2018 NCAA Football Week 1 Misleading Finals

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I’ve put together a program taking a look at each NCAA Football box score to see if a team’s, actual stats, met their pre-game (line) expectation and the final score (margin).So if a team meets or exceeds pre-game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.I also adjust the totals based on actual yards compared to actual points. For example two teams may score 35 points but their offense’s total yardage for the game only amounted to an estimated 25 points based on their yardage stats. They may have benefited from turnovers, kick returns and short fields.Below you’ll find every game from Thursday 8/30 through Monday 9/4. (FBS vs FBS, FBS vs FCS, FCS vs FCS)*Sunday and Monday games (4 total) will be updated on Tuesday when the site I get the box score information from, is updated.People may have different opinions on why this happens. I just run the numbers through my program to get a “statistical opinion” on what should have happened based on yardage stats and taking away turnovers.I’ve used something similar to this in the past to find teams that may be overlooked or overvalued based on the prior weeks games.

NCAA Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.
The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:
1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)
2. Actual margin of victory
So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.

Key:

1. ATS– Against the spread.
2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.
3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.
4. Win Margin—Final game margin.
5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.
6. Game tot—Acutal game total.
7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.
8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin.
9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.
10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense.
11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.
12. TO—Actual game turnovers.
13. Adjusted TO

14. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)
Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.
Bad—Played below expectations for the game.
Fade—Played well below expectations for the game even though they covered the spread.
Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.

TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Central FloridaWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-39-23.1373-24.009.3170
ConnecticutLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring3923.137324.005.5987
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Central Florida82.64Should have won by23.1365252.8800.0031.00FADE
Connecticut82.64Should have lost by23.1348629.7631.0027.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Central FloridaYESYES——YESYESYES——9-for-113-27
Connecticut————YES——————YES10-for-187-93
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
NorthwesternWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-411.48581.005.0879
PurdueLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring4-11.4858-1.006.6571
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Northwestern60.24Should have lost by11.4840124.380-0.0825.00FADE
Purdue60.24Should have won by11.4847235.8633.0023.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
NorthwesternYES——YES——YESYESYES6-for-176-56
Purdue——YES——YES——————8-for-159-95
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
New Mexico StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3829.885822.003.4778
MinnesotaWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-38-29.8858-22.006.4481
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
New Mexico State58.67Should have lost by29.8827114.391-0.8319.00BAD
Minnesota58.67Should have won by29.8852244.2711.0023.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
New Mexico State————————YES————2-for-175-50
MinnesotaYESYESYESYES——YESYES5-for-149-92
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Wake ForestLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-6-16.5140-7.505.8394
TulaneWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring616.51407.505.5279
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Wake Forest68.44Should have won by16.5154842.4833.0032.00PLAY
Tulane68.44Should have lost by16.5143625.9710.3820.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Wake ForestYESYESYESYES——YESYES10-for-196-70
Tulane————————YES————7-for-199-83
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Central Connecticut StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3637.514819.504.4166
Ball StateWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-36-37.5148-19.507.7684
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Central Connecticut State69.64Should have lost by37.5129116.061-0.6316.00BAD
Ball State69.64Should have won by37.5165253.5811.0030.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Central Connecticut State————————YES————4-for-159-58
Ball StateYESYESYESYES——YESYES11-for-166-70
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Kennesaw StateLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring4-5.24442.505.4670
Georgia StateWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-45.2444-2.504.8865
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Kennesaw State48.14Should have won by5.2438226.6921.7919.00PLAY
Georgia State48.14Should have lost by5.2431721.4511.0021.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Kennesaw State——YESYESYES————YES5-for-157-65
Georgia StateYES——————YESYES——6-for-123-33
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Southeastern LouisianaWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring323.856521.006.7265
UL MonroeLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-3-23.8565-21.005.7796
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Southeastern Louisiana71.00Should have lost by23.8543723.581-0.7522.00FADE
UL Monroe71.00Should have won by23.8555447.4322.0031.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Southeastern Louisiana——————YESYES————3-for-1011-89
UL MonroeYESYESYES————YESYES11-for-1810-75
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Weber StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3160.875130.501.1752
UtahWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-31-60.8751-30.507.6277
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Weber State54.74Should have lost by60.8761-3.070-2.543.00BAD
Utah54.74Should have won by60.8758757.8144.0028.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Weber State————————YES————1-for-155-42
UtahYESYESYESYES——YESYES5-for-144-20
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Missouri StateWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring4167.167546.004.3863
Oklahoma StateLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-41-67.1675-46.007.9692
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Missouri State88.39Should have lost by67.1627610.622-1.8314.00FADE
Oklahoma State88.39Should have won by67.1673277.7722.0036.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Missouri State————————YES————5-for-167-69
Oklahoma StateYESYESYESYES——YESYES11-for-187-55
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Savannah StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring5248.365238.503.2455
UABWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-52-48.3652-38.506.7182
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Savannah State61.34Should have lost by48.361786.492-1.2112.00BAD
UAB61.34Should have won by48.3655054.8522.0038.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Savannah State————————YES————1-for-1210-94
UABYESYESYESYES——YESYES8-for-124-55
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Northwestern StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring5273.606646.505.2348
Texas A&MWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-52-73.6066-46.507.9096
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Northwestern State90.06Should have lost by73.602518.230-3.8813.00BAD
Texas A&M90.06Should have won by73.6075881.8311.0040.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Northwestern State————————YES————1-for-1211-93
Texas A&MYESYESYESYES——YESYES8-for-118-95
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
UC – DavisWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-6-0.01822.506.4791
San Jose StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring60.0182-2.505.6290
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
UC – Davis75.44Should have won by0.0158937.7210.7931.00GOOD
San Jose State75.44Should have lost by0.0150637.7233.0027.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
UC – DavisYESYESYESYESYESYES——6-for-1811-79
San Jose State————————————YES8-for-2112-125
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Rhode IslandWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-214.334018.505.6958
DelawareLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2-14.3340-18.505.6961
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Rhode Island47.61Should have lost by14.3333016.641-0.5413.00GOOD
Delaware47.61Should have won by14.3334730.9733.0018.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Rhode IslandYES————YESYES————5-12, 42%8-75
Delaware——YESYES————YESYES5-13, 38%4-35
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Morehead StateWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2630.997227.004.9667
Eastern KentuckyLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-26-30.9972-27.006.6485
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Morehead State67.10Should have lost by30.9933218.052-0.2515.00FADE
Eastern Kentucky67.10Should have won by30.9956449.0511.0029.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Morehead State————————YES————3-15, 20%4-45
Eastern KentuckyYESYESYESYES——YESYES9-16, 56%7-67
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
New HampshireLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2818.4642-6.002.1554
MaineWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-28-18.46426.006.4370
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
New Hampshire38.15Should have lost by18.461169.8511.009.00BAD
Maine38.15Should have won by18.4645028.300-0.5024.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
New Hampshire——————————————5-15, 33%5-61
MaineYESYESYESYESYESYESYES5-13, 38%7-49
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Tennessee TechLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring2412.724414.504.5672
ChattanoogaWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-24-12.7244-14.507.3462
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Tennessee Tech55.43Should have lost by12.7232821.3631.7915.00PLAY
Chattanooga55.43Should have won by12.7245534.0711.0015.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Tennessee Tech————YES——————YES6-17, 35%5-30
ChattanoogaYESYES——YESYES————8-17, 47%10-69
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Southern IllinoisWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-39-11.5459-16.004.6596
Murray StateLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3911.545916.004.1369
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Southern Illinois52.28Should have won by11.5444631.9122.0027.00FADE
Murray State52.28Should have lost by11.5428520.3764.6717.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Southern IllinoisYESYESYESYESYESYESYES10-21, 48%9-94
