s game at Southern Cal, as of late Thursday.


    -- The ‘over’ has cashed at a 5-1 clip for Notre Dame in its past six games. However, the ‘under’ is 4-1 for the Fighting Irish at home. They host FSU on Saturday and are expected to do so without star QB Ian Book (15/4 TD-INT ratio), who was ruled ‘out’ early Thursday due to an injury to his ribs. The ‘over’ is also on a 5-1 run for the Seminoles, who moved from 18-point underdogs to 16.5-point puppies after the new of Book’s injury broke. They’ve gone 1-3 both SU and ATS in four previous road assignments. This game will kick at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on NBC.


    -- Utah QB Tyler Huntley is out for the season with a broken collarbone sustained in last week’s 38-20 loss at Arizona State. Huntley had completed 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,762 yards with a 12/6 TD-INT ratio. He had rushed for 304 yards and four TDs. Since four-star 2018 recruit Jack Tuttle decided to transfer last month, the back-up duties fall to RS freshman Jack Shelley, who has completed 6-of-14 passes for 99 yards with zero TDs and one interception. Shelley has 47 rushing yards on nine attempts. If Shelley gets injured, Kyle Whittingham would have to turn to WR Britain Covey or LB Chase Hansen, both of whom played QB in high school. Covey is the Utes’ top WR with 49 receptions for 529 yards and one TD. He has completed all three of his pass attempts for 71 yards and two TDs without an interception. The Utes had been on fire with four consecutive wins both SU and ATS (and by margins of 19, 32, 13 and 31 against Pac-12 competition) before going to ASU. Now they’re in bounce-back mode with Oregon coming to Rice-Eccles Stadium this weekend.


    -- Stanford TE Kaden Smith has 44 receptions for 601 yards and two TDs for the season. The third-year sophomore is turning it up the past two weeks, catching 17 balls for 219 yards and two TDs. Smith and the Cardinal host Oregon St. this week. Smith’s 25-yard reception on a fourth-and-10 play was crucial in Stanford’s 15-14 come-from-behind win in Corvallis last season. His production will be even more important Saturday vs. Oregon St since the Cardinal will be without WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, who is ‘out’ with an ankle injury. Whiteside has 48 receptions for 754 yards and 11 TDs.


    -- Temple RB Ryquell Armstead is ‘questionable’ at Houston due to an ankle injury. Armstead has run for 768 yards and six TDs this season.
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  23. #623  
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    FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    LOU at SYR 07:00 PM

    SYR -20.0


    O 68.5





    FRES at BSU 10:15 PM

    FRES -2.5


    U 55.5
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  24. #624  
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    College football: No. 13 Syracuse beats Louisville 54-23
    November 9, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    SYRACUSE, N.Y. (AP) Moe Neal rushed for a career-best 159 yards and two touchdowns, quarterback Eric Dungey ran for two more scores and passed for another, and No. 13 Syracuse took advantage of five Louisville miscues to rout the Cardinals 54-23 on Friday night.


    The Orange (8-2, 5-2 ACC, No. 13 CFP) scored 27 points off five Louisville (2-8, 0-7 ACC) errors, rushed for 292 yards and accumulated 518 yards of total offense. Syracuse finished the season unbeaten in six games in the Carrier Dome for the fourth time since the building opened in 1980.


    The Cardinals were penalized 17 times for 125 yards, and Syracuse picked off two Louisville passes. Louisville also lost two fumbles and their quarterbacks, under pressure most of the game, were sacked five times.


    The win was the fourth straight for the Orange, while Louisville lost its seventh straight. The eight wins tied the most victories for Syracuse in a regular season since 1998.


    Louisville's three quarterbacks were a combined 14 of 31 for 210 yards.


    The win sets up a showdown for the Orange next Saturday against No. 3 Notre Dame at Yankee Stadium.




