Indiana 9-18-2018

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                                 Prof Report     
                             Track Bias Reports 
                                 09-18-2018
                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
                            (racetrack selected)
                             IND - past 14 days

                              (query selected)
                          SPRINTS + DIRT + FAST/FIRM

Note: Races excluded if winner below 8-5 odds

Run Style Graph
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SampleSize = 16 |——————————————————————————————————————————————————100%

   Front runners|»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»31%

   Pace Pressers|»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»38%

        Stalkers|»»»»»»12%

         Closers|»»»»»»12%

    Deep Closers|»»» 6%


Post Position Graph
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SampleSize = 16 |——————————————————————————————————————————————————100%

AVERAGE FIELDSIZE = 8.4

     INSIDE     |––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––75%
     OUTSIDE    |––––––––––––25%

POST  1)  4/16  |»»»»»»»»»»»»25%
POST  2)  1/16  |»»» 6%
POST  3)  5/16  |»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»31%
POST  4)  2/16  |»»»»»»13%
POST  5)  1/16  |»»» 6%
POST  6)  1/16  |»»» 6%
POST  7)  0/14  | 0%
POST  8)  0/10  | 0%
POST  9)  1/ 6  |»»»»»»»»17%
POST 10)  0/ 5  | 0%
POST 11)  1/ 3  |»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»»33%
POST 12)  0/ 1  | 0%

Indiana 9-18-2018

Finally, last post (Woodbine) was decent ... 5 for 9. Thought we'd get atleast 6 winners because we hit 5 of the first 6 races and still had our pick-to-click left. He ran a disappointing 2nd.
We are going back to Indiana ... the track that started our skid last week. If you look at that post, you'll see I mentioned the inside bias. 6 of 8 winners that day came from the inside 3 posts, yet I didn't heed my own advise, picking only 3 inside horses and just 2 winners.
The bias really hasn't changed. As with any race, strong favorites can overcome any biases present. That doesn't make a bias less existent. (See bias report above for dirt/sprints)
Also, the last 3 of 4, race 7 turf races, have yielded double-digit winners ... so today we'll keep that in mind.


race #1 - 8f
... throwing up the white flag. I don't like anyone and the pace could be crawling.
#7 6-1 RUNMALIBURUN - yeah, idiot's pickin' outside again ...
#6 15-1 WRINCH - bomb alert, if pace is crawling ... Prescott/Hammond
#4 9-2 SHAKEDOWN

race #2 - 5.5f
#1 9-5 WILLS DEFENCE
#7 6-1 EL JAKE O - improving
#2 5-1 INTERFERENCE - jock Perez has been heating up on dirt

race #3 - 8.5f turf
... mighty tough race
#4 4-1 CAREER GIRL
#2 20-1 SHACKIRA SHACKIRA - bomb alert, Castanon would not stick if REALLY that bad
#3 12-1 BELA MENINA
#1 9-2 NATIVE WONDER

race #4 - 5.5f
#3 1-1 THREE SPOKES
#7 6-1 PARDON MY STYLE
#8 8-1 DISTORTED JUSTICE

... rest to follow shortly ...
 

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race #5 - 5f turf
#3 9-5 COMMANDING CANDY
#5 20-1 SPEEDY NOW - turf sire
#6 2-1 DARK HARBOR

race #6 - 6f
#4 4-1 CORBIN
#6 7-2 MICHAELS TARNATION
#7 5-2 IGOTTRUMPED
#5 30-1 OSCAR P Q - exotic booster, debut was nothing but public workout, should split the field here at monster price

race #7 - 8.5f turf
#4 7-2 MENACE THE DENNIS - logical
#5 3-1 RED KITE
#12 15-1 ENHANCED EDITION - bomb alert, set off $60k trifecta last year
#10 15-1 WINDY CAPE - exotic booster, wrong style but connections ROI is thru the roof

race #8 - 6f
... crazy race. Toss the 5,6,10,11 .... that leaves an 8 horse dartboard.
#7 20-1 LOVETHENUGGET - you knew at some point I'm swinging for the fences
#3 8-1 SALTED REVENGE
#8 4-1 INSTANT CONQUEST
#9 4-1 BOILER BABE - Pusac/Garcia


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!
 

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