Tuesday 09/25/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Royals at Reds
Gracenote
Sep 24, 2018

The Cincinnati Reds had difficulty locating their bats during their 10-game road trip, with five shutout losses serving as an eyesore on their 3-7 trek. The Reds (66-91) aim to find their offense Tuesday as they host the Kansas City Royals (54-102) in the opener of an abbreviated two-game interleague series between cellar-dwelling clubs.

"It'll be good to get home. It's been a long trip. Hopefully we'll be a little energized when we get home and start swinging the bats a little better," Cincinnati interim manager Jim Riggleman said. Scooter Gennett has five of his career-best 180 hits this season in the last five games entering the series versus Kansas City, against which he went 3-for-8 with two runs scored as the Reds recorded a pair of wins at Kauffman Stadium on June 12 and 13. The Royals answered losing five straight with two wins in three outings to split a four-game set in Detroit. Adalberto Mondesi homered for the fifth time in 10 games during Sunday's 3-2 setback, giving him six homers, 27 hits, 13 RBIs and 15 runs scored this month.

TV: 6:40 p.m. ET, FS Kansas City, FS Ohio (Cincinnati)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals LH Eric Skoglund (1-5, 5.60 ERA) vs. Reds RH Matt Harvey (7-9, 4.92)

Skoglund saw his winless skid extend to eight outings last Tuesday despite scattering three hits over six scoreless innings at Pittsburgh. The 25-year-old has allowed only two runs and seven hits in his last three trips to the mound (13 innings), with all three earning him a no-decision as he works his way back from an ankle injury. "He threw the ball great," manager Ned Yost said. "Six strong innings. Did a really nice job. Got to 67 (pitches) last time out and was starting to get a little tired. Was in the mid-80s this time and felt great. So he's getting back on track."

Harvey answered a stellar outing with a disastrous one Wednesday, as he yielded seven runs on as many hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 7-0 setback at Milwaukee. The 29-year-old surrendered two homers for the second time in four starts, with a pair of three-run blasts against the Brewers upping his total to 26 in 150 innings this season. Harvey is limping down the stretch (2-4, 5.37 ERA since the All-Star break) and is 0-1 lifetime against Kansas City following a 4-3 loss while pitching with the New York Mets in 2016.

WALK-OFFS

1. Kansas City 2B Whit Merrifield has scored 15 times during his a 14-game hitting streak.

2. Reds 3B Joey Votto, who is 1-for-14 in his last four contests overall, had a bases-loaded triple in the 10th inning of a 5-1 victory over the Royals on June 12.

3. Kansas City 3B Hunter Dozier, who is 0-for-12 in his last three games, had a solo homer in that 10-inning loss to Cincinnati in June.

PREDICTION: Reds 3, Royals 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Kansas City

Royals are 21-7 in their last 28 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 5-2 in their last 7 games following an off day.
Royals are 22-10 in their last 32 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 13-6 in their last 19 vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 23-47 in their last 70 games following a win.
Royals are 19-40 in their last 59 during game 1 of a series.
Royals are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Royals are 16-45 in their last 61 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. National League Central.
Royals are 8-23 in their last 31 interleague games.
Royals are 13-38 in their last 51 road games.
Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
Royals are 6-18 in their last 24 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.
Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 1-6 in Skoglunds last 7 road starts.
Royals are 0-4 in Skoglunds last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 0-8 in Skoglunds last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 0-6 in Skoglunds last 6 starts.
Royals are 0-6 in Skoglunds last 6 starts on grass.

Cincinnati

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Reds are 27-56 in their last 83 interleague games.
Reds are 34-75 in their last 109 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 31-74 in their last 105 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
Reds are 4-1 in Harveys last 5 home starts.
Reds are 1-4 in Harveys last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 1-5 in Harveys last 6 starts.
Reds are 1-5 in Harveys last 6 starts on grass.

OU Trends
Kansas City

Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games following a win.
Over is 7-0 in Royals last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 13-3 in Royals last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 14-4 in Royals last 18 vs. National League Central.
Under is 17-5 in Royals last 22 interleague games.
Over is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 games following an off day.
Over is 6-2 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2 in Royals last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 interleague road games.
Under is 5-2 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 10-4-3 in Royals last 17 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Skoglunds last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Skoglunds last 7 road starts.

Cincinnati

Under is 11-0-1 in Reds last 12 on grass.
Under is 8-0 in Reds last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Reds last 7 games following a loss.
Under is 7-0 in Reds last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 11-0-1 in Reds last 12 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games following an off day.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Reds last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 4-1-1 in Reds last 6 home games.
Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 interleague games.
Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 interleague home games.
Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 vs. American League Central.
Over is 11-5-1 in Reds last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Harveys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Harveys last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Harveys last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Harveys last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Harveys last 7 home starts.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Royals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Royals are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Marlins at Nationals
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

Max Scherzer's bid for a fourth Cy Young Award has taken a big hit of late, but the ace of the Washington Nationals has another chance to boost his resume when he takes on the visiting Miami Marlins in the second of a three-game series Tuesday night. Scherzer is 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA in his last five starts, falling behind Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets in most Cy Young predictions.

