Woodbine 9-21-2018

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Woodbine 9-21-2018

Last post, yesterday at Belterra, was a good one ... 5 for 8, and a $225 exacta in the 8th.
Couldn't find a great card for today, so we'll try Woodbine. Feeling a little cocky now. Woodbine will slap me back down.


race #1 - 6f turf
... small field but wide open.
#7 6-1 WORLDS YOUR OYSTER - need a price in a field like this
#5 3-1 AIRY FAIRY
#6 8-1 MY SILENT PRESENT - jock+

race #2 - 8.5f
... race should have fair pace. ML fav is on a drop after some poor races, and also prefers turf, so I'll play against.
#1 6-1 ARTICULATE - most logical, jock + style
#7 20-1 SAYYESTOXCELENCE - bomb alert, jock sux with a capital SUX but horse is good enough
#5 3-1 TIMBERLINE - mighty dangerous is DaSilva gets his own way on the lead.
#8 4-1 BLUE PEARLS - should appear on the scene a little late, certainly an exotic player type contender

race #3 - 8f turf
... 2nd of 5 turf races on the card. Fairly wide open.
#2 8-1 JASPER PARK - could be a very bad pick ... but I think last turf race wasn't bad, adds bug
#4 3-1 CANDYCREET - lasix
#7 5-2 CAPE ROMANCE - 4yo on shelf all year, so obvious problems. Bad news ... Carroll/Contreras 0/19 with layoffs. Good news ... Contreras owns the turf.
#1 6-1 FIRST SHOT - plodder/grinder needs uninterrupted advance .... not likely if hemmed on rail.

race #4 - 8.5f
... another tuffy. Pace should be touch soft, so far back is too far back.
#9 9-2 BEALESTREET DANCER
#5 10-1 EPILOGUE - repeat more likely than a bounce
#1 2-1 TINKER RING - Husbands on mid-pack stalker
#3 9-5 WILLY'S CASTLE - logical

race #5 - 7f turf
#7 2-1 AUNTIE KATHERINE
#3 15-1 CREATE AN EDGE - speed threat
#6 3-1 BETH'S AURORA

... rest to follow shortly ...
 

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race #6 - 7f
... 2yo maiden claimer, many unraced
#6 9-2 WINCREDIBLE STAR
#10 3-1 FIVE MORE MINUTES
#7 7-2 TRULY ELITE

race #7 - 8f turf
... 2yo MSW
#4 8-1 FLASHYMEISTER - gets Contreras for 2nd start
#10 6-1 MO SPEED - likely best in the field but Casse generally doesn't send to win debuts
#6 9-2 HIT THE TICKET
#2 12-1 CHANGE AT THE TOP - exotic booster, Kitten's Joy first timer

... rest to follow ...
 

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race #8 - 8.5f
#2 9-5 FIRE FOR EFFECT
#3 3-1 FAMILY KITTEN - stolen by McKnight?

race #9 - 6.5f turf
#9 5-2 CRAZY ABOUT JAZZ
#7 6-1 LOST POINT
#8 3-1 THIRTY NINE SEVEN
#5 9-2 SPARKLE SAMMY - speed threat


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!
 

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