Murray State——————————————2-12, 17%5-61
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Mississippi Valley StateWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2843.034242.503.6365
North DakotaLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-28-43.0342-42.506.4880
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Mississippi Valley State63.12Should have lost by43.0323610.052-1.5416.00FADE
North Dakota63.12Should have won by43.0351853.0811.0029.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Mississippi Valley State————————YES————7-17, 41%10-84
North DakotaYESYESYESYES——YESYES10-16, 63%8-76
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Western IllinoisLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3-8.4649-2.504.4671
Montana StateWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-38.46492.504.1957
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Western Illinois38.45Should have won by8.4631723.4522.0018.00PLAY
Montana State38.45Should have lost by8.4623915.0010.7912.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Western Illinois——YESYESYES——YESYES3-15, 20%7-41
Montana StateYES——————YES————3-14, 21%2-7
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Utah StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring720.706923.504.9969
Michigan StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-7-20.7069-23.506.0375
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Utah State57.62Should have lost by20.7034418.4620.0425.00GOOD
Michigan State57.62Should have won by20.7045239.1622.0023.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Utah State————————YESYES——7-for-137-49
Michigan StateYESYESYESYES————YES11-for-179-62
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
SyracuseWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-132.9397-4.506.2290
Western MichiganLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring13-2.93974.509.7064
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Syracuse81.40Should have lost by2.9356039.2311.0026.00FADE
Western Michigan81.40Should have won by2.9362142.1621.6324.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
SyracuseYES——YES——YESYESYES7-for-175-45
Western Michigan——YES——YES——————2-for-106-45
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Western KentuckyWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring3132.533736.504.7764
WisconsinLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-31-32.5337-36.507.0170
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Western Kentucky62.06Should have lost by32.5330514.762-1.0415.00GOOD
Wisconsin62.06Should have won by32.5349147.3011.0024.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Western Kentucky————————YES————5-for-166-65
WisconsinYESYESYESYES——YESYES7-for-138-70
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
ColoradoWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-32-27.6758-7.009.1765
Colorado StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3227.67587.003.7476
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Colorado61.87Should have won by27.6759644.7722.0023.00GOOD
Colorado State61.87Should have lost by27.6728417.1010.4220.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
ColoradoYESYES——YES——YESYES4-for-96-44
Colorado State————YES——YES————7-for-195-35
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
San Diego StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2114.954114.005.0652
StanfordWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-21-14.9541-14.006.4759
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
San Diego State45.70Should have lost by14.9526315.371-0.1711.00BAD
Stanford45.70Should have won by14.9538230.3311.0019.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
San Diego State————————YES——YES4-for-1311-125
StanfordYESYESYESYES——YES——7-for-153-20
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
ArmyLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring206.464814.005.3768
DukeWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-20-6.4648-14.007.3352
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Army52.04Should have lost by6.4636522.7920.8318.00PLAY
Duke52.04Should have won by6.4638129.2511.0021.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Army————YES——YES——YES5-for-147-69
DukeYESYES——YES——YES——2-for-94-30
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MonmouthLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3417.636823.004.8979
Eastern MichiganWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-34-17.6368-23.007.1766
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Monmouth61.75Should have lost by17.6338622.061-0.9223.00PLAY
Eastern Michigan61.75Should have won by17.6347339.6900.0027.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Monmouth————YES——YES————7-for-1610-102
Eastern MichiganYESYES——YES——YESYES7-for-117-65
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Portland StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring5339.289128.504.5277
NevadaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-53-39.2891-28.5010.1063
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Portland State74.65Should have lost by39.2834817.681-1.3817.00BAD
Nevada74.65Should have won by39.2863656.9711.0025.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Portland State————YES——YES——YES3-for-198-55
NevadaYESYES——YES——YES——4-for-99-106
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Florida AtlanticLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring4932.657718.504.3874
OklahomaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-49-32.6577-18.5010.4862
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Florida Atlantic71.20Should have lost by32.6532419.271-0.5420.00BAD
Oklahoma71.20Should have won by32.6565051.9300.0026.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Florida Atlantic————YES——YES——YES4-for-156-48
OklahomaYESYES——YES——YES——6-for-106-70
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
HoustonLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-18-26.8972-25.509.3762
RiceWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring1826.897225.505.3483
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Houston74.60Should have won by26.8958150.7422.0018.00PLAY
Rice74.60Should have lost by26.8944323.862-0.1322.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
HoustonYESYES——YES——————5-for-115-38
Rice————YES——YESYESYES11-for-226-57
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Oregon StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring4653.8710839.506.2263
Ohio StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-46-53.87108-39.508.4186
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Oregon State89.78Should have lost by53.8739217.952-1.2915.00BAD
Ohio State89.78Should have won by53.8772371.8222.0035.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Oregon State————————YES————6-for-165-49
Ohio StateYESYESYESYES——YESYES12-for-156-50
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Appalachian StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring711.498324.505.9376
Penn StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-7-11.4983-24.505.4979
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Appalachian State62.62Should have lost by11.4945125.571-1.0422.00GOOD
Penn State62.62Should have won by11.4943437.0600.0024.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Appalachian State——YES——YESYES————6-for-169-100
Penn StateYES——YES————YESYES6-for-152-10
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MassachusettsLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring3426.507620.504.6368
Boston CollegeWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-34-26.5076-20.506.9786
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Massachusetts67.15Should have lost by26.5031520.3231.2918.00BAD
Boston College67.15Should have won by26.5059946.8200.0031.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Massachusetts——————————————3-for-132-8
Boston CollegeYESYESYESYESYESYESYES5-for-117-38
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Kent StateWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring710.475518.005.4783
IllinoisLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-7-10.4755-18.006.7770
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Kent State65.18Should have lost by10.4745427.3520.5024.00GOOD
Illinois65.18Should have won by10.4747437.8211.0022.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Kent State————YES——YESYES——5-for-175-38
IllinoisYESYES——YES————YES7-for-153-25
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Texas StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2827.204216.503.1354
RutgersWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-28-27.2042-16.505.6475
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Texas State43.38Should have lost by27.201698.0931.6313.00BAD
Rutgers43.38Should have won by27.2042335.2944.0024.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Texas State————————YES————1-for-1315-119
