Brooklynworm's 2018 nfl predictions and picks for week #3.

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NEW YORK JETS (39.0) @ CLEVELAND (-3)
Yes, the Browns could have, would have, been 2-0 on the season. Instead, in reality they are 0-1-1. Vegas made Cleveland a favorite over the Jets? When’s the last time they won a game, was in 2016, 20-17. Their record the last two seasons, and in 2018 , is 1-15, 0-16, 0-1-1, total 1 win, 32 losses, 1 tie. I can’t trust this -3 line, and I tend to lean towards to dog, in this situation. Thus far, the Cleveland Defensive line has played outstanding. By comparison, Cleveland cannot run against the NY Jets front seven. You have a rookie QB Darnold, facing Tyrod Taylor. Both players are prone to make mistakes, and yet to prove their consistency as NFL QB’s. By comparison, Cleveland has a good secondary, and the NY Jets are solid at that position. Weaknesses, Cleveland is weak at linebacker, and the NY Jets offensive line is suspect, and the rookie QB Darnold, will be pressured and hurried. So what I see here, is two teams on equal footing. Teams that play at home, and lay -3 points, beat the spread 48% of the time. So that means 52% of the time, the dog covers the spread. How can I trust a Browns team, as favorites, with a record of 1-32-1? The Public is betting on the favorite Cleveland Browns, to win their first game. I say the opposite, in a low scoring game. Predicted score. NY Jets 19 Cleveland 16, NY Jets (+3), Under (39.0).

INDIANAPOLIS (47.5) @ PHILADELPHIA (-6)
QB Wentz returns to the starting lineup, and not a moment too soon. Looked like Super Bowl QB, Foles, started regressing since the start of preseason. Wentz may not be 100%, but he is still much better than Foles. Wentz, also has his outstanding offensive line to protect him. The issue is now other injuries. They are down to their only two reliable wide outs, Ertz, and Agholor. Their two starting running backs Ajayi, and Sproles, are banged up, and it looks like one will play less than 100%, and the other, will not suit up at all. Philadelphia’s secondary, has played poorly in the last two games, and now they are about to get lit up by QB Andrew Luck. If Fritzpatrick can destroy the Eagles last week, so can Andrew Luck. The key for the colt’s offense, is pass protection from his offensive line. Philadelphia likes to bring their pass rush, with their stout defensive front seven. Predicted score. Philadelphia 28 Indianapolis 27, Indianapolis (+6), Over (47.5).

CINCINNATI (43.0) @ CAROLINA (-3)
I would like to start out by mentioning, that all the folks are safe in North Carolina, and that recovery is on its way. Carolina, was distracted last weekend, because of that nasty hurricane, and I don’t think their mind was on winning a football game. So in week 3, expect the human spirit rise, and the Panthers focused at home. Cincinnati, thus far, has shown a huge improvement in their offense scoring points. Carolina’s defensive front seven, is better in the trenches against the Bengals offensive line, and they will definitely stop the run. Carolina’s weakness is in their secondary, and LB Like Kuechly needs to return to the lineup. The Panthers, have an excellent pass rush, and the Bengals, have yet to face a team, that could effectively rush the passer. No more comfort zone for Andy Dalton. Cam Newton, should have a good game. If not with his arm, with his legs. Cincinnati’s best defender Burficit, is suspended. This means that Newton, will be free to run from the pocket for big yardage. Predicted score. Carolina 23 Cincinnati 17, Carolina (-3), Under (43.0).

TENNESSEE (45.0) @ JACKSONVILLE (-6.5)
Keep a close eye on QB Marcus Mariota’s injury status. He’s been having problems with nerve damage to his throwing hand, and he may be scrubbed from Sunday’s lineup. If Mariota, does play, he will not be 100%. So if backup QB Gabbert, starts, the Jacksonville defense, will have a field day. Jacksonville’s defense is the best, next to the LA Rams. Simply put, the Titans will have trouble matriculating the football on offense. On top of that, the Titan’s two offensive starting guards are out. The left guard, that protects Mariota’s blind side, will be replaced with a backup, and will have to try and block Brain Orakpo. Tennessee’s wide outs are overmatched by the Jags secondary. Neither team will have success running the football. Defense is everything. Predicted score. Jacksonville 24 Tennessee 17. Jacksonville (-6.5), Under (45.0).

NEW ORLEANS (53.O) @ ATLANTA (-3)
Right off, this will be a high scoring games. Thus far, the New Orleans Saints, have the edge. Atlanta, lost their best defender LB Deion Jones for the season. On offense, RB Freeman, and WR Julio Jones, are injured, and it looks like both are day to day and probably play Sunday. However, you have to figure how healthy are they, if they are being held out of practice. So, let’s say Atlanta’s defense went further south. The Saint player, who will terrorize the battered Falcons, is Alvin Kamara. The Saints in this game, have a great matchup to run against a Falcon subpar front seven. Predicted score. New Orleans 30 Atlanta 27, New Orleans (+3), Over (53.0).

