Forum: NFL Football Forum - Sponsored by: WagerWeb - get your 100% bonus here!
Post your picks or discuss anything related to betting NFL football here.

Thread: Cnotes 2018 nfl thread thru the superbowl- trends-news-picks+more !

  1. #51  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Ravens-Bengals Props
    September 13, 2018


    By Kyle Markus



    NFL Game Props - Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals


    The Baltimore Ravens rolled to a victory last time out behind a dominant defense. They are a pick ‘em this week against the Cincinnati Bengals, but for those fretting whether or not Baltimore’s offense can be trusted, don’t worry about it. There isn’t a need to decide on which team will win this game and cover the spread because there are a bunch of prop bets available to wager on this contest in other ways.


    The Bengals are 1-0 as well after winning on the road against the Colts, and have the home field advantage. Keep that in mind for the various prop bets that are available to be wagered on in NFL prop betting.


    This NFL football game between the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals will be held at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio at 8:20 p.m ET on Thursday, September 13th, 2018. The contest will be nationally televised on NFL Network.


    We'll have NFL football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    This game is a toss-up and so is the prop bet on which side will score first. The coin toss will be huge, as the team that receives and gets the first possession will be the team most likely to put points on the board first. The Ravens and Bengals can both be wagered on at -115.


    The oddsmakers think it is less likely than not that there is a score in the first six-and-a-half minutes of this contest. The “no” vote has a vig of -125 while “yes” can be chosen at -105.


    The Ravens’ defense has looked good for the past year-plus. The Bengals’ 22.5 point over/under seems a little high and the “under” can be bet on at -115. It is a good way to put faith in the Baltimore defense even if the offense doesn’t live up to its end of the bargain.


    The length of the longest touchdown of the game is listed at a pretty short 40.5 yards. Even though the big plays on offense may not be there, a defensive touchdown could easily surpass this. The “over” and “under” of that yardage are each being wagered on at -115.


    Justin Tucker is one of the best field goal kickers in the NFL. The longest field goal over/under is listed at 45.5 yards, and if Tucker gets a shot from further than that, he is likely to hit it. With Tucker in the fold, the “over” is the better play here.


    This one could have a lot of punts, and amazingly, there is a prop bet for that. The over/under on total number of punts in this contest is listed at 10. While both teams put up points in the opener, don’t be fooled into thinking this one will be a shootout.


    Even though this is a pick ‘em, it’s rare that a game goes to overtime. Therefore, “no” overtime is the favorite at -1500, while “yes” to overtime is listed at +700 and would pay off handsomely.


    An interesting underdog choice is on the question, ‘Will the game be decided by exactly three points?’ A lot of NFL contests are, and a “yes” wager would pay out at +400. It is definitely worth considering.

    Free NFL ATS Picks



    There are plenty of prop bets to consider, but there is one that stands out among the others as likely to hit. The Bengals have some intriguing skill players but quarterback Andy Dalton could have some trouble against the talented Ravens defense. With that in mind, the “under” on the Bengals’ scoring total over/under of 22.5 points is the pick in NFL wagering.


    NFL Prop Pick: Cincinnati Bengals “under” 22.5 points against the Baltimore Ravens
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #52  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    more later
    Reply With Quote  
     

  3. #53  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    NFL RECORD FOR SEPT......


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/09/2018 15-10-1 60.00% +20.00
    09/06/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00


    Totals...............17-10-1.....62.96%.....+30.00




    NFL BEST BETS:


    DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL


    09/09/2018.............4 - 4...................-2.00.....................8 - 3...............+23.50............+21.50
    09/06/2018.............1 - 0..................+5.00.....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............+10.00


    Totals......................5 - 4..................+3.00.....................9 - 3...............+28.50............+31.50





    *******************************



    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 13
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    BAL at CIN 08:20 PM


    BAL -1.0


    U 43.0
    Reply With Quote  
     

  4. #54  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Dalton throws 4 TDs, Bengals beat Ravens
    September 13, 2018



    CINCINNATI (AP) Andy Dalton threw four touchdown passes in the first half - three to A.J. Green - against a defense that has bedeviled him throughout his career, and the Cincinnati Bengals held on for a 34-23 victory over the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night.


    Dalton knocked the Ravens (1-1) out of playoff contention last season by throwing a 49-yard touchdown pass in the closing seconds of the final game in Baltimore. On Thursday, he carved up a defense that has more often gotten the upper hand in their AFC North rivalry, leading Cincinnati (2-0) to an early 21-point lead .


    ''We came out hot,'' Dalton said. ''That's exactly how we wanted to start the game. That's a big one - puts us 2-0 to start the year and gives us a leg up in the division.''


    Heading into the game, Dalton had thrown more interceptions (17) than touchdowns (15) against the Ravens, including a four-interception game at Paul Brown Stadium last season. Dalton finished 24 of 42 for 265 yards, throwing four touchdown passes for the fifth time in his career.


    Green set the tone with touchdown catches of 4, 28 and 7 yards on consecutive possessions, a career high . Upset that he fumbled twice during a 34-23 win at Indianapolis on Sunday, he caught everything near him during the Bengals' early surge. Green finished with five catches for 69 yards.


    ''It just happened to fall that way,'' Green said. ''We were clicking on all cylinders. We were in a groove.''


    Dalton's 14-yard touchdown throw to Tyler Boyd made it 28-7 late in the first half.


    Joe Flacco was sharp in an opening 47-3 win over the Bills, but couldn't do anything against Cincinnati until the Bengals led by three touchdowns. Flacco threw a pair of touchdown passes , including a 21-yarder to John Brown that cut it to 28-23 with 9:35 left.


    ''You better bounce back quick on a Thursday night and we didn't do it quick enough tonight,'' Flacco said.


    Flacco fumbled with 2:42 to go - Shawn Williams stripped the ball from behind - setting up a field goal by Randy Bullock that closed it out. Flacco finished 32 of 55 for 376 yards with two touchdowns, two interceptions and four sacks.


    GLORY DAYS


    The Bengals honored their 1988 Super Bowl team at halftime, their last team to go deep into the playoffs. They haven't won a playoff game since the 1990 season, the sixth-longest drought in NFL history.


    PRIME-TIME PLAYERS


    The Ravens had their streak of five straight Thursday night wins snapped. The Bengals are 6-14 in prime-time games since Dalton's rookie season of 2011 - 0-5 on Sunday night, 2-5 on Monday night, 4-3 on Thursday night and 0-1 on Saturday night.

    SEEING GREEN



    Green is the fourth Bengals receiver to catch three TD passes in a half, joining Marvin Jones (2013), Chad Johnson (2003) and Isaac Curtis (1973).


    FAST START


    The Bengals are 2-0 for the first time since 2015, when they won the division, and for only the fifth time during coach Marvin Lewis' 16 seasons. They're the first team to score at least 34 points in each of their first two games since the 2013 Broncos, who reached the Super Bowl, according to ESPN Stats & Info.


    FAN ON FIELD

    A young man in a black shirt ran onto the field in the closing minutes undetected until he got near Dalton. The fan was grabbed by security.

    INJURIES



    Ravens: LB C.J. Mosley left in the first quarter with a bruised knee.


    Bengals: Preston Brown was inactive with an injured right ankle, leaving Cincinnati without two top linebackers. Vontaze Burfict is suspended for the first four games for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing substances. ... DE Michael Johnson hurt his left knee in the first quarter and didn't return. ... Rookie C Billy Price hurt his right ankle in the first quarter and didn't return.


    UP NEXT


    Ravens host the Denver Broncos.


    Bengals play at Carolina.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  5. #55  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    NFL RECORD FOR SEPT......


    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/13/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/09/2018 15-10-1 60.00% +20.00
    09/06/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00


    Totals...............17-12-1.....58.62%.....+19.00




    NFL BEST BETS:


    DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL


    09/13/2018.............0 - 1...................-5.50.....................0 - 1................-5.50...............-11.00
    09/09/2018.............4 - 4...................-2.00.....................8 - 3...............+23.50............+21.50
    09/06/2018.............1 - 0..................+5.00.....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............+10.00


    Totals......................5 - 5..................-2.50......................9 - 4...............+23.00............+20.50
    Reply With Quote  
     

  6. #56  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Week 2 Best Bets - Sides
    September 13, 2018
    By Bookmaker



    Week 2 NFL Best Bets – Sides


    Last week's selections were able to split the board as the Minnesota Vikings did enough to defend their turf and cover the 6.5 points they were laying, while the Chargers continued to get plagued by self-inflicted mistakes and feeling like they are the visitors when they are at home. Until this Chargers team strings a few wins together, chances are that non-home field advantage that they have won't go away.


    So it's on to Week 2 now and we've got quite a few interesting games on the board, especially division rivalries. The divisional rivalries we've got this week should be great as they include Minnesota/GB, Houston/Tennessee, Carolina/Atlanta, Miami/NY Jets, Arizona/LA Rams, Oakland/Denver, and NY Giants/Dallas all going head-to head.


    One of those games I'll touch on a bit later, but for now it's all about getting a few ATS wins in our pocket this week and it begins with a team looking for their first SU win in years.


    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu


    Best Bet #1: Cleveland Browns +9



    Hopefully like many of the readers at VegasInsider.com, I was able to catch this great Hot/Not piece by a colleague at the site this week, as they stated how bad of a situation this could be for Cleveland Browns fans this week. No road team coming off a rare tie game this century has gone on to cover the point spread (0-9 ATS) and usually it's the Cleveland Browns who are apart of streaks like that, not the ones trying to snap it.


    Look, I get it, the Saints were embarrassed at home as a double-digit favorite and now they definitely want to take a big piece out of their next opponent because of it. But can you really trust a Saints defense that just spent weeks/months preparing for backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick – they knew he'd be starting forever - and then let him light them up in the fashion he did? I just don't see how you can to be honest.


    Furthermore, the Saints are in a tough spot themselves this week as teams that have scored 40+ one week and are at home the next are just 10-17 ATS the last three years. Make them a home favorite and you get that number squeezed down to 10-15 ATS for teams in that spot. Not exactly a huge percentage in favor of a Browns play here, but favor those home teams that scored 40+ by six or more points and you get a 2-7 ATS run over the past two seasons for these squads.


    The Browns are going to be freewheeling and taking whatever shots they can this year – at least until they get a win – and New Orleans defense isn't going to provide much resistance in that regard. Whether or not there is a hangover effect for the Saints defense given how their season ended a year ago we will probably never know, but that's the side of the ball that's really going to hold Brees and the rest of the team back in 2018.


    This game probably isn't the automatic double-digit win many believe it is with the lowly Browns coming to town, because a back door cover is always going to be available to Cleveland with how bad this Saints defense is, and until New Orleans shows me something this year on that side of the ball (and does so for multiple weeks), fading the Saints as sizable favorites is something I'm looking to do.


    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu


    Best Bet #1: Oakland Raiders +6



    This is another line where I see this game as a battle of perception vs reality as the Oakland Raiders really did look bad on MNF in losing to the Rams. The entire Gruden Era – Part Deux has been quite a disaster overall for the Raiders and their stock is so low right now that bettors have been lining up all week to get a piece of Denver ATS this week.


    Betting percentages at VegasInsider.com currently show about 80% of the bets made already on this game coming Denver's way. The Broncos did look solid in beating Seattle at home a week ago, but that game was close throughout and was decided by a FG. Seattle was not a team many thought highly of entering the year either, but are they really considered about a FG better than Oakland after just one week?