The Nationals' right-hander does have 14 innings with no earned runs allowed in his last two starts against the Marlins, who went 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position in dropping the series opener 7-3. Bryce Harper hit a double and added a sacrifice fly for Washington to reach the 100-RBI mark for the first time in his seven-year career. Anthony Rendon homered in Monday's win and he owns 16 RBIs in a nine-game stretch for the Nationals, who are 39-40 at home with two to play at Nationals Park. Rookie Jeff Brigham will make his fourth start for the Marlins on Tuesday.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FS Florida (Miami), MASN2 (Washington)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Jeff Brigham (0-3, 5.84 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (17-7, 2.57)

Brigham is coming off the best of his three career starts after allowing two runs and three hits with six strikeouts over five innings against Cincinnati. He was reached for six runs in a total of 7 1/3 innings over his first two outings. The 26-year-old is holding left-handed batters to a .200 average but righties are at .350.

Scherzer had 13 strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Thursday, and he's 10 shy of becoming the second pitcher in franchise history to punch out 300 in a season. The 34-year-old entered Monday tied for the National League lead in wins, ranked third in ERA and topped all hurlers with a .188 opponents' batting average. He is 11-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 18 career starts against the Marlins.

WALK-OFFS

1. Rendon has reached safely in a career-high 32 straight games.

2. Marlins 1B Peter O'Brien is 5-for-10 with a home run and two doubles in three games against Washington this year.

3. Nationals LF Juan Soto slugged his 21st home run Monday, one shy of tying Harper for second on baseball's all-time list for a player before his 20th birthday.

PREDICTION: Nationals 7, Marlins 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Miami

Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 16-33 in their last 49 overall.
Marlins are 16-33 in their last 49 games on grass.
Marlins are 21-48 in their last 69 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 9-21 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.
Marlins are 15-36 in their last 51 road games.
Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Marlins are 14-38 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Marlins are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League East.
Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 Tuesday games.
Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Washington

Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 35-17 in their last 52 Tuesday games.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 37-14 in Scherzers last 51 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 22-9 in Scherzers last 31 home starts.
Nationals are 36-15 in Scherzers last 51 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 55-23 in Scherzers last 78 starts on grass.
Nationals are 9-4 in Scherzers last 13 Tuesday starts.
Nationals are 55-25 in Scherzers last 80 starts.
Nationals are 42-20 in Scherzers last 62 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Nationals are 35-17 in Scherzers last 52 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU Trends
Miami

Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.
Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-3-1 in Marlins last 13 Tuesday games.
Over is 20-7-2 in Marlins last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 33-16-2 in Marlins last 51 road games.

Washington

Over is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games following a win.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-6-1 in Nationals last 23 home games.
Under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 Tuesday games.
Over is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-0 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Scherzers last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 11-4-1 in Scherzers last 16 Tuesday starts.
Over is 23-9-1 in Scherzers last 33 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 11-5-1 in Scherzers last 17 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Nationals are 6-0 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. Marlins.
Nationals are 6-0 in Scherzers last 6 home starts vs. Marlins.
Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. Marlins.
Over is 6-1-1 in Scherzers last 8 home starts vs. Marlins.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Marlins are 16-40 in the last 56 meetings in Washington.
Marlins are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Alan Porter

Home team is 4-0 in Porters last 4 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
Over is 5-1 in Porters last 6 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
Under is 4-1 in Porters last 5 games behind home plate.
Home team is 16-5 in Porters last 21 games behind home plate.
Home team is 5-2 in Porters last 7 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Porter behind home plate.
Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games with Porter behind home plate.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Astros at Blue Jays
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

The Houston Astros are the hottest team in the majors in September, and their success this month has them on the verge of clinching consecutive division titles for the first time since winning three in a row from 1997-99. The Astros look to take one more step toward making that dream a reality Tuesday when they visit the Toronto Blue Jays in search of a fifth straight victory overall in the middle contest of a three-game set.

Brian McCann and Josh Reddick connected on back-to-back homers in the second inning as Houston raced out to a four-run lead after three frames and held on for a 5-3 win in Monday's series opener. The Astros, who are 17-4 in September, lowered their magic number to win the American League West to two. Houston (99-57) also only needs three victories over its final six contests to tie the 1998 club for the most wins in team history. Kevin Pillar homered Monday for the Blue Jays, who have dropped four of six following a four-game winning streak and lost three in a row to the Astros.

TV: 7:07 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet Southwest (Houston), Sportsnet (Toronto)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Josh James (1-0, 2.81 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (3-8, 5.18)

James secured his first major-league victory last Tuesday against Seattle, yielding four hits and two walks while striking out seven across 5 1/3 scoreless innings in his second career start. The Western Oklahoma State product earned his promotion at the beginning of the month by going 6-4 with a 3.23 ERA and fanning 171 in 114 1/3 frames across two minor-league stops. James has struck out 24 across 16 innings in four big-league appearances and is holding hitters to a .172 average entering his first start against Toronto.

Gaviglio is winless over his last four turns and hasn't lasted six innings over that time, including Thursday's no-decision versus Tampa Bay in which he permitted two runs over five innings. The 28-year-old Oregon native has not fared particularly well since joining the rotation for good in mid-May, posting a 2-8 record and 5.30 ERA in 22 starts. Evan Gattis has homered twice in three at-bats versus Gaviglio, who has given up seven runs in 12 frames while losing both of his career starts against Houston.

WALK-OFFS

1. With a victory on Tuesday, the Astros will match a club record by going 43 games over .500.

2. Toronto INF Yangervis Solarte went 2-for-4 on Monday to lift his batting average in nine career games against Houston to .387.

