The #’s 2018

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Feels good getting the engine started....

This year I’m going to run the numbers from the jump and ease off on the insights, not skip them, but just give the interesting and long standing ones airtime...

Week 1 #’s

Ari 116
Atl 125
Bal 125
Buf 116
Car 122
Chi 118
Cin 117
Cle 110
Dal 123
Den 113
Det 120
GB 115
Hou 108
Ind 111
Jax 122
Kc. 125
Lac 124
Lar 124
Mia 115
Min 127
Ne. 127
Nor 124
Nyg 114
Nyj 114
Oak 114
Phi 128
Pit 125
Sf. 117
Sea 123
Tb. 117
Ten 116
Was 117



Pts......home favs..................................road favs.......................................home team pick
1........
2.......
3.......
4......
5.......
6......
7......
8......
9.....
10....
11....
12....
13....
14....
15....
16....
17....
18....
19....
20....
21....
22....
23....
24....
25....


The patterns will reveal themselves when they do, usually week 3-4 and on.


I’ll pop up some insights later tonight.

GAME
 

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Week 1

Atl at phi(1) 44.5...
Atl 2-9 under before hosting car s 07
Defending sb champs are 10-4-3 ats in reg sea openers s 01

Pit(4) at cle 44.5...
Cle 1-8 ats as div home dogs s 14
Series..road team covered 4 of last 5
..........last 5 played in cle stayed under the total
**wk 1 road favs with an o/u line of 45+pts have went 7-24 under s 95(watch game time total)

Buf at Bal(7) 41...
Bal 16-4 ats before playing at cinn s 96
**wk 1 teams who are 3+pt dogs on Sunday are 4-20-1 ats s 02, if they went to last year’s playoffs.

Tb at No(9.5) 49.5...
Tb 5-1 ats in 1st dd dog role of reg sea s 10 (watch game time line)
Tb 7-20 under in reg sea openers s 91
Series..home team covered 10 of last 14 s 11

Hou at Ne(6.5) 51...
Sb losers have went 2-15-1 ats in reg sea openers s 00

Ten(1.5) at Mia 45...
**wk 1 road favs with o/u line of 45+pts have went 7-24 under s 95 (watch game time line)

Kc at Lac(3) 48...
Kc 5-0 as div road dogs s 14
Series..kc covered last 5 on road vs la s 13
...........kc covered 6 of last 8 sept matchups s 00
...........road team covered 8 of last 10 s 13
**wk 1 teams who are a 3+pt dog on Sunday are 4-20-1 ats if they went to last year’s playoffs s 02

Sea at Den(3) 43...
Sea 2-17 su as dogs in reg sea openers s 93
Sea 4-15 ats as a dog in reg sea openers s 93
Sea 11-1 over on the road vs afc s 12
Den 17-1 su in reg sea home openers s 00

Dal at Car(3) 42.5...
Dal 10-3 ats before hosting nyg s 00
Dal 14-7 over in 1st reg sea road game s 97 (0-4 under last 4 years)
Car 3-9-1 ats as favs in 1st reg sea home game s 98
Car 3-11 ats before playing at Atl s 03
Car 6-16 under in reg sea openers s 96 (1-5 under in last 6)

Chi at Gb(7.5) 48...
Series..road team covered 10 of last 16 s 11
..........gb covered 16 of last 21 s 08
..........fav covered 11 of last 15 s 11
..........fav covered 8 of last 10 sept matchups s 03
**the su winner is 33-3-1 ats in last 37 games s 00

Lar(4) at oak 49.5...
La 3-14-1 ats in reg sea openers s 00
La 5-12 under in reg sea openers s 01
**Wk 1 home teams on mnf are 17-5 ats if they’re priced from a 6.5pt dog to a 2.5pt fav s 85
**Wk 1 road favs with an o/u line of 45+pts have went 7-24 under s 95

Extra points...
Cin 9-2 over in 1st reg sea road game s 07
Jax 3-16 ats vs nfc s 13

GAME.
 

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G/9000.......always look forward to seeing your thought's........have a profitable seaosn buddy........indy
 

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Your posts are always a must view. Thanks for your time & effort.
 
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THEGAME9000 ,

Can you explain the #'s again? Thanks.

He will keep track of wins losses according to his numbers.
The Vegas spread means nothing to the numbers

Subtract the ratio GS of each team and apply that number to his wins losses whether home or favorite
You will get the answer plus he provides trends for each game
 

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THEGAME9000 ,

Can you explain the #'s again? Thanks.

To tell you the truth i’m Getting closer to just posting the adjustment table and letting everybody else work them out each week but it a lot of extra writing, simple as it is, and I’m unsure anyone would keep it up weekly.

The #’s won’t really matter too much until a few weeks are under its belt so there’s plenty of time for explanations.

I’m posting this year starting with week 1 because there are like 3 or 4 similar situations in week 1 and it’s cool to watch how the patterns develop from the jump.
 

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To tell you the truth i’m Getting closer to just posting the adjustment table and letting everybody else work them out each week but it a lot of extra writing, simple as it is, and I’m unsure anyone would keep it up weekly.

The #’s won’t really matter too much until a few weeks are under its belt so there’s plenty of time for explanations.

I’m posting this year starting with week 1 because there are like 3 or 4 similar situations in week 1 and it’s cool to watch how the patterns develop from the jump.
Thanks!
 

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To tell you the truth i’m Getting closer to just posting the adjustment table and letting everybody else work them out each week but it a lot of extra writing, simple as it is, and I’m unsure anyone would keep it up weekly.

The #’s won’t really matter too much until a few weeks are under its belt so there’s plenty of time for explanations.

I’m posting this year starting with week 1 because there are like 3 or 4 similar situations in week 1 and it’s cool to watch how the patterns develop from the jump.

Send me a PM if you want some help with the numbers. Long-time follower of your threads and a bit of a numbers geek myself.

Maybe together we can streamline the process
 

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Send me a PM if you want some help with the numbers. Long-time follower of your threads and a bit of a numbers geek myself.

Maybe together we can streamline the process

I’ll probably post the adjustment tables soon, in a week or two, I’ve been doing it long enough...as far as streamlining it....it’s been..over the last 20 years...it can’t get any more simple, it’s just a lot of writing that would be easier on me if someone else could keep it up accurately and post it.
Keep your eyes open, I’ll put it out soon.
Thanx D.

GAME.
 

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Game. Did you ever post exactly how you get your numbers?? Basically how it’s done? I would like to learn more ways to make my play. But if it’s a secret its all g.
 

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Game. Did you ever post exactly how you get your numbers?? Basically how it’s done? I would like to learn more ways to make my play. But if it’s a secret its all g.

Never posted any details other than coming up with a way to use math as a way to remove guessing.
 

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