    That's essentially the question you've got to ask yourself here as it was just a week ago that Seattle was in the same spot; on the road in Denver, and they were catching +3 to +3.5 points. Oakland, a division rival, now visits Denver after an opening week loss and are bet up to +6? I just don't see it as the -4/4.5 line oddsmakers opened up here was probably where it should have been and definitely should have stayed.


    Oakland is not going to show themselves in as bad a light as they did in that 2nd half on MNF and I'll gladly take the few extra points of value here with the Raiders. This game is likely going to be decided by a FG (as the Seattle game was) as I'm not so sure Denver is that great of a team worthy of laying nearly a TD in Week 2.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  7. #57  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Teams to Watch - Week 2
    September 12, 2018
    By YouWager.eu



    Week 2 Futures Forecast Predictions


    Top picks, teams to avoid this weekend


    We have barely had time to catch out breath after a hectic opening week in the NFL, but it’s already time to start looking ahead to Week 2 of what promises to be a very exciting season. The odds and lines have all been set, although there may still be some movement before we get to the action, so be sure to check in regularly to keep track of any potential odds shifts.


    We have taken a look at the Week 2 match-ups in the NFL to see if we can come up with some teams to play, as well as a couple to avoid based on the current odds, so let’s get right to the picks and remember all betting odds, props and futures are available by YouWager.eu


    LA Chargers (-7) at Buffalo Bills


    Both of these teams will be looking for a win after losing their opening games, but I believe there is only one of them who has an actual shot at getting the W. The Chargers, who traditionally start the season slowly, were soundly beaten by the Chiefs in Week 1, but will have taken away a couple of positive from that game, most notably the play of QB Phillip Rivers. He was very good in the loss and is likely to feat on a Bills defense that was cruelly exposed by the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1. I am a little surprised that the spread is just 7 points here, so play the LA Chargers against the spread.


    Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-6)


    There were a lot of Atlanta fans calling for the head of offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian at the end of last season, as the production of the Falcons offense dropped off dramatically under his watch. The Falcons stuck with him, but it appears little has changed. Atlanta struggled in the red zone in an 18-12 loss to the Eagles in Week 1 and are now getting set to face a division rival in a crucial game. The Panthers opened their season with a win over Dallas, and even if they lose this one, I think they keep it very close. Avoid the Falcons ATS.


    Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins (OVER 45 ½)


    The Redskins saw their 2018 season get off to a positive start with a 24-6 win over the toothless Arizona Cardinals. They looked solid offensively, with new QB Alex Smith looking as though he is going to fit in with this team quite comfortably. The defense was not really tested against the Cardinals, but they will certainly need to be ready when they face Andrew Luck, who threw for over 300 yards in his return from injury. He is going to get more comfortable as the season progresses, which may mean more production. The last 4 meetings between these two teams have gone comfortably over this weekends marks, which is why I will play the OVER 45 ½.

    Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (UNDER 46)



    With the hiring of Jon Gruden as the head coach, the Oakland Raiders signaled that they are ready to get back to playing an offensive-minded style of football. That didn’t play out too well in Week 1, as they managed just 13 points against a very good LA Rams team. This week, the Raiders will head to Denver to face a Broncos team that edged by the Seahawks in a 27-24 win. The Broncos still have some serious issues at the QB position, so I don’t expect them to score like that every week. The last 3 meetings between these teams have averaged just 30 PPG, so play the UNDER 46.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  8. #58  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Raiders at Broncos
    September 13, 2018



    By Tom Wilkinson


    NFL Preview – Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos



    The Oakland Raiders visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday in an AFC West rivalry matchup that can be seen on CBS. The Raiders did not start off well in Jon Gruden’s return, as they were dominated by the Rams in Week 1, while the Broncos beat the Seahawks. The Raiders and Broncos split their two meetings last season, with each team winning at home. Let’s look at this Week 2 matchup and NFL picks.


    Date and Time: Sunday, September 16, 2018, 4:25 p.m. ET
    Location: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, CO
    NFL Odds at BetDSI: Broncos -5.5, O/U 46
    Raiders vs. Broncos TV Coverage: CBS



    The Raiders are coming off a 33-13 loss to the Rams in Week 1. It was not a good opening for Gruden and Oakland. The offense gained plenty of yards, but quarterback Derek Carr threw three interceptions. Tight end Jared Cook who had nine catches for 180 yards. The Raiders under Gruden are going to try and play a smash mouth brand of football, but whether it will work in today’s NFL is in question. Running backs and tight ends caught 24 of Carr’s 29 completions.


    The Oakland defense was gashed in the second half by the Los Angeles offense and it was obvious that the Raiders already miss Khalil Mack. They Raiders had just one sack against Jared Goff and only one other hit on him.


    The Broncos are coming off a solid 27-24 home win against Seattle last week. Denver was able to overcome three interceptions by Case Keenum who was making his first start for the Broncos. Keenum did make some big plays and he also threw three TD passes. Emmanuel Sanders looks poised for a big season with Keenum throwing him the ball, as he had 135 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. The Denver defense harassed Russell Wilson last week, but the Broncos still gave up 24 points to Seattle.


    Matchup to Watch


    If the Raiders are going to have a chance to win on Sunday they have to get more out of their passing game. Carr threw for a lot of yards last week, but almost all of the passes were dump offs to the running backs or short passes to the tight end. The Raiders will need to open up their passing game and get Amari Cooper and Jordy Nelson involved if they are to threaten the Broncos. It is already obvious that Oakland’s defense is going to struggle this season so the Raiders need to score a lot of points to win games.


    Key Stats


    The Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Denver. The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the AFC West. The Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Broncos are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. The Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the AFC West.


    Looking at the total, the Under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 games overall. The Under is 8-1 in the Raiders last 9 vs. the AFC West. The Under is 9-3 in the Raiders last 12 road games. The Over is 7-0 in the Broncos last 7 games in September. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series.


    Raiders vs. Broncos Picks


    Who do you trust in this game? Do you trust Gruden to figure things out or do you trust a Denver team with Lance Lynn as head coach? Trusting Gruden or Lynn doesn’t sound that appealing, although I would probably lean to taking the Raiders plus the points. I think the better choice is the total. The Raiders are simply not very good on defense and I expect Keenum to put up big numbers. Carr will have to match him if this game is going to be competitive. I will go over the total in this contest.


    Raiders vs. Broncos Pick: Over 46
    Raiders vs. Broncos Score Prediction: Broncos 30, Raiders 28
    Reply With Quote  
     

  9. #59  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Panthers at Falcons
    September 13, 2018



    By Tom Wilkinson


    NFL Preview – Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons



    The Atlanta Falcons are favored at home on Sunday afternoon, as they host the Carolina Panthers in a game that can be seen on FOX. The Panthers are coming off a low scoring win in Week 1 against Dallas, while the Falcons lost at Philadelphia. The Panthers are already banged up on offense, while the Falcons are banged up on defense. Let’s look at this Week 2 matchup and NFL picks.


    Date and Time: Sunday, September 16, 2018, 1:00 p.m. ET
    Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
    NFL Odds at BetDSI: Falcons -6, O/U 44.5
    Panthers vs. Falcons TV Coverage: FOX



    The Panthers didn’t do much on offense last week, but their defense was impressive, as they held the Cowboys to just eight points. The Carolina offense suffered two major losses, as tight end Greg Olsen and right tackle Daryl Williams suffered injuries. Cam Newton carried the offense last week against Dallas and he may have to do so again this week in Atlanta.


    The Falcons lost their opener against the Eagles, as once again the offense under coordinator Steve Sarkisian failed to deliver. The Falcons defense played well, but they lost a major piece, as safety Keanu Neal suffered a season-ending injury. The Falcons are now without two Pro Bowlers, in Neal and middle linebacker Deion Jones. Carolina has lost three of the last four games against the Falcons in the last two years and they are not getting much respect for this game, as they are listed as 6-point underdogs.


    Matchup to Watch


    This game comes down to how well Cam Newton and the Carolina offense does against the Atlanta defense. The Carolina offensive line is a mess right now. Dallas sacked Newton three times last week and they pressured him on 43% of his drop backs. The Panthers did little last week in the passing game, as Newton threw for just 161 yards. The Falcons will be without both Neal and Jones so they could have a difficult time containing Cam.


    Keep in mind that Carolina has a new offensive coordinator this season in Norv Turner and he let Cam run in the opener. Cam had 13 carries for 58 yards and a touchdown. “I am expecting that.” Atlanta head coach Dan Quinn said to the media, “When he gets out on the edge, he’s a running back and a big one. So, I anticipate that part of his game because that adds another element to their offense.” Newton has averaged 51.5 yards on the ground against the Falcons and last season he had 86 yards and a TD in a 20-17 win.


    “He can run, and he’s hard to tackle,” said cornerback Desmond Trufant to the media, “He’s big. ... We’ve just got to be disciplined, run to him and swarm the ball and wrap him up. Just keep everything in front of us.”


    Key Stats


    The Panthers are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 meetings in Atlanta. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Panthers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. the NFC South. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.


    Looking at the total, the Under is 4-1 in the Panthers last 5 games in September. The Under is 4-0 in the Falcons last 4 vs. the NFC South. The Under is 6-1 in the Falcons last 7 home games. The Under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings.


    Panthers vs. Falcons Picks


    On paper, the Falcons should win this game, as they have more talent than the Panthers, but how can you trust the Atlanta offense? If Cam can make some big plays on the ground he should keep the Panthers in this contest. I will take the points with Carolina in this game. I also can’t ignore the trends on the total, as 8 of the last 10 meetings have gone under, so I will also play the game under the total.


    Panthers vs. Falcons Pick: Panthers +6 and Under 44.5
    Panthers vs. Falcons Score Prediction: Panthers 20, Falcons 17
    Reply With Quote  
     

  10. #60  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Tech Trends - Week 2
    September 11, 2018
    By Bruce Marshall



    SUNDAY, SEP. 16
    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    INDIANAPOLIS at WASHINGTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Colts were 10-5 as dog 2013-15 reg-season action before Luck’s various injuries past two years. Indy “over” 16-8 away in reg season since 2015. Jay Gruden “over” 24-13 since late in 2015.
    Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Colts, based on “totals” and team trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    CAROLINA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Falcs have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Cam however is 11-4 as dog since 2015. “Unders” 9-1 last 10 meetings, and Falcs “under” 14-5 since last season.
    Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Vikes have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings, but Rodgers missed one and most of the other meeting last season. Note “unders” 6-1 last 7 meetings. Pack “over” 21-11 entering 2018. In case Zimmer a dog note he’s 18-9 in role in reg season with Vikings since 2014.
    Tech Edge: “Under” and Vikings, especially if dog, based on “totals” and trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    L.A. CHARGERS at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Bills only 4-6 as dog (1-2 in role at Orchard Park) for McDermott. Bolts rolled 54-24 LY. Bolts 8-3-1 vs. spread last 9 in 2017.
    Tech Edge: Chargers, based on team trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    HOUSTON at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Watson 3-0 vs. line on road in games he started last season. Texans also “over” in 5 of Watson’s last 6 starts. Titans ”over” 24-12-1 regular season games since late in 2015 campaign.
    Tech Edge: Texans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    KANSAS CITY at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Tomlin 6-2 vs. line last eight years in Week 2. Tomlin also 8-3 vs. points in his 11 home openers at Heinz Field. Steel entered 2018 “under” 33-17-1 since late 2014.
    Tech Edge: Slight to Steel, based on Tomlin marks.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    MIAMI at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Dolphins 1-7 vs. line last 8 in 2017 away from home. Jets 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 as host.
    Tech Edge: Jets, based on team trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    PHILADELPHIA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Birds 7-3 vs. spread last ten away from Linc. Also on 17-5-1 spread run since late 2016. Bucs, however, have covered last six as home dog. Bucs also “under” 9-2 last 11 at home.
    Tech Edge: “Under,” based on team trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    CLEVELAND at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Brownies 7-14 vs. line last 21 away, also “over” 8-3 last 11 away. Saints “over” 22-11 reg season Superdome since 2014.
    Tech Edge: Saints and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    ARIZONA at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
    Rams destroyed Cards both times LY combined 65-16 score. Though LA just 4-10-1 vs. spread at Coliseum since returning in 2016 (“home” game vs. Big Red LY in London). Rams “over” 13-6 last 19 reg season games Cards just 2-6 vs. line away in 2017.
    Tech Edge: “Over” and Rams, based on “totals” and recent series trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    DETROIT at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
    Lions were just 11-21 as dog reg season 2014-17 for Caldwell. Detroit "over" 7-2 last nine away, 49ers “over” 9-5 last 14 at Levi’s.
    Tech Edge: 49ers and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    NEW ENGLAND at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
    Belichick 11-4 as reg season road chalk past two seasons. Pats also “under” 12-4-1 reg season road since late 2015. Jags only 0-1 as home dog LY.
    Tech Edge: Pats and “under,” based on Belichick trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    OAKLAND at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
    Broncos have won and covered 5 of last 6 as host vs. Raiders. Oakland covered only 2 of last 15 since early 2017 (one of those Ws vs. Denver). “Unders” 5-1 last six in series.
    Tech Edge: Broncos and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.


