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Opening Line Report - Week 2
Joe Williams

Sunday, Sept. 16

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins (-5.5, 46)

The good news is that the Colts got their franchise quarterback, Andrew Luck, back from his lengthy injury. He looked good, but the results were the same, as Indy lost to Cincinnati. Meanwhile, the Redskins opened with a 24-6 road win against the Cardinals, so they're moderate favorites to win their home opener.

The line has held steady at -5.5 at most books, while Washington opened -4.5 at the the Westgate Superbook before rising to -5.5 like the others.

Washington was 2-0 SU/ATS in their two games at home against the AFC last season, and they're 4-1 SU/ATS in the past five at FedEx Field vs. AFC.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-5.5, 44.5)

The Panthers struggled offensive and lost TE Greg Olsen (foot) to injury, while the Falcons have had a few extra days to recover after opening with a Thursday loss in Week 1. The line opened at -4.5 to -5 at most shops, and was up to -6 at the Mirage-MGM by Monday afternoon.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (PK, 46)

This game opened with the Packers slight favorites on Sunday night, but the script has flipped at most shops with the Vikings either a pick 'em or even slightly favored. At the Golden Nugget it was OFF, as there is some uncertain about the health of Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (knee) going into Week 2.

Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5, 43) at Buffalo Bills

The Bills were paddled in Week 1 on the road, already have a quarterback dilemma, and the best QB they had in camp is now wearing silver and black. The Chargers hammered Buffalo by a 54-24 on Nov. 19 last season, cashing as seven-point favorites. The movement has been on the total side, opening at 44 at most shops only to tumble to 43 or 43.5, and it might not be done yet with a lot of doubt about Buffalo's offensive ability.

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (OFF)

This game is currently off the board due to the uncertain status of QB Marcus Mariota (elbow), who suffered injury in Week 1 in Miami. Even if Mariota can play, he'll be without a big weapon in TE Delanie Walker. The Titans were a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS at home inside the division last season.

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, 53)

The marquee game of the Sunday schedule looked to be the Chiefs-Steelers, and Kansas City held up their end of the bargain with an offensive showcast on the road against the Chargers last week. The Steelers squandered a 14-point lead heading into the fourth quarter in Cleveland, settling for a tie in a sloppy, rain and miscue-filled second half.

There hasn't been much movement on the line, but the total opened as low as 50 at the the Stratosphere before rising to 53 in about eight hours.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (OFF)

Jets rookie Sam Darnold opened with a pick-six in the first 20 seconds of his NFL career. They recovered, running to a 48-17 win. It was their first time cracking 40 points since they outscored Buffalo 48-28 in the season opener on Sept. 9, 2012. In other words, expect a bit of a backslide at home.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 44) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The defending champs gutted out an 18-12 defensive battle win against the Falcons in a game which resembled a preseason game. They've had 10 days to make the necessary adjustments. The Bucs had no such issues on offense, displaying a little 'Fitz-magic' in New Orleans, 48-40. Despite the offensive explosive from the Bucs in Week 1, the line is just 44 on the grass surface in Tampa. The Bucs scored 21 or more points in five of their eight games at the RayJay last season.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints (-8.5, 50)

The Browns battled back to a tie against the Steelers in Week 1, gaining a little confidence. The Saints opened Week 2 as the heaviest favorites on the board. They held the same honor in the opening week and lost outright as double-digit favorites.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (OFF)

The offense of the Cards sputtered, as coach Steve Wilks joined the club of new coaches to lose their Week 1 game. Meanwhile, the Rams lambasted Chucky and the Raiders 33-13 and will now go to L.A. for a little home cooking. L.A. outscored Arizona 65-16 in two meetings in 2017, including a 33-0 shellacking in the Coliseum on Oct. 22, 2017.

Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers (OFF)

Lions QB Matthew Stafford looked colorblind, as he almost threw as many passes to Jets defenders as he threw to his own receivers. It wasn't the 'Patriot Way' that Matt Patricia hoped to bring to Motown. It looked like the same old Lions instead. Meanwhile, Jimmy Garoppolo enters this game in unchartered territory, looking to rebound after his first loss as an NFL starter.

New England Patriots (-2.5, 45) at Jacksonville Jaguars

If you want to be the best, you have to beat the best. Down in Duuuuuval, there are high expectations on the Jaguars. A couple of things are affecting this line, however. First off, it's the Patriots, who almost seem to be good for an automatic three points for mystique. Two, and likely most importantly, Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette left the opener with a hamstring injury and he is uncertain for Week 2.

The Patriots won and covered their only game last season favorite by less than three points, topping Pittsburgh 27-24 at Heinz Field on Dec. 17. New England is 4-0 SU/ATS as a favorite of four or less in their past four games.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (OFF)

There is hope in the Mile High City again, winning their opener with Case Keenum under center. That wasn't the 'case' in Oakland on Monday, as the Raiders looked horrific on offense in Chucky's debut, and he failed to make the correct adjustments in the second half in a chess match with Sean McVay.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 42.5)

The Giants didn't muster much in the way of offense, losing to the Jaguars at home. They faced one of the most gifted defensive units in the league, and rookie RB Saquon Barkley looked like the real deal. Outside of RB Ezekiel Elliott, the Cowboys are pretty devoid of playmakers at the skill positions. It showed in a 16-8 loss in Carolina.

