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Thread: One big bet this week...

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  1. #51  
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    Week 5

    2-0. +20 units

    Overall

    7-2. +43.5 units
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  2. #52  
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    Well done SEC!
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  3. #53  
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    Anything for today Sec?
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  4. #54  
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    Quote Originally Posted by mnvikings View Post
    Anything for today Sec?
    Nothing yet. I’m at the Ole Miss/ULM game and will be watching first half closely to consider a second half bet. Will try and post if I have a play.
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  5. #55  
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    Sounds good- enjoy the game!
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  6. #56  
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    Week 6


    One big bet.

    Ole Miss vs ULM. ULM Over 10.5 (-120) second half. 10 units.

    Score is 49-7 at half. But ULM has roughly 240 yards of offense. They just haven’t converted them into points. Fumbled inside 5, etc. I think they cruise pat 10 points and Ole Miss will put some newbies in to get some defensive experience.
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  7. #57  
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    Week 6

    1-0. +10 units


    Overall

    8-2. +53.5 units
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  8. #58  
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    Week 7

    One big bet so far this week:

    Ole Miss at Arkansas. Arkansas +6. 10 units.

    Ive seen it too many times this season. Ole Miss offense dominates teams with inferior athletes and coaching (La Monroe, Southern Illinois) and gets completely shut down when playing skilled athletes and solid coaching (LSU, Bama). We saw this last year too with Ole Miss. Obviously Arkansas falls somewhere in between the ULM/So. Illinois and the LSU/Bama. But Arkansas does seem to have some life despite an atrocious start to season. They hung tough against A&M. And they at least kept playing hard versus Bama which is more than most teams can say. Admittedly some of those 31 points were in garbage time but it’s not easy to score against Bama’s backups. Bama second string D is far superior to Ole Miss starting D. How bad is Ole Miss D? They are 14th (out of 14) in SEC in yards allowed. That likely doesn’t surprise anyone. More surprising is that they are ranked 14th in both passing yards allowed AND rushing yards allowed. They are giving up 300+ passing and 200 yards rushing. And this is despite playing three patsies (So. ill, Kent St and ULM). They give up more than 100 additional yards compared to the second worst sec defense. To make matters worse Ole Miss has lost 3 out of their 5 starting DBs. They’ve switched two RBs to safety last week and one is already second string.

    Now im not saying Chad Morris is some coaching savante. And I’m sure there are some Ark fans here that can’t stand him thus far. But he’s still head and shoulders above Ole Miss current coaching staff. Matt Luke is a nice guy but just completely in over his head. He got the interim label last year when the Freeze escort issue arose. He was actually a sub par OL coach on the hot seat of even retaining his status as position coach. The OC is Longo (discussed his offense plenty in previous posts in this thread). He came from FCS level so zero D1 experience prior to last year. And finally the DC is McGriff who also has never been a DC on the D1 level until last year. Chad Morris versus McGriff is a gigantic mismatch. Ole Miss coaching inexperience is really highlighted when they play what should be an evenly matched game. They just don’t have the game planning and play calling experience to win these games.

    Lastly Ole Miss does not play well at Arkansas. I think Ole Miss has won at Arkansas 3 times in last 25 years.

    I will I’ll also be keeping a close eye on this total and the Arkansas team total.
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  9. #59  
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    good luck SEC Love the play.
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  10. #60  
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    Quote Originally Posted by thebiggbird View Post
    good luck SEC Love the play.
    Thanks. Trying to keep a close eye on Little Rock weather before deciding on whether or not to add a totals play.
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  11. #61  
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    Best of luck this week
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  12. #62  
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    SEC/P...….BOL with your action buddy.....solid YTD, thank you...…...indy
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  13. #63  
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    Bump....

    Any updates bud??
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    Quote Originally Posted by rhinoxpress View Post
    Bump....

    Any updates bud??
    Sorry. No update. I was dying to take Over and Arkansas team total over but I just got too scared of the weather.
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  15. #65  
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    Winner.
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  16. #66  
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    Quote Originally Posted by SECplayer View Post
    Winner.
    Good job. I had ML too. Ark couldn’t stop then in 4Q and couldn’t move ball with Story out.
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  17. #67  
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    Boom
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  18. #68  
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    SEC/P......well done , thank you...…..continued success with your action...…...indy
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  19. #69  
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    Way to go! Keep it up and not forcing any other action.
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  20. #70  
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    Nice job
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  21. #71  
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    Been quietly tailing you since your 2nd game, absolutely crushing it. Well done, you have such a good read on Ole Miss
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  22. #72  
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    Thanks guys.

    Week 7.

    1-0. +10 units.


    Overall.

    9-2. +63.5 units.
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  23. #73  
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    Week 8

    One big bet this week.

    Auburn -4 at Ole Miss. 10 units


    I don’t have time at the moment to do a lengthy write up on game. Will try and add context to this play a bit later. I actually thought Auburn was a bit underrated going into last week before they laid an egg in Knoxville. But without placing too much weight in that game, Auburn has had a very stout defense and a rather mundane offense. Ole Miss offense hasn’t fared well against against solid defenses. And the best fix for a struggling Auburn offense is facing a very poor Ole Miss defense. Ole Miss had quite the comeback this ost weekend versus a poor 1-6 Arkansas team and the comeback was in part due to injuries sustained in game by Arkansas’s QB and RB. I think Auburn rushing game gets on track and Stidham will have a bug day passing too. Will keep a close eye on this total too as the week progresses. Auburn team total is likely to have value.
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  24. #74  
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    Auburn played at Auburn. The Ole Miss qb may throw for 600 yds. Lol.

    Good luck
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  25. #75  
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    SEC/P......BOL with your action buddy....might play the over, lost last two weeks with Aub…..either way BOL...……..indy
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