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Thread: METFANS 2018 TEAM TOTALS, EARLY SEASON BETS BY WEEK and .ENTIRE YR ANALYED

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  1. #1 METFANS 2018 TEAM TOTALS, EARLY SEASON BETS BY WEEK and .ENTIRE YR ANALYED 
    RX SemiGod METFAN's Avatar
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    It's Labor Day so I will post my LABOR OF LOVE. Retired , moved to Tampa and spent the last month analyzing the NFL and listening to Foreigner and Lynyrd Skynyrd.

    here is what I came up with ..Discussion and opinions welcome

    TEAM TOTALS $200EA

    BEARS UNDER 7.5-122
    Why all the love? Did they get a QB? They still have 3 good teams in the division and I doubt they will be favored in more than 4 games

    CLEVELAND UNDER 6 -108
    Tyrod Taylor and even Mayfield are a big upgrade over Kizer and crew but this team won only 1 game in the last 2 yrs and now they will need to win 7 for you to lose. Aside from the Jets who will they be favored over and the Jets are iffy

    LA CHARGERS UNDER 9.5
    A lot of the Chargers late season push was against a bunch of nobodies. HELL Bryce Petty was the Jets QB and 5 pick Peterman was
    Buffalos. I think LA comes back to reality.

    NEW ENGLAND OVER 10.5 -165
    A lot of juice. Tough schedule except for the division that they really should sweep. As long as Brady is healthy, they should be favored in all of their games except maybe at Pittsburgh. It will take 6 losses for you to lose

    NY GIANTS UNDER 7.0 +125
    If I had balls I would do under 6.5 +165 What the hell are the Giants doing? They just cut Davis Webb and kept 2 undrafted nobodies.
    If that was the plan why draft Barkley instead of a QB?

    OAKLAND OVER 7 -122
    Team is in bad shape but Chuckie is back. Looks to be a few shootouts.Worth a shot

    SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 8 -105
    Can they win the 9 games that they need for you to lose this bet. Another QB that barely beat anyone. I think the expectations are unwarranted at this time.

    TAMPA BAY UNDER 6
    Playing in the toughest division in football does anyone see them favored in more than 3 games? Maybe 4 tops. Their skill players are off the charts but their OL is really banged up as are their DBacks, which were their 2 weak spots coming into camp.

    $100 each:
    TENN UNDER 8 -110
    TENN UNDER 7.5 +128
    Not sure why they felt they needed a new coach after the old coach finally got them to the playoffs. Not a huge Mariota fan. If Luck and Watson are healthy , the division will be a lot more competitive. If they lose opening day in Miami, there will be a good chance they start 0-4.

    FUTURE GAMES:$100 EA.ALL AVAILABLE AT 5 DIMES.Due to uncertainty at the QB position there are no lines being offered for NYJets and Philly and very limited for Indy

    WK 2 Sept 16
    CINCY +1/BALT
    DENVER -2.5 /OAK
    GBAY -2.5/MINNY Huge revenge game
    SEATTLE PK/BEARS

    WK3 Sept 23
    ARIZ-1/CHIC
    DALLAS +1.5/SEA
    NE -4/DET
    HOUST -6/NYG

    Wk4 Sept 30
    MINNY+3.5/LARAMS (THURSDAY)
    BALT +6.5/PITT
    GBAY-10/BUFF
    SAINTS -3.5/NYG

    Wk5 Oct 7
    TENN-2.5/BUFF
    CAR-6/NYG
    BALT-/CLEVE
    KC-1/JAX

    Wk 6 Oct 14
    HOUSTON-7/BUFF
    MIA -1.5/CHI

    Wk7 Oct 21
    DEN-1.5/ZONA (THURSDAY)
    NE-5/BEARS Brady vs a nobody
    DET+1/MIAMI
    RAMS PK/SAN FRAN

    Wk8 Oct 28
    CAR-2.5/BALT
    CINCY-1.5/TBAY
    GBAY+3.5/RAMS Pck off a bye Rams off a 3 game road trip
    NE-7/BUFFALO See above another nobody

    Wk 9 November 4
    OAKLAND +4.5/SAN FRAN (THURSDAY)
    DALLAS-3/TENN (MONDAY) Oddly nothing on Sunday this week

    Wk 10 November 11
    CAROLINA +6.5/PITT (THURSDAY) Carolina comes off game vs Tbay Pitt has a sandwich game Balt and 2 revenge Jax both on the rd
    KC -6.5/ARIZONA
    SEATTLE+6.5/RAMS
    NE-3.5/TENN Do I even need to comment? When is the last time Tenn covered vs NEngland?

