METFANS 2018 TEAM TOTALS, EARLY SEASON BETS BY WEEK and .ENTIRE YR ANALYED

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It's Labor Day so I will post my LABOR OF LOVE. Retired , moved to Tampa and spent the last month analyzing the NFL and listening to Foreigner and Lynyrd Skynyrd.

here is what I came up with ..Discussion and opinions welcome

TEAM TOTALS $200EA

BEARS UNDER 7.5-122
Why all the love? Did they get a QB? They still have 3 good teams in the division and I doubt they will be favored in more than 4 games

CLEVELAND UNDER 6 -108
Tyrod Taylor and even Mayfield are a big upgrade over Kizer and crew but this team won only 1 game in the last 2 yrs and now they will need to win 7 for you to lose. Aside from the Jets who will they be favored over and the Jets are iffy

LA CHARGERS UNDER 9.5
A lot of the Chargers late season push was against a bunch of nobodies. HELL Bryce Petty was the Jets QB and 5 pick Peterman was
Buffalos. I think LA comes back to reality.

NEW ENGLAND OVER 10.5 -165
A lot of juice. Tough schedule except for the division that they really should sweep. As long as Brady is healthy, they should be favored in all of their games except maybe at Pittsburgh. It will take 6 losses for you to lose

NY GIANTS UNDER 7.0 +125
If I had balls I would do under 6.5 +165 What the hell are the Giants doing? They just cut Davis Webb and kept 2 undrafted nobodies.
If that was the plan why draft Barkley instead of a QB?

OAKLAND OVER 7 -122
Team is in bad shape but Chuckie is back. Looks to be a few shootouts.Worth a shot

SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 8 -105
Can they win the 9 games that they need for you to lose this bet. Another QB that barely beat anyone. I think the expectations are unwarranted at this time.

TAMPA BAY UNDER 6
Playing in the toughest division in football does anyone see them favored in more than 3 games? Maybe 4 tops. Their skill players are off the charts but their OL is really banged up as are their DBacks, which were their 2 weak spots coming into camp.

$100 each:
TENN UNDER 8 -110
TENN UNDER 7.5 +128
Not sure why they felt they needed a new coach after the old coach finally got them to the playoffs. Not a huge Mariota fan. If Luck and Watson are healthy , the division will be a lot more competitive. If they lose opening day in Miami, there will be a good chance they start 0-4.

FUTURE GAMES:$100 EA.ALL AVAILABLE AT 5 DIMES.Due to uncertainty at the QB position there are no lines being offered for NYJets and Philly and very limited for Indy

WK 2 Sept 16
CINCY +1/BALT
DENVER -2.5 /OAK
GBAY -2.5/MINNY Huge revenge game
SEATTLE PK/BEARS

WK3 Sept 23
ARIZ-1/CHIC
DALLAS +1.5/SEA
NE -4/DET
HOUST -6/NYG

Wk4 Sept 30
MINNY+3.5/LARAMS (THURSDAY)
BALT +6.5/PITT
GBAY-10/BUFF
SAINTS -3.5/NYG

Wk5 Oct 7
TENN-2.5/BUFF
CAR-6/NYG
BALT-/CLEVE
KC-1/JAX

Wk 6 Oct 14
HOUSTON-7/BUFF
MIA -1.5/CHI

Wk7 Oct 21
DEN-1.5/ZONA (THURSDAY)
NE-5/BEARS Brady vs a nobody
DET+1/MIAMI
RAMS PK/SAN FRAN

Wk8 Oct 28
CAR-2.5/BALT
CINCY-1.5/TBAY
GBAY+3.5/RAMS Pck off a bye Rams off a 3 game road trip
NE-7/BUFFALO See above another nobody

Wk 9 November 4
OAKLAND +4.5/SAN FRAN (THURSDAY)
DALLAS-3/TENN (MONDAY) Oddly nothing on Sunday this week

Wk 10 November 11
CAROLINA +6.5/PITT (THURSDAY) Carolina comes off game vs Tbay Pitt has a sandwich game Balt and 2 revenge Jax both on the rd
KC -6.5/ARIZONA
SEATTLE+6.5/RAMS
NE-3.5/TENN Do I even need to comment? When is the last time Tenn covered vs NEngland?

Wk 11 November 18
OAKLAND +1.5/ZONA
LAC-4.5/DEN
NYG-3/TBAY Hopefully they still have a QB

Week 12 November 25
DETROIT -5.5/BEARS Turkey day special
CAR-3/SEATTLE
HOUSTON -3.5/TENN

Week 13 December 2
CAROLINA +2/TBAY..i will be there on the Panther sideline
MIAMI -3/BUFFALO
SEATTLE -1.5/SAN FRAN Not ready to bury the Seahawks yet. Do the 49ers ever cover against them? Not too often

Week 14 December 9
CINCY +7.5/LAC
KC-2.5/BALT
RAMS-3/CHI

Week 15 December 16
GBAY -3/CHI
DENV-5.5/CLEVE

$400 PLAY OF THE YR
THURSDAY KC -2.5/CHARGERS

Week 16 December 23
CINCY +1/CLEVE
DENVER +4/OAK
NE-10.5/BUFF
SF-6/CHI

A lot to digest any questions or comments feel free to ask.

Going to throw some of my homemade Kansas City Rub on some ribs and hit the Casino

WHEN YOU ARE RETIRED EVERY DAY IS SUNDAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WOOO!!!!!!!!!!
 