Dallas blasted New York 19-3 in Jerry World on Sept. 10, 2017, and 30-10 at MetLife on Dec. 10, covering both games which resulted in unders. The total at the Stations opened at 43.5 and has been bet down to 42, as bettors aren't feeling the offenses.


 

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Sunday, September 16

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INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 0) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 62-95 ATS (-42.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (1 - 0) at ATLANTA (0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 114-84 ATS (+21.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at GREEN BAY (1 - 0) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 187-134 ATS (+39.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (0 - 1) at BUFFALO (0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (1 - 0) at NY JETS (0-0) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 71-100 ATS (-39.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 0) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (0 - 0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (0 - 1) at LA RAMS (0-0) - 9/16/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 184-232 ATS (-71.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 184-232 ATS (-71.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 132-183 ATS (-69.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 62-97 ATS (-44.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 3-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0-0) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (1 - 0) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 0) - 9/16/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (0-0) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 9/16/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (0 - 1) at DALLAS (0 - 1) - 9/16/2018, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 17

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SEATTLE (0 - 1) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 9/17/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 

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NFL

Week 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report

Sunday, September 16

Houston Texans
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee's last 15 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Minnesota is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 5-11-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 2-6-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 12 games at home
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 9-3-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 6-18-1 ATS in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 15 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland


Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Carolina is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Carolina is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina


Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 9 games
Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Indianapolis is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indianapolis's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 9 games when playing Washington
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Redskins
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis


Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Philadelphia's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games
Kansas City is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 10-2-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City


Miami Dolphins
Miami is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
NY Jets is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
NY Jets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami


Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
LA Chargers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Buffalo's last 16 games at home
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers


Detroit Lions
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
Detroit is 1-6-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
San Francisco is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Detroit
San Francisco is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


Arizona Cardinals
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Arizona's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Arizona is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games
LA Rams is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
LA Rams is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games at home
LA Rams is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
LA Rams is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona


Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Denver is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Denver is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oakland
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland


New England Patriots
New England is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games
New England is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New England's last 16 games
New England is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
New England is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Jacksonville is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing New England
 

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Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Sep. 16

INDIANAPOLIS at WASHINGTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Colts were 10-5 as dog 2013-15 reg-season action before Luck’s various injuries past two years. Indy “over” 16-8 away in reg season since 2015. Jay Gruden “over” 24-13 since late in 2015.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Colts, based on “totals” and team trends.

CAROLINA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Cam however is 11-4 as dog since 2015. “Unders” 9-1 last 10 meetings, and Falcs “under” 14-5 since last season.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vikes have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings, but Rodgers missed one and most of the other meeting last season. Note “unders” 6-1 last 7 meetings. Pack “over” 21-11 entering 2018. In case Zimmer a dog note he’s 18-9 in role in reg season with Vikings since 2014.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Vikings, especially if dog, based on “totals” and trends.

L.A. CHARGERS at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bills only 4-6 as dog (1-2 in role at Orchard Park) for McDermott. Bolts rolled 54-24 LY. Bolts 8-3-1 vs. spread last 9 in 2017.
Tech Edge: Chargers, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Watson 3-0 vs. line on road in games he started last season. Texans also “over” in 5 of Watson’s last 6 starts. Titans ”over” 24-12-1 regular season games since late in 2015 campaign.
Tech Edge: Texans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

KANSAS CITY at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Tomlin 6-2 vs. line last eight years in Week 2. Tomlin also 8-3 vs. points in his 11 home openers at Heinz Field. Steel entered 2018 “under” 33-17-1 since late 2014.
Tech Edge: Slight to Steel, based on Tomlin marks.

MIAMI at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dolphins 1-7 vs. line last 8 in 2017 away from home. Jets 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 as host.
Tech Edge: Jets, based on team trends.

PHILADELPHIA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds 7-3 vs. spread last ten away from Linc. Also on 17-5-1 spread run since late 2016. Bucs, however, have covered last six as home dog. Bucs also “under” 9-2 last 11 at home.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on team trends.

CLEVELAND at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Brownies 7-14 vs. line last 21 away, also “over” 8-3 last 11 away. Saints “over” 22-11 reg season Superdome since 2014.
Tech Edge: Saints and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

ARIZONA at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Rams destroyed Cards both times LY combined 65-16 score. Though LA just 4-10-1 vs. spread at Coliseum since returning in 2016 (“home” game vs. Big Red LY in London). Rams “over” 13-6 last 19 reg season games Cards just 2-6 vs. line away in 2017.
Tech Edge: “Over” and Rams, based on “totals” and recent series trends.

