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Thread: Saturday Service Plays 09/15/18

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  1. #51  
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    COLIN COWHERD

    ohio state -12.5
    lsu +10.5
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  2. #52  
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    Indian Cowboy

    Reg season thru 9/14: 4-4, -2.6 units

    3-Unit Play. Take #108. Tennessee -31.5 vs UTEP (Saturday @ 12:00p.m. est).
    We view this as one of those morale-boosting games for a program that hasn't been prominent since Vince Young left. Look, Tennessee will want to demolish UTEP in this spot to keep the players believing in the cause and to keep them happy before a big showdown with Florida. The Volunteers put up 59 last week against ETSU, and UTEP might be worse, as they've lost 14 straight games, which is the longest losing streak in the FBS. They also gave up 52 to UNLV of all teams, so Tennessee should have their way offensively. Not to mention, they likely won't give up 24 points like UNLV did, so it's the perfect recipe for a Volunteer blowout win.

    3-Unit Play. Take #131. Under 44.5 Rutgers vs Kansas (Saturday @ 12:00p.m. est).

    Rutgers is a bad team. Kansas may be just as bad. So, the general rule of thumb when two bad teams play is that it's likely to be a bad game. Look, Rutgers gave up 52 points to Ohio State, but that was always going to happen. Kansas snapped a 46-game road losing streak by beating Central Michigan 31-7. Both teams are defensive minded (if you can believe it), so in this spot, with a freshman QB at the helm for Rutgers and a Kansas team that is feeling rejuvenated on both sides of the ball, especially on defense, we can expect a lower scoring game. Look, Kansas will want to win back-to-back games for the first time since 2011. They'll go all out and that means turning in another massive defensive performance. Rutgers doesn't have the firepower to cover the 70% of the total on their own, so we like the under in this spot.

    7-Unit Play. Take #154. Auburn -9.5 vs LSU (Saturday @ 3:30p.m. est).

    Let's talk about LSU first. They are a very young team and the fact that they beat Miami should be taken with a grain of salt because the Hurricanes are completely overrated and the step up in competition to Auburn will show full well in this spot. Look, Auburn lost to this LSU team last year 27-23 when they gave up 10 unanswered fourth-quarter points. The revenge angle is real in college football and we expect Auburn to extract that revenge by laying a beat down on the Tigers in front of their home crowd. We saw what Auburn was capable of on defense as they held Washington - a high scoring team - to just 16 points. Auburn will have a game plan in place that will attack LSU's weakness thanks to the master game-planner, Gus Malzahn. This game will go a long way in determining who will get into the SEC title game, but we believe that Auburn is the right play in this spot.

    5-Unit Play. Take #168. Florida -19.5 vs Colorado State (Saturday @ 4:00p.m. est).

    Florida lost to Kentucky last week for the first time in 31 years. How embarrassed do you think the Gator players are feeling right now? The Gators are a program rich with history, so we expect them to bounce back in a big way and trounced Colorado State. Look, Colorado State is the perfect opponent for the Gators to take their frustrations out on. The Rams are getting 2 million to come play in the swamp and have given up 550 yards rushing in two games. If the Gators can't exploit that (which we expect them to do) then they have more problems, then they lead on. Colorado State managed to beat Arkansas last week at home after winning the fourth quarter 17-0. Florida knows they can't take them lightly, but they also know if they play their game and execute, the Rams shouldn't even be on the same field as them.
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  3. #53  
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    Marc Lawrence

    a few more from vegas insider
    boise st
    tcu
    ole miss
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    Adam Thompson (CFB)

    MINN -13
    MIA -10.5
    KAN -2.5
    GATECH -3.5
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    Barrett Sallee (CFB 2-1)

    AZ ST -5
    USC +3
    WASH -6.5
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    Emory Hunt (CFB 7-1)

    USC +3
    HAWAII +6.5
    OK ST -3
    OHIO ST -12
    WISC -21.5
    OKLA -17.5
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  7. #57  
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    Hank Goldberg

    MISS +21
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  8. #58  
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    Josh Nagel (CFB 5-3)

    NV -3
    ND -13
    TEMPLE +17
    TX -3
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  9. #59  
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    Micah Roberts (CFB 7-2)

    ARMY OVER 62
    WASH -5
    AZ ST -5
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  10. #60  
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    Does Anyone get Sports Cheetahs Plays?
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  11. #61  
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    Mike Missanelli

    Auburn
    Ohio St
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  12. #62  
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    Viper

    strong
    hawaii over
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  13. #63  
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBig View Post
    Does Anyone get Sports Cheetahs Plays?
    I heard from a friend, he sucks! I will look into it.
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    Anyone have Megalocks plays this week?
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  15. #65  
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    vegasinsidertips us


    NCAA American Football
    Texas Tech - Houston : Under 70
    Oregon - San Jose State : Under 70
    Ole Miss - Alabama : Under 71
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    Anyone heard of acemanpicks. Com? He has 7* his biggest play. Thx
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  17. #67  
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    Quote Originally Posted by GrindItOut44 View Post
    Anyone have Megalocks plays this week?
    this was in the Newsletters forum:

    MEGALOCKS week #3. 1st pick released here each week, record so far 1-0-1.