    Wk 11 November 18
    OAKLAND +1.5/ZONA
    LAC-4.5/DEN
    NYG-3/TBAY Hopefully they still have a QB

    Week 12 November 25
    DETROIT -5.5/BEARS Turkey day special
    CAR-3/SEATTLE
    HOUSTON -3.5/TENN

    Week 13 December 2
    CAROLINA +2/TBAY..i will be there on the Panther sideline
    MIAMI -3/BUFFALO
    SEATTLE -1.5/SAN FRAN Not ready to bury the Seahawks yet. Do the 49ers ever cover against them? Not too often

    Week 14 December 9
    CINCY +7.5/LAC
    KC-2.5/BALT
    RAMS-3/CHI

    Week 15 December 16
    GBAY -3/CHI
    DENV-5.5/CLEVE

    $400 PLAY OF THE YR
    THURSDAY KC -2.5/CHARGERS

    Week 16 December 23
    CINCY +1/CLEVE
    DENVER +4/OAK
    NE-10.5/BUFF
    SF-6/CHI

    A lot to digest any questions or comments feel free to ask.

    Going to throw some of my homemade Kansas City Rub on some ribs and hit the Casino

    WHEN YOU ARE RETIRED EVERY DAY IS SUNDAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WOOO!!!!!!!!!!
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  2. #2  
    RX SemiGod METFAN's Avatar
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    WEEK 1
    PIT-4.5
    BALT -7
    ZONA PK
    GBAY -7 -125 BOUGHT
    OAKLAND +4.5 since they started the 2 Monday night games , they late dog has done well especially at home

    Totals:
    TENN/MIA U 45
    BUFF/BALT U 40.5
    CLEVE/PITT U 45.5
    NYG/JAX U 44
    NO/TBAY O 49.5
    NE/HOUST O 51

    GOOD LUCK

    Will post a 3 team teaser and ml parlay later in the week
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  3. #3  
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    Lynyrd Skynyrd: If I leave here tomorrow

    Great docu movie. Check it out if you havent yet. Best of luck this season!
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  4. #4  
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    Any wager on the Raiders is a very potential loser. The Raiders have shown their hand and that hand is to get draft picks and build a powerhouse for their move to Vegas. They could care less about this season or next. They have already thrown in the towel for this season.
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  5. #5  
    RX SemiGod METFAN's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NJBlood View Post
    Lynyrd Skynyrd: If I leave here tomorrow

    Great docu movie. Check it out if you havent yet. Best of luck this season!
    Thanks NJ Blood.I always felt bad for the Gaines family. 2 wonderfully talented kids and both died. Always wondered if they were sitting together.I've seen a few documentaries and also so many great memories. I listen to "simple Man" almost everyday.
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  6. #6  
    RX SemiGod METFAN's Avatar
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    3 team teaser $180 to win $150

    RAVENS +2.5
    SAINTS +.5
    PACKERS +2.5

    $100:
    Have got to grab PHILLY ML -114 before the guys shooting for middles jump in heavy

    I wasn't going to play this game but with so much money flying in on Atlanta, I had to take a shot. The Defending Super Bowl champs usually win these games,
    the Philly D is so much better at home, and I just feel the bookies do not want to take an opening night ass whupping
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  7. #7  
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    YTD 1-0 +$100

    ADDING 4 team ML Parlay $100 to win $206

    MINNY -270
    NO -275
    NENG -250
    GBAY-300

    Good Luck
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  8. #8  
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    ​BOL this year. Football money!
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  9. #9  
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    A Good Head & A Good Heart Are Always A Formidable Combination
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    GL Met
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  10. #10  
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    so far 5-8 -$455

    what a screwing on that Miami total.. 2 kickoff returns for tds and 34 points in the fourth quarter..ridiculous
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  11. #11  
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    WEEK 2

    WK 2 Sept 16
    CINCY +1/BALT
    DENVER -2.5 /OAK
    GBAY -2.5/MINNY Huge revenge game
    SEATTLE PK/BEARS