DETROIT at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Lions were just 11-21 as dog reg season 2014-17 for Caldwell. Detroit "over" 7-2 last nine away, 49ers “over” 9-5 last 14 at Levi’s.
Tech Edge: 49ers and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NEW ENGLAND at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Belichick 11-4 as reg season road chalk past two seasons. Pats also “under” 12-4-1 reg season road since late 2015. Jags only 0-1 as home dog LY.
Tech Edge: Pats and “under,” based on Belichick trends.

OAKLAND at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Broncos have won and covered 5 of last 6 as host vs. Raiders. Oakland covered only 2 of last 15 since early 2017 (one of those Ws vs. Denver). “Unders” 5-1 last six in series.
Tech Edge: Broncos and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at DALLAS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Dallas 3-1-1 vs. line at home vs. NYG after struggling as series host prior. Last four “under” in series, and G-Men also “under” 23-10 reg season since 2016. Dallas 4-7-1 last line last 12 as reg season host.
Tech Edge: "Under,” based on “totals” trends.
 

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Injury questions swirling around Week 2

The Packers host the Vikings on Sunday afternoon and are currently 1-point faves, meaning oddsmakers assume Rodgers will indeed play. But keep an eye on his status.

With Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season in the books we quickly turn our attention to Week 2. So, we’re delivering the need-to-know notes for cracking the NFL odds this week, including the multitude of injuries affecting lines, a potential shootout in Pittsburgh and much more.

BALDWIN OUT?

Reports Monday say that Seahawks receiver Doug Baldwin has a Grade 2 partial MCL tear and is in danger of missing Week 2 at Chicago and that’s bad news for an already-thin Seattle receiving corps. If Baldwin can’t go, it’ll leave Brandon Marshall and Tyler Lockett to soak up targets from Russell Wilson.

The Bears opened as a 3-point favorite after their crushing second-half letdown that resulted in a loss to the Packers. But really, that loss was just Aaron Rodgers being Aaron Rodgers (and a terrible blown coverage by the secondary on Randall Cobb’s winner). The takeaway for bettors from that game should be that the Bears looked good. They showed creativity and spark in Matt Nagy’s new offense and Khalil Mack proved his worth in limited snaps. We’ll dig into this game more throughout the week but grab the Bears -3 before the line grows.

TITANS HURTING

Tennessee tight end Delanie Walker is officially out for the season with a busted ankle while quarterback Marcus Mariota left Sunday’s game in the third quarter with an elbow injury. Mariota was replaced by Blaine Gabbert. Coach Mike Vrabel said things were “looking OK” for Mariota, but bettors really shouldn’t be worried about who plays Sunday at home against Houston. Either Mariota will be playing banged up or it's Blaine Gabbert, who just isn’t very good.

Tennessee's offense scored just one touchdown against the Dolphins on a run by Dion Lewis. The passing game was brutal, gaining 220 yards on 38 attempts and throwing three interceptions. The Titans are a mess offensively and bettors should look at the team total Under as soon as the line opens.

HOUSTON TO IMPROVE

Let’s keep picking on the Titans. Houston plays its second road game in as many weeks when it travels to Tennessee after Sunday’s 27-20 loss to New England. But let’s look at two key factors from that loss. First, Houston’s offensive line got pushed around by New England’s much-improved defensive line. But with a week of practice, it should be able to give Deshaun Watson some time in the pocket after the Titans did next to nothing in terms of pressuring Ryan Tannehill on Sunday (1 sack, 2 QB hits).

Second, Watson looked rusty. He missed numerous open receivers and it would’ve been a different game had he made a few passes. Rust was to be expected after Watson’s long layoff from his ACL tear last season but make no mistake — Watson is a stud. He’ll be better next week, and the Texans should hammer the Titans. The line isn’t out yet as oddsmakers are likely waiting on Mariota’s availability, but bettors should jump on the Houston spread as soon as it gets posted.

SHOOTOUT COMING IN PITTSBURGH

The Kansas City-Pittsburgh game for Sunday opened with a total of 49.5 and has already jumped to 53. From a Kansas City perspective, it’s easy to see why: Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and the rest of the Chiefs offense looked deadly in lighting up the Chargers for 38 points in L.A. This is going to be one of the best offense in the NFL this season.

But bettors might be wondering about Pittsburgh’s six turnovers against Cleveland and thinking the Under might be a decent play. Don’t. The Steelers are a completely different offense at home, especially through the air where they attempted 66 more passes and averaged 54.3 more passing yards per game than they did on the road in 2017. Pittsburgh also plans to run a lot of no-huddle in 2018, something it couldn’t do much of because of the terrible weather in Cleveland in Week 1. The total is high, but it could keep going up — grab the Over 53 before it goes any higher.

WILL RODGERS PLAY IN WEEK 2?

Aaron Rodgers leading the Packers to victory after getting carted off the field with a knee injury was a win for the ages. Rodgers has said he’ll play against Minnesota in Week 2, while coach Mike McCarthy isn’t so sure, saying the team “is still collecting information.” The Packers host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday afternoon and are currently a 1-point favorite with a total of 46.5, meaning oddsmakers assume Rodgers will indeed play. Keep an eye on the news feed and if there’s even the slightest hint throughout the week that Rodgers will sit, jump on the Vikings as a slight underdog.
 