DENVER (43.O) @ BALTIMORE (-5)
Baltimore, last week, lost their best defensive player, after a few snaps to start the game. The Ravens couldn’t make adjustments, and lost the game handily. If Mosley plays, or not plays, the Raven coaching staff will make changes, and ready for Denver, when they come to town. Baltimore, on defense, lacks a pass rush, and Keenum, should be able to have success passing the ball. Denver didn’t play particularly well at home last week, and luckily won by one point. This is Denver’s first road game of the season, and Baltimore plays excellent football, when they are the home team. Joe Flacco, will have his hands full against the Bronco pass rush. Predicted score. Baltimore 27 Denver 21, Baltimore (-5), Over (43.0)

NEW YORK GIANTS (42) @ Houston (-6)
Here is the matchup in a nutshell. The New York offensive line, is no match for the Houston front seven on defense. The Texans, should easily pass rush, and pressure, Eli Manning the entire contest. It does help the Giant’s cause, if Manning didn’t stand in the pocket like a wooden Indian. Houston isn’t any bargain either. Off to a 0-2 start, and Watson doesn’t look good. Houston’s secondary is terrible. I don’t like this game, however, Houston needs this game more, and they are playing at home. Houston 24 NY Giants 17, Houston (-6) Under (42.0).
OAKLAND (44.0) @ MIAMI (-3)
Okay, Raiders have to make that long journey trip to Miami, and play a 1pm game, in the heat, and humidity. I am going against the grain, in this game. First, Oakland played two top defenses in the early season, LA Rams, and the Broncos, at Denver. Miami last week went up against a rookie QB, and now they face a seasoned QB, that played well in week #2. Miami’s secondary is suspect, same can be said about the Raiders in pass coverage. Since Oakland traded Mack, they lost their pass rush. This could become a high scoring game. Here is an interesting trend I found. Miami is 6-11 against the spread, as favorites, coming off a straight up win. Miami is 4-13 against the spread in the month of September, at home, since 2006. Oakland 27 Miami 24, Oakland (+6), Over (51.0).

GREEN BAY (46) @ WASHINGTON (+3)
I think this game, could be an upset special. GB comes away with a tie, and a come from behind win, on this two game home stand. Now the Pack plays their first game on the road. QB Aaron Rodgers showed us in these two game, why he is a top quarterback in the NFL. However, I think Green Bay’s luck will run out this Sunday. The Packers have no running game, and goes against a Washington front seven that I stout against the run. The same could be said about Washington trying to run the ball on Green Bay. Green Bay’s secondary hasn’t played well, and I think Alex Smith will exploit it. Predicted score. Washington 23 Green Bay 21, Washington (+3), Under (46.0).

Buffalo (40.5) @ Minnesota (-16.5)
Normally, I would jump on getting 16.5 points in the NFL. However, remember, Vegas knows what they are doing, when they set the line that high. Buffalo’s last glimmer of hope, ended last week, when there only playmaker on offense, Shady McCoy went down with a cracked rib cage. I doubt very much that he will suit up. Credit this season, goes to the Bills defensive line that defends the run well. The rest of the defensive unit is a nightmare. The Linebackers, are beat often, and their secondary is in shambles. QB Alex Smith, will pass the football, and pass often. Buffalo on offense, besides McCoy, have to pin their hopes on their rookie QB Allen, who will not survive the category five hurricane of a pass rush, come his way. Predicted score. Minnesota 31 Buffalo 7, Minnesota (-16.5), Under (40.5).


SAN FRANCISCO (56.0) @ KANSAS CITY (+7)
This game I promise you, is going to be a high scoring game. Two solid quarterbacks, versus two lousy secondary’s in coverage. San Francisco defense has played terrible, in their first two games. They will get Reuben Foster back on defense, which is an upgrade. Kansas City’s secondary remains suspect. 80% of the money is on Kansas City, because of Mahomes at home. I say take the points, and go the other way. Predicted score. Kansas City 33 San Francisco 31, San Francisco (+7), Over (56.0).