    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    N.Y. GIANTS at DALLAS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
    Dallas 3-1-1 vs. line at home vs. NYG after struggling as series host prior. Last four “under” in series, and G-Men also “under” 23-10 reg season since 2016. Dallas 4-7-1 last line last 12 as reg season host.
    Tech Edge: "Under,” based on “totals” trends.


    MONDAY, SEPT. 17
    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    SEATTLE at CHICAGO (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET)
    Pete just 8-14-1 as chalk since 2016. Bears 8-1-1 as Soldier Field dog since 2016.
    Tech Edge: Bears, especially if dog, based on team trends.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  11. #61  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Vikings at Packers
    September 14, 2018



    By Kyle Markus


    NFL Preview - Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers



    The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers aren’t just the two best teams in the NFC North, but they are on the short list of Super Bowl contenders. Minnesota added quarterback Kirk Cousins in free agency this offseason and may have the NFL’s most complete team on offense and defense. The Packers may not be as deep but they have Aaron Rodgers, arguably the best player in the league.


    However, Rodgers injured his knee in a season-opening win over the Bears, and while he returned to the game, it’s unknown if he will be ready for this one. That could be a game-day decision and whether Rodgers plays or not will have a huge effect on the spread.


    The Vikings have a good shot at grabbing a crucial early-season road win if Rodgers can’t play. If he does the Packers should be favored in NFL gambling.


    This NFL football game between the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers will be held at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin at 1 p.m ET on Sunday, September 16th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on FOX.


    We'll have NFL football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The Packers-Vikings spread is currently off the board because of Rodgers’ injury. He is such a key player and the line is going to move so much depending on his availability. Inactives have to be announced 90 minutes before the game, and that might be the only time we have real clarity on the situation.


    Check back before the game in order to bet on this contest. The scoring total in addition to the spread is going to be affected depending on Rodgers’ plans in NFL wagering.

    Injury Update



    Rodgers suffered a knee injury against the Bears in the first half and left the game. He came back in the second half to help the team to the win, but there was a lot of adrenaline running on that day. He did not practice on Wednesday or Thursday and it doesn’t seem like a given that Rodgers will play in this one as the knee could have swelled up after the game.


    The Vikings knocked Rodgers out for a significant portion of the season in 2017 with a broken collarbone and the last thing the Packers want to do is see him suffer a setback. It will be interesting to see what happens with this situation but it will make headlines whenever Green Bay decides.


    Last Time Out


    Rodgers returned to the game against the Bears in Week 1 with his team trailing 20-0 and led the Packers to a 21-20 victory. He ended up completing 20-of-30 passes for 286 yards and three touchdowns. Chicago had a chance to pick him late but Kyle Fuller dropped the pass and Rodgers made him pay by finding Randall Cobb for a long score. The Packers generally go as Rodgers does and they were lucky he returned to this one as they eked out the win.


    The Vikings looked very good in a 24-16 win over the 49ers. Cousins was 20-of-36 for 244 yards and two touchdowns, doing his damage early as Minnesota jumped out to a lead. The Vikings registered three interceptions including a pick-six by rookie Mike Hughes. The Vikings looked strong on both sides of the ball as they announced themselves early on as one of the best teams in the NFC.


    Free NFL ATS Picks


    It’s tough to gauge this game until Rodgers’ availability becomes known, but the most likely scenario has him playing but at less than optimum capacity. With that in mind, the Vikings are too talented, even on the road. Take Minnesota to win this game as Rodgers will lack the mobility that makes him so tough for defenses to corral.


    Keep an eye on the spread when it is announced in NFL odds.


    NFL ATS Pick: Minnesota Vikings 27, Green Bay Packers 23
    Reply With Quote  
     

  12. #62  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Patriots at Jaguars
    September 14, 2018



    By Tom Wilkinson


    NFL Preview – New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars



    The best matchup in Week 2 in the NFL takes place on Sunday afternoon, as the New England Patriots visit the Jacksonville Jaguars in a game that can be seen on CBS. It is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game that the Patriots won 24-20. It is a chance for Jacksonville to get the early edge on the Patriots in the AFC and also a chance to avenge last season’s loss. Let’s look at this Week 2 matchup and NFL picks.


    Date and Time: Sunday, September 16, 2018, 4:25 p.m. ET
    Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
    NFL Odds at BetDSI: Pick, O/U 45
    Patriots vs. Jaguars TV Coverage: CBS



    It is only Week 2 of the NFL season but this is a huge game for both teams. For the Patriots it is a chance to once again show the AFC that they are the best team, while the Jaguars have a chance to take away the top spot, at least for now. This game is an AFC title game rematch, but this time around the game is in Jacksonville. The Jaguars have been excellent at home, as they have won their last six home games, the third-longest in team history.


    The Jaguars are coming off a tough road win over the Giants last week in what was a low scoring game, while the Patriots pulled out a seven-point home win against the Houston Texans. The Jaguars will have to find more offense this week if they are to beat the Patriots. Jacksonville’s defense did score last week in the win over the Giants, and the players realize they need to score defensive touchdowns. “We just play ball, and we play with each other and for each other. Whatever the situation, we don’t back down. We go out and attack.” linebacker Telvin Smith said to the media.


    The Jaguars do have some concern on offense this week, as running back Leonard Fournette is dealing with a minor hamstring injury. He will test the hamstring on Friday to see if he can go on Sunday.


    Key Factor


    The Patriots don’t lose very often, but when they do it is because the other team wins the turnover battle. Teams that beat New England force Tom Brady into making mistakes. When the Patriots win the turnover battle they are 143-15 under head coach Bill Belichik. When they lose the turnover battle they are 37-42. When turnovers are even the Patriots are 35-17. If the Jaguars are to win this game they simply have to win the turnover battle. That means forcing Brady into mistakes and it also means running the ball and keeping Blake Bortles under wraps.


    Key Stats


    The Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. The Patriots are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September. The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


    Looking at the total, the Under is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 road games. The Under is 11-5 in the Patriots last 16 games overall. The Under is 9-2 in the Jaguars last 11 vs. the AFC. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.


    Patriots vs. Jaguars Picks


    How much credence do we give to the revenge factor in this game? There is no question that the Jaguars really want to win this game after losing last year’s AFC Championship Game. The question is can they come up with enough offense to keep up with the Patriots. If the Jaguars are going to win this game they have to run the ball, take time of the clock and turn this into a defensive game. That should mean a low scoring game. I lean a little bit to the Jaguars in this contest, but I think the better choice is to play the game under the total.


    Patriots vs. Jaguars Pick: Under 45
    Patriots vs. Jaguars Score Prediction: Jaguars 23, Patriots 17
    Reply With Quote  
     

  13. #63  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Value Plays - Week 2
    September 14, 2018
    By YouWager.eu



    NFL Week 2 Value Plays of the Week


    Week 2 of the NFL season is already under way, with the Thursday night game in the books and the Cincinnati Bengals sitting at a rather surprising 2-0. The first value pick that I had for this week was actually made a good deal clearer given the nature of the Bengals win over the Ravens on Thursday night, and that is the first one we will get to in this piece.


    We will have a few more plays that I think are very strong and where you have a real opportunity to add a little extra money to your bankroll, with all the betting odds, props and futures provided by YouWager.eu.


    So let’s get right to it.


    LA Chargers (-7 ½) at Buffalo Bills



    The Bills were pounded 47-3 by the Ravens in the opening weekend of the season and managed only 153 yards of offense in the loss. They have already decided to bench QB Nathan Peterman in favor of rookie Josh Allen. While there are a lot of folks who believe that he will be a capable QB in this league, the general consensus is that he is not ready yet. The Ravens getting pounded by the Bengals may just have highlighted how bad this Buffalo team is, which makes the 7 ½ point spread here look like a bit of a gift. The Chargers have over 540 yards of offense in Week 1, so look for them to light up the scoreboard in the win at ATS odds of -105.

    Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins (OVER 48)



    The Redskins won in Week 1 while putting up 24 points against Arizona. The reality of that game was that they kept the Cardinals offense in check so that they did not really need to open things up when Alex Smith got the ball. They are likely going to need to be a little more attack-minded in Week 2 versus the Colts, as Andrew Luck is only going to get more comfortable the more he plays. The last 4 meetings between these two teams has yielded an average of 56 PPG, which I think puts the OVER on the table at odds of (-110).


    New York Giants (+3) at Dallas Cowboys


    Even this early in the season, this NFC East match-up is incredibly important, as the loser in this one will slip to an 0-2 start. You look at the Dallas Cowboys now and see nothing of the team that looked so good just a couple of seasons ago. Dak Prescott looks totally devoid of confidence, which is causing the offense to sputter in a big way. The Giants fell a little short against a very good Jacksonville Jaguars defense in their opener, but I think they will have some success this weekend, especially with Saquon Barkley running the football. I like the Giants to cover at odds of -115 and potentially even win SU at odds of +130.

    Chicago Bears (-3 ½) vs. Seattle Seahawks



    Bur for a magical finish by Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers, the Chicago Bears would be coming into this week on the heels of a win at Lambeau Field. While some may call their 4th quarter capitulation a collapse, I see it more as a very good team imposing their will at home. Despite that loss, there is a lot to like about this Bears team and I like them to win and cover at home against the 0-1 Seahawks. You can get that bet at very nice odds of +100.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  14. #64  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Week 2 Best Bets - Totals
    September 14, 2018
    By Bookmaker



    Best Bets - Sides


    Week 2 NFL Best Bets – Totals



    Last week's total plays split the board, but if you were smart enough to wait on the 'over' in the Pittsburgh/Cleveland game and bet it near close, you cashed a winner there. For that game not to go over 43.5 when it was tied 21-21 in the 4th was a little unlucky, but those negative feelings were quickly forgotten about with how easily the Bills/Ravens game cashed 'over' the number.