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Sunday, September 16

Indianapolis @ Washington

Game 261-262
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
121.961
Washington
134.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5 1/2); Over

Carolina @ Atlanta

Game 263-264
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
135.209
Atlanta
138.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+6); Under

Minnesota @ Green Bay

Game 265-266
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
138.734
Green Bay
126.729
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 12
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 1
46
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+1); Over

LA Chargers @ Buffalo

Game 267-268
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
131.964
Buffalo
121.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 10 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-7); Under

Houston @ Tennessee

Game 269-270
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
00.000
Tennessee
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston

Dunkel Pick:
Houston
( );

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh

Game 271-272
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
131.462
Pittsburgh
138.891
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-5); Over

Miami @ NY Jets

Game 273-274
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
127.435
NY Jets
135.690
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 8
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-3); Under

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay

Game 275-276
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
144.349
Tampa Bay
136.353
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 8
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-3); Under

Cleveland @ New Orleans

Game 277-278
September 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
119.843
New Orleans
138.673
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 19
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 8 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-8 1/2); Over

Arizona @ LA Rams

Game 279-280
September 16, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
126.768
LA Rams
135.526
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 9
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 13
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+13); Under

Detroit @ San Francisco

Game 281-282
September 16, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
127.484
San Francisco
129.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 5 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+5 1/2); Over

New England @ Jacksonville

Game 283-284
September 16, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
139.646
Jacksonville
135.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 4 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 2
45
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-2); Under

Oakland @ Denver

Game 285-286
September 16, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
117.649
Denver
132.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 15
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-5 1/2); Over

NY Giants @ Dallas

Game 287-288
September 16, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
130.817
Dallas
127.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 3 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+3); Under
 

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Be careful not to overreact to these results when betting the NFL Week 2 odds
Steve Paul

Is Ryan Fitzpatrick the best QB in the NFL? Are the Buffalo Bills the worst team in NFL history? Those might seem like crazy questions (at least the first one does…) but if you could only base your answer on Week 1, I think is “yes” to both.

As usual early in the season, we’re left trying to decide what’s real and what’s not as we look forward to Week 2. Let’s talk generally about regression before diving into some more specific situations.

Regression to the mean sounds straightforward but is easy to miss. The idea is simple, after an extreme performance the next one will generally be closer to the average. Once you learn about it, you see it everywhere.

Throw a pick 6 - maybe on your first ever NFL throw? The very next throw is likely to be better. Put up an MVP season and get put on the cover of Madden? Next season is likely to be worse. The smaller the sample or bigger the outlier, the more regression you can expect (I’m looking at you Ryan Fitzpatrick).

Now let’s size up some of the outliers from Week 1 and what to expect in Week 2.

Big winners/losers in Week 1

Five teams won by more than 10 points in Week 1: should we expect their good play to continue? History would suggest not so much. Since 2002, teams that win by 10 or more points in Week 1 are just 60-58 straight up and 54-58-6 ATS in Week 2.

Similarly, the big losers tend to perform better in Week 2. They’re only 51-66 straight up – teams that lose by 10-plus tend to be below average teams – but 57-56-4 ATS.

The takeaway: don’t let one performance drastically affect your Week 2 projections for a team.

Offensive explosions and defensive stalwarts

We saw a number of offenses go crazy in Week 1, perhaps most impressively the Ryan Fitzpatrick-led Bucs. Again, these teams have a history of coming back to earth in Week 2. Since 2002, teams who scored 35 points or more in Week 1 averaged just 22.3 points in Week 2 - versus 18.8 points for teams scoring 10 points or fewer in Week 1. Those teams putting up a lot of points are better offenses, just not nearly as much as it might at first appear.

What about the great/terrible defensive performances? I’m thinking you see the trend by now. The “great” Week 1 defenses are better than the terrible ones, but only by about three points. Don’t make the mistake of completely ignoring a one-game sample, but be careful how far you move your projections.

Potential overreactions

The total for the Chargers at Bills matchup has dropped from 44.5 to 43 after the Bills’ disastrous opening game. With Josh Allen starting at QB, we have a likely regression candidate against an explosive Chargers offense and a Bolts defense that struggled in Week 1. Put me down for the Over.

The Cardinals at Rams total has dropped two points to 45 and the line has moved to -13 after Arizona struggled in Week 1. We saw Oakland move the ball well versus the Rams before Derek Carr’s second-half implosion, and I’m willing to bet David Johnson & Co. rebound a bit after a slow start.

One move that’s warranted based on Week 1 is the Chiefs-Steelers total going up three points, from 49.5 to 52.5. For those players we don’t have much of a sample on (Pat Mahomes and James Conner for example), we should be willing to adjust more. Both looked great in Week 1, and Kansas City confirmed that its defense is as bad or worse than we expected it to be after 2017. Unless this number skyrockets out of control, I won’t be going anywhere near the Under.
 