    GEE I could have got the Seahags with 3..oh well
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  12. #12  
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    will buy back Oakland closer to game time and try for a middle

    adding $100 ea:

    HOUSTON -2 Much better team, better coach and Mariota is banged up

    NEW ENGLAND -1 Maybe a sucker bet and Jax has a major revenge but they sure didn't show much last week against the Giants. They just may come back to the mean this yr. I mean neither Indy or Houston had a QB and now a tougher schedule

    JETS -2.5 They look to be stocked and Cromwell didn't even get to show too much. I think they will out physical the Dolphins

    CLEVE +8.5 Saints had absolutely no defense and now go against 2 speedy receivers after getting torched for one big play after another last week.

    Will take the Bills if it hits 8

    5 TEAM 10 point teaser ties reduce:

    WASH /INDY O 37.5
    HOUST +9
    PHILLY/TBAY OVER 33.5
    SAINTS PK
    SEATTLE +13
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  13. #13  
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    LAST WEEK 3-7 -$460 Picks were not good but I can not believe GBAY collapsed like that costing me $210 swing

    ytd 8-15 -$915

    bets before season:
    WK3 Sept 23
    ARIZ-1/CHIC
    DALLAS +1.5/SEA
    NE -4/DET
    HOUST -6/NYG

    most lines stayed similar or moved in my favor but the Arizona line is crazy. 2 weeks and it moved a full touchdown? I have not seen anything from the Bears offense in 2 weeks to justify that movement

    adding $100 ea:

    CAROLINA -3 +100
    ATLANTA -2.5 -120
    JAX/TENN OVER 40
    WASH/GBAY OVER 45 GB has shown they can not play defense
    SAN FRAN +6 -102 When is the last time kc covered a home opener?
    KC/SF UNDER 55 over looks too easy. Both can score and neither plays defense
    LA CHARGERS +7 Big step up in competition for the Rams

    4 team 10 point teaser $100 to win $124 TIES REDUCE
    ATLANTA +2.5
    BALT +4.5
    SAN FRAN +17
    NE +2.5
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  14. #14  
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    Atlanta s/b +7.5
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  15. #15  
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    Good luck today Met fan .....nice early line on the pats
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  16. #16  
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    Meanwhile I lost all 4 powerz..another disaster

    2-10 -892

    ytd 10-25 -$1807 what a mess

    $$100 EA:

    NENG -7 +110 BOUGHT 1 They have owned Miami at home

    INDY PK Watson does not look right

    DETROIT TT O 21 DALLAS gives up about 10 more per game without Shawn Lee

    BUCS TT O 21 Bear defense has looked great but who have they played. Bucs have scored 27 twicwe and 48 once

    SEATTLE -3 Never a fan of Rosen.Will he make it thru the game in one piece?
    ZONA/SEA UNDER 39 Arizona can not score

    OAKLAND -2.5 Mayfields first rd game is in Oakland.. good luck with that

    $100 ml parlay $100 to win $361

    GBAY 390
    JAX -370
    LAC -460
    SAINTS -168
    KC -205

    GOOD LUCK
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  17. #17  
    RX SemiGod METFAN's Avatar
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    adding another $100

    OAKLAND -2.5

    ALSO

    CINCY/ATLANTA OVER 52

    PHILLY/ATLANTA UNDER 42-115
    BOUGHT 1/2
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  18. #18  
    RX SemiGod METFAN's Avatar
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    So far 11-4 +$470
    first 4 on parlay hit so:

    $120

    denver +4 -118 bought 1/2
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  19. #19  
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    ADDING $100

    KC/DENVER under 54 -115 bought 1/2 point
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  20. #20  
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    ended 13-4 +$931 thats more like it

    ytd 23-29 -$876

    Wk5 Oct 7
    TENN-2.5/BUFF
    CAR-6/NYG
    BALT-2.5/CLEVE
    KC-1/JAX

    Lines did not change much since preseason thought TENN?BUFF would be more

    tough lines this week very tight

    so far :$120 to win $100 3 team 10 point teaser

    NE -1
    CAROLINA +3
    CINCY +4.5

    OAKLAND +5 Can not see Chargers favored by this much over anyone they are playing

