Week 3 Stink

Michelangelo · Sep 20, 2018

Last week 3-4 -126
YTD 7-6 +62

Thursday:

Jets, Jets, Jets +3 +103 (@ Clev)

Cleveland wants to end their schneid bad. Both Pitt and New Orleans expected to beat the Brownies. But the Jets, Jets, Jets sure don't want to be the team that loses to an 0 fer 19 team. They will play like their daddy's gonna give 'em the Adrian Peterson switch if they come up short.

TyBounce · Sep 20, 2018

Good luck , go Jets.

Michelangelo · Sep 23, 2018

Stinkin' Baker Mayfield carried the Brownies to the promised land.

Sunday:

Balty -5' -100 (vs Denv)
Denver was 1-7 SU; 1-7 ATS on the road last year. What about their first two games would indicate improvement?

Wash +2' -108 (vs GBy)
Green Bay off two tight as a ball jar seal Division games at home now now hits the road to get scalped.

Kansas City -5' -108 (vs San Fran)
Big Ben and Philip Rivers can go downfield with the ball. Don't expect that from Jimmy G. The Niners won't be able to keep up with this big KCy offense.

LA Rams -7 (vs LA ch)
Looking for the Rams to keep soaring above the linesmaker's number. As -6 and -12' favs the Ram line differential was +14 in their first game and +21' in their second game. The linesmaker might get closer today but I'm expecting the Rams to get their third consecutive cover.

Arizona +5' -104 (vs Chi)
The Zona offense has been putrid. Over the last 10 years when I team scores less that 15 total points in their first two games and are not double digit dogs in game three they are 5-1 ATS with the last non cover coming all the way back in 2009.

NEn -6' -108 (@ Det)
I did a study of the Pats off a September loss in the B&B era. The results overwhelmingly favor the Pats here. But I can't find the isolations I wrote down. I'll try to find them on this messy desk and post them before tonight's game hopefully.

Michelangelo · Sep 23, 2018

Not all right yet, Denny. Still have the Pats -6' to go tonight.

Found my isolations.

The Pats in the B&B era 2002-2017 off their first seasonal September or October straight up loss:

12-2 SU; 12-2 ATS.

Their first ATS loss in this situation was way back in 2002. Their only other ATS loss in this situation was in 2010 when they were -14 point favs vs Buffalo and only won by 8.

Good luck if you choose to bet against the Pats in this situation.

topcat874 · Sep 23, 2018

Nicely done

Michelangelo · Sep 24, 2018

Thanks topcat. Sometimes the ball bounces right into your hands. Sometimes.

Add Monday:

TBy -1 -107 (vs Pit)
LeVeon Bell. Antonio Brown. Can the noise get any louder? Hard to concentrate in the Steel City. Pitt can't lose three straight to open the season. Oh yea?