    It's on to Week 2 though and with more than a handful of divisional matchups on the board, there's at least one of them that has caught my eye from a totals perspective. Let's get right to the plays:


    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu


    Best Bet #1: Houston/Tennessee Over 44.5



    I have been kind of surprised to see this total get the bulk of the action on the 'under' all week as it appears there aren't too many bettors out there impressed with either offensive unit after one week. Houston's attack left a bad taste in many mouths a week ago as a popular underdog pick to cover against New England so that may have some lingering effects, but the majority going the other way is never viewed as a bad thing in my mind.


    Neither offense may have looked great in Week 1 defeats, but each still managed to score 20 points on the road and did make the most of their limited chances. That's a plus for these offenses going forward and with this being the 2nd ever showdown between Deshaun Watson and Marcus Mariota in AFC South play – in a battle that could be here for years – I think we see a similar scoreline to that first meeting (minus the blowout)

    That first meeting between Watson and Mariota came early on a year ago when Watson and the Texans put one on the Titans. The final score was 57-14 in favor of Houston as they really could do no wrong for the entire 60 minutes. The two teams combined for 44 points at halftime, and coming anywhere near that number again through 30 minutes of play will make this another easy winner for us this year.


    Chances are that probably won't happen, but even a 14-7 game at the break is just slightly behind pace with this lower number, and then they head into a 2nd half where both guys will be more inclined to look for the big play. That's not all bad for an 'over' play with the playmaking ability each QB has, and given that the Titans are known for playing higher scoring games early in the year (8-3 O/U last 11 in September), and 5-1 O/U after an ATS loss, things should open up quite a bit this week.


    Houston and Watson will aim to ramp up their play now that he's got all those nervous feelings about whether or not his knee will hold up during live action out of the way too. When that happens, this Texans offense will more resemble the one that lit up the league for 5-6 weeks last year with Watson at the helm. I'm still not a believer that Watson nor the Texans offense can come close to duplicating that run any time soon, but they really only need to score 24-28 points this week in all likelihood to push this game 'over' the number.


    That's a range the Texans should find a way to get to, and Tennessee won't be far behind.


    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu


    Best Bet #2: Philadelphia/Tampa Bay Under 44



    Here we've got a game that's eerily similar to the one above (small road favorite with total of 44/44.5) yet given the matchup and situation, this total of 44 seems a little too high.


    Betting percentages at VegasInsider.com show 85%+ already on the high side of this total and yet there has really been no movement at all. This number opened at 44, dropped to 43.5, and has since come back up to 44 again. That suggests to me that it's got to either be 'under' or pass on this total with the oddsmakers potentially taking a stance on this number, and when you really dig deeper into the game, firing on the 'under' looks very attractive.


    For one, chances are we see a big regression come from Tampa QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and the entire Bucs offense for that matter. It's the defending champs rolling into town, not a notoriously suspect Saints defense, and Philly isn't about to let a backup QB light them up like that. Without question the Saints took Fitzpatrick's starting job and the Bucs offense lightly a week ago and it cost them. Philly won't be making that mistake – especially after watching how last week's game turned out for Tampa – and that's bad news for fans who love to see points.


    Philly is also a team starting a backup QB in Nick Foles, and while he is the reigning SB MVP and all that, the Eagles aren't about to let him have Carte blanche out there. This is still a team that's working out things offensively as they deal with multiple issues across the board and needs to rely on it's defense to win games early. They showed up against Atlanta in the season opener, and they'll do so again against this Bucs team.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  15. #65  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Week 2 - Sunday Blitz
    September 14, 2018
    By Kevin Rogers



    GAMES TO WATCH


    Vikings at Packers – 1:00 PM EST


    An important NFC North game in Week 2 takes place at Lambeau Field with one extremely important question. Will Packers’ star quarterback Aaron Rodgers suit up or sit out after suffering a knee injury last week against Chicago? Green Bay seemed dead in the water after trailing, 20-0 and Rodgers carted off, but he returned in the second half to lead a monumental rally in a 24-23 victory.


    Rodgers hopes to play to give the Packers an opportunity at not only a 2-0 overall record, but 2-0 mark inside the division. The last time Rodgers faced the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium last season, Minnesota linebacker Anthony Barr drilled the two-time league MVP into the ground and broke Rodgers’ collarbone. The end result of that hit was Rodgers being sidelined for nine games and the Vikings capturing the NFC North title.


    Minnesota heads to Lambeau Field following a 24-16 victory over San Francisco in the season opener. The Vikings grabbed the cover as six-point favorites, while causing four 49ers’ turnovers, including a pick-six on San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. Kirk Cousins put together a solid debut for Minnesota by throwing for 244 yards and two touchdowns as the Vikings improved to 10-1 in their last 11 home contests.


    The Vikings compiled a 6-2 record on the highway last season, which included a 16-0 shutout of the Packers at Lambeau Field in December. Minnesota has won and covered four of the past five matchups in the series, including two of the past three trips to Green Bay. The UNDER has been a strong look in this series as well by hitting in seven of the last eight meetings.


    Best Bet: Vikings 27, Packers 21


    Eagles (-3, 44) at Buccaneers – 1:00 PM EST



    It wasn’t pretty, but following a weather delay, the defending champion Eagles raised their Super Bowl banner and knocked off the Falcons last Thursday, 18-12. With Carson Wentz still sidelined, Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles overcame a subpar performance (19-of-34 for 117 yards and interception) to lift Philadelphia to its second low-scoring home win over Atlanta in 2018 after eliminating the Falcons in the second round last season.


    The Eagles moved to 12-1 in their last 13 home contests, but travel to Florida this week to face a Buccaneers’ squad that shocked the Saints as 10 ½-point underdogs last week, 48-40. Ryan Fitzpatrick torched the New Orleans’ defense for 417 yards and four touchdown passes, while both Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson recorded at least 145 yards receiving and a total of three touchdown catches. Tampa Bay picked up its third consecutive opening day win, unfortunately the Bucs haven’t started 2-0 since 2010.


    The Eagles have slumped to a 2-4 ATS record under Doug Pederson as a road favorite, but Philadelphia won six of eight games away from Lincoln Financial Field last season. The Bucs have covered in four of their past five opportunities as a home underdog since 2016, while the Eagles are traveling to Tampa Bay for the first time since 2013. In the last meeting in 2015 at the Linc, the Bucs steamrolled the Eagles, 45-17 as seven-point underdogs, led by Jameis Winston’s five touchdown passes.


    Best Bet: Eagles 24, Buccaneers 17


    Patriots (-1, 45) at Jaguars – 4:25 PM EST



    Jacksonville nearly pulled off the upset of New England in the AFC Championship this past January, but fell apart in the second half of a 24-20 defeat. The Jaguars managed to cover as 7 ½-point underdogs, but missed out on the first Super Bowl appearance in franchise history, while Tom Brady hit Danny Amendola for a pair of touchdown tosses in the fourth quarter.


    Fast forward eight months later and the two squads hook up again, this time at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville. Both teams captured opening week wins, while the Jaguars won in Week 1 for the second straight year following a dry spell in openers from 2012 through 2016. The Jaguars held off the Giants last week, 20-15 as New York’s lone touchdown came on rookie Saquon Barkley’s 68-yard touchdown in the fourth. Jacksonville picked up the cover as three-point favorites, although running back Leonard Fournette left with a hamstring injury as the former LSU star is a game-time decision on Sunday.


    The Patriots held off the Texans, 27-20 to barely cash as 6 ½-point favorites, although New England jumped out to a 21-6 halftime lead. Brady threw three touchdown passes in the first half to three different receivers, including an early hookup with tight end Rob Gronkowski, who finished with 123 yards receiving.


    New England enters Sunday’s action riding a five-game winning streak in Week 2 action, while winning three of those games on the road by an average of 15.6 points per game. Jacksonville covered in five of seven opportunities as an underdog last season, while winning six of eight home contests. Brady has never lost to Jacksonville in his career in eight starts since 2003, including two victories at TIAA Bank Field.


    Best Bet: Patriots 31, Jaguars 17


    SUPERCONTEST PICKS


    Kevin Rogers (1-3-1 last week)

    Steelers -4
    Falcons -6
    Bills +7
    Dolphins +2 ½
    Cardinals +12 ½


    Chris David (4-1 last week)
    Steelers -4
    Falcons -6
    Texans PK
    Jaguars +1
    Seahawks +3 ½


    SURVIVOR PICKS


    Kevin Rogers (Green Bay last week):
    New Orleans over Cleveland


    Chris David (Baltimore last week)
    L.A. Rams over Arizona


    BEST TOTAL PLAY (1-0 last week, 1-0 this season)


    UNDER 53 – Chiefs at Steelers



    Easily drilled the UNDER last week between the Redskins and Cardinals and going that same route again this week. These two AFC rivals have played every season for the last four years and even twice in 2016. Five of those six matchups have finished UNDER the total, while the Chiefs have failed to bust 16 in the last three meetings. Yes, Patrick Mahomes was not under center for Kansas City in those games as the former Texas Tech standout threw four touchdown passes in last week’s 38-28 victory over the Chargers. However, Los Angeles was limited to 12 points in the first three quarters, while Pittsburgh held a 21-7 fourth quarter lead at Cleveland before the Browns scored two late touchdowns to ultimately tie the Steelers.


    TRAP OF THE WEEK


    Are the Bills really as bad as they looked last week in a 47-3 blowout loss to the Ravens? Buffalo returns home to host Los Angeles as the Chargers had high expectations placed on them heading into the season. The Lightning Bolts are 0-1 out of the gate after losing at Kansas City, but did rout the Bills last season by 30 points at home. Los Angeles opened as a 7 ½-point favorite at Buffalo this week, as rookie Josh Allen gets the start at quarterback for the Bills. Don’t be too fast to jump on the Chargers, as the Bolts have lost six of their last seven road September games.


    BIGGEST LINE MOVE


    The 49ers opened as three-point home favorites against the Lions after San Francisco lost at Minnesota in Week 1. However, that line skyrocketed to San Francisco laying six points following Detroit’s abysmal effort in last Monday’s blowout loss to the Jets. The Lions host the Patriots next Sunday night, as Detroit heads to the Bay Area off a 5-3 road record last season.


    BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW


    Three teams are playing on the road for the second straight week to open the season (Texans, Chiefs, and Seahawks). Kansas City was the lone team to win while Houston and Seattle came up. Why is this important? Teams don’t normally start 2-0 when both games are on the highway as only three squads have conquered this gauntlet since 2008 (2009 Vikings, 2010 Dolphins, and 2013 Dolphins). Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have gone 0-2 twice with both games on the road, as Seattle tries to buck that trend on Monday at Chicago.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  16. #66  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Vegas Money Moves - Week 2
    September 14, 2018
    By Micah Roberts



    Do you believe what you saw last or do you trust the initial rating prior to Week 1 NFL action? We learned a lot from just one game, but is it possible we have been swayed too far from reality from just one game?


    Week 2 of the NFL is upon us and there are some fascinating mass opinions making wagers at Las Vegas sports books this week.


    Here's a look at what is happening.


    Colts at Redskins -6, 48.5



    "Sharp money has come in on the Colts off the loss while going against the Redskins who come off a game where they may have looked better than they really are," said CG Technology VP of risk management Jason Simbal. He's basically saying bettors are expecting both teams who wavered from their true rating week return to regular form this week. CG books were bumped from Colts +6 to +5.5 on Thursday.