    CHARGERS/RAIDERS UNDER 52.5 just seems too high for these 2

    BUFFALO +5 will shoot for the middle. That is one of the points on these early GOY bets that and you expect lines to increase
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  21. #21  
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    adding $100

    MIAMI +6

    SEATTLE +7.5
    RAMS/SEATTLE UNDER 50
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  22. #22  
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    Miami gives up 2 defensive TDS and sticks it up my ass

    GOY plays go 1-3

    5-6 -$-160

    ytd 28-35 -$1036

    $200 ea:

    THURSDAY
    PHILLY -2.5 MUCH better team and much more aggressive coach. Pass defense needs to pick up their game

    SUNDAY:
    COLTS +3-120 OVER THE JETS..How can the Jets be favored Darnold is sooooooooo far behind Luck it isn't funny

    ATL -3-130 tHis is really basically the Falcons last chance. Will look to play their Team Total @ 30 when it comes out. They will be in the 20s by the half. TBAY has absolutely zero pass defense and Vernon Hargraves is refusing to tackle anyone. Winston is back..Big Deal

    $100ea:

    Wk 6 Oct 14
    HOUSTON-7/BUFF now only 10?
    MIA -1.5/CHI Now reversed

    MINNY-10 Arizona got their win for the year. Vikings set to go on a roll
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  23. #23  
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    Miami pick really looks like shit now

    ADDING:

    STEELERS ML +108 THEY HAVE OWNED THE BENGALS

    SEATTLE -3 -102
    SEATTLE/OAKLAND OVER 48 CARROLLVS GRUDEN. 2 Guys that try to pass from the 1 ..pathetic

    JETS/COLTS UNDER 48 I HAVE 43

    MIAMI UNDER 40.5

    RAMS -6.5 -102 Why is everyone on Denver?

    ATLANTA TT O 30
    ATLANTA TT O 14.5 FIRST 1/2 TBAY WORST PASS DEFENSE IN FOOTBALL

    BALT/TENN UNDER 44 -117 BOUGHT 1/2

    NE/KC OVER 58

    $50 EA:
    TENN +2.5
    TENN ML +123

    5 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER TIES REDUCE

    MINNY -1.5
    PITT +10
    HOUST -1.5
    NE +6.5
    GBAY PK

    good luck
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  24. #24  
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    teaser is $100 for $172
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  25. #25  
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    LAST WEEK 10-6 +$503 ATLANTA did me solid . GOYS went 1-0-2

    ytd 38-41 -$533


    Wk7 Oct 21
    DEN-1.5/ZONA (THURSDAY)
    NE-5/BEARS Brady vs a nobody NOW DOWN TO -2.5
    DET+1/MIAMI NOW -3 Due to injury
    RAMS PK/SAN FRAN NOW -10 also due to injury but also play

    THURSDAY GOY WON
    going to make some unpopular plays

    $100 EA
    TENN/SD UNDER 45 Tennessee offense has been non existent . Offensive line was a sieve last week


    PATRIOTS -2.5 Is Tom Brady out? the Bears are the sexy pick as they have been fantastic at covering as home dogs, Yes the Patriots have lost both their road games but the difference at QB is so much and I still like Belichek against a young QB especially with a line of less than a FG

    DETROIT -3 Another huge difference at QB. Can the Miami backup have 2 big games in a row against a Lions team that is rested and usually does well off a bye

    SAINTS +2.5 -105 Certainly the Ravens have played the tougher schedule and many top touts and cappers favor them but I can't ignore that the Saints have had 2 weeks to get ready and 3 of the raven wins have come against teams with bad QBS and they lost to /Cleveland to another

    DALLAS +1 They have owned the Redskins in recent yrs

    CAROLINA +4.5 Carolina out gained Wash they just could not beat them do to turnovers . I expect a very close game

    KC -6
    KC/CINCY OVER 58 Chiefs games run to the under at home but I see very little defense being played here. KC has covered all 6 games and they have been dominate at home. They have almost gone 6-0 against a much tougher schedule than Cincy has and you can never trust Andy
    Dalton on the road , though he has lucked out twice there. Unless there is a weather issue I see this at a minimum of 64 points

    ML PARLAY $100 TO WIN $284

    NE -145
    INDY -320
    RAMS -450
    KC -240

    GOOD LUCK
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