Why the Phillies on Friday at +125...after dropping game one of the series, the Phils will look to rebound in the Friday matchup with Nicky Pivetta toeing the slab. Pivetta is coming off of a quality home start against the Marlins in which he allowed 3 ER over 5 IP on 4 H, 8 Ks and 1 BB. When looking deeper into the saber numbers from that start against the Marlins, Nicky P posted some encouraging numbers with a season low contact% of 64% as well as a SwStr% of 15% (SA 11%). With a BOB Score of 240, Pivetta is trending in the right direction heading into this road start against a Braves lineup with a combined 127 ABs to match a .236 BA and 2 HRs. In a career 20 IP at SunTrust Park, Pivetta carries a 2-0 record to match a 3.15 era on 0 HRs.
The Braves will hand the ball to Julio Teheran who comes in with a 2.12 era over his L17 IP on 9 H, 18 Ks and 12 BBs. The increasing LD% and BB/9 over Teheran's last three starts could spell trouble for him against a Phillies lineup with a healthy 264 ABs to match a .235 BA and 7 HRs. Backing the Phillies pen in this one who brings a 4.12 era and a 1.96 K/BB over their L14 Days, compared to the Braves 4.87 era and 0.87 K/BB during that same span.
Braves 14-22 as home fav of -125 to -175
Braves currently taking 75% of the action with line movement of -140 to -134
Play on the Phillies at +125
The Braves will hand the ball to Julio Teheran who comes in with a 2.12 era over his L17 IP on 9 H, 18 Ks and 12 BBs. The increasing LD% and BB/9 over Teheran's last three starts could spell trouble for him against a Phillies lineup with a healthy 264 ABs to match a .235 BA and 7 HRs. Backing the Phillies pen in this one who brings a 4.12 era and a 1.96 K/BB over their L14 Days, compared to the Braves 4.87 era and 0.87 K/BB during that same span.
Braves 14-22 as home fav of -125 to -175
Braves currently taking 75% of the action with line movement of -140 to -134
Play on the Phillies at +125
