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Thread: One big bet this week...

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  1. #26  
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    Well done SEC!
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  2. #27  
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    Ole Miss team is getting fairly easy to read.


    Bets are now sitting at 4-0. +35 units.

    Week 1 - over was 67.5. Score of 47-27 so over hits by only 6.5 points. Texas Tech QB injured early. 6-7 field goals. Could’ve been a lot higher. Ole Miss offense looked fantastic. Of course Texas Tech defense is awful.

    Week 2 - Over was only 65.5. Score of 76-41. Over hit by 51.5 points. Score was actually 38-35 at half with Southern Illinois leading at half. This was not a fluky score. Southern Illinois had 70 yard sustained drives on almost all drives. Again OM offense looked incredible but Southern Illinois defense didn’t have a pulse.

    Week 3 - Bama -21. Score of 62-7. Bama covers by 41.

    Week 4 - Bama Team Total over 46.5. Covers by 15.5. There will not be an easier two bets the rest of the year. Total was 70.5. A pretty remarkable total for a game involving an Alabama defense. We might benefit hereafter by not having an outrageous shootout of 76-35 (like the shootout previous week vs Southern Illinois) as we get some slightly more reasonable totals going forward. Alabama defense totally overwhelmed Ole Miss offense. I think we can greatly benefit on Ole Miss lines going forward. Ole Miss offense seems unstoppable and explosive and scores in 60 second drives on sub par defenses. Looking forward at schedules that would include Kent State and Louisiana Monroe. Maybe Arkansas. Alternatively Ole Miss offense can be stifled when overwhelmed by superior athletes. That would include LSU and Auburn for sure. Teams falling somewhere in the middle would be Vandy, South Carolina, A&M.

    Really looking forward to taking advantage of those lines going forward.
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  3. #28  
    We see the light PeePee's Avatar
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    Well done
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  4. #29  
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    Nice
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  5. #30  
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    Bump
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  6. #31  
    "Calling All The Shots" TheShotDoctor's Avatar
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    Keep On Killin' It My Friend!!

    Nice Discipline & Focus!



    -All The Best-
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  7. #32  
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    4-0. +35 units.

    Week 4.

    Two big bets this week - but not quite as big.

    1. Kent State at Ole Miss Over 75. 5 units.

    Again, most of the logic behind any Ole Miss total is explained in previous bets. Ole Miss runs a somewhat gimmicky (for lack of a better word) offense. Very few actual plays. The philosophy, at least on passing plays, is to run to open grass. Not a ton of strict defined actual routes being run by receivers. Fortunately Ole Miss has several freaks at WR to allow this incredibly simplistic offense to work. You’ve never seen as many fly routes as this team runs. And somehow the philosophy works perfectly but only when playing sub par teams with inferior athletes and depth. Better teams can shut it down with their equivalent or superior athletes or just good coaching as seen last week versus Bama who fits both molds I think Ole Miss offense rolls again in an attempt to help erase the 62-7 thrashing from last week.

    Another running theme in this thread is just how bad Ole Miss defense is. Worse than you can imagine. And they lost another starting safety last week to an ACL. I think Kent State will score at least 27. I’d say that about literally any team playing Ole Miss. I believe their new coach is from Syracuse and likely learned a thing or two on scheming and game planning an offensive game plan (Dino Babers).


    2. Kent State +29.5 at Ole Miss. +5 units

    The logic here is basically exact same as the reason I took the Over as explained above. Kent State should score on Ole Miss atrocious defense.


    Will watch first half closely and consider a second balf olay if the opportunity presents itself.
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  8. #33  
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    Is the Alabama team total still a play today?

    Thanks and GL on your action today
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  9. #34  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDub984 View Post
    Is the Alabama team total still a play today?

    Thanks and GL on your action today
    That was last week's play...look at the date on the post
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  10. #35  
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    Quote Originally Posted by jdub984 View Post
    is the alabama team total still a play today?

    Thanks and gl on your action today
    huh?
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  11. #36  
    RX Member SOUTHERN WISEGUY's Avatar
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    I have been following your plays each week great stuff! Just a question and I'm curious what do you show in your projection as the final score in this game? Again thank you so much for the valuable information!
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  12. #37  
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    Quote Originally Posted by SOUTHERN WISEGUY View Post
    I have been following your plays each week great stuff! Just a question and I'm curious what do you show in your projection as the final score in this game? Again thank you so much for the valuable information!
    Thanks WiseGuy. I’d expect a 52-38 type score.
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  13. #38  
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    Week 4.

    One more additional bet. Sorry for late notice.

    Kent State team total over 23.5 (-120).

    Reasoning explained in posts above.
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  14. #39  
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    Sorry, I saw week 4 next to the write up and thought he was projecting ahead.
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  15. #40  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDub984 View Post
    Sorry, I saw week 4 next to the write up and thought he was projecting ahead.
    Sorry, I had thought I missed that one lol!
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  16. #41  
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    Ole Miss still hungover from that BAMA BEATDOWN!
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  17. #42  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDub984 View Post
    Is the Alabama team total still a play today?

    Thanks and GL on your action today
    U a newbie?
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  18. #43  
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    Seems like this was that week that the linesmakers set the Ole Miss total too high.

    What happens now? Ole PISS straight shitting the bed vs a horrible Kent St MAC squad.

    We got the lowest halftime total of the early games so far. 7-7 yawner at halftime. We only need 35 pts each quarter! Hopefully goes to 3 OTs. Lol.

    Good luck buddy!
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  19. #44  
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    Hope the Rebels and Flashes pick it up a bit.
    Where’s the collusion?
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  20. #45  
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    Quote Originally Posted by varkeyboy View Post
    U a newbie?
    Pretty much
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  21. #46  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDub984 View Post
    Pretty much
    All good my man! U learn something new everyday!

    What's going on in this Ole PISS game?
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  22. #47  
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    Quote Originally Posted by varkeyboy View Post
    All good my man! U learn something new everyday!

    What's going on in this Ole PISS game?
    14-10 excitement galore Ole Miss holding on for dear life
    Just scored as I was sending 21-10
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  23. #48  
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    Kent State and Ole Miss continues after long delay. Ole Miss gets a TD right away. 38-17.
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  24. #49  
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    1-2 in Week 4. -11.5 units

    Overall record now 5-2. +23.5 units.

    No time at the moment to recap last weeks game but it obviously did not go as expected. I still thought I’d go 2-1 but Kent State was worse than I expected and were not able to get to 24 points.

    Posting early as I think this Week 5 line could move. More detail later when I have more time.

    Week 5. One big bet.

    LSU -12 vs Ole Miss. 10 units
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  25. #50  
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    Halftime bet.

    LSU team total over 14.5 (-120) for second half. 10 units.
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