BROOKLYNWORM'S 2018 NFL PREDICTION AND PICK FOR THURSDAY. 9/20/18 NYJ VS Cleveland

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NEW YORK JETS (39.0) @ CLEVELAND (-3)
Yes, the Browns could have, would have, been 2-0 on the season. Instead, in reality they are 0-1-1. Vegas made Cleveland a favorite over the Jets? The last time they won a game, was in 2016, 20-17. Their record the last two seasons, and in 2018 , is 1-15, 0-16, 0-1-1, total 1 win, 32 losses, 1 tie. I can’t trust this -3 line, and I tend to lean towards to dog, in this situation. Thus far, the Cleveland Defensive line has played outstanding. By comparison, Cleveland cannot run against the NY Jets front seven. You have a rookie QB Darnold, facing Tyrod Taylor. Both players are prone to make mistakes, and yet to prove their consistency as NFL QB’s. By comparison, Cleveland has a good secondary, and the NY Jets are solid at that position. Weaknesses, Cleveland is weak at linebacker, and the NY Jets offensive line is suspect, and the rookie QB Darnold, will be pressured and hurried. So what I see here, is two teams on equal footing. Teams that play at home, and lay -3 points, beat the spread 48% of the time. So that means 52% of the time, the dog covers the spread. How can I trust a Browns team, as favorites, with a record of 1-32-1? The Public is betting on the favorite Cleveland Browns, to win their first game. I say the opposite, in a low scoring game. Predicted score. NY Jets 19 Cleveland 16, NY Jets (+3), Under (39.0).
 

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