    Panthers at Falcons -6.5, 44.5


    On Sunday night the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook opened the Falcons -3.5 and within 30 minutes they were bet all the way up to -5. At that point, the trek passing the dead numbers wouldn't take much cash to budge the number higher. By Tuesday they were up to -6 and on Friday morning they went to -6.5. The Panthers will be playing with tight end Greg Olsen (foot) and offensive tackley Daryl Williams (knee). This is another one of those games as CG's Simbal mentioned where one team is off a win and another comes off a tough loss.


    Vikings at Packers (OFF)


    Will Aaron Rodgers play? That's the question and because he's worth so much no Nevada sports book had anumber on Friday afternoon because of it being such a variance with an in or out number. Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White says Rodgers is worth 6.5-points to the number with Deshone Kizer as the back-up who he says is much better than Brett Hundley who the Packers had as a back-up the past two years. William Hill sports books opened the Packers -1.5 and shut betting down Tuesday with the Vikings -2. In two days of wagering, they took 97 percent of the cash on the Vikings as well as 91 percent of the total tickets written.


    Chargers -7.5 EV, 43 at Bills


    Bettors don't seem to care that a West Coast team is playing a 10:00 a.m. game on the East Coast. All they know is they hate the Bills, and this week the Bills start rookie quarterback Josh Allen. Last week, Nate Peterman posted a 0.0 QB rating for the Bills. So maybe this an upgrade? Who knows, but his play should be better at home in his debut than on the road. The Westgate got as high as Chargers -8 on Sunday night, but someone grabbed that number quick and the Westgate hasn't had to go back despite almost every parlay on the game being on the Chargers. Stratosphere sports book director Ed Malinowski says this is his most bet public game.


    Texans -2.5 -120, 43.5 at Titans


    Both QBs, Marcus Mariota (elbow) and Deshaun Watson (concussion) are expected to play, so what gives on this game? By saying Texas are -2.5 on the road it's saying the Texans are rated at least 5-points better than the Titans. Is that true? Heck no it's not. But perception is reality after one week of play, mixed in with maybe a hint of overrating Watson's worth. The Westgate opened -1.5 and went to -2.5 -120 on Thursday. This is a major public game with 94 percent of William Hill's ticket written coming on the Texans. Last season the Titans, who made the playoffs and won a playoff game, were -2.5 at Houston and -7 at home against them. The Texans are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings versus the Titans, 1-0 behind Watson.


    Chiefs at Steelers -5, 53.5


    "The way the Chiefs looked last week, I have a feeling they're going to be a popular public team every week this season," said Simbal. "They score lots of points quick and they go Over the total, that's the makeup of a popular public team. It's also part of the reason we've raised them in ratings after Week 1." And there's the genesis of the KC popularity tax. CG books were pushed down to -4.5 on Wednesday.


    Dolphins at Jets -2.5 -120, 43.5


    "We have some sharp money playing the Dolphins this week while the public has been on the Jets," said Simbal. "I think this is a game where we really find out who each of these teams are moving forward. Both played well last week, but the Lions defense might have made the Jets offense look better than it really is." The Jets are Stratosphere's third most public side this week, but they also have wise guy money on the Dolphins.


    Eagles -3.5 EV, 44 at Buccaneers


    The public thinks what QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Buccaneers did last week at New Orleans was an anomaly and their first home game will see a let down against the Eagles. William Hill sports books have seen 89 percent of the cash come on Philly as well as 86 percent of the tickets written. The Westgate opened the Eagles -3.


    Browns at Saints -9.5, 49


    "We're not seeing a lot of action on this one," said Simbal. "I think people are skeptical of the Saints this week after losing laying a big number with them last week while at the same time wanting to respect the Browns. I really do believe the public wants to root for and bet on the Browns, but they're torn this week."


    Cardinals at Rams -13, 44.5


    "We raised the Rams rating after Week 1 while also dropping the Cardinals," said Simbal. "We don't really have any action the Rams right now, just some small parlay action." He said they've just been kind of slowly moving the Rams up this week. What will it take to force people into taking the Cardinals this week, who looked like the worst team in the league in a home loss against the Redskins. Before the Rams Monday night win they were -10.5 at CG books for this game and readjusted to -12.5 on Wednesday and -13 on Thursday. The Rams are the second most popular public side at the Stratosphere. The Cards have 24 new players this season and were booed loudly at home last week.


    Lions at 49ers -6, 49


    The Westgate had the 49ers set at -3.5 prior to the Lions awful Monday night home loss to the Jets. Bettors actually took some +3.5-flat forcing a move to +3.5 -120. But then Jets 48-17 win happened. They readjusted to -4.5 on Tuesday morning and then quickly flew up the ladder to -5.5. By Wednesday morning they were up to -6. The 49ers are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as favorites.


    Patriots -1, 45.5 at Jaguars


    The big deal here is Jaguars running back Leonard Fournette (hamstring) being questionable, but I don't find back-up T.J. Yeldon being. Fournette did run during Friday's practice and the team said he's a game-time decision. This game started at the Westgate as pick 'em and was bet up to Patriots -2 and it's slowly dropped down to -1. The Jaguars get defensive end Dante Fowler Jr (suspension) back this week, the guys who had two sacks on Tom Brady in last years AFC Championship Game. The Patriots won that game 24-20 as seven-point home favorites. Pats wider receiver Julian Edelman has three more games to serve on his suspension.


    Raiders at Broncos -6.5, 46


    "The Raiders are just a bad team," said Simbal. "Losing Kahlil Mack dropped their rating a bit and then I downgraded them again after last week where I think the strong first-half performance was more about the crowd pumping them up and the Rams being kind of sleepy." Ed Malinowski said his Stratosphere books took sharp money on the Raiders but he's flowed up to -6.5 anyway. Several books at -6. The favorite has gone 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.


    Giants at Cowboys -3, 42.5


    The Westgate got as high as Cowboys -3.5, but circled back to their opening number of -3. William Hill books have 81 percent of the tickets written on the Giants. This going to be the game that decides most sports books eventual fate on Sunday and it looks like they're going to need the Cowboys.


    Seahawks at Bears -3.5 EV, 43


    What was more truth identity? The Bears first half against the Packers, the Bears second-half against the Packers or the demise of the Seahawks witnessed in Denver. A little bit of all three equally? This game opened at -3 and after the Sunday night game went to -3 -120.


    All spreads listed are from the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook as of Friday afternoon, unless otherwise noted.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  17. #67  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Week 2 Teasers
    September 14, 2018
    By BetOnline.ag

    NFL Week 2 Exotic Betting Options


    Playing it safe with a teaser option on the Patriots and Browns last week still paid out, but parlaying their spreads as they were would have worked as well. Can't complain too much as a win is a win, and it's on to Week 2 action.


    This week there are quite a few home favorites that could be good options on teasers to simply win the game, and coming into the weekend, playing it safer with some plays by teasing them looks like a solid way to go. Also, I'm sure a bunch of the games with spreads in the -3 to -6.5 range will end up where both teams teased will come through. Yet, it's two teams that got completely embarrassed in Week 1 that I can't pass teasing up.


    These two squads have to find a way to at least put a better effort for 60 minutes out there in Week 2, and with one of them at home and the other in hostile, but familiar territory, I've got to believe we see much better results from these two teams. Let's get right to it:


    BetOnline.ag: Week 2 Two-Team, 7-point Teaser Best Bet


    Buffalo Bills (+14.5) – Oakland Raiders (+13.5)



    Right off the bat I would have preferred Oakland to be at least at +14 (and I'm hoping it may be possible before kickoff), but even at +13.5 I'm fine with the selection. I caught this piece at VegasInsider.com yesterday and am inclined to agree with the idea that Oakland probably isn't 3.5 points worse than Seattle to begin with. Those have been Denver's first two opponents and other than a disastrous performance on national television by Oakland, nothing has really changed.


    Seattle and Oakland came into the year with similar season win totals (7.5/8) and now because of one stinker that everyone saw, the Raiders are much bigger dogs than a similar team in the same spot? It's not like Denver did anything special in beating Seattle, they did exactly what they were expected to do; win by 3 points at home. It was a good win and all, but the Broncos appear to be artificially inflated this week in large part by everyone just wanting no part of Oakland.


    But as a double-digit underdog I'll gladly take the Raiders here in a spot where they know they need to bounce back. Carr and the Oakland attack was downright awful in that 2nd half vs the Rams and a performance like that really has nowhere to go but up. It's a divisional game now rather than non-conference tilt, so the extra intensity and motivation will already be there as this is probably a one-score game either way.


    Buffalo is another underdog I like teased up to beyond two TD's for a variety of reasons. Yes, Buffalo looked awful and will probably be one of the worst teams in the league this year. But their play has nowhere to go but up too, and now they catch a Chargers team in a brutal spot.


    The Chargers have their issues in their own right after Week 1, and while they are a team many were high on to start the year (myself included), they showed me nothing last week to deserve to be laying more than a TD here. It's an early body clock game for them after cross-country travel, against a team everyone in the world has been talking crap about all week, and sandwiched between a division game to start the year and an inter-city turf matchup with the Rams. That's a tough spot to go out on the road and win by more than two TD's.


    And while Buffalo QB Josh Allen didn't look good in the action he saw a week ago, it's a good thing for this week that he saw action. Those rookie NFL jitters are gone and the team has stopped stringing him along and made a firm stance on deciding to go with him now. There will be mistakes no doubt, but Allen knows he was brought to Buffalo to make plays and win games and he's only got one shot to make a first impression in front of the home crowd. Allen should seize the moment as best as he can, and hopefully the rest of his teammates can rally around him as well. Remember they all know how embarrassing it was to leave L.A last year after losing big to the Chargers too.


    It probably won't work out for the Bills in the end in terms of a SU win, but it's a good enough spot to tease them.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  18. #68  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    SNF - N.Y. Giants at Dallas
    September 14, 2018
    By YouWager.eu



    NFL Week 1 SNF Betting Preview


    N.Y. Giants at Dallas Cowboys



    Last week's SNF season opener had a little bit of everything and could end up being the regular season game of the year. Green Bay fell down big early as they lost Aaron Rodgers to injury, only to storm back in the 2nd half and eek out the Bears 24-23. The 47 points was enough to 'push' my play on the 'under' in that game, so you can count me in the smaller group of bettors that wasn't exactly thrilled with Rodgers' heroics.


    NFL fans get another divisional rivalry game for SNF in Week 2, as the Giants and Cowboys renew acquaintances. Both teams may be going in opposite directions if you ask many, with the Giants filled with renewed optimism and hope with a healthy roster and #2 overall pick RB Saquon Barkley in their colors, while Dallas looks a far cry away from the team that ran away with the NFC East two years ago. That's the way the money is already talking this week with the Giants getting the bulk of the support as a road dog, but is that the right side?


    YouWager.eu Odds: Dallas (-3); Total set at 42.5


    It's not hard to see why the Giants are getting plenty of love again this week, as they are the ones with more 'headline' players in this game and also have the hype train rolling right up their butts. It didn't work out for bettors backing New York a week ago as a home dog, but after watching how atrocious Dallas looked later on last Sunday, the majority of bettors aren't turning down the points with the Giants again. VegasInsider.com currently shows that the Giants are a 60/40 pick ATS, with many more simply bypassing the points and taking New York on the ML.


    That support was to be expected given all the hype surrounding the Giants attack this year and the evidence we've seen from Dallas so far (preseason and Week 1) that their offense is really void of substantial weapons outside of Ezekiel Elliott. And while it's tough to deny that Dallas really does lack receiving threats, this is also an offensive unit that was so disjointed in preseason from the simple perspective of playing time (they hardly played together or at all). I'm willing to still give this team a week or two to figure out their passing attack – because they kept who they kept at WR/TE for reasons – and give them the benefit of the doubt.