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NFL Underdogs: Week 2 pointspread picks and predictions
Jason Logan

Oddsmakers tend to shy away from a one-legged man in an ass-kicking contest. Unless that one-legged man is Aaron Rodgers.

The Green Bay Packers quarterback proved he’s just as dangerous with one good wheel as he is with two, bringing the Cheeseheads back from the dead to sting the Chicago Bears in the fourth quarter last Sunday night.

And now, Green Bay – with Rodgers’ health reaching Robert Stack-levels of mystery – is a slim home favorite hosting the Minnesota Vikings in Week 2.

Rarely, do NFL underdog bettors get to play on a quality team like the Vikings. And even more rare is that quality squad taking on an injured playcaller with a so-so team around them. And even more, more rare – like steak tartar and a sensible Twitter debate – has that elite team been responsible for sidelining said quarterback with injury just last season.

Minnesota getting the points is the "talking rainbow unicorn" of underdog bets – at least two weeks into the young 2018 season (last year’s was the Colts +1 at home to Cleveland. Indianapolis won 31-28).

It’s not only what the Vikes defense can do against a less-than-mobile Rodgers that has me seeing purple. I love what I saw from Kirk Cousins and his receivers in Week 1’s win over San Francisco. Minnesota’s $84-million-dollar man was completely in sync with his targets and even when plays broke down and Cousins was under pressure, his guys knew where to be and he knew where to find them.

It’s good to see the Vikings and Packers getting their money’s worth out of both QBs in this game – there’s potentially $264 million under center Sunday – but I’m not much for buying damaged goods. No matter how hard that one-legged man can kick.

Pick: Minnesota +1

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-3, 43.5)

Sam Darnold’s coming-out party on Monday Night Football is overshadowing what the Dolphins did in Week 1. Miami grabbed a 27-20 victory versus Tennessee as a 1-point home dog in a very weird and wild game, that challenged a Red Sox-Yankees ALCS Game 7 in terms of length.

The Fins got a good/bad performance from Ryan Tannehill but looked strong on the ground, amounting 120 yards rushing from Frank Gore and Kenyan Drake. That’s pretty good considering this Titans defense hung its hat on stopping the run last season (only 3.6 yards against per carry).

The Jets' run stopping is worse than Tennessee. Much worse. Sure, New York limited the Lions to only 39 yards on the ground Monday, but Detroit had to abandon the run after falling behind. New York did little to stop opponents’ running backs in the preseason and allowed 118 yards against on the ground per game last year.

I also expect the Miami pass rush to show up after posting a goose egg in the sacks column versus Tennessee. Cameron Wake and Robert Quinn will rebound in Week 2, and Darnold’s shooting star will fall to earth and leave a nasty grease stain on the grass at MetLife Stadium.

Pick: Miami +3

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 42.5)

Odell Beckham and Saquon Barkley rolled over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1. Now, if they could just get the rest of the Giants to come along. New York received 74 percent of its offensive gains from those two players in a 20-15 loss in Week 1 – a game in which the G-Men outgained the Jags by 19 yards.

Those two stars will shine under the Sunday Night Football spotlight in Week 2, coming to AT&T Stadium to face the one-dimensional Dallas Cowboys. That said, Dallas will be more dynamic with the football – having a week to add new wrinkles and iron out others. That shouldn’t be too hard, considering the Cowboys' stagnent mud puddle of a playbook spawned legions of blood-sucking mosquitos but only eight points in Week 1.

I have a gut feeling that the Giants are going to sell a shit ton of No. 13 and No. 26 jerseys after this Sunday nighter, if they weren’t already.

Pick: N.Y Giants +3
 

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(275) PHILADELPHIA @ (276) TAMPA BAY | 09/16/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play ON PHILADELPHIA using the money line in All games in all lined games
The record is 17 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.90 units)
 

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(275) PHILADELPHIA @ (276) TAMPA BAY | 09/16/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play ON PHILADELPHIA using the money line in All games in all games
The record is 17 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.90 units)
 

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(283) NEW ENGLAND @ (284) JACKSONVILLE | 09/16/2018 - 4:25 PM
Play ON NEW ENGLAND against the spread in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 19 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+15.70 units)
 

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Preview: Chargers at Bills
Gracenote
Sep 13, 2018

The Buffalo Bills will try to get past an embarrassing season-opening loss by turning to rookie Josh Allen at quarterback when they host the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. Allen, who was drafted seventh overall in April, replaced Nathan Peterman in the third quarter in last week's 47-3 loss at Baltimore and will take over to begin the home opener.