3. If Houston can win its final six games at Toronto and Baltimore, it will tie the 2001 Seattle Mariners (59-22) for the best road record in major-league history.

PREDICTION: Astros 7, Blue Jays 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Houston

Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 Tuesday games.
Astros are 24-7 in their last 31 overall.
Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.
Astros are 49-18 in their last 67 road games.
Astros are 41-16 in their last 57 during game 2 of a series.
Astros are 36-15 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Astros are 66-28 in their last 94 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 42-19 in their last 61 games following a win.
Astros are 57-26 in their last 83 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Astros are 43-20 in their last 63 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Astros are 80-38 in their last 118 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 65-31 in their last 96 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 12-28 in their last 40 games on astroturf.

Toronto

Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 Tuesday games.
Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
Blue Jays are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Blue Jays are 6-24 in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Blue Jays are 2-8 in Gaviglios last 10 starts.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in Gaviglios last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 1-6 in Gaviglios last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Blue Jays are 1-7 in Gaviglios last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Blue Jays are 0-5 in Gaviglios last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
Houston

Under is 5-0-2 in Astros last 7 on astroturf.
Under is 10-1-2 in Astros last 13 Tuesday games.
Under is 12-4-3 in Astros last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 vs. American League East.
Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 9-4-2 in Astros last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.

Toronto

Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 Tuesday games.
Under is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-3-1 in Blue Jays last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Blue Jays last 12 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Gaviglios last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 5-1 in Gaviglios last 6 starts on astroturf.
Over is 5-1 in Gaviglios last 6 home starts.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
Astros are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Mike Estabrook

Under is 17-2-2 in Estabrooks last 21 games behind home plate vs. Toronto.
Road team is 5-1 in Estabrooks last 6 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
Under is 4-1-1 in Estabrooks last 6 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Toronto.
Under is 7-2 in Estabrooks last 9 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 games with Estabrook behind home plate.
Under is 36-14-2 in Estabrooks last 52 games behind home plate.
Home team is 5-2 in Estabrooks last 7 games behind home plate vs. Toronto.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Yankees at Rays
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

Veteran outfielder Andrew McCutchen hopes to build off a productive night as his New York Yankees look to create more cushion in their fight for home field in the American League Wild Card Game when they visit the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday. McCutchen, acquired from San Francisco in late August, was batting .212 with the Yankees before recording a double and a solo homer in Monday’s 4-1 victory.

McCutchen (five homers, nine RBIs with New York) could be important in the playoffs if the Yankees decide to use Giancarlo Stanton or Aaron Judge as a designated hitter and Aaron Hicks, who left Monday’s game with a tight hamstring, is not available. New York (96-60) leads Oakland by 1 1/2 games for the AL's top wild-card spot with six contests left on the schedule. Tampa Bay was officially eliminated from contention for the second wild card after managing two hits in Monday’s setback, falling to 48-27 at home and losing for just the third time in 10 games overall. Tommy Pham had a double for the Rays in the series opener, extending his hitting streak to eight games and his on-base run to 26 contests.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, ESPN, YES (New York), FS Sun (Tampa Bay)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Luis Severino (18-8, 3.38 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jake Faria (4-3, 5.17)

Severino produced his second straight one-run performance Wednesday to post his first win since Aug. 26 in a 10-1 romp over Boston. The 24-year-old Dominican has a 2-1 mark with a 3.54 ERA in three starts versus Tampa Bay this season, although he surrendered season highs in runs (seven) and hits (11) over five innings of a 7-6 setback on July 23. Jake Bauers is 3-for-5 with a homer versus Severino, who is 7-2 with a 3.06 ERA in 13 career appearances (nine starts) against the Rays.

Faria makes his first start since Aug. 15 when he limited the Yankees to one run on three hits and two walks with two strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings in a no-decision. The 25-year-old California native has made five relief appearances, sandwiching that one start since coming off the disabled list, while allowing six runs and 12 hits across 11 2/3 innings without being involved in a decision. Brett Gardner is 2-for-5 with a homer against Faria, who is 0-0 with a 5.23 ERA in three career starts versus the Yankees.

WALK-OFFS

1. Tampa Bay SS Willy Adames has hit safely in his last eight games with an at-bat, going 10-for-29 in that stretch.

2. The Yankees have a league-best 252 homers and are one behind the 2016 Baltimore Orioles for the fifth most in baseball history.

3. Rays C Nick Ciuffo exited Monday’s game with a bruised hand and is considered day-to-day.

PREDICTION: Yankees 5, Rays 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
NY Yankees

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 22-6 in their last 28 Tuesday games.
Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Yankees are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. American League East.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 road games.
Yankees are 42-20 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.
Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 7-19 in their last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Yankees are 8-2 in Severinos last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 16-5 in Severinos last 21 starts during game 2 of a series.
Yankees are 22-7 in Severinos last 29 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Yankees are 21-7 in Severinos last 28 starts with 5 days of rest.
Yankees are 38-13 in Severinos last 51 starts.
Yankees are 25-9 in Severinos last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 16-6 in Severinos last 22 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 20-8 in Severinos last 28 starts vs. American League East.