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (48.0) @ LOS ANGELES RAMS (-7)
I love this situation where the public has jumped on the Rams bandwagon, and they think the Chargers will lose. The Rams thus far, is a solid team all around, and probably the best team ranked in the NFL. Defense, and offensively, the LA Rams has it going on. However, let me explain why I am taking the points with the Chargers in this game. One of the top ranked Field Goal kickers, Zuerline, with the Rams, is injured, and out for this contest. Not having Zuerline on the field, could be costly. Secondly, The Rams play the Vikings on a short week, and they may be thinking ahead, and not focused on this game. Third, the Rams defense, will be challenged by an elite NFL quarterback, and look how much trouble they had last week, facing Aaron Rodgers, with a gimpy knee. My fourth reason. Phillip Rivers is 13-5 against the spread, when getting 6 ½ points or more. Predicted score. Chargers 27 Minnesota 24, Chargers (+7), Over (48.0).


DALLAS (41.5) @ SEATTLE (-1)
Seahawks are slowly sinking in the NFL abyss. They lost most of their talented personnel, the have banged up players, and their coaching staff hasn’t helped. Seattle for years, hasn’t corrected their inept offensive line. QB Russell Wilson manages to run for his life, and extend plays with his legs. Dallas lost LB Sean Lee, and there will be nobody on the Seahawks to spy, or shadow Wilson the entire game. The Cowboy offensive line was one of the best in the NFL. Now, the Cowboy’s offensive line has declined. The main reason why QB Prescott’s numbers have dropped off. Seattle, has the ability to stop Ezekiel Elliott. This will be the key to the game, Stop Elliott, and win the game. Lastly, Prescott, doesn’t challenge his opponent’s secondary, with deep vertical passes. Seattle, has been on the road their first two games, and now they return home, with the 12[SUP]th[/SUP] man loud roar from the crowd. Predicted score. Seattle 20 Dallas 13, Seattle (-1) Under (41.5).

NEW ENGLAND (51.0) @ DETROIT (+6)
Last week, Jacksonville played like they were in the Super Bowl, and they avenged their loss to the Patriots, in the AFC championship game. The main reason why the Patriots played so poorly, was when Flowers, the Pats only pass rusher, was knocked out of the game. Bortles, for most of the game, sat in the pocket, without any pressure, and picked apart New England’s terrible secondary. It helped the Jags even further, when Chung went down in the secondary, with a concussion. So, Detroit’s game plan, will be to exploit the Pats secondary, just like the Jags did. By comparison, Jacksonville, didn’t have a running game without fournette, and Detroit, simply hasn’t any type of running game at all. The other losing factor for the Patriots last week, was the intense heat they played through. The heat index was something like 108 degrees, and it was the hottest game that Tom Brady ever played in. There was nothing left in the tank, came the fourth quarter. On the flip side, the Detroit’s secondary is awful, and worse than the Pats. So expect Tom Brady, to load up his aerial attack, and strike back. Detroit is even worse in the Red Zone. To help Brady this game, the Pats added Josh Gordon. This is a top flight receiver, derailed with his problems off the field, that has a chance to turn things around in New England. This might be the Pats best receiver since the days of Randy Moss. Overall, although the Patriots are struggling keeping their players healthy, Detroit, and their new head coach, appears to be a bad team after the first two games. Predicted score. New England 31 Detroit 24, New England (-6), Over (51.0).

CHICAGO (37.5) @ ARIZONA (+6)
Things look bleak in Arizona these days. They have score 6 points in two games, and they will now face a formidable defense this Sunday. QB Trubisky, in his second NFL season, has shown regression in his development. He is making too many mistakes, and committing too many turnovers. However, Trubisky, will have a chance to redeem himself in the game. Arizona’s defense is horrid, and especially in their secondary. Trubisky, should have many open receivers downfield when he passes. Arizona’s QB Sam Bradford completely stinks, as a starting NFL QB. His offensive line cannot pass protect, and watch out for Mack, and company. I am not wild about taking Chicago in the game, however, Arizona has played so bad, and the Bears were my only choice. Predicted Score. Chicago 24 Arizona 13, Chicago (-6), Under (37.5).

PITTSBURGH (53.5) @ TAMPA BAY (+1.5)
This game should light up the score board, like a Christmas tree. Both teams field bad secondary’s, that can’t defend against the pass. In the last two games, Tampa Bay quarterback Fitzpatrick has caught fire, and has torched the opposition. Roethlisberger, should be able to do the same to the Buc secondary, and run the football with Conner. Keep in mind, Roethlisberger’s passing numbers, and overall play on the road, is terrible. With the Antonio Brown’s on going distractions, will be erased when he catches 10 passes, and gains way over 100 yards. The heat, and the humidity, should wear down the Steelers, just like it did to the Patriots, in their dark jerseys. Predicted score. Tampa Bay 31 Pittsburgh 28, Tampa Bay (1.5), Over (53.5)
 

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The best write-ups anywhere at any cost. TY BW and GLTA.Thankyou)(&
 

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