"At the end of the day, he's a young player," coach Sean McDermott told reporters. "We keep that all in mind, manage expectations, and know that we embrace that growth mindset that there's going to be some challenges, some adversity, and you keep learning as you go and you embrace that." There figure to be loads of challenges and adversity for the Bills if they continue to play like they did last Sunday, when they managed a measly 153 total yards in the team's most lopsided loss in nearly 11 years. The Chargers are also looking for a rebound performance after a 38-28 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1. Los Angeles routed Buffalo 54-24 last year while intercepting Peterman -- who was making his first career start -- five times in the first half alone.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chargers -7. O/U: 43

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (0-1): Veteran quarterback Philip Rivers threw for 418 yards and three touchdowns last week -- despite a handful of notable drops by his receivers -- as Los Angeles outgained Kansas City by nearly 200 yards and had a 33-19 advantage in first downs. Melvin Gordon had 64 yards rushing and another 102 on nine receptions while Keenan Allen -- who had 159 yards receiving and two TDs last year against Buffalo -- hauled in eight catches for 108 yards and a score versus the Chiefs. Star defensive end Joey Bosa missed the opener and is reportedly not expected to be available for this one as he tries to overcome a bone bruise in his left foot.

ABOUT THE BILLS (0-1): Buffalo responded to last year's 30-point loss to the Chargers by winning four of its next six games to end a long postseason drought, and the current unit is hoping for another turnaround. "It's one game and we have to keep things in proper perspective," McDermott told the media. "We're still finding out who we are as a football team, and we have to continue to grow and learn from the film." Allen completed 6-of-15 passes for 74 yards and added 26 yards on the ground in his limited action.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Bills RB LeSean McCoy has 32 rushing yards in 18 attempts over his last two regular-season games.

2. Los Angeles RB Austin Ekeler had five catches and five runs in Week 1, compiling 126 total yards and a TD.

3. The Chargers have won the last three meetings by an average of 23 points.

PREDICTION: Chargers 27, Bills 18
 

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ATS Trends
L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Chargers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.
Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Buffalo

Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Bills are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games in Week 2.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
L.A. Chargers

Under is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 7-1 in Chargers last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games overall.
Under is 10-2 in Chargers last 12 vs. AFC.
Over is 10-2 in Chargers last 12 games in Week 2.
Under is 13-3 in Chargers last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-2-1 in Chargers last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Chargers last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Buffalo

Over is 7-1 in Bills last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 16-5 in Bills last 21 home games.
Over is 16-5 in Bills last 21 games on turf.
Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 18-7-1 in Bills last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games in Week 2.
Over is 15-7 in Bills last 22 games following a straight up loss.

Head to Head

Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
 

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Preview: Texans at Titans
Gracenote
Sep 12, 2018

The Tennessee Titans started the Mike Vrabel era with a loss last week, but the first-year head coach should have his team well prepared for Week 2. Vrabel and the Titans will try to earn their first win when they host his former team, the Houston Texans, on Sunday.

Vrabel spent three seasons coaching the linebackers in Houston before serving as defensive coordinator in 2017 and certainly has the respect of the Texans. "Any time guys in this league have a guy like that teaching them, it's a good thing," Houston head coach Bill O'Brien told reporters of Vrabel. "He's been there. Mike did a great job for us. He's an excellent coach, a good teacher. He can inspire his players. Everybody here had great respect for Mike, and we appreciate everything he did for us." Vrabel's new team dealt with a pair of lightning delays in his debut before falling at Miami 27-20 in Week 1 and is experiencing some key injuries on offense heading into Sunday. The Texans are looking for their first win as well after dropping a 27-20 decision at New England and lost a pair of key players as right tackle Sentreal Henderson (ankle) and cornerback Kevin Johnson (concussion) were placed on injured reserve.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Texans -1.5. O/U: 45

ABOUT THE TEXANS (0-1): Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson opened eyes during an injury-shortened 2017 rookie campaign but struggled in Week 1, completing 50 percent of his passes for 176 yards, one touchdown and one interception. "For me as a quarterback, I want to be on the same page with the receivers all the time," Watson told reporters. "We just misconnected on some throws and wasn’t on the same page. So, we’re going to correct that this week and move forward." Watson is expected to get another weapon in the passing game on Sunday with the return of wide receiver Will Fuller V, who sat out Week 1 with a hamstring injury.

ABOUT THE TITANS (0-1): Tennessee franchise quarterback Marcus Mariota endured a season debut to forget when he managed 103 passing yards and was intercepted twice before leaving with an elbow injury, but he returned to practice this week. "I am feeling pretty good," Mariota told reporters after practice on Wednesday. "I am kind of taking it one day at a time, but I was able to go through practice today and felt pretty good. For me, I just went through practice and felt it went fine." Mariota may be dealing with some protection issues in Week 2 with left tackle Taylor Lewan in the concussion protocol and right tackle Jack Conklin (knee), who sat out Week 1, still limited in practice.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Texans S Tyrann Mathieu recovered a fumble and recorded an interception in his team debut last week.

2. Titans rookie LB Rashaan Evans (hamstring) was a full participant in practice on Wednesday and is on track to make his NFL debut Sunday.

3. The home team took each of the last four in the series, with Tennessee grabbing a 24-13 victory in the most recent meeting on Dec. 3.