Tampa Bay

Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a loss.
Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rays are 25-8 in their last 33 overall.
Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Rays are 24-8 in their last 32 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 42-15 in their last 57 games on astroturf.
Rays are 39-14 in their last 53 home games.
Rays are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. American League East.
Rays are 27-10 in their last 37 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 10-4 in their last 14 Tuesday games.
Rays are 6-2 in Farias last 8 starts.
Rays are 9-4 in Farias last 13 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 2-5 in Farias last 7 home starts.
Rays are 2-5 in Farias last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 2-6 in Farias last 8 starts on astroturf.
Rays are 1-5 in Farias last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rays are 0-4 in Farias last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

OU Trends
NY Yankees

Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games following a win.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 on astroturf.
Under is 11-4-1 in Yankees last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 19-7-2 in Yankees last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 11-3 in Severinos last 14 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Severinos last 7 starts on astroturf.
Over is 5-2 in Severinos last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 7-3 in Severinos last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Tampa Bay

Under is 21-7 in Rays last 28 Tuesday games.
Under is 21-8-1 in Rays last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 24-10-1 in Rays last 35 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 34-15-2 in Rays last 51 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-0-1 in Farias last 8 starts on astroturf.
Under is 6-0-1 in Farias last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-0-1 in Farias last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-0-1 in Farias last 7 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Farias last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Farias last 6 starts overall.

Head to Head

Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings.
Yankees are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Yankees are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Jordan Baker

Under is 5-1 in Bakers last 6 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-1 in Bakers last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
Under is 7-2 in Bakers last 9 games behind home plate vs. New York.
Under is 20-8-2 in Bakers last 30 games behind home plate.
Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Baker behind home plate.
Home team is 21-10 in Bakers last 31 games behind home plate.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Braves at Mets
Gracenote
Sep 24, 2018

The champagne has been popped and the celebratory T-shirts have been printed, but there is plenty of work remaining for the Atlanta Braves entering the final week of the season, starting Tuesday at the New York Mets. The newly crowned National League East champions have secured their first postseason berth since 2013, and look to build on their slim lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers for the second seed and home-field advantage in the NL Division Series.

While the Braves will give some of their regulars time off during this six-game road trip to New York and Philadelphia, expect Atlanta to give starters at-bats against Noah Syndergaard on Tuesday and Jacob deGrom on Wednesday in preparation for facing tough pitching in the playoffs. First baseman Freddie Freeman, who began the season’s final week leading the majors with 186 hits, is hitting .387 with 12 RBIs in 16 games against the Mets this season. New York never recovered from a 5-21 June, but the Mets are 34-28 since the All-Star break and have won 14 of 22 games in September. Outfielder Michael Conforto continued his strong late-season showing with two hits and three RBIs in Sunday’s 8-6 victory over Washington, and is hitting .312 with seven homers and 25 RBIs in his past 19 contests.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FS Southeast (Atlanta), SNY (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Touki Toussaint (2-1, 4.30 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.36)

Toussaint makes his sixth appearance and fifth start, on the heels of the most important outing of his short big-league career – striking out eight while allowing two runs in 5 2/3 innings Wednesday to beat St. Louis and snap Atlanta’s four-game losing streak. The 22-year-old gave up three runs in one inning of relief Sept. 15 against Washington, but has posted a 3.27 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP in his four starts. Toussaint is holding opponents to a .190 batting average, and is a candidate to make the postseason roster.

Syndergaard made only seven starts a season ago because of injury, but in 23 starts this year he has regained his place on the short list of baseball’s best pitchers. The 26-year-old brings a 1.27 WHIP while averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings, and in the second half he has won seven of his 11 starts (7-3) with a 3.75 ERA. Syndergaard, who is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA in September, is 0-1 in two starts against Atlanta this season with a 4.50 ERA.

WALK-OFFS

1. New York plans to activate 3B David Wright from the disabled list for the season, and the Mets captain – who last played in the majors on May 27, 2016 – could make a pinch-hit appearance in the series.

2. The Braves are 47-23 against the NL East this season, after going 103-124 within the division from 2015-17.

3. Atlanta SS Dansby Swanson is 5-for-10 lifetime against Syndergaard, while Freeman (.467) and RF Nick Markakis (.400) also have hit Syndergaard well.

PREDICTION: Mets 4, Braves 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Atlanta

Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 18-6 in their last 24 games following a win.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Braves are 38-16 in their last 54 vs. National League East.
Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Braves are 37-17 in their last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.

NY Mets

Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 17-7 in their last 24 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League East.
Mets are 18-37 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 17-37 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mets are 15-36 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 10-30 in their last 40 Tuesday games.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Mets are 4-0 in Syndergaards last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 6-0 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts.
Mets are 4-0 in Syndergaards last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mets are 4-1 in Syndergaards last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Mets are 4-1 in Syndergaards last 5 Tuesday starts.
Mets are 9-3 in Syndergaards last 12 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 2-5 in Syndergaards last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
Atlanta

Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 17-4 in Braves last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 8-2 in Braves last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-2 in Braves last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Braves last 8 overall.
Over is 6-2 in Braves last 8 on grass.
Under is 8-3 in Braves last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 10-4-1 in Braves last 15 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Toussaints last 4 starts on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Toussaints last 4 starts overall.

NY Mets

Over is 3-0-2 in Mets last 5 games following an off day.
Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 overall.
Over is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 on grass.
Under is 8-3 in Mets last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Syndergaards last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-2-1 in Syndergaards last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Syndergaards last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 4-1-2 in Syndergaards last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 4-1 in Syndergaards last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 18-6-2 in Syndergaards last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Syndergaards last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-5-2 in Syndergaards last 19 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Syndergaards last 10 Tuesday starts.

