Why the Pirates on Tuesday at +130...despite the game one loss, the Pirates are hot, winning five out of their last seven with a .299 BA and 7 HRs. Taking the ball for Pittsburgh will be Joe Musgrove, who has posted a 6.06 era over his L16 IP on 19 Ks and 1 BB. Musgrove is coming off of an encouraging home start against the Reds in which he allowed 2 ER over 6 IP on 8 Ks and 0 BBs. Taking a deeper look into that start, Joe posted a hard contact% of 18% (season low), which should fuel of boost of confidence heading into this road start against the Red Birds with a combined 49 ABs to match a .245 BA.
Miles Mikolas will toe the slab for St. Louis who has been trending in the wrong direction of late. Over Mikolas' L16 IP, he posted a 5.51 era on 32 H and 10 Ks; a drastic drop-off from his season era of 3.06 and a 4.40 K/BB ratio. There is room for concern for Mikolas as his velocity numbers have been hovering below season average over his last three starts. LHH have proven that they can get to Mikolas, as leftys have posted a .296 BA with 10 HRs over 90 IP. With that being said, we will fade Miles against this lefty heavy lineup; a lineup that has a healthy 93 ABs to match a .258 BA. We will back this Pirates bullpen who has posted a 3.41 era over their L14 Days with a 4.67 K/BB ratio, compared to the Cardinals bullpen who posted a 4.63 era with a 1.29 K/BB ratio.
Cardinals currently taking 72% of the action with LM from -140 to -138.
Play on the Pirates at +130
Miles Mikolas will toe the slab for St. Louis who has been trending in the wrong direction of late. Over Mikolas' L16 IP, he posted a 5.51 era on 32 H and 10 Ks; a drastic drop-off from his season era of 3.06 and a 4.40 K/BB ratio. There is room for concern for Mikolas as his velocity numbers have been hovering below season average over his last three starts. LHH have proven that they can get to Mikolas, as leftys have posted a .296 BA with 10 HRs over 90 IP. With that being said, we will fade Miles against this lefty heavy lineup; a lineup that has a healthy 93 ABs to match a .258 BA. We will back this Pirates bullpen who has posted a 3.41 era over their L14 Days with a 4.67 K/BB ratio, compared to the Cardinals bullpen who posted a 4.63 era with a 1.29 K/BB ratio.
Cardinals currently taking 72% of the action with LM from -140 to -138.
Play on the Pirates at +130
