Week 5 NCAAF Fishy Lines - Opinions Wanted

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last week I slit here on this type of thread .... but my winner was pretty solid ...

Cinci - 8 1/2 ...opened at -10 ...why the drop ?


smells like an Ohio cover


This week

If I'm wrong ... wouldn't be the first time ....


This game looks very familiar to Cinci game vs Ohio last week which I won ...

Fresno St ...imo ...a much better team than Toledo and are at home ....

Why the line drop ....??? Just like Cinci last week opening at - 10 ...dropped to - 8 .... Dog Covered Ohio ....

Fresno St opens at - 10 ...now - 7 1/2 ....

I'm not playing this Toledo Club ...don't trust em regardless of the line drop ..... Just fishy to me ....


 

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What games this week look fishy or too good to be true???

Opinions Wanted!!!

Not sure if this one is really fishy... but Indiana -17.5 to Rutgers.. makes me wonder. I know it’s a conference road game, but teams have been abusing RU this year. I feel like it should be wider. Thoughts?
 

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I picked 2 last week and ended up playing both of them just to prove Vegas wrong.... TCU and Wisconsin.... luckily came out 1-1.... Wisc was a lucky win I'm.

This week culprit is Kentucky..... A 4-0 ranked team playing at home after taking two heavy weight (Fla & Ms St) to woodshed...but line is hovering around pk/-1.... Not counting they have been kicking SC ass last 4 years....hmmm
 

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Syracuse +25.
very public dog with reverse line move. 22 to 25 with over 60% on Cuse.
Clemson by 40 wouldn’t shock me here. Dabo gonna run it up all day here.
 

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last week I slit here on this type of thread .... but my winner was pretty solid ...

Cinci - 8 1/2 ...opened at -10 ...why the drop ?


smells like an Ohio cover


This week

If I'm wrong ... wouldn't be the first time ....


This game looks very familiar to Cinci game vs Ohio last week which I won ...

Fresno St ...imo ...a much better team than Toledo and are at home ....

Why the line drop ....??? Just like Cinci last week opening at - 10 ...dropped to - 8 .... Dog Covered Ohio ....

Fresno St opens at - 10 ...now - 7 1/2 ....

I'm not playing this Toledo Club ...don't trust em regardless of the line drop ..... Just fishy to me ....


You totally overlook two things. First, in over 75% of the books, the line opened at 8 1/2 or less. I know that if you looked hard enough you would have found a couple of 10 point lines and then if were able to, you could have jumped on it. However the point is that the ones that did did it very early, well before most people even saw the line. Second, Toledo,s offense is much better than Fresno States offense. That means to me that they have a better chance of coming back than Fresno State has of pulling away. 7 1/2 is a spread I would simply pass on. Nothing fishy at all. You must look at the ENTIRE picture.
 

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You totally overlook two things. First, in over 75% of the books, the line opened at 8 1/2 or less. I know that if you looked hard enough you would have found a couple of 10 point lines and then if were able to, you could have jumped on it. However the point is that the ones that did did it very early, well before most people even saw the line. Second, Toledo,s offense is much better than Fresno States offense. That means to me that they have a better chance of coming back than Fresno State has of pulling away. 7 1/2 is a spread I would simply pass on. Nothing fishy at all. You must look at the ENTIRE picture.


You are too funny ... every week you give me some shit ... I love it ...

Keep it comin ...

GL my friend !!!
 
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Great stuff and would love more opinions before the weekend. Last weekend with my Big Plays had Marshall +6 Loss, Texas +3 Won Outright, Oregon +3 Loss. As you all watched I should of had a easy 2-1 day with oregon literally just 1 minute away from kneeling and winning the game. So my take away from the posts this week is Syracuse is fishy but i usually just don't look at the big spreads. I focus on the big games and low spreads. Right on point is Kentucky only -1.5 vs South Carolina. I find key situations where the betting public is being fooled by the oddsmakers. This is a classic case of Kentucky being maxed out at a 17 Ranking by ESPN. Espn is the worst and just fool the average bettor. I will putting some heavy money on SC this week.
If you guys would like to know more about my proven system where I find these fishy games hit me up on Twitter @Vegaslinereader
 

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This week culprit is Kentucky..... A 4-0 ranked team playing at home after taking two heavy weight (Fla & Ms St) to woodshed...but line is hovering around pk/-1.... Not counting they have been kicking SC ass last 4 years....hmmm

Line is currently SC -1....most likely will be on my card tmr.
 

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The juggernaut that is West Virginia only 3 1/2 over Texas Tech? They should croak them no ? ( last Week Florida.... winner)
 

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