RutgersYESYESYESYES——YESYES9-for-147-50
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
IndianaLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-10-12.7066-13.005.6782
Florida InternationalWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring1012.706613.004.8867
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Indiana55.92Should have won by12.7046534.3111.0031.00BAD
Florida International55.92Should have lost by12.7032721.6131.9222.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
IndianaYESYESYESYESYESYESYES7-for-158-90
Florida International——————————————5-for-127-70
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Northern IllinoisLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2612.134010.003.4062
IowaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-26-12.1340-10.004.8273
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Northern Illinois39.69Should have lost by12.1321113.7821.1715.00BAD
Iowa39.69Should have won by12.1335225.9111.0018.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Northern Illinois——————————————3-for-127-65
IowaYESYESYESYESYESYESYES8-for-168-66
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
TexasLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring5-12.5363-12.005.4075
MarylandWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-512.536312.005.0980
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Texas56.37Should have won by12.5340534.4533.0022.00PLAY
Maryland56.37Should have lost by12.5340721.920-1.0020.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Texas——————YES——YES——3-for-1510-102
MarylandYESYESYES——YES——YES6-for-188-70
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Boise StateWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-36-1.2076-8.507.3057
TroyLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring361.20768.504.8678
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Boise State55.17Should have won by1.2041628.1811.0016.00FADE
Troy55.17Should have lost by1.2037926.9843.2921.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Boise StateYESYES——YESYES————9-for-154-27
Troy————YES————YESYES4-for-153-25
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Louisiana TechLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-4-12.6656-10.505.7177
South AlabamaWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring412.665610.504.6766
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Louisiana Tech52.52Should have won by12.6644032.5933.0022.00PLAY
South Alabama52.52Should have lost by12.6630819.9343.1315.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Louisiana TechYESYESYESYESYESYESYES4-for-146-55
South Alabama——————————————3-for-137-82
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MarshallWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-70.66631.005.9175
Miami (Ohio)Lost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring7-0.6663-1.006.0873
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Marshall61.18Should have lost by0.6644330.260-0.0824.00GOOD
Miami (Ohio)61.18Should have won by0.6644430.9200.0023.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
MarshallYES——YES——YESYESYES6-for-147-62
Miami (Ohio)——YES——YES——————5-for-158-71
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Southern MethodistLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2318.73693.505.9543
North TexasWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-23-18.7369-3.505.6394
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Southern Methodist54.62Should have lost by18.7325617.9510.719.00BAD
North Texas54.62Should have won by18.7352936.6800.0034.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Southern Methodist——————YES——————2-for-104-40
North TexasYESYESYES——YESYESYES9-for-175-40
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Middle TennesseeLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring281.07423.004.0872
VanderbiltWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-28-1.0742-3.006.4354
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Middle Tennessee44.30Should have lost by1.0729421.6121.7521.00PLAY
Vanderbilt44.30Should have won by1.0734722.6900.0019.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Middle Tennessee————YES————YES——8-for-166-40
VanderbiltYESYES——YESYES——YES7-for-137-49
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Brigham YoungWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-51.295111.505.5271
ArizonaLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring5-1.2951-11.504.7269
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Brigham Young49.47Should have lost by1.2939224.090-0.9623.00GOOD
Arizona49.47Should have won by1.2932625.3800.0022.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Brigham YoungYESYESYESYESYESYESYES5-for-1210-94
Arizona——————————————6-for-154-26
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Texas-San AntonioLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring4222.835617.502.8677
Arizona StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-42-22.8356-17.508.3860
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Texas-San Antonio52.99Should have lost by22.8322015.0831.5418.00BAD
Arizona State52.99Should have won by22.8350337.9100.0021.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Texas-San Antonio————YES————————7-for-185-29
Arizona StateYESYES——YESYESYESYES3-for-1011-95
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
UNLVWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring2220.756426.005.7970
Southern CaliforniaLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-22-20.7564-26.006.8673
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
UNLV65.79Should have lost by20.7540522.521-1.1717.00GOOD
Southern California65.79Should have won by20.7550143.2700.0023.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
UNLV————————YES——YES5-for-154-35
Southern CaliforniaYESYESYESYES——YES——7-for-166-58
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
CincinnatiWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-96.574314.003.9577
UCLALost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring9-6.5743-14.004.5068
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Cincinnati42.48Should have lost by6.5730417.951-0.1718.00GOOD
UCLA42.48Should have won by6.5730624.5311.0015.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
CincinnatiYES——YES——YESYESYES5-for-187-45
UCLA——YES——YES——————6-for-156-26
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
WashingtonLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring5-1.65371.506.1265
AuburnWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-51.6537-1.505.1981
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Washington56.44Should have won by1.6539829.0421.8824.00PLAY
Auburn56.44Should have lost by1.6542027.3900.0027.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Washington——————YES——————5-for-1410-95
AuburnYESYESYES——YESYESYES9-for-1812-111
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Central MichiganWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring1528.715517.503.8666
KentuckyLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-15-28.7155-17.506.1070
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Central Michigan49.18Should have lost by28.7125510.230-1.4611.00FADE
Kentucky49.18Should have won by28.7142738.9544.0027.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Central Michigan————————YES————6-for-1812-106
KentuckyYESYESYESYES——YESYES7-for-133-40
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MississippiWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-20-7.7874-2.509.1060
Texas TechLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring207.78742.505.1295
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Mississippi71.26Should have won by7.7854639.5211.0022.00GOOD
Texas Tech71.26Should have lost by7.7848631.740-0.2131.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
MississippiYESYES——YES——————4-for-137-49
Texas Tech————YES——YESYESYES8-for-196-80
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Coastal CarolinaLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring3438.576431.004.3456
South CarolinaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-34-38.5764-31.007.7972
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Coastal Carolina63.02Should have lost by38.5724312.221-1.5820.00BAD
South Carolina63.02Should have won by38.5756150.7900.0032.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Coastal Carolina————————YES——YES2-for-94-36
South CarolinaYESYESYESYES——YES——5-for-99-99
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
West VirginiaWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-26-24.7754-10.008.9761
TennesseeLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2624.775410.004.7863
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
West Virginia59.94Should have won by24.7754742.3511.0026.00GOOD
Tennessee59.94Should have lost by24.7730117.590-0.8319.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