PREDICTION: Texans 31, Titans 24
 

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ATS Trends
Houston

Texans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 2.
Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Texans are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Texans are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

Tennessee

Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Titans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Titans are 17-36-3 ATS in their last 56 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 15-40-4 ATS in their last 59 vs. AFC.
Titans are 8-26-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

OU Trends
Houston

Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-1-1 in Texans last 9 games in September.
Under is 6-1 in Texans last 7 games overall.
Under is 6-1 in Texans last 7 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 12-4 in Texans last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 vs. AFC South.
Over is 5-2 in Texans last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 29-13 in Texans last 42 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Tennessee

Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 8-3 in Titans last 11 games in September.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games in Week 2.
Over is 14-6-1 in Titans last 21 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 37-16-3 in Titans last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 13-6-1 in Titans last 20 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head to Head

Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Tennessee.
 

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Preview: Dolphins at Jets
Gracenote
Sep 13, 2018

The hysteria surrounding New York Jets rookie Sam Darnold has been ratcheted up mere moments after the completion of the 2018 NFL Draft, with the tabloids' loud headlines doing little to silence an enthusiastic fan base that has seen plenty of mediocrity at the quarterback position. After a promising season-opening performance, Darnold will make his home debut on Sunday as the Jets host the Miami Dolphins at MetLife Stadium.

"It's only been one game. To sit here and say whether he's great or whether he's trash or whether he's anything else, it's way too early for that," New York coach Todd Bowles said of Darnold, who completed 16 of 21 passes and threw two touchdown passes in a 48-17 romp of Detroit on Monday. Robby Anderson made the most of his lone target by reeling in a 41-yard scoring strike against the Lions, and the wideout bids for a fourth straight game with a touchdown versus the Dolphins. While Darnold has become an overnight sensation in a New York minute, Miami needed over seven hours to post a season-opening 27-20 win over Tennessee -- due in a large part to a pair of lightning delays. Ryan Tannehill completed 20 of 28 passes for 230 yards with two touchdowns and as many interceptions while playing for the first time since sustaining a knee injury during the late stages of the 2016 season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jets -3. O/U: 44

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (1-0): Named one of the team captains this season, Kenny Stills led by example against the Titans by catching four of five targets for 106 yards and two scores -- highlighted by a 75-yard touchdown reception. The 26-year-old's multi-score game was his first since Oct. 22, when he had six catches in Miami's 31-28 win over New York. Fellow wideout DeVante Parker (broken finger) looks to make his season debut versus the Jets, against whom the former first-round draft pick had eight receptions for 76 yards and a score in a 20-6 loss on Sept. 24. Defensive end Cameron Wake lit up New York with 2 1/2 sacks in the most recent encounter to raise his total to 6 1/2 in his past four meetings.

ABOUT THE JETS (1-0): The opportunistic defense picked off Matthew Stafford five times on Monday, an impressive total considering New York had just 11 interceptions last season -- with four coming against Miami. Darron Lee created headlines by claiming the defense knew Stafford's signals, prompting Bowles to pour water on his linebacker's claim. "We didn't know any audibles and we didn't know any plays," Bowles said. "Those guys did a good job following out their assignments that the coaches taught them." Lee, who matched Buster Skrine with a team-high seven tackles, had two interceptions against the Lions and 11 tackles and a forced fumble versus Miami on Oct. 22.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Miami WR/KR Jakeem Grant was named the AFC Special Teams Player of the Week after totaling 125 yards on two kickoff returns -- including a 102-yard scamper for a touchdown.

2. New York RB Isaiah Crowell rushed for two touchdowns in the season opener and is averaging a league-best 10.2 yards per carry.

3. Dolphins S Reshad Jones recorded his first career multi-interception performance on Sunday.

PREDICTION: Jets 20, Dolphins 16
 

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ATS Trends
Miami

Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Dolphins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 2.
Dolphins are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Dolphins are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
Dolphins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Dolphins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East.
Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

N.Y. Jets

Jets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Jets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 2.
Jets are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Jets are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

OU Trends
Miami

Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 9-3 in Dolphins last 12 games overall.
Over is 9-3 in Dolphins last 12 vs. AFC East.
Over is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-3 in Dolphins last 10 vs. AFC.
Over is 11-5 in Dolphins last 16 games following a ATS win.

N.Y. Jets

Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 6-2 in Jets last 8 games on fieldturf.
Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 vs. AFC East.
Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Dolphins are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
 

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Preview: Colts at Redskins
Gracenote
Sep 13, 2018


The Washington Redskins' defense was impressive in a Week 1 win at Arizona but it will be tested in the coming weeks by a string of top-notch quarterbacks, beginning with Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, who visit the nation's capital for a matchup Sunday. The Redskins held the Cardinals to 68 yards rushing and forced a pair of turnovers in a dominating 24-6 win last Sunday.