    I say that because, if the prevailing belief among bettors is that Dallas can't do anything in the passing game, it's already a belief in NFL circles, and the Cowboys better be prepared to see a loaded box from their opponent on every offensive snap to slow down Elliott. Doing that is just daring the Cowboys to make plays through the air and eventually some of those will connect.


    So with the Giants already spending the bulk of this week in the dreaded 'public underdog' role and the Cowboys stock valued much lower then it probably should be in the eyes of many, I'm not so sure this typical home field advantage line of -3 doesn't have quite a bit of inherent value laced within it.


    Dallas swept this season series a year ago and while that doesn't mean really anything here, confidence wise, the Cowboys have to come in with a bit of a boost. They are the ones who are at home here and can look to dictate the tempo with Elliott and the rushing game to wear out that Giants defense and keep Manning, Beckham Jr, and Barkley off the field.


    We also can't forget about Dak Prescott's legs in this equation either, especially when the Giants let Blake Bortles rumble for 42 yards on four carries a week ago. Jacksonville didn't rely on the run as heavily as they would have liked with Leonard Fournette going down in that Giants game, but they Jags still rushed for 137 yards in the game, so it's not like the Giants defense is great at stopping the run either.


    On the flip side, the Cowboys defense wasn't all that bad in slowing down the Panthers a week ago, they just need to get the help from their offense to win games. The Cowboys will be ready for Beckham and company in the passing game, but they've likely spent time on figuring out how to stop Barkley since the day he was drafted by New York. Carolina only had 293 total offensive yards in that game with the Cowboys, so slowing down the run is nothing new for Dallas, and wouldn't they be just the perfect foil to slightly derail this hype train the Giants have been riding the past few months?


    That's why I'm rolling with the Cowboys here as I think there is just too much unwarranted hype surrounding this 2018 Giants squad at the moment. The NFL is famous for that “any given Sunday” tag line and no team is ever as good or as bad as they look in a specific week in this league. Dallas lost plenty of support in the betting market for how they looked a week ago and as I said earlier, I'm not ready to discredit this team completely just yet.


    A bad blowout loss at home this week and things will be a different story regarding the Cowboys the rest of the way, but I don't believe it will come to that as Dallas shows up with their A-game across the board and pulls out the victory here.


    Odds per - YouWager.eu


    Best Bet: Dallas -3
    Reply With Quote  
     

  19. #69  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    MNF - Seahawks at Bears
    September 14, 2018
    By Kevin Rogers



    LAST WEEK


    The Seahawks (0-1 SU, 0-0-1 ATS) entered the season opener by losing six consecutive road games in September as Seattle visited Denver. In spite of a grabbing a fourth quarter lead on a Russell Wilson 51-yard touchdown connection with Tyler Lockett, the Seahawks fell short in a 27-24 defeat to the Broncos. Seattle’s defense intercepted Case Keenum three times, but the Broncos outgained the Seahawks from a yardage standpoint, 470-306, while racking up 25 first downs compared to 13 by Seattle.


    Seattle also committed three turnovers in the loss as Wilson was picked off twice, while running back Chris Carson lost a fumble in the third quarter. The second Wilson interception came on the final drive deep in Seattle territory, but the Seahawks’ quarterback also threw three touchdown passes, including one to former Broncos’ standout Brandon Marshall. The game sailed OVER the total of 42 ½, while Seattle pushed as a three-point underdog as the Seahawks last won a game in Week 16 of last season following an 0-4 preseason.


    The Bears (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) were on their way to an impressive road upset of the Packers last Sunday night by jumping out to a seemingly commanding 20-0 lead at Lambeau Field. It helped Chicago’s cause that Packers’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers exited the game in the second quarter with a knee injury as newly acquired linebacker Khalil Mack returned an interception for a touchdown.


    However, Rodgers returned in the third quarter and led Green Bay to an incredible 24-23 comeback victory, capped off by a 75-yard touchdown strike to Randall Cobb late in the fourth quarter. The Bears managed a cover as seven-point underdogs, but left Green Bay with a division loss as quarterback Mitchell Trubisky threw for 171 yards and rushed for a touchdown. Chicago has dropped 10 straight division contests dating back to December 2016, while last winning a road game against an NFC North opponent in 2015 at Green Bay.


    SEATTLE DUE?


    The task for Pete Carroll’s team on Monday night is try to not only pick up their first win of the season, but also halt this seven-game road losing streak in September. The Seahawks started 0-2 on the road last season (and 0-2 overall), but managed to win five of their next six games away from CenturyLink Field, while going 8-4 overall before a late meltdown prevented Seattle from the postseason.


    Since Carroll arrived in Seattle back in 2010, the Seahawks have gone 0-2 through two road games twice (2011 and 2015), while the Seahawks are riding an 0-4 ATS streak in the last four Week 2’s dating back to 2014.


    LAY THE POINTS AND RUN


    In Trubisky’s rookie season, the Bears covered in all four opportunities as a home underdog, including outright victories over the Steelers and Panthers. However, Chicago struggled when laying points by posting a 1-2 SU/ATS record with the only victory coming against the winless Browns in Week 16. Dating back to the start of 2015, the Bears own a dreadful 1-7 SU/ATS mark as a favorite, including six outright losses at Soldier Field.


    SERIES HISTORY


    These two teams are meeting for the first time since 2015 when the Seahawks crushed the Bears, 26-0 as 16 ½-point favorites at CenturyLink Field. Seattle had started the season 0-2 before picking up that shutout, while limiting Chicago to 146 yards of offense. Wilson hooked up with Jimmy Graham for the only offensive touchdown, while Lockett returned the second half kickoff 103 yards for a touchdown.


    Seattle has captured four of the past five matchups with Chicago since 2010, while making its first trip to Soldier Field since 2012. The Seahawks held off the Bears in overtime, 23-17 as three-point underdogs in December 2012, as the last four meetings in Chicago have sailed OVER the total.


    MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS


    The Seahawks have appeared on Monday night football once in each of the past seven seasons. Seattle has compiled a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark in this stretch, while making its first road appearance on a Monday night since 2014 in a 10-point victory at Washington.


    The Bears have split their last six Monday night contests since 2014, but interestingly enough have gone 1-3 at home in this stretch. Chicago was squeezed by Minnesota in the final seconds last season, 20-17 at Soldier Field in Trubisky’s first start, but the Bears barely covered as 3 ½-point underdogs.


    HANDICAPPER’S CORNER


    NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on Seattle’s performance at Denver, “There were some positives for a Seahawks team with perhaps the most grounded expectations entering Carroll’s ninth season. Earl Thomas returned in time for the game and made an impact with an interception as a veteran leader on a defense that has lost many key players the past two years. Wilson nearly willed Seattle to a win by himself as the Seahawks had three late possessions down three late in the game and lost by just three despite running 17 fewer offensive plays.”


    On the flip side, Nelson looks at Chicago’s late meltdown at Green Bay, “Trubisky took four sacks and gained just 4.9 yards per pass, but he had only one turnover and that was in a desperation fourth down play at the end of the game. The running game produced 5.1 yards per carry as the offense could be improved for Chicago after scoring just 16.5 points per game last season as Matt Nagy’s offensive background could pay dividends over time now in his second game as head coach.”


    LINE MOVEMENT

    This line has stayed pretty steady since the Bears opened up as three-point favorites last Sunday night. Chicago is currently a 3 ½-point favorite at most books, while other books that have the Bears at -3 will make you pay -120 juice. The total opened at 43 ½, but has slightly moved to 43 at many outlets.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  20. #70  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Week 2 Best Bets - Sides
    September 13, 2018
    By Bookmaker



    Week 2 NFL Best Bets – Sides


    Last week's selections were able to split the board as the Minnesota Vikings did enough to defend their turf and cover the 6.5 points they were laying, while the Chargers continued to get plagued by self-inflicted mistakes and feeling like they are the visitors when they are at home. Until this Chargers team strings a few wins together, chances are that non-home field advantage that they have won't go away.


    So it's on to Week 2 now and we've got quite a few interesting games on the board, especially division rivalries. The divisional rivalries we've got this week should be great as they include Minnesota/GB, Houston/Tennessee, Carolina/Atlanta, Miami/NY Jets, Arizona/LA Rams, Oakland/Denver, and NY Giants/Dallas all going head-to head.


    One of those games I'll touch on a bit later, but for now it's all about getting a few ATS wins in our pocket this week and it begins with a team looking for their first SU win in years.


    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu


    Best Bet #1: Cleveland Browns +9



    Hopefully like many of the readers at VegasInsider.com, I was able to catch this great Hot/Not piece by a colleague at the site this week, as they stated how bad of a situation this could be for Cleveland Browns fans this week. No road team coming off a rare tie game this century has gone on to cover the point spread (0-9 ATS) and usually it's the Cleveland Browns who are apart of streaks like that, not the ones trying to snap it.


    Look, I get it, the Saints were embarrassed at home as a double-digit favorite and now they definitely want to take a big piece out of their next opponent because of it. But can you really trust a Saints defense that just spent weeks/months preparing for backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick – they knew he'd be starting forever - and then let him light them up in the fashion he did? I just don't see how you can to be honest.


    Furthermore, the Saints are in a tough spot themselves this week as teams that have scored 40+ one week and are at home the next are just 10-17 ATS the last three years. Make them a home favorite and you get that number squeezed down to 10-15 ATS for teams in that spot. Not exactly a huge percentage in favor of a Browns play here, but favor those home teams that scored 40+ by six or more points and you get a 2-7 ATS run over the past two seasons for these squads.


    The Browns are going to be freewheeling and taking whatever shots they can this year – at least until they get a win – and New Orleans defense isn't going to provide much resistance in that regard. Whether or not there is a hangover effect for the Saints defense given how their season ended a year ago we will probably never know, but that's the side of the ball that's really going to hold Brees and the rest of the team back in 2018.


    This game probably isn't the automatic double-digit win many believe it is with the lowly Browns coming to town, because a back door cover is always going to be available to Cleveland with how bad this Saints defense is, and until New Orleans shows me something this year on that side of the ball (and does so for multiple weeks), fading the Saints as sizable favorites is something I'm looking to do.


    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu


    Best Bet #1: Oakland Raiders +6



    This is another line where I see this game as a battle of perception vs reality as the Oakland Raiders really did look bad on MNF in losing to the Rams. The entire Gruden Era – Part Deux has been quite a disaster overall for the Raiders and their stock is so low right now that bettors have been lining up all week to get a piece of Denver ATS this week.


    Betting percentages at VegasInsider.com currently show about 80% of the bets made already on this game coming Denver's way. The Broncos did look solid in beating Seattle at home a week ago, but that game was close throughout and was decided by a FG. Seattle was not a team many thought highly of entering the year either, but are they really considered about a FG better than Oakland after just one week?


    That's essentially the question you've got to ask yourself here as it was just a week ago that Seattle was in the same spot; on the road in Denver, and they were catching +3 to +3.5 points. Oakland, a division rival, now visits Denver after an opening week loss and are bet up to +6? I just don't see it as the -4/4.5 line oddsmakers opened up here was probably where it should have been and definitely should have stayed.


    Oakland is not going to show themselves in as bad a light as they did in that 2nd half on MNF and I'll gladly take the few extra points of value here with the Raiders. This game is likely going to be decided by a FG (as the Seattle game was) as I'm not so sure Denver is that great of a team worthy of laying nearly a TD in Week 2.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  21. #71  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    SuperContest Picks - Week 2
    September 15, 2018
    By VI News



    The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.


    Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.


    The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.


    This year's contest has 3,123 entries.


    Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.


    Week 2


    1) Houston PK (1,514)
    2) N.Y. Giants +3 (933)
    3) Pittsburgh -4 (910)
    4) New England -1 (902)
    5) Philadelphia -3.5 (808)


    SUPERCONTEST WEEK 2 MATCHUPS & ODDS
    Away Team Selections Home Team Selections


    Baltimore (PK) 238 Cincinnati (PK) 182


    Indianapolis (+6) 680 Washington (-6) 399


    Carolina (+6) 540 Atlanta (-6) 471


    Minnesota (-7) 165 Green Bay (+7) 580


    L.A. Chargers (-7) 781 Buffalo (+7) 180


    Houston (PK) 1514 Tennessee (PK) 80


    Kansas City (+4) 425 Pittsburgh (-4) 910


    Miami (+2.5) 322 N.Y. Jets (-2.5) 613


    Philadelphia (-3.5) 808 Tampa Bay (+3.5) 254


    Cleveland (+8.5) 145 New Orleans (-8.5) 675


    Arizona (+12.5) 175 L.A. Rams (-12.5) 536


    Detroit (+6) 297 San Francisco (-6) 605


    New England (-1) 902 Jacksonville (+1) 388


    Oakland (+6) 273 Denver (-6) 386


    N.Y. Giants (+3) 933 Dallas (-3) 251


    Seattle (+3.5) 537 Chicago (-3.5) 350





    WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS

    Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
    1 4-1 4-1 80%
    2 - - -
    3 - - -
    4 - - -
    5 - - -
    6 - - -
    7 - - -
    8 - - -
    9 - - -
    10 - - -
    11 - - -
    12 - - -
    13 - - -
    14 - - -
    15 - - -
    16 - - -
    17 - - -
    Reply With Quote  
     

  22. #72  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Gridiron Angles - Week 2
    September 15, 2018
    By Vince Akins



    NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:


    -- The Chiefs are 11-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since Oct 05, 2014 on the road coming off a win where they did not commit a turnover.


    NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:


    -- The Cowboys are 0-11 ATS (-7.2 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 as a home favorite coming off a road loss where they failed to cover.



    TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:



    -- The Broncos are 0-8 OU (-10.4 ppg) since Dec 28, 2015 coming off a game where Emmanuel Sanders had at least seven receptions.


    SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:


    -- Winless teams which are at least 7.5 point home dogs are 45-29-1 OU. Active on Cleveland.


    NFL O/U OVER TREND:

    -- The Cardinals are 11-0-1 OU (10.2 ppg) since Nov 17, 2002 as a dog of more than a TD coming off a game where the failed to cover by at least a touchdown.


    NFL O/U UNDER TREND:


    -- The Chiefs are 0-10-2 OU (-8.9 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 coming off a win where they allowed at least 22 first downs.


    NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


    -- The Saints are 0-13 ATS (-12.31 ppg) as a home favorite over a winless opponent after week one and they are not laying two TDs or more.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  23. #73  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Total Talk - Week 2
    September 15, 2018
    By Chris David



    The 765 points scored in Week 1, an average of 47.8 points per game, was the third highest all-time scoring opening weekend according to the NFL. Helping that cause was 12 return touchdowns and half of them came from pick-six interceptions. Despite the outburst, total bettors saw solid two-way results as the ‘over’ produced a 9-7 record. Savvy bettors leaning high in the second-half managed to turn a nice profit (10-6) as well.


    2018 TOTAL RESULTS - GAME & HALVES
    O/U Game 1st Half 2nd Half
    Week 1 9-7 7-9 10-6
    O/U Game 1st Half 2nd Half
    Year-to-Date 9-7 7-9 10-6


    My handicapping style leans on seasonal trends and I like to incorporate them as they develop. For now, a couple early angles to watch are the ‘over’ leans in divisional games and contests played indoors. The Coastal category is teams traveling East to West and vice versa. Last week, the Redskins-Cardinals game was an easy ‘under’ ticket and the only game featured in this category for Week 2 is between the Chargers and Bills.


    2018 RESULTS - OTHER
    O/U AFC-NFC Divisional Indoor Coast to Coast
    Week 1 2-2 4-0 3-1 0-1


    O/U AFC-NFC Divisional Indoor Coast to Coast
    Year-to-Date 2-2 4-0 3-1 0-1


    Line Moves and Public Leans


    Listed below are the largest line moves for Week 1 as of Saturday morning per BookMaker.eu.


    L.A. Chargers at Buffalo: 44 ½ to 42 ½
    Houston at Tennessee: 45 to 43
    Kansas City at Pittsburgh: 50 ½ to 53
    Arizona at L.A. Rams: 46 ½ to 44 ½


    Listed below are the five largest leans per the betting trend percentages on the VI Matchup index as of Saturday morning.


    Dolphins-Jets: 92% Under
    Texans-Titans: 92% Under
    Raiders-Broncos: 88% Over
    Cardinals-Rams: 87% Under
    Patriots-Jaguars: 86% Under


    Divisional Matchups


    The divisional action picks up the pace in Week 2 with eight matchups and that includes Thursday’s ‘over’ result between the Bengals and Ravens. Including that outcome, bettors should note that the first five divisional games this season have leaned to the high side.


    Carolina at Atlanta: The ‘under’ went 2-0 in this series last season with a combined 37 and 32 points posted. We could be in for another dogfight here and unfortunately key injuries have been the headliner for this week’s matchup. Both clubs saw the ‘under’ connect easily in Week 1.


    Minnesota at Green Bay: Very tough game to handicap due to the status of Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. If he plays, expect the total to be in the neighborhood of 46 to 47. If he doesn’t, then take away six points perhaps more. The ‘under’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven encounters, which includes a 2-0 record from last season.


    Houston at Tennessee: Another game affected by injuries, more so on the Tennessee roster. Each club scored 20 points in their Week 1 loss and both left points off the board. The total has been a stalemate the last two seasons (2-2) with the ‘over’ hitting in both games from Houston while the ‘under’ went 2-0 in Nashville. Texans QB Deshaun Watson only faced the Titans once last season and he helped them post a 57-14 win at Houston.


    Miami at N.Y. Jets: The ‘over’ is on a 4-1 run in this series and we’ve seen the winner bust 30 points three times during that span. Miami’s defense was suspect on the road (27.4 PPG) last season but they also had trouble scoring (12.4 PPG). New York posted 48 at Detroit in Week 1 with help from the defense and special teams. It’s hard to imagine the Jets posting another crooked number.


    Arizona at L.A. Rams: No solid trends for this matchup with the last 10 encounters breaking even (5-5) for total bettors. Los Angeles did post 33 and 32 in two blowout wins over the Cardinals last season and another romp is expected on Sunday. The Rams were great on the road last season but only 3-5 at home. However, Los Angeles did post 46-9 and 33-7 wins over the Colts and Texans respectively when expected to act like a bully. Déjà vu here?


    Oakland at Denver: The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in the last six meetings and we only saw one game surpass 40 combined points during this span. This week’s total listed at 46, which seems high based on the current head-to-head trend. However, both the Broncos (470 yards) and Raiders (395 yards) moved the ball in Week 1.


    N.Y. Giants at Dallas: (See Below)


    AFC vs. NFC


    Two of the higher totals in Week 2 takes place in non-conference games.


    Indianapolis at Washington: The return of Andrew Luck at QB for the Colts certainly gives them a chance to score on a weekly basis but the Indy defense still appears to be shaky. Washington controlled the clock (38-22 minutes) against Arizona last week and only had nine drives. If you’re getting TDs, that style helps ‘over’ bettors but the pace definitely leans to the ‘under.’ For what it’s worth, the ‘over’ has gone 8-1 in the past nine encounters between the pair.


    Cleveland at New Orleans: The Saints were diced up in Week 1 and the books are expecting a solid rebound. New Orleans on a 7-3 ‘over’ in its last 10 at home and that includes a 2-0 record versus AFC teams in the Superdome. Cleveland saw the ‘over’ go 3-1 in four games versus the NFC last season and even though the Browns earned a tie in Week 1, the defense allowed 472 yards to Pittsburgh. These teams met in Week 2 of the 2014 regular season and Cleveland stunned New Orleans 26-24 as a five-point home ‘dog while the ‘over’ (49) barely cashed on a late field goal.


    Under the Lights


    Including Thursday’s result between the Ravens and Bengals, the ‘over’ is 3-2 in this year’s primetime games.


    SNF - N.Y. Giants at Dallas: What was once an automatic ‘over’ wager in this matchup has now become a strong ‘under’ lean. The last four meetings have gone to the low side and two of the games during this span were played on Sunday Night and those results ended 19-3 and 10-7. It’s hard to imagine much spark after what we saw from both clubs in Week 1 but to be fair, they did face quality defensive units (Jaguars, Panthers).


    MNF - Seattle at Chicago: I expect this total (43) to hold steady or drop by kickoff as most bettors will point to the Bears stout defense and inconsistent offense. That attack might be able to get going against Seattle, who gave up 470 yards to Denver in Week 1. The Seahawks have watched the ‘under’ go 6-0 in their last six road games versus NFC opponents and playing back-to-back games away from home could keep that trend intact. Chicago posted a 6-2 ‘under’ mark at Soldier Field last season and only one game managed to go over this week’s number.


    Fearless Predictions


    Opening weekend is never easy but we turned a profit ($195) on the weekend and the Teaser featured two of the high-scoring shootouts. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!


    Best Over: Miami-N.Y. Jets 43


    Best Under: Indianapolis-Washington 48 ½


    Best Team Total: Over 20 ½ Tampa Bay


    Three-Team Total Teaser (+7.5, +105)
    Under 60 ½ Kansas City-Pittsburgh
    Over 36 ½ Philadelphia-Tampa Bay
    Under 50 ½ Seattle-Chicago
    Reply With Quote  
     

  24. #74  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    Week 2 - Sunday Blitz
    September 14, 2018
    By Kevin Rogers



    GAMES TO WATCH


    Vikings at Packers – 1:00 PM EST


    An important NFC North game in Week 2 takes place at Lambeau Field with one extremely important question. Will Packers’ star quarterback Aaron Rodgers suit up or sit out after suffering a knee injury last week against Chicago? Green Bay seemed dead in the water after trailing, 20-0 and Rodgers carted off, but he returned in the second half to lead a monumental rally in a 24-23 victory.


    Rodgers hopes to play to give the Packers an opportunity at not only a 2-0 overall record, but 2-0 mark inside the division. The last time Rodgers faced the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium last season, Minnesota linebacker Anthony Barr drilled the two-time league MVP into the ground and broke Rodgers’ collarbone. The end result of that hit was Rodgers being sidelined for nine games and the Vikings capturing the NFC North title.


    Minnesota heads to Lambeau Field following a 24-16 victory over San Francisco in the season opener. The Vikings grabbed the cover as six-point favorites, while causing four 49ers’ turnovers, including a pick-six on San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. Kirk Cousins put together a solid debut for Minnesota by throwing for 244 yards and two touchdowns as the Vikings improved to 10-1 in their last 11 home contests.


    The Vikings compiled a 6-2 record on the highway last season, which included a 16-0 shutout of the Packers at Lambeau Field in December. Minnesota has won and covered four of the past five matchups in the series, including two of the past three trips to Green Bay. The UNDER has been a strong look in this series as well by hitting in seven of the last eight meetings.