West VirginiaYESYES——YES——YES——5-for-94-35
Tennessee————YES——YES——YES5-for-146-48
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
North CarolinaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring7-6.20417.504.1273
CaliforniaLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-76.2041-7.503.4481
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
North Carolina40.03Should have won by6.2030123.1143.3816.00GOOD
California40.03Should have lost by6.2027916.9200.0019.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
North Carolina——YES——YES——————4-for-1713-124
CaliforniaYES——YES——YESYESYES4-for-175-35
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Washington StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-22-16.3360-3.005.0578
WyomingLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2216.33603.003.4959
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Washington State41.67Should have won by16.3339429.0022.0024.00GOOD
Wyoming41.67Should have lost by16.3320612.6710.7515.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Washington StateYESYESYESYES——YES——3-for-1410-75
Wyoming————————YES——YES3-for-1313-109
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Bowling GreenLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3427.938233.504.6987
OregonWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-34-27.9382-33.507.4168
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Bowling Green68.06Should have lost by27.9340820.0730.2122.00PLAY
Oregon68.06Should have won by27.9350447.9933.0023.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Bowling Green————YES——YES——YES5-for-195-50
OregonYESYES——YES——YES——6-for-133-35
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Old DominionLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring4215.0762-5.004.1273
LibertyWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-42-15.07625.007.8875
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Old Dominion60.90Should have lost by15.0730122.9222.0018.00BAD
Liberty60.90Should have won by15.0759137.9810.5829.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Old Dominion————————————YES3-for-168-75
LibertyYESYESYESYESYESYES——5-for-136-58
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MichiganLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring7-3.7141-3.004.4569
Notre DameWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-73.71413.004.3869
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Michigan42.03Should have won by3.7130722.8722.0020.00PLAY
Notre Dame42.03Should have lost by3.7130219.1610.7521.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Michigan——YES——YES——————6-for-137-52
Notre DameYES——————YESYESYES7-for-154-40
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
LouisvilleLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring3728.736523.504.1265
AlabamaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-37-28.7365-23.507.6368
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Louisville58.62Should have lost by28.7326814.9520.0415.00BAD
Alabama58.62Should have won by28.7351943.6711.0022.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Louisville————————YES————4-for-1511-93
AlabamaYESYESYESYES——YESYES10-for-1510-111
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
NavyLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring181.37100-14.006.6362
HawaiiWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-18-1.3710014.007.7468
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Navy64.46Should have lost by1.3741131.5400.0019.00BAD
Hawaii64.46Should have won by1.3752632.921-0.1725.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Navy————————————YES5-for-122-18
HawaiiYESYESYESYESYESYES——7-for-121-5
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
James MadisonWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring119.843715.005.3768
NC StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-11-9.8437-15.005.4472
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
James Madison52.97Should have lost by9.8436521.561-0.2523.00GOOD
NC State52.97Should have won by9.8439231.4011.0025.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
James Madison————————YES——YES7-for-135-25
NC StateYESYESYESYES——YES——11-for-165-50
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
SouthernWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring4844.996249.503.5652
Texas ChristianLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-48-44.9962-49.506.7474
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Southern61.76Should have lost by44.991858.393-1.139.00GOOD
Texas Christian61.76Should have won by44.9949953.3800.0030.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Southern————————YES————3-for-145-40
Texas ChristianYESYESYESYES——YESYES5-for-115-48
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
VillanovaWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-2-1.743614.505.2677
TempleLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring21.7436-14.504.5655
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Villanova44.63Should have won by1.7440523.181-0.2126.00GOOD
Temple44.63Should have lost by1.7425121.4422.0016.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
VillanovaYESYESYESYESYESYESYES8-for-169-82
Temple——————————————8-for-136-56
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
FurmanWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring4149.245550.504.0561
ClemsonLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-41-49.2455-50.507.8769
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Furman70.09Should have lost by49.2424710.432-2.2113.00GOOD
Clemson70.09Should have won by49.2454359.6700.0023.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Furman————————YES——YES5-for-163-22
ClemsonYESYESYESYES——YES——4-for-120-0
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Alcorn StateWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring4154.644143.002.8651
Georgia TechLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-41-54.6441-43.007.5472
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Alcorn State61.00Should have lost by54.641463.182-1.589.00FADE
Georgia Tech61.00Should have won by54.6454357.8233.0028.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Alcorn State————————YES————2-for-113-20
Georgia TechYESYESYESYES——YESYES8-for-123-30
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Stony BrookLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring3825.863815.501.5050
Air ForceWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-38-25.8638-15.504.2685
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Stony Brook32.63Should have lost by25.86753.3820.714.00BAD
Air Force32.63Should have won by25.8636229.2522.0023.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Stony Brook————————YES————3-for-148-63
Air ForceYESYESYESYES——YESYES8-for-203-30
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
HowardWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring6-1.857031.507.0192
OhioLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-61.8570-31.505.9072
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Howard73.99Should have won by1.8564537.9241.3826.00GOOD
Ohio73.99Should have lost by1.8542536.0700.0022.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Howard——YESYESYES——YES——12-for-218-71
OhioYES——————YES————4-for-155-50
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
AlbanyWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring2620.214027.005.6757
PittsburghLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-26-20.2140-27.006.7860
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Albany53.27Should have lost by20.2132316.532-0.2516.00GOOD
Pittsburgh53.27Should have won by20.2140736.7422.0021.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Albany————————YES————5-for-137-40
PittsburghYESYESYESYES——YESYES6-for-96-55
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Austin PeayWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring4552.874548.503.0450
GeorgiaLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-45-52.8745-48.508.4760
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Austin Peay60.50Should have lost by52.871523.811-3.047.00FADE
Georgia60.50Should have won by52.8750856.6811.0021.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Austin Peay————————YES————2-for-133-15
GeorgiaYESYESYESYES——YESYES4-for-93-40
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Tennessee-MartinLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3739.536535.504.6959
MissouriWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-37-39.5365-35.507.1578
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Tennessee-Martin66.31Should have lost by39.5327713.391-1.9613.00BAD
Missouri66.31Should have won by39.5355852.9200.0026.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Tennessee-Martin————————YES————4-for-1413-108
MissouriYESYESYESYES——YESYES8-for-154-45
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Eastern IllinoisWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3515.687535.504.4181
ArkansasLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-35-15.6875-35.506.5666
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Eastern Illinois59.32Should have lost by15.6835721.8252.0421.00GOOD
Arkansas59.32Should have won by15.6843337.5000.0018.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Eastern Illinois————YES————YESYES6-for-186-30
ArkansasYESYES——YESYES————7-for-154-40
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
South Carolina StateLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3121.684328.002.9052
Georgia SouthernWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-31-21.6843-28.005.8060
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
South Carolina State38.47Should have lost by21.681518.392-0.3310.00PLAY
Georgia Southern38.47Should have won by21.6834830.0800.0019.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
South Carolina State————————YES————4-for-123-35
Georgia SouthernYESYESYESYES——YESYES7-for-122-10
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
FordhamLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2422.674416.004.5663
CharlotteWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-24-22.6744-16.007.2867
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Fordham55.66Should have lost by22.6728716.491-0.3312.00BAD
Charlotte55.66Should have won by22.6748839.1611.0020.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Fordham————————YES————3-for-156-30
CharlotteYESYESYESYES——YESYES7-for-154-45
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Delaware StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring3820.135844.503.8272
BuffaloLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-38-20.1358-44.505.3666
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Delaware State49.74Should have lost by20.1327514.8040.2918.00GOOD
Buffalo49.74Should have won by20.1335434.9300.0021.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Delaware State————YES——————YES7-for-186-75
BuffaloYESYES——YESYESYES——2-for-135-42
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
RichmondLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2924.015514.504.6948
VirginiaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-29-24.0155-14.506.6574
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Richmond51.81Should have lost by24.0122513.9020.799.00BAD
Virginia51.81Should have won by24.0149237.9111.0025.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Richmond————————YES————2-for-105-69
VirginiaYESYESYESYES——YESYES9-for-154-24
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
ElonWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2031.164828.003.8461
South FloridaLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-20-31.1648-28.006.1384
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Elon57.54Should have lost by31.1623413.192-0.3316.00FADE
South Florida57.54Should have won by31.1651544.3500.0027.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Elon————————YES——YES4-for-136-40
South FloridaYESYESYESYES——YES——11-for-197-55
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Virginia MilitaryLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring6353.106948.502.8877
ToledoWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-63-53.1069-48.507.8377
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Virginia Military73.96Should have lost by53.1022210.433-1.0414.00BAD
Toledo73.96Should have won by53.1060363.5300.0030.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Virginia Military————————YES————7-for-223-11
ToledoYESYES——YES——YESYES4-for-115-50
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Nicholls StateWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-3-0.89499.504.4574
KansasLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring30.8949-9.503.6470
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Nicholls State40.11Should have won by0.8932920.5010.2117.00GOOD
Kansas40.11Should have lost by0.8925519.6111.0014.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Nicholls StateYESYESYESYESYESYESYES10-for-206-35
Kansas——————————————6-for-177-54
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Central ArkansasWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring1124.296513.004.3357
TulsaLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-11-24.2965-13.005.4986
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Central Arkansas51.39Should have lost by24.2924713.5520.9216.00FADE
Tulsa51.39Should have won by24.2947237.8433.0025.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Central Arkansas————————YES————0-for-105-35
TulsaYESYESYESYES——YESYES12-for-209-92
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Jackson StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring4833.126233.003.3759
Southern MississippiWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-48-33.1262-33.005.8678
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Jackson State51.98Should have lost by33.121999.4341.2510.00BAD
Southern Mississippi51.98Should have won by33.1245742.5533.0029.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Jackson State————————YES————3-for-145-35
Southern MississippiYESYESYESYES——YESYES9-for-164-35
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Grambling StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring3227.236613.504.7864
UL LafayetteWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-32-27.2366-13.507.6273
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Grambling State61.59Should have lost by27.2330617.180-1.1315.00BAD
UL Lafayette61.59Should have won by27.2355644.4111.0027.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Grambling State————————YES————6-for-169-86
UL LafayetteYESYESYESYES——YESYES7-for-106-40
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
South DakotaWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring325.965124.004.3477
Kansas StateLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-3-25.9651-24.005.4475
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
South Dakota53.48Should have lost by25.9633413.760-2.0021.00FADE
Kansas State53.48Should have won by25.9640839.7244.0019.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
South Dakota————YES——YESYES——4-for-165-35
Kansas StateYESYES——YES————YES9-for-2013-129
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MercerLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring5259.258031.003.4151
MemphisWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-52-59.2580-31.008.7486
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Mercer75.85Should have lost by59.251748.302-0.589.00BAD
Memphis75.85Should have won by59.2575267.5511.0031.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Mercer————————YES————4-for-147-60
MemphisYESYESYESYES——YESYES10-for-157-57
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
SE Missouri StateWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2755.856932.004.8359
Arkansas StateLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-27-55.8569-32.008.6779
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
SE Missouri State76.72Should have lost by55.8528510.440-2.6714.00FADE
Arkansas State76.72Should have won by55.8568566.2933.0030.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
SE Missouri State————————YES————2-for-146-55
Arkansas StateYESYESYESYES——YESYES6-for-1212-119
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Charleston SouthernLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring4734.735943.003.8159
FloridaWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-47-34.7359-43.006.7366
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Charleston Southern55.50Should have lost by34.7322510.382-1.589.00PLAY
Florida55.50Should have won by34.7344445.1100.0025.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Charleston Southern————————YES——YES3-for-146-50
FloridaYESYESYESYES——YES——2-for-93-20
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Northern ArizonaWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-20-5.2940-7.005.2561
Texas El PasoLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring205.29407.003.4267
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Northern Arizona38.25Should have won by5.2932021.7711.0014.00FADE
Texas El Paso38.25Should have lost by5.2922916.4832.4215.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Northern ArizonaYESYES——YESYES————6-for-157-70
Texas El Paso————YES————YESYES7-for-1810-76
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Stephen F. AustinLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring5756.116947.503.2678
Mississippi StateWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-57-56.1169-47.508.7071
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Stephen F. Austin76.58Should have lost by56.1125410.241-2.9616.00BAD
Mississippi State76.58Should have won by56.1161866.3400.0025.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Stephen F. Austin————YES——YES——YES3-for-189-56