"I think any coach has that vision," Washington coach Jay Gruden told reporters. "That's what pro football is all about: your ability to run the ball and stop the run. And we're getting there. We've got a long way to go, but I'm happy the way this game ended." The Redskins will now face Luck - who was solid in his return from a shoulder injury that robbed him of the entire 2017 season - followed by star signal-callers Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Cam Newton over the next four contests. The Colts raced to a 13-point lead in the third quarter last week against Cincinnati before fading down the stretch and turning the ball over in the final minute in a 34-23 loss. Luck completed 39-of-53 passes for 319 yards and two touchdowns in his first regular-season game since Jan. 1, 2017.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Redskins -6 O/U: 46.5


ABOUT THE COLTS (0-1): Luck will have a big member of his protection unit available Sunday when standout left tackle Anthony Castonzo returns from a hamstring injury that caused him to miss the opener. "Certainly having Anthony back is a plus," Luck told reporters. "I think he's elite at what he does. He's an elite left tackle, and he's also a great friend of mine, so it's great to have one of your friends back in the huddle. I'm excited for him. He's excited as well." Tight end Jack Doyle had seven catches for a team-high 60 yards against the Bengals but it was his fumble in the final minute that was returned 83 yards for a clinching score as Indianapolis was driving for a potential game-winning touchdown.


ABOUT THE REDSKINS (1-0): While the defense turned heads in the opener, Washington was pleased with its new-look backfield. Quarterback Alex Smith (21-of-30, 255 yards and a TD) was solid in his team debut, as was running back Adrian Peterson, who ran 26 times for 96 yards and a TD and also recorded a team-high 70 receiving yards -- his best total since 2011 -- against the team with whom he finished last season. His backup, Chris Thompson, needed just five carries to pick up 65 yards and added 63 yards and a TD through the air as Smith relied heavily on his running backs and tight ends in the passing game.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Redskins rookie WRs Trey Quinn and Cam Sims both had ankle surgery and were placed on injured reserve.


2. Colts DT Margus Hunt had two sacks and three tackles for a loss in the opener.


3. Indianapolis won the last three meetings, including the most recent matchup in 2014, when Luck threw for 370 yards and a career-high five TDs in a 49-27 rout.


PREDICTION: Redskins 27, Colts 24
 

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ATS Trends
Indianapolis

Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Colts are 34-15 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up loss.
Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Colts are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Colts are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

Washington

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Redskins are 7-15-3 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Redskins are 13-28-2 ATS in their last 43 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Redskins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
Indianapolis

Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 road games.
Under is 7-0 in Colts last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 10-1 in Colts last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Colts last 9 games overall.
Under is 7-1 in Colts last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 21-5 in Colts last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Colts last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Colts last 8 games in September.
Over is 19-7 in Colts last 26 games on grass.

Washington

Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games overall.
Over is 9-0 in Redskins last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games in Week 2.
Over is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Redskins last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 games following a ATS win.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
 

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Preview: Panthers at Falcons
Gracenote
Sep 14, 2018

Matt Ryan has carved up the Carolina Panthers in recent years, and the Atlanta Falcons hope that trend holds when they host their NFC South rivals on Sunday. The Falcons have won four of the last five meetings and haven’t lost to the Panthers at home since 2014.


Ryan has averaged 343.2 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions in the last five games of the all-time series, and the Falcons need another big effort from him to avoid an 0-2 start. The Panthers are attempting to begin with a 2-0 record for the fourth time in five seasons. “We know they’re going to be fired up. Well, we’re going to be fired up,” Carolina safety Da’Norris Searcy told the team’s official website. “It’s going to be a clash of some pretty big heavyweights – Battle of the South. Divisional opponent. It’s going to be good.” It’s an annual homecoming for Panthers quarterback Cam Newton, a native of nearby College Park, Ga. who has accounted for 25 touchdowns (18 passing, seven rushing) in 14 career games against his hometown team.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -6. O/U: 44.5


ABOUT THE PANTHERS (1-0): Carolina has some issues on offense, as evidenced by the fact Newton was the team’s leading rusher and running back Christian McCaffrey was the leading receiver in the season-opening 16-8 win over Dallas. Now the offense will be without one of Newton’s most reliable targets in tight end Greg Olsen due to a broken foot. The Panthers will have to lean on a defense that was dominant against the Cowboys and has gone an NFL-best 21 games without allowing a 100-yard rusher after limiting Ezekiel Elliott to 69 yards on 15 carries.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (0-1): Atlanta was too one-dimensional on offense in an 18-12 loss at Philadelphia on opening night, as Julio Jones caught 10 passes for 169 yards but no one else did much of note. Running back Devonta Freeman was off to a good start before leaving with a knee injury and is questionable for Sunday. The defense had a solid debut but lost two key players in Week 1, as Pro Bowl safety Keanu Neal (knee) and Pro Bowl linebacker Deion Jones (foot) both were placed on injured reserve this week.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Newton has rushed for at least 50 yards in six consecutive games.

2. Falcons LB Vic Beasley Jr. has registered four sacks and a forced fumble in six games against Carolina, including at least one sack in each of the last two meetings.

3. Panthers LB Luke Kuechly has recorded at least eight tackles in 12 consecutive games against division opponents.


PREDICTION: Falcons 20, Panthers 17
 

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