    ********************




    BOISE ST. 24, FRESNO ST. 17






    ***************************




    November's Cbb Opinions Record and Best Bets:


    DATE .......W-L-T......... % UNITS


    11/09/2018 3-1-0 100.00% +10.00
    11/08/2018 0-5-0 0.00% -27.50
    11/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
    11/06/2018 29-22-3 56.86% +24.00


    Totals..............34-30-3.....53.12%.........+5.50


    DATE......................ATS.............UNITS... .............O/U............UNITS............TOTAL


    11/09/2018............1 - 1............-0.50.................2 - 0............+10.00........+9.50
    11/08/2018............0 - 3............-16.50...............0 - 2.............-11.00.........-27.50
    11/07/2018............1 - 0............+5.00................2 - 1............+4.50..........+9.50
    11/06/2018............6 - 5............+2.50................1 - 6............-11.50...........-9.00


    Totals....................8 - 9.............-9.50................5 - 9.............-8.00............-17.50
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  25. #625  
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    Saturday’s 6-pack


    Six highest-paid coaches in college basketball:


    6) Sean Miller, Arizona $4.05M


    5) Tom Izzo, Michigan State $4.36M


    4) Bill Self, Kansas $4.95M


    3) Chris Holtmann, Ohio State $7.15M


    2) John Calipari, Kentucky $7.99M


    1) Mike Krzyzewski, Duke $8.98M


    Quote of the Day
    “The locker room is a comfortable space. We’re all cut from the same cloth. You’re sharing this space with people who have a lot of similarities and are very like-minded.”
    Raptors’ guard Danny Green, talking about playing in the NBA


    Saturday’s quiz
    Florida State’s Willie Taggart is coaching his third team in three years; what two other teams did he coach?


    Friday’s quiz
    Russell Wilson played college football for NC State and Wisconsin.


    Thursday’s quiz
    Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.




    *******************




    Saturday’s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..


    13) Last summer, CBS Sports polled more than 100 coaches asking them to identify the most powerful person in college basketball; Mike Krzyzewski, John Calipari and Big 14 commish Jim Delany finished 1st-3rd, and a guy I never heard of finished 4th.


    Bret Just used to be a high school coach; now he’s an agent for three NBA coaches, two NBA GM’s, Geno Auriemma and a bunch of other college coaches, including Andy Enfield, Chris Beard, Frank Martin. There is a tournament in Kansas City in a couple weeks where all four coaches are Just’s clients.


    Influential guy, the Scott Boras of basketball coaches. Now I know his name.


    12) Texas 73, Arkansas 71 OT— Longhorns’ Kerwin Roach stuck a 3-ball in transition with 0:01 left to tie the game 63-all, after Texas trailed almost the whole game, which was played on a military base at Fort Bliss in Texas.


    11) Ravens’ QB Joe Flacco has a hip injury and may not play next week against the Bengals. Rookie Lamar Jackson would start if Flacco can’t.


    10) Dez Bryant signed with the Saints Wednesday, then tore his achilles in practice Friday.


    9) Five biggest upsets in college football so far this season:


    Old Dominion (+27.5) 49-35 over Virginia Tech
    Oregon State (+24.5) 41-34 over Colorado
    BYU (+22.5) 24-21 over Wisconsin
    Akron (+21.5) 39-34 over Northwestern
    Wake Forest (+19.5) 27-23 over NC State


    8) Pretty cool Thursday night on the Clippers-Blazers TV broadcast; with TV guy Ralph Lawler retiring after 40 years behind the mike, Lawler’s wife Jo joined her husband and Corey Maggette on TV for a few minutes during the second quarter, which led to a lot of laughter.


    It has been great fun listening to Mr Lawler’s good natured broadcasts over the years on NBA League Pass. It helps that the Clippers are improved under new owner Steve Ballmer.


    7) Obscure Stat of the Day: Since 2000, 54 NFL teams scored 50+ points in a game; those teams went 52-1-1 against the spread. The ’13 Cowboys (-7) beat Denver 51-48 but did not cover.


    6) There is a great article about friendships in the NBA on thescore.com If you follow the NBA or sports of any kind, this is interesting information.


    5) JJ Redick plays for the 76ers but lives in Brooklyn with his wife and kids, which seems odd. He must like riding on trains, assuming that is how he commutes.


    4) Learned something yesterday about the wild fires in California; fires move faster going uphill because the wind goes with it; not so much going downhill.


    Scary stuff, watching houses and towns in danger of being destroyed. Hope everyone is OK.


    3) Stony Brook 83, South Carolina 81— Seawolves beat George Washington in their opener, pulled a second upset here. Good news for the America East Conference.


    2) Joe Mauer retired after 15 years in the big leagues. I happened to be watching the Twins’ last home game in September; when Mauer went to 1B, his kids went out there too— you kind of figured that was it for Mauer, at least in Minnesota.


    1) Jim Calhoun coached his first game for the St Edward’s Bluejays last night; the 76-year old Calhoun is now a D-III coach, six years after he left UConn. St Edward’s beat William Paterson 79-74. Calhoun mustn’t have enjoyed being on TV very much.
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