Mississippi StateYESYES——YES——YES——7-for-137-80
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Abilene ChristianWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring2840.058241.006.9667
BaylorLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-28-40.0582-41.009.4764
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Abilene Christian83.32Should have lost by40.0546621.641-2.4219.00GOOD
Baylor83.32Should have won by40.0560661.6911.0026.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Abilene Christian————YES——YES————6-for-155-37
BaylorYESYES——YES——YESYES2-for-95-53
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Incarnate WordWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3237.119236.007.7573
New MexicoLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-32-37.1192-36.007.4791
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Incarnate Word93.66Should have lost by37.1156628.272-1.0019.00FADE
New Mexico93.66Should have won by37.1168065.3922.0032.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Incarnate Word——————YESYES————5-for-158-69
New MexicoYESYESYES————YESYES5-for-117-48
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
IdahoLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring6613.089225.504.7265
Fresno StateWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-66-13.0892-25.506.8771
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Idaho58.84Should have lost by13.0830722.8874.8815.00PLAY
Fresno State58.84Should have won by13.0848835.9600.0024.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Idaho——————————————3-for-134-20
Fresno StateYESYESYESYESYESYESYES8-for-133-27
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Saint Francis UWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring26.23406.005.0859
LehighLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-2-6.2340-6.005.1063
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Saint Francis U42.96Should have lost by6.2330018.3710.5015.00FADE
Lehigh42.96Should have won by6.2332124.5922.0017.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Saint Francis U————————YES————5-15, 33%4-40
LehighYESYESYESYES——YESYES5-14, 36%5-41
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
GeorgetownWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-25-13.47531.005.8475
MaristLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2513.4753-1.002.7864
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Georgetown42.36Should have won by13.4743827.9221.9223.00GOOD
Marist42.36Should have lost by13.4717814.4444.0012.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
GeorgetownYESYESYESYESYESYESYES8-16, 50%10-85
Marist——————————————4-14, 29%6-55
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Robert MorrisLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring219.067713.005.4776
DaytonWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-21-9.0677-13.008.0258
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Robert Morris61.56Should have lost by9.0641626.251-0.0826.00PLAY
Dayton61.56Should have won by9.0646535.3100.0023.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Robert Morris————YES——YESYES——13-18, 72%5-43
DaytonYESYES——YES————YES5-7, 71%6-61
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Holy CrossWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring73.024115.504.2167
ColgateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-7-3.0241-15.504.6062
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Holy Cross39.58Should have lost by3.0228218.2831.7117.00GOOD
Colgate39.58Should have won by3.0228521.3011.0015.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Holy Cross————YES————YESYES3-14, 21%5-35
ColgateYESYES——YESYES————6-15, 40%6-39
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
ButlerWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-232.974437.004.9169
Youngstown StateLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2-32.9744-37.007.1166
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Butler62.05Should have lost by32.9733914.540-3.0823.00GOOD
Youngstown State62.05Should have won by32.9746947.5111.0020.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
ButlerYES——YES——YESYES——8-16, 50%1-0
Youngstown State——YES——YES————YES5-12, 42%9-97
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Cal PolyLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring4642.545237.503.2963
North Dakota StateWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-46-42.5452-37.508.8358
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Cal Poly58.97Should have lost by42.542078.221-2.1310.00BAD
North Dakota State58.97Should have won by42.5451250.7511.0022.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Cal Poly————YES——YES——YES5-17, 29%5-40
North Dakota StateYESYES——YES——YES——5-9, 56%2-21
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
McNeeseLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-3-3.0731-3.504.8866
Northern ColoradoWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring33.07313.504.8562
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
McNeese43.03Should have won by3.0732223.0522.0015.00BAD
Northern Colorado43.03Should have lost by3.0730119.9821.7114.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
McNeeseYESYESYESYES——YESYES5-15, 33%7-40
Northern Colorado————————YES————3-15, 20%7-70
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
LafayetteLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring2913.77416.504.3658
Sacred HeartWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-29-13.7741-6.505.6572
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Lafayette46.09Should have lost by13.7725316.1621.4616.00BAD
Sacred Heart46.09Should have won by13.7740729.9322.0023.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Lafayette————————YES————2-10, 20%6-42
Sacred HeartYESYESYESYES——YESYES7-16, 44%7-50
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
William & MaryLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-7-12.5021-13.504.7773
BucknellWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring712.502113.504.4358
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
William & Mary42.68Should have won by12.5034827.5922.0020.00BAD
Bucknell42.68Should have lost by12.5025715.0920.8811.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
William & MaryYESYESYESYES——YESYES5-15, 33%8-80
Bucknell————————YES————4-14, 29%4-30
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
CitadelWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring722.75499.503.6466
WoffordLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-7-22.7549-9.507.7054
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Citadel46.24Should have lost by22.7524011.740-0.7913.00FADE
Wofford46.24Should have won by22.7541634.4933.0016.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Citadel————YES——YES——YES2-16, 13%2-20
WoffordYESYES——YES——YES——5-10, 50%3-45
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
TowsonWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-26-27.0146-23.505.9967
Morgan StateLost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring2627.014623.502.7461
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Towson42.92Should have won by27.0140134.9622.0021.00GOOD
Morgan State42.92Should have lost by27.011677.9520.0413.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
TowsonYESYESYESYES——YESYES3-14, 21%8-100
Morgan State————————YES————3-13, 23%12-107
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Bethune-CookmanLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring3116.45372.004.3656
Tennessee StateWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-31-16.4537-2.006.8277
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Bethune-Cookman53.31Should have lost by16.4524418.4321.839.00BAD
Tennessee State53.31Should have won by16.4552534.8800.0022.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Bethune-Cookman——————————————2-13, 15%3-25
Tennessee StateYESYESYESYESYESYESYES8-17, 47%11-89
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
North AlabamaWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-49.256418.506.7682
Southern UtahLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring4-9.2564-18.506.4183
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
North Alabama75.94Should have lost by9.2555433.341-0.5428.00GOOD
Southern Utah75.94Should have won by9.2553242.6000.0030.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
North AlabamaYESYES——YESYES————10-18, 56%7-57
Southern Utah————YES————YESYES7-15, 47%8-53
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
UNILost ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring33.0649-1.003.2782
MontanaWon ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring-3-3.06491.004.9770
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
UNI42.45Should have lost by3.0626819.6911.0022.00BAD
Montana42.45Should have won by3.0634822.750-0.0819.00GOOD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
UNI————YES————YESYES6-18, 33%8-69
MontanaYESYES——YESYES————7-17, 41%9-87

TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
MiamiLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring16-8.5850-3.004.9669
Louisiana StateWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-168.58503.004.8561
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Miami44.08Should have won by8.5834226.3322.0018.00PLAY
Louisiana State44.08Should have lost by8.5829617.750-0.2517.00FADE
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Miami——YESYESYES——YES——6-for-1611-85
Louisiana StateYES——————YES——YES3-for-166-62
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
North Carolina A&TWon ATSWorse than predictedLower Scoring-520.085113.004.4860
East CarolinaLost ATSBetter than predictedLower Scoring5-20.0851-13.004.0295
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
North Carolina A&T45.96Should have lost by20.0826912.940-1.0815.00FADE
East Carolina45.96Should have won by20.0838233.0233.0028.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
North Carolina A&TYES————YESYES——YES4-for-1314-113
East Carolina——YESYES————YES——8-for-215-45
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Virginia TechWon ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring-2114.11277.505.0663
Florida StateLost ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring21-14.1127-7.505.1963
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Virginia Tech44.70Should have lost by14.1131915.290-0.6315.00FADE
Florida State44.70Should have won by14.1132729.4155.0012.00PLAY
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Virginia TechYES——————YESYESYES3-for-145-55
Florida State——YES——YES——————5-for-167-36
TeamATSAct. yds vs act. spreadGame should’ve been..Win MarginYds/TO spread conv.Game totClosing LineYPPOFF Plays
Prairie View A&MWon ATSBetter than predictedHigher Scoring-16-8.876410.007.7381
North Carolina CentralLost ATSWorse than predictedHigher Scoring168.8764-10.004.9881
Yppt. TotalW/L ProjectionMarginActual YdsScore should’ve been..TOAdjusted TO1st DownsNext Week
Prairie View A&M70.24Should have won by8.8762639.5510.1732.00GOOD
North Carolina Central70.24Should have lost by8.8740330.6911.0020.00BAD
Won GameTotal YardsPlays RunYPPAdj TO1st DownsRush Att3rd Down EFFPenalties
Prairie View A&MYESYES——YESYESYESYES3-14, 21%9-101
North Carolina Central——————————————3-18, 17%10-103
 

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I'm not selling anything. Nothing. I'm sharing the link. Used to charge a public membership don't anymore. I'll make sure I don't share the info the rest of the season. Good luck

Your link is to site where yes, there is some information on the page but to surf around, you need a paid membership. You're trying to advertise your site. Get outta here with that.
 
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Your link is to site where yes, there is some information on the page but to surf around, you need a paid membership. You're trying to advertise your site. Get outta here with that.

I don't want people to surf around. I share what I want to share. The site is my private site. The blog link is to share. Simple as that. If that offends you or anyone else. Take the link to misleading finals down. Simple as that. Good luck
 
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I'm not selling anything. Nothing. I'm sharing the link. Used to charge a public membership don't anymore. I'll make sure I don't share the info the rest of the season. Good luck

I don't want people to surf around. I share what I want to share. The site is my private site. The blog link is to share. Simple as that. If that offends you or anyone else. Take the link to misleading finals down. Simple as that. Good luck

actually it doesn't matter if you charge or not. There are No Links of sites, blogs, etc allowed on the RX

If someone is asking for past posts, you can direct them to last weeks post here on the RX

Thanks & GL
 

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