Head to Head

Braves are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
Braves are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New York.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Orioles at Red Sox
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

The Boston Red Sox have established a franchise record for victories and will continue their postseason preparation as they play the second of a three-game series against the visiting Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. A 6-2 victory in Monday's series opener was the 106th of the year for the Red Sox, eclipsing the team mark previously established in 1912.

Mookie Betts has been the catalyst for so many of Boston's victories this year and he is 10-for-16 with three home runs and eight RBIs over his last three games after notching a two-run homer and a single Monday. David Price will try to bounce back from his first loss in more than two months when he gets the start Tuesday for the Red Sox in what is expected to be rainy conditions. While Boston was in the process of establishing a team record for wins in the opener, the Orioles were matching a franchise mark (1939 St. Louis Browns) with their 111th loss. They'll try to avoid the unwanted record for a day with Jimmy Yacabonis on the mound to start Tuesday.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, MASN (Baltimore), NESN (Boston)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Jimmy Yacabonis (0-2, 6.34 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH David Price (15-7, 3.53)

Yacabonis will be making his sixth start of the year and his second in a row after tossing four scoreless innings against Toronto on Wednesday. He also started against Boston on Aug. 11, giving up three runs over 4 2/3 frames. Betts is 2-for-5 with a triple against the 26-year-old Yacabonis.

Price was unbeaten in 11 straight starts and went 6-0 in that span before suffering the loss at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. He gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings to raise his ERA in four starts against the Yankees to 10.34, compared to 2.84 in 25 outings against all other opponents. Price is 14-5 with a 2.67 ERA in 27 career starts against the Orioles.

WALK-OFFS

1. Betts needs one stolen base to record the second 30/30 season in team history (Jacoby Ellsbury, 2011).

2. Orioles INF Tim Beckham is 4-for-12 with two homers, three RBIs and four runs scored during his three-game hitting streak.

3. Boston has won 18 of the last 20 meetings.

PREDICTION: Red Sox 7, Orioles 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Baltimore

Orioles are 22-49 in their last 71 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Orioles are 22-50 in their last 72 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Orioles are 46-108 in their last 154 games on grass.
Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Orioles are 21-55 in their last 76 games following a loss.
Orioles are 20-54 in their last 74 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Orioles are 15-41 in their last 56 during game 2 of a series.
Orioles are 28-77 in their last 105 overall.
Orioles are 8-22 in their last 30 Tuesday games.
Orioles are 7-20 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Orioles are 13-40 in their last 53 vs. American League East.
Orioles are 13-40 in their last 53 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Orioles are 17-55 in their last 72 vs. a team with a winning record.
Orioles are 15-57 in their last 72 road games.
Orioles are 11-43 in their last 54 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Boston

Red Sox are 42-10 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 45-12 in their last 57 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Red Sox are 42-14 in their last 56 home games.
Red Sox are 40-15 in their last 55 Tuesday games.
Red Sox are 48-18 in their last 66 games on grass.
Red Sox are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Red Sox are 39-15 in their last 54 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 50-20 in their last 70 vs. American League East.
Red Sox are 42-17 in their last 59 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 42-17 in their last 59 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 85-35 in their last 120 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 41-17 in their last 58 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 38-16 in their last 54 games following a win.
Red Sox are 55-24 in their last 79 overall.
Red Sox are 6-0 in Prices last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 7-0 in Prices last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 5-0 in Prices last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Prices last 4 Tuesday starts.
Red Sox are 10-1 in Prices last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 10-1 in Prices last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 7-1 in Prices last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 5-1 in Prices last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Red Sox are 5-1 in Prices last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Red Sox are 20-6 in Prices last 26 home starts.
Red Sox are 16-5 in Prices last 21 starts on grass.
Red Sox are 19-7 in Prices last 26 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 36-16 in Prices last 52 starts.

OU Trends
Baltimore

Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 5-1-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 Tuesday games.
Over is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 8-3-1 in Orioles last 12 vs. American League East.
Over is 13-5 in Orioles last 18 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Yacabonis' last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Yacabonis' last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Yacabonis' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Boston

Under is 4-0-3 in Red Sox last 7 home games.
Under is 5-0-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
Under is 12-3-2 in Red Sox last 17 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
Over is 4-1-2 in Red Sox last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 11-3-2 in Red Sox last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-2 in Red Sox last 6 Tuesday games.
Under is 23-8-4 in Red Sox last 35 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 3-0-1 in Prices last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-2 in Prices last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Prices last 6 Tuesday starts.
Under is 4-1 in Prices last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Prices last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 5-2 in Prices last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Prices last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.

Head to Head

Under is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings.
Red Sox are 6-0 in Prices last 6 starts vs. Orioles.
Under is 4-0 in Prices last 4 starts vs. Orioles.
Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
Orioles are 6-20 in the last 26 meetings.
Orioles are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

Umpire Trends - Ryan Blakney

Over is 5-0 in Blakneys last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Road team is 11-4 in Blakneys last 15 games behind home plate.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Pirates at Cubs
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

The boom-or-bust nature of the Chicago Cubs’ offense has been especially prevalent when they face the Pittsburgh Pirates. After opening their four-game set against the visiting Pirates with another weak offensive output, the Cubs will try to get the bats going and preserve their slim National League Central lead when the clubs meet for the second of four games Tuesday.

The Cubs have been held to one or zero runs in 10 of their last 16 losses, including Monday’s 5-1 defeat in which pitcher Cole Hamels’ solo homer accounted for Chicago’s only run. The Cubs, who hold a 1 1/2-game edge on Milwaukee in their division, have scored a single run on a solo homer in each of their last five games against the Pirates. Pittsburgh is on its way to a strong finish to the season, having won 13 of their last 18. The season series is tied at eight wins apiece, and the Cubs have been limited to one run in six of their eight losses to the Pirates.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, AT&T SportsNet - Pittsburgh, WGN (Chicago)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Chris Archer (5-8, 4.49 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Mike Montgomery (5-5, 3.75)

Archer is 2-3 with a 4.86 ERA in nine starts since the Pirates acquired him from Tampa Bay ahead of the non-waiver trade deadline. The 29-year-old snapped a six-start winless streak Wednesday, holding Kansas City to one run over seven innings for his first win since Aug. 8. Archer is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts against the Cubs.

Montgomery entered the season as a reliever but became a valuable member of the rotation beginning in late May, going 5-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 17 starts. The 29-year-old struck out eight and allowed one run on four hits over six frames to win at Arizona last Tuesday for his first win since Aug. 7. Montgomery is 3-0 with a 2.30 ERA in nine games (three starts) against the Pirates.

WALK-OFFS

1. Pittsburgh C Francisco Cervelli homered Monday and is 14-for-34 with four homers and 12 RBIs in 11 games against the Cubs this season.

2. Pirates CF Starling Marte (left calf tightness) did not play Monday and is day-to-day.

3. Cubs RHP Pedro Strop (left hamstring) played catch and took part in agility drills Monday and hopes to pitch before the end of the regular season.

PREDICTION: Cubs 4, Pirates 3

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Pittsburgh

Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Pirates are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass.
Pirates are 21-6 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Pirates are 21-7 in their last 28 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-12 in their last 17 Tuesday games.
Pirates are 7-21 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pirates are 2-5 in Archers last 7 starts.
Pirates are 2-5 in Archers last 7 starts on grass.
Pirates are 0-4 in Archers last 4 road starts.
Pirates are 0-4 in Archers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 25-8 in their last 33 during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 23-8 in their last 31 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 45-17 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cubs are 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 75-35 in their last 110 games following a loss.
Cubs are 36-17 in their last 53 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 5-1 in Montgomerys last 6 Tuesday starts.
Cubs are 4-1 in Montgomerys last 5 starts.
Cubs are 4-1 in Montgomerys last 5 starts on grass.
Cubs are 5-2 in Montgomerys last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 1-4 in Montgomerys last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 1-5 in Montgomerys last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-6 in Montgomerys last 6 starts vs. National League Central.

OU Trends
Pittsburgh

Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 11-3-1 in Pirates last 15 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Pirates last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 19-8 in Pirates last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 26-11-1 in Pirates last 38 overall.
Under is 26-11-1 in Pirates last 38 on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-1-1 in Archers last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Archers last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Chi. Cubs

Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-4 in Cubs last 16 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 19-7 in Cubs last 26 vs. National League Central.
Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 overall.
Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Montgomerys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2 in Montgomerys last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 5-2 in Montgomerys last 7 home starts.
Under is 5-2 in Montgomerys last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trends - D.J. Reyburn

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Reyburn behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Reyburns last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Road team is 7-2 in Reyburns last 9 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
Over is 8-3 in Reyburns last 11 games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Reyburns last 7 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Reyburn behind home plate.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Twins at Tigers
Gracenote
Sep 24, 2018

The Minnesota Twins picked themselves up after a brief stumble to begin their 10-game road trip by erupting for 19 runs en route to a three-game sweep of the Detroit Tigers. The Twins (72-83), winners of five of their last seven overall, return to Target Field on Tuesday to face the Tigers (63-93) in the opener of their season-ending seven-game homestand.

Joe Mauer is in line for a hero's welcome should he reach base for the 3,073rd time in his distinguished career, which would snap a tie with Hall of Famer Harmon Killebrew for the most in Twins history. The 35-year-old Mauer, who is 11-for-34 versus Detroit this season, registered a two-hit performance for the fifth time in his last 10 outings in Minnesota's 5-1 romp at Oakland on Sunday. The Tigers dropped five of seven on their final homestand of the season following Sunday's 3-2 setback to Kansas City. Nicholas Castellanos had 13 hits -- including seven for extra bases (five doubles, triple, homer) and five runs scored in the first six contests of the homestand, highlighted by going 6-for-11 in the previous series with Minnesota.

TV: 8:10 p.m. ET, FS Detroit, FS North (Minnesota)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Spencer Turnbull (0-1, 10.80 ERA) vs. Twins TBA

Turnbull's first major-league start certainly didn't go the way of legend, as he answered a 1-2-3 first inning with a four-run, 36-pitch second in Wednesday's 8-2 setback versus Minnesota. In total, the 26-year-old was pierced for six runs on as many hits in four frames. Turnbull, who also balked on two occasions, told the Detroit News that "things started to speed up," and that he "just couldn't seem to get an out, and then it snowballed."

Minnesota plans to use an unannounced starter for the contest before giving way to rookie right-hander Kohl Stewart (2-1, 4.40 ERA). The 23-year-old Stewart replaced Gabriel Moya after the first inning and permitted no earned runs on three hits in six frames of a 6-1 victory at Detroit on Sept. 17. "Kind of how you would draw it up if you're hoping for success with the 'opener' format," Twins manager Paul Molitor said. "Moya gets through the first. Kohl was good. He got a lot of balls on the ground."

WALK-OFFS

1. Detroit has recorded 25 wins on the road, which is third-worst in the American League behind cellar-dwelling clubs Baltimore and Kansas City.

2. Twins LF Robbie Grossman had five hits and four runs scored in last week's series against the Tigers.

3. Detroit 3B Jeimer Candelario is 6-for-45 against Minnesota this season.

PREDICTION: Twins 4, Tigers 2

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Detroit

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Tigers are 25-51 in their last 76 games on grass.
Tigers are 18-37 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Tigers are 27-56 in their last 83 overall.
Tigers are 20-43 in their last 63 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 9-20 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 22-50 in their last 72 road games.
Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
Tigers are 15-40 in their last 55 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 14-38 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Tigers are 8-23 in their last 31 Tuesday games.
Tigers are 15-45 in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Minnesota

Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 15-4 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 15-4 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Twins are 18-8 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Twins are 24-11 in their last 35 home games.
Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a win.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

OU Trends
Detroit

Under is 5-0-2 in Tigers last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 7-2-1 in Tigers last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 15-5-3 in Tigers last 23 games following a loss.
Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2-4 in Tigers last 11 Tuesday games.
Under is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-7-3 in Tigers last 26 vs. American League Central.

Minnesota

Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 games following an off day.
Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 10-3 in Twins last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 10-3 in Twins last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 10-4 in Twins last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.

Head to Head

Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.
Tigers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.
Tigers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Indians at White Sox
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

All-Star Trevor Bauer looks to get himself ready for the postseason as he makes the start Tuesday night when the American League Central champion Cleveland Indians visit the Chicago White Sox for the second of a three-game set. Bauer, who returned last Friday for a short appearance after missing more than a month with a stress fracture in his right leg, is expected to throw between 60 and 65 pitches Tuesday.

“The health, the feeling in the ankle, has been better,” Bauer told reporters after pitching 1 1/3 innings in Boston last week. “So, everything’s trending in a very positive direction.” Corey Kluber reached 20 victories for the first time in his career with seven strong innings as the Indians took the series opener 4-0 on Monday for their fifth win in seven games overall and 13th in 17 meetings with the White Sox this season. Chicago, which needs two wins to avoid its first 100-loss season since 1970, has dropped six of its last eight contests after managing four hits and leaving five on base Monday. Nicky Delmonico registered a pair of hits for the White Sox in the series opener and Avisail Garcia extended his hitting streak to four games with a single.

TV: 8:10 p.m. ET, SportsTime Ohio (Cleveland), NBCS Chicago

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Trevor Bauer (12-6, 2.21 ERA) vs. White Sox RH James Shields (7-16, 4.48)

Bauer threw 34 pitches against the Red Sox while giving up two hits and issuing one walk in his first appearance since Aug. 11. The 27-year-old UCLA product, who boasts 215 strikeouts in 167 1/3 innings, had won four straight starts before the abbreviated outing against Boston. Yoan Moncada is 4-for-11 with a homer versus Bauer, who is 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in three starts against the White Sox in 2018 and 8-3, 3.15 in his career.

Shields has registered six quality starts in his last nine outings, including two solid efforts against the Indians despite being unable to earn a victory. The 36-year-old Californian held Cleveland to two runs on five hits Thursday in a no-decision and is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts versus the Indians this year. Francisco Lindor is 7-for-15 with two homers against Shields, who is 5-8 with a 3.76 ERA lifetime versus Cleveland.

WALK-OFFS

1. White Sox OF Daniel Palka has 27 homers, tied with Zeke Bonura (1934) for the third-highest total by a rookie in franchise history.

2. Cleveland LF Michael Brantley, who was rested in the series opener, is 9-for-21 with a homer during a four-game hitting streak.

3. Chicago 1B Jose Abreu, who has not played since Sept. 16 due to a thigh infection, could be done for the season.

PREDICTION: Indians 6, White Sox 3

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Cleveland

Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Indians are 77-31 in their last 108 vs. American League Central.
Indians are 37-15 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Indians are 53-23 in their last 76 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 5-0 in Bauers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 road starts.
Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 6-0 in Bauers last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 6-1 in Bauers last 7 starts.
Indians are 6-1 in Bauers last 7 starts on grass.
Indians are 5-1 in Bauers last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Indians are 1-5 in Bauers last 6 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.

Chi. White Sox

White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 23-49 in their last 72 during game 2 of a series.
White Sox are 40-93 in their last 133 vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 15-37 in their last 52 Tuesday games.
White Sox are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 9-23 in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
White Sox are 13-39 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
White Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
White Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
White Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a loss.
White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
White Sox are 1-8 in their last 9 home games.
White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
White Sox are 7-3 in Shields' last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 9-19 in Shields' last 28 starts on grass.
White Sox are 2-6 in Shields' last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 4-13 in Shields' last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 6-21 in Shields' last 27 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
White Sox are 2-8 in Shields' last 10 Tuesday starts.

OU Trends
Cleveland

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games following a win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-1-2 in Indians last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games.
Under is 12-3-2 in Indians last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 11-4-2 in Indians last 17 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Over is 7-3-3 in Indians last 13 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 Tuesday starts.
Under is 41-9-6 in Bauers last 56 road starts.
Under is 20-5-1 in Bauers last 26 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Bauers last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-4 in Bauers last 15 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Under is 11-4 in Bauers last 15 starts on grass.
Under is 11-4 in Bauers last 15 starts overall.
Under is 35-13-5 in Bauers last 53 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 16-6-4 in Bauers last 26 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 18-7-1 in Bauers last 26 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 46-19-5 in Bauers last 70 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Chi. White Sox

Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 5-0-2 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-1-2 in White Sox last 11 games following a loss.
Under is 5-1-3 in White Sox last 9 Tuesday games.
Over is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 19-7-1 in White Sox last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-4-2 in White Sox last 15 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Shields' last 5 Tuesday starts.
Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Shields' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-1 in Shields' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 12-4-1 in Shields' last 17 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 11-4 in Shields' last 15 home starts.
Under is 8-3-1 in Shields' last 12 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 7-3 in Shields' last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 home starts vs. Indians.
Under is 6-0 in Shields' last 6 starts vs. Indians.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 6-1 in Bauers last 7 road starts vs. White Sox.
Indians are 5-1 in Bauers last 6 starts vs. White Sox.
Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts vs. White Sox.
Indians are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Andy Fletcher

Home team is 5-0 in Fletchers last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games with Fletcher behind home plate.
Road team is 4-1 in Fletchers last 5 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Over is 4-1-1 in Fletchers last 6 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Over is 4-1 in Fletchers last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Under is 7-2-1 in Fletchers last 10 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Road team is 5-2 in Fletchers last 7 games behind home plate.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 Tuesday games with Fletcher behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Fletchers last 7 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Road team is 5-2 in Fletchers last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Over is 24-10 in Fletchers last 34 Tuesday games behind home plate.
White Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 games with Fletcher behind home plate.

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

Preview: Brewers at Cardinals
Gracenote
Sep 25, 2018

The Brewers can take a huge step toward clinching a wild-card berth and remain within striking distance of winning the National League Central on Tuesday when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals in the middle contest of a three-game set. Milwaukee lowered its magic number to clinch a postseason spot to three following Monday's 6-4 victory over St. Louis.

The win stretched out Milwaukee's lead over the Cardinals - the Brewers' closest competition in the wild-card race - to three games with five left to play. The victory also allowed Milwaukee (90-67) to close within 1 1/2 games of the Central-leading Cubs as the club continues its quest to end a six-year postseason drought. The Cardinals (87-70) appeared to be on their way to closing the gap on the Brewers on in the opener after roughing up All-Star reliever Josh Hader and taking a 4-3 lead in the sixth inning, but two late RBIs from Christian Yelich and a wild pickoff throw in the eighth inning ultimately led to the end of St. Louis' three-game winning streak. The loss not only made the Cardinals' bid to overtake the Brewers this week unlikely, but it also reduced their lead over Colorado to a half-game for the final wild card.

TV: 7:07 p.m. ET, FS Wisconsin, Dish455 (Milwaukee), FS Midwest (St. Louis)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers LH Gio Gonzalez (9-11, 4.28 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Austin Gomber (6-1, 3.63)

Gonzales remained unbeaten in three starts since arriving in a trade from Washington earlier this month, allowing two hits and two walks while striking out five over six scoreless innings on his 33rd birthday. The two-time All-Star is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA as a member of the Brewers, although all three of his outings with them have come at home. Yadier Molina (8-for-23) has fared well while Matt Carpenter (2-for-19) has not versus Gonzalez, who was tagged for five runs across four frames in a loss at St. Louis on Aug. 14.

Gomber rebounded from his worst performance as a major leaguer to move to 5-1 as a member of the rotation, permitting one run while fanning five over as many innings last Tuesday against Atlanta. The Florida Atlantic product continues to struggle with his control, however, handing out 31 free passes over his first 69 1/3 big-league innings. Gomber, who did not give up a run in two-thirds of an inning in his only appearance versus Milwaukee on June 23, is allowing left-handed hitters to bat .301 against him.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Brewers reached the 90-win mark in the opener for only the eighth time in the franchise's 50-year history.

2. The Cardinals reached Hader for three runs - a walk sandwiched by two homers - in one inning of work Monday after entering the game with only three hits in their first 28 at-bats against him.

3. With a victory in either one of the final two games of this series, Milwaukee will win the season series for the second year in a row after failing to do in the previous six seasons.

PREDICTION: Brewers 4, Cardinals 3

bmd1803 · Sep 25, 2018

W/L Trends
Milwaukee

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

St. Louis

Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
Cardinals are 17-7 in their last 24 games following a loss.
Cardinals are 13-6 in their last 19 during game 2 of a series.
Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 4-1 in Gombers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 8-2 in Gombers last 10 starts.
Cardinals are 8-2 in Gombers last 10 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 5-2 in Gombers last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
Milwaukee

Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 14-5 in Brewers last 19 Tuesday games.
Over is 29-11 in Brewers last 40 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 overall.
Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 on grass.
Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 vs. National League Central.

St. Louis

Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
Over is 20-8 in Cardinals last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 4-1 in Gombers last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Gombers last 5 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Gombers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Brewers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in St. Louis.

Umpire Trends - Will Little

Home team is 4-0 in Littles last 4 games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-0 in Littles last 4 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Little behind home plate.
Under is 9-2-1 in Littles last 12 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Home team is 4-1 in Littles last 5 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.
Under is 5-2 in Littles last 7 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Little behind home plate.