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WEEK 1
PIT-4.5
BALT -7
ZONA PK
GBAY -7 -125 BOUGHT
OAKLAND +4.5 since they started the 2 Monday night games , they late dog has done well especially at home

Totals:
TENN/MIA U 45
BUFF/BALT U 40.5
CLEVE/PITT U 45.5
NYG/JAX U 44
NO/TBAY O 49.5
NE/HOUST O 51

GOOD LUCK

Will post a 3 team teaser and ml parlay later in the week
 

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Lynyrd Skynyrd: If I leave here tomorrow

Great docu movie. Check it out if you havent yet. Best of luck this season!
 

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Any wager on the Raiders is a very potential loser. The Raiders have shown their hand and that hand is to get draft picks and build a powerhouse for their move to Vegas. They could care less about this season or next. They have already thrown in the towel for this season.
 

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Lynyrd Skynyrd: If I leave here tomorrow

Great docu movie. Check it out if you havent yet. Best of luck this season!

Thanks NJ Blood.I always felt bad for the Gaines family. 2 wonderfully talented kids and both died. Always wondered if they were sitting together.I've seen a few documentaries and also so many great memories. I listen to "simple Man" almost everyday.
 

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3 team teaser $180 to win $150

RAVENS +2.5
SAINTS +.5
PACKERS +2.5

$100:
Have got to grab PHILLY ML -114 before the guys shooting for middles jump in heavy

I wasn't going to play this game but with so much money flying in on Atlanta, I had to take a shot. The Defending Super Bowl champs usually win these games,
the Philly D is so much better at home, and I just feel the bookies do not want to take an opening night ass whupping
 

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YTD 1-0 +$100

ADDING 4 team ML Parlay $100 to win $206

MINNY -270
NO -275
NENG -250
GBAY-300

Good Luck
 

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so far 5-8 -$455

what a screwing on that Miami total.. 2 kickoff returns for tds and 34 points in the fourth quarter..ridiculous
 

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WEEK 2

WK 2 Sept 16
CINCY +1/BALT
DENVER -2.5 /OAK
GBAY -2.5/MINNY Huge revenge game
SEATTLE PK/BEARS

GEE I could have got the Seahags with 3..oh well
 

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will buy back Oakland closer to game time and try for a middle

adding $100 ea:

HOUSTON -2 Much better team, better coach and Mariota is banged up

NEW ENGLAND -1 Maybe a sucker bet and Jax has a major revenge but they sure didn't show much last week against the Giants. They just may come back to the mean this yr. I mean neither Indy or Houston had a QB and now a tougher schedule

JETS -2.5 They look to be stocked and Cromwell didn't even get to show too much. I think they will out physical the Dolphins

CLEVE +8.5 Saints had absolutely no defense and now go against 2 speedy receivers after getting torched for one big play after another last week.

Will take the Bills if it hits 8

5 TEAM 10 point teaser ties reduce:

WASH /INDY O 37.5
HOUST +9
PHILLY/TBAY OVER 33.5
SAINTS PK
SEATTLE +13
 

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LAST WEEK 3-7 -$460 Picks were not good but I can not believe GBAY collapsed like that costing me $210 swing

ytd 8-15 -$915

bets before season:
WK3 Sept 23
ARIZ-1/CHIC
DALLAS +1.5/SEA
NE -4/DET
HOUST -6/NYG

most lines stayed similar or moved in my favor but the Arizona line is crazy. 2 weeks and it moved a full touchdown? I have not seen anything from the Bears offense in 2 weeks to justify that movement

adding $100 ea:

CAROLINA -3 +100
ATLANTA -2.5 -120
JAX/TENN OVER 40
WASH/GBAY OVER 45 GB has shown they can not play defense
SAN FRAN +6 -102 When is the last time kc covered a home opener?
KC/SF UNDER 55 over looks too easy. Both can score and neither plays defense
LA CHARGERS +7 Big step up in competition for the Rams

4 team 10 point teaser $100 to win $124 TIES REDUCE
ATLANTA +2.5
BALT +4.5
SAN FRAN +17
NE +2.5
 

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Good luck today Met fan .....nice early line on the pats
 

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Meanwhile I lost all 4 powerz..another disaster

2-10 -892

ytd 10-25 -$1807 what a mess

$$100 EA:

NENG -7 +110 BOUGHT 1 They have owned Miami at home

INDY PK Watson does not look right

DETROIT TT O 21 DALLAS gives up about 10 more per game without Shawn Lee

BUCS TT O 21 Bear defense has looked great but who have they played. Bucs have scored 27 twicwe and 48 once

SEATTLE -3 Never a fan of Rosen.Will he make it thru the game in one piece?
ZONA/SEA UNDER 39 Arizona can not score

OAKLAND -2.5 Mayfields first rd game is in Oakland.. good luck with that

$100 ml parlay $100 to win $361

GBAY 390
JAX -370
LAC -460
SAINTS -168
KC -205

GOOD LUCK
 

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adding another $100

OAKLAND -2.5

ALSO

CINCY/ATLANTA OVER 52

PHILLY/ATLANTA UNDER 42-115
BOUGHT 1/2
 

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So far 11-4 +$470
first 4 on parlay hit so:

$120

denver +4 -118 bought 1/2
 

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ended 13-4 +$931 thats more like it

ytd 23-29 -$876

Wk5 Oct 7
TENN-2.5/BUFF
CAR-6/NYG
BALT-2.5/CLEVE
KC-1/JAX

Lines did not change much since preseason thought TENN?BUFF would be more

tough lines this week very tight

so far :$120 to win $100 3 team 10 point teaser

NE -1
CAROLINA +3
CINCY +4.5

OAKLAND +5 Can not see Chargers favored by this much over anyone they are playing

CHARGERS/RAIDERS UNDER 52.5 just seems too high for these 2

BUFFALO +5 will shoot for the middle. That is one of the points on these early GOY bets that and you expect lines to increase
 

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