    Best Bet: Vikings 27, Packers 21


    Eagles (-3, 44) at Buccaneers – 1:00 PM EST



    It wasn’t pretty, but following a weather delay, the defending champion Eagles raised their Super Bowl banner and knocked off the Falcons last Thursday, 18-12. With Carson Wentz still sidelined, Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles overcame a subpar performance (19-of-34 for 117 yards and interception) to lift Philadelphia to its second low-scoring home win over Atlanta in 2018 after eliminating the Falcons in the second round last season.


    The Eagles moved to 12-1 in their last 13 home contests, but travel to Florida this week to face a Buccaneers’ squad that shocked the Saints as 10 ½-point underdogs last week, 48-40. Ryan Fitzpatrick torched the New Orleans’ defense for 417 yards and four touchdown passes, while both Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson recorded at least 145 yards receiving and a total of three touchdown catches. Tampa Bay picked up its third consecutive opening day win, unfortunately the Bucs haven’t started 2-0 since 2010.


    The Eagles have slumped to a 2-4 ATS record under Doug Pederson as a road favorite, but Philadelphia won six of eight games away from Lincoln Financial Field last season. The Bucs have covered in four of their past five opportunities as a home underdog since 2016, while the Eagles are traveling to Tampa Bay for the first time since 2013. In the last meeting in 2015 at the Linc, the Bucs steamrolled the Eagles, 45-17 as seven-point underdogs, led by Jameis Winston’s five touchdown passes.

    Best Bet: Eagles 24, Buccaneers 17


    Patriots (-1, 45) at Jaguars – 4:25 PM EST



    Jacksonville nearly pulled off the upset of New England in the AFC Championship this past January, but fell apart in the second half of a 24-20 defeat. The Jaguars managed to cover as 7 ½-point underdogs, but missed out on the first Super Bowl appearance in franchise history, while Tom Brady hit Danny Amendola for a pair of touchdown tosses in the fourth quarter.


    Fast forward eight months later and the two squads hook up again, this time at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville. Both teams captured opening week wins, while the Jaguars won in Week 1 for the second straight year following a dry spell in openers from 2012 through 2016. The Jaguars held off the Giants last week, 20-15 as New York’s lone touchdown came on rookie Saquon Barkley’s 68-yard touchdown in the fourth. Jacksonville picked up the cover as three-point favorites, although running back Leonard Fournette left with a hamstring injury as the former LSU star is a game-time decision on Sunday.


    The Patriots held off the Texans, 27-20 to barely cash as 6 ½-point favorites, although New England jumped out to a 21-6 halftime lead. Brady threw three touchdown passes in the first half to three different receivers, including an early hookup with tight end Rob Gronkowski, who finished with 123 yards receiving.


    New England enters Sunday’s action riding a five-game winning streak in Week 2 action, while winning three of those games on the road by an average of 15.6 points per game. Jacksonville covered in five of seven opportunities as an underdog last season, while winning six of eight home contests. Brady has never lost to Jacksonville in his career in eight starts since 2003, including two victories at TIAA Bank Field.


    Best Bet: Patriots 31, Jaguars 17


    SUPERCONTEST PICKS


    Kevin Rogers (1-3-1 last week)
    Steelers -4
    Falcons -6
    Bills +7
    Dolphins +2 ½
    Cardinals +12 ½


    Chris David (4-1 last week)
    Steelers -4
    Falcons -6
    Texans PK
    Jaguars +1
    Seahawks +3 ½


    SURVIVOR PICKS


    Kevin Rogers (Green Bay last week):
    New Orleans over Cleveland


    Chris David (Baltimore last week)
    L.A. Rams over Arizona


    BEST TOTAL PLAY (1-0 last week, 1-0 this season)


    UNDER 53 – Chiefs at Steelers



    Easily drilled the UNDER last week between the Redskins and Cardinals and going that same route again this week. These two AFC rivals have played every season for the last four years and even twice in 2016. Five of those six matchups have finished UNDER the total, while the Chiefs have failed to bust 16 in the last three meetings. Yes, Patrick Mahomes was not under center for Kansas City in those games as the former Texas Tech standout threw four touchdown passes in last week’s 38-28 victory over the Chargers. However, Los Angeles was limited to 12 points in the first three quarters, while Pittsburgh held a 21-7 fourth quarter lead at Cleveland before the Browns scored two late touchdowns to ultimately tie the Steelers.


    TRAP OF THE WEEK


    Are the Bills really as bad as they looked last week in a 47-3 blowout loss to the Ravens? Buffalo returns home to host Los Angeles as the Chargers had high expectations placed on them heading into the season. The Lightning Bolts are 0-1 out of the gate after losing at Kansas City, but did rout the Bills last season by 30 points at home. Los Angeles opened as a 7 ½-point favorite at Buffalo this week, as rookie Josh Allen gets the start at quarterback for the Bills. Don’t be too fast to jump on the Chargers, as the Bolts have lost six of their last seven road September games.


    BIGGEST LINE MOVE


    The 49ers opened as three-point home favorites against the Lions after San Francisco lost at Minnesota in Week 1. However, that line skyrocketed to San Francisco laying six points following Detroit’s abysmal effort in last Monday’s blowout loss to the Jets. The Lions host the Patriots next Sunday night, as Detroit heads to the Bay Area off a 5-3 road record last season.


    BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW


    Three teams are playing on the road for the second straight week to open the season (Texans, Chiefs, and Seahawks). Kansas City was the lone team to win while Houston and Seattle came up. Why is this important? Teams don’t normally start 2-0 when both games are on the highway as only three squads have conquered this gauntlet since 2008 (2009 Vikings, 2010 Dolphins, and 2013 Dolphins). Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have gone 0-2 twice with both games on the road, as Seattle tries to buck that trend on Monday at Chicago.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  25. #75  
    RX Local
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Las Vegas
    Posts
    82,701
    B]Sunday’s six-pack
    [/B]
    Top 6 picks in the Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)


    1) Houston even (1,514)
    2) NJ Giants +3 (933)
    3) Pittsburgh -4 (910)
    4) New England -1 (902)
    5) Philadelphia -3.5 (808)
    6) LA Chargers -7 (781)


    Season record: 4-1-1


    Tweet of the Day
    “The difference between a night game and a day game at Tiger Stadium is that at night you can smell the bourbon on the field.”
    Former LSU football coach Mike Archer


    Sunday’s quiz
    Where did ESPN college football analyst Kirk Herbstreit play college football?


    Saturday’s quiz
    Mike Sherman was coach of the Packers before Mike McCarthy.


    Friday’s quiz
    Bill Belichick went 37-45 as coach of the old Cleveland Browns from 1991-95, just before they moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens; he won one playoff game, against the Patriots.




    *******************************


    Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday


    13) Troy 24, Nebraska 19— Cornhuskers are 0-2 for first time since 1957; their QB Martinez sat this game out- walk-on sophomore Bunch played instead.


    This is what happens now; when a team has a QB competition in the summer, the player who loses the competition transfers, because no one wants to be a backup, and it leaves the team very thin at QB.


    12) Syracuse 30, Florida State 7— This was no fluke; Syracuse outgained them 450-240; FSU was 1-14 on third down conversions- they’re 1-2 and they trailed a I-AA team at halftime in the one game they did win.


    Seminoles’ offense is TERRIBLE; their OL doesn’t block much, and their QB didn’t show much of a football IQ at the end of the first half.


    Syracuse led 6-0 but FSU had the ball in the SU red zone (orange zone?); Seminoles didn’t have any timeouts left, but the QB threw a pass by the numbers, the receiver got tackled, and the half ended with no points being scored. Throw it in the end zone, or the sidelines, or throw it away, and at least they kick a field goal. No bueno.


    11) Not the best day for the Big 14:
    — Rutgers lost 55-14 at KANSAS
    — Wisconsin lost at home to Brigham Young.
    — Northwestern lost at home to Akron.
    — Nebraska lost at home to Troy.
    — Illinois lost to South Florida before a small crowd at Soldier Field.
    — Missouri 40, Purdue 37
    — Maryland lost 35-14 at home to Temple; Terps scored zero points on offense; their TD’s were scored by the defense and on a blocked punt.


    10) LSU 22, Auburn 21— How much talent does Ohio State have? Buckeyes’ 3rd-string QB transfers to LSU, becomes the starter there and already has a road win at Auburn, and a neutral field win over Miami. LSU chewed up the final 5:38 on the game-winning drive.


    Interviews with Ed Orgeron are odd; can’t understand 80% of what the guy is saying.


    9) Oklahoma 37, Iowa State 27— Sooners avenged their home loss to Iowa State last year, but Cyclones have a WR named Hakeem Butler who is an NFL player- he had five catches for 174 yards and two TD’s. Very impressive player.


    8) Upsets of the Day:
    BYU (+21.5) 24, Wisconsin 21
    Akron (+21) 39, Nebraska 34
    Temple (+17) 35, Maryland 14
    Troy (+11) 24, Nebraska 19
    LSU (+10.5) 22, Auburn 21
    North Texas (+7) 44, Arkansas 17


    7) Cleveland Browns cut WR Josh Gordon, who is both talented/troubled, and after six years, obviously became more trouble than he is worth.


    6) South Florida 25, Illinois 19— Blake Barnett is USF’s QB; he was Alabama’s starting QB in the 2016 opener, got yanked for Jalen Hurts, then transferred to a junior college, then Arizona State, where he threw only five passes, and now USF— his Bulls are off to a 3-0 start.


    In a way Barnett is the poster boy for the “If I ain’t startin’, then I’m departin’” age of college football; he got beat out by Hurts at Alabama and then Manny Wilkins at ASU, and he quickly left both schools.


    They said on TV during the USF-Georgia Tech game last week that USF coach Charlie Strong told Barnett that he has to prove to people now that he isn’t a quitter. We’ll see what happens.


    5) North Texas 44, Arkansas 17— Razorbacks blew a big lead and lost at Colorado State LW, then got crushed here by a team from Conference USA. When you throw six INT’s in a game, you lose. Think the natives are restless?


    Arkansas’ 3rd-string QB threw a pick-6, which normally wouldn’t be news, except the kid is John Stephen Jones, Jerry Jones’ grandson. Rough day all around for Arkansas.


    4) Texas Tech 63, Houston 49— Sixteen TD’s, no FGs. one turnover in this touch football game where a total of 192 plays were run, for 1,376 yards. Freshman QB Alan Bowman was 43-59 for 605 yards, five TDs and no INTs.


    By way of contrast, the Dallas-Carolina NFL game last week had 118 plays for 525 yards; there is more action in college football, for the most part.


    3) Missouri 40, Purdue 37— Boilermakers are 0-3, with three losses by total of eight points. 3-0 Mizzou kicked a FG at the gun to win this game- they host Georgia next week.


    2) Ohio State 40, TCU 28— Buckeyes scored 20 points in a 4:01 span of the 3rd quarter, erasing a 21-13 Horned Frog lead, and breaking game open. Up until that point, this was a really good game.


    TCU got $5M to move this game from their campus stadium in Fort Worth to Jerry World in Arlington; the return match for next year in Columbus was scrapped.


    1) Texas 37, USC 14— Trojans lost 17-3 at Stanford last week, then lost by three TD’s here; college football is one sport where a coach’s job security goes in the ashcan in a matter of eight days.


    Texas blocked FG for a TD with 6:25 left to play; a made FG would’ve cut Texas’ lead to 23-17. Trojans’ punter had a rough night; USC’s special teams are screwed up right now.


    I’ve said this several times already, but no idea why USC is starting a young man at QB who should still be a senior in high school. He is playing against a lot of guys 4-5 years older than he is.
    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •