SerbOne Monday Night BIG Play

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  • Seattle isn't Seattle anymore
  • Seattle defense is not what it used to be at all, bottom 3rd defensive efficiency last year and hasn't improved
  • Seattle missing several key players tonight
  • Seattle is on the road, on natural turf
  • Seattle offensive efficiency middle of NFL last year but IMO this year is lesser
  • Seattle OL is subpar
  • Seattle offensive skill players not impactful at all, can't win with just Wilson improvising all night
  • Bears on the upswing, at home, MNF, want to make an impact statement that they are back
  • Bears top notch front 7 will be difficult for Seattle OL to deal with
  • Bears defensive efficiency middle of the pack last year, but has improved
  • Bears have two new impact LBs added to an already formidable defense, Mack will be acclimated tonight to the Bears defense
  • Bears offensive efficiency last year bottom 1/5th, IMO this year has improved with Trubisky experience and new players
  • Bears have credible WRs, last year had arguably the worst in the NFL, Trubisky had nobody open, ever (ever)
  • RB Howard is a stud, plus scatback Cohen for change of pace bursts can make plays
  • Trubisky is maturing, very skilled runner, good arm, accuracy improving, agree he is not top notch productivity wise but he has explosive talent
  • Bears lost to Packers on two spectacular, freak plays, 10 yard passes in the middle that resulted in 1) a 50 yd gain to the 20 (then TD), and 2) a 75 yd TD, spectacular runs after the catch... they coulda shoulda woulda beat GB at Lambeau
  • Seattle struggled and lost in Denver, who barely came from behind yesterday to nip Oakland

Two teams going in different directions. In handicapping, you have to recognize that brand teams get more credit than they should, for too long. The strong Seattle "winning run" is over, IMO.

Bears - 4 1/2, BIG

GL!
 

Biz

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Seahawks also have an injury list a mile long.
 

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Wilson is vastly overrated, and he cannot do it alone.

Breakthrough game for emerging Bears.

34-16 Chicago Bears
 

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coaching staff blew thhe gm vvs gb. cant trust them

Agree, Bears coaching is a concern especially vs a master like Pete Carroll.
But I’ve been noticing Bears last year and with several significant additions and one yr of experience for Trubisky, IMO they are ready for big time improvement. And Seattle is on a downward spiral.
Hate that you’re on the other side you’re a top capper.
GL!
 

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Feb 3, 2015
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  • Seattle isn't Seattle anymore
  • Seattle defense is not what it used to be at all, bottom 3rd defensive efficiency last year and hasn't improved
  • Seattle missing several key players tonight
  • Seattle is on the road, on natural turf
  • Seattle offensive efficiency middle of NFL last year but IMO this year is lesser
  • Seattle OL is subpar
  • Seattle offensive skill players not impactful at all, can't win with just Wilson improvising all night
  • Bears on the upswing, at home, MNF, want to make an impact statement that they are back
  • Bears top notch front 7 will be difficult for Seattle OL to deal with
  • Bears defensive efficiency middle of the pack last year, but has improved
  • Bears have two new impact LBs added to an already formidable defense, Mack will be acclimated tonight to the Bears defense
  • Bears offensive efficiency last year bottom 1/5th, IMO this year has improved with Trubisky experience and new players
  • Bears have credible WRs, last year had arguably the worst in the NFL, Trubisky had nobody open, ever (ever)
  • RB Howard is a stud, plus scatback Cohen for change of pace bursts can make plays
  • Trubisky is maturing, very skilled runner, good arm, accuracy improving, agree he is not top notch productivity wise but he has explosive talent
  • Bears lost to Packers on two spectacular, freak plays, 10 yard passes in the middle that resulted in 1) a 50 yd gain to the 20 (then TD), and 2) a 75 yd TD, spectacular runs after the catch... they coulda shoulda woulda beat GB at Lambeau
  • Seattle struggled and lost in Denver, who barely came from behind yesterday to nip Oakland

Two teams going in different directions. In handicapping, you have to recognize that brand teams get more credit than they should, for too long. The strong Seattle "winning run" is over, IMO.

Bears - 4 1/2, BIG

GL!

Serbone - Nice hit...thanks for the winner!

:toast:
 

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Serbone - Nice hit...thanks for the winner!

:toast:

Thank you.
The Bears controlled the game, were up 20-10 in first down's, had significantly more yardage, had 6 sacks, deep into the second half, but could not put Seattle away completely. Seattle evened up the yardage, etc, with two late TD's against a prevent defense.
There actually was a lot more detail to be given as to why I liked the game but enough is enough.
This site SHOULD be for us to all help each other win, and give data, reasons and approaches to handicapping so sometimes I put a big play up with plentiful backup.
Sure, some other posters are aware of the things I cite on the assessment, but some are not.
Unfortunately, most posters just make a few picks and then calculate their W-L record, a "picking contest", with no rationale, ever.
Ever.
Some do OK, some do not.
GL!
 

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Ser bone saw this whilst at work last night I was on the under and sweated my balls off with a 28 point 4th quarter.
Appreciate your writeups as always great stuff.
Disagree with you about Wilson- a 1 man gang with no help- and NOT overrated.
 

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Serb, thanks for sharing -- you convinced me to put a buck on the Bears last night for a winner. I love the 2 teams in 2 diff directions angle.

This one felt alot like the Rams/Raiders game tbh -- thanks again for the winner ;)
 

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So let’s think of brand name teams... ATS of course. This year:

Seattle isn’t Seattle anymore, I say.

The Steelers aren’t the Steelers anymore?

Who else?

And what teams are on the upswing that have a terrible ATS reputation?

Browns?
 

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