    Vanderbilt at Notre Dame – College Football Predictions

    Vanderbilt at Notre Dame – College Football Predictions
    The Game
    The Irish are off to a 2-0 start and welcome the feisty Commodores to South Bend on Saturday afternoon. Notre Dame’s defense has been rock solid so far but the offense has been a little underwhelming. Vanderbilt crushed MTSU and Nevada in their first two games but this is a WHOLE different ball game.
    Let’s dig in to the analysis.
    The Details
    Notre Dame -14.5 Vanderbilt (51.5)
    MEGALOCKS LINE – Notre Dame -11
    “Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Notre Dame 33 Vanderbilt 18.5

    The Match-Up
    Notre Dame offense vs Ball St defense
    The Irish have done enough on offense to start the campaign with a couple of wins but they are ranked #94 in offense and #104 in rushing. Yes, they played Michigan in week one, but they also got the Ball St Cardinals at home in week two (117 yards rushing). Brandon Wimbush is a threat to take it to the house on every play when he is running the ball but he has struggled so far MATRICULATING down the field in the passing game. We all remember the big (jump ball) TD he threw against Michigan but that is his only TD pass of the season (4 INT). The offensive line still needs to find it’s way after losing a pair of 1st round NFL draft picks. Vandy has held down a pair of really good passing teams so far and allowed just 17 points in two games. They have also bagged 9 sacks and 6 turnovers. Last season the Commodores got PLOWED in conference play vs the run and the key to this game is the ability of Notre Dame to get the ground game (finally) going despite having no proven weapons in the RB group.
    Vanderbilt vs Notre Dame defense
    The Commodores scored 76 points in their first two games but they face one of the best defenses in college football on Saturday. We like the experience and savvy of QB Kyle Shurmur who has not thrown an INT yet this season (4 TDs) and a committee of running backs that is good enough to keep the Irish defense honest. Notre Dame has not had much to worry about in terms of defending the entire field so far this season and they will need to be aware of Vanderbilt’s ability to take some deep shots. The Irish secondary is solid but they will have to be on their toes. The Commodores’ top-3 RBs all average over 5 yards per carry so far but Notre Dame is allowing just 2.84 yards per carry. Vanderbilt will need to avoid turnovers and get something done on the ground to have a shot of winning straight up. Not impossible, but unlikely.
    Trends, Intangibles and More!
    Vanderbilt opens SEC play next week (South Carolina) whilst Notre Dame visits Wake Forest…..Vanderbilt HC Derek Mason has a .500 ATS mark as a road dog.
    Summary
    The Irish have scored 24 points in each of their first two games and have struggled to run the ball and win the time of possession battle (#111). Vanderbilt is a smart team that will not kill themselves with mistakes. Catching a couple of TDs or more seems like a decent move in a game that should be relatively low scoring. Notre Dame covers this game if they get the ground attack ripping through the Vandy defense. It’s hard to see that happening based on watching the first two games but that’s why they play the games, yo.
    Conclusion
    Official play: Vanderbilt +14.5 -110 (play down to +14)

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  18. #68  
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    BRUCE MARSHALL

    duke +6
    nevada -3
    tulsa -1
    purdue +6
    texas -3.5
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  19. #69  
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    Arthur Ralph Sports


    Super Pick - Houston U -1.5


    Gold Keys

    Baylor -6
    Auburn -10
    Nebraska -10
    Miami Canes -10
    Washington -4.5
    Boise St / Okla St Over 63.5
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  20. #70  
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    Vegasinsidertips us

    Texas Tech - Houston : Under 70
    Oregon - San Jose State : Under 70
    Ole Miss - Alabama : Under 71
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  21. #71  
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    Teddy Covers

    20* Big Ticket Nebraska-10
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  22. #72  
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    Quote Originally Posted by MATTYICE View Post
    Goodfella
    3* Utah +6
    3* parlay Auburn ml/San Fran ml
    2* Purdue +7
    2* Houston Over 68
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  23. #73  
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    Trace Adams

    For Saturday, 2000♦ Double-Your-Wager winner isthe Miami-Florida Hurricanes over the Toledo Rockets. At 7:00 am eastern time, the 'Canes are -12 points in Vegas and offshore.


    It took a little while last year for Miami to beat back Toledo, as the Hurricanes were on a three week layoff due to a hurricane, but the U who led just 38-30 early in the 4th quarter last season were able to tack on a pair of late scores to take it 52-30 both straight up and against the spread in their second game of the season.


    Now Toledo looks for revenge in this "home-and-home", but I don't see the Rockets gaining revenge, or even being within the point spread. Yes, they did post a 66-3 win over VMI on September 3rd, but playing off a bye-week, the Rockets enter with just a 1-5 spread mark.


    After starting slow in Arlington against LSU in their 33-17 loss, Miami regained some of their swagger with a 77-0 pasting of Savannah State last weekend.


    Toledo is in the rare role of home underdog, a role they have not been in since 2014. They happen to be just 1-4 against the spread in that role their last 5 home dog tries.


    Granted, Miami having failed their last 5 road/neutral site games against the spread gives me a little pause for concern, but after that loss to LSU, Mark Richt's team needs to not only rack up wins, but rack up wins convincingly.


    I do not expect the 'Canes to take their foot off the gas pedal in this one.


    Lay it with Miami-Florida at the Glass Bowl early Saturday afternoon.
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    Micah Roberts

    Added USC +3
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  25. #75  
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    Allan Desrosiers

    10 mizzou
    7 boise
    7 ball st over
    7 duke
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