Recap of last week - 2-4 with a push +$71...YTD 8-14 -941
Super contest 3-2 sitting at 7.5 points Managed to go 4-1 in the RX super contest not sure why I changed up picks when I emailled in stupid
What a crazy week that was almost won two online spread pools but lost out of 3 of my 4 survivor pools - only one left and it is a loser pool.
Last week I cautioned about over valued Favs ...Clev, Hous, Chic, & Pitt. Clev was on their way to losing that game until Baker Mayfield joined the fray. Not going to say Pitt got lucky winning the first half turnover battle b/c they were heavily penalised in that game. It was not a fun game to watch had the two spread pools + my wager riding on the Bucs and how bad are the MNF announcers - Is that the best ESPN can put out there?
Division dogs also went 2-0 for another strong showing.
So on to week 4 ...
Injuries are mounting for teams on both sides of the ball - ATLANTA starting D, lucky for them AJ green will not be 100% & no Mixon again. My Niners what loss , but Sherman also goes down. Titans QB situation is very shaky but apparently they don't need any offense to win a game.
My Notes for week 4 are sparse other than the following
The public will get back on track after getting sniped the last 3 weeks
Favs that open below My projected Power rating have fared well in Week 4 21-12.....Philly Sea NO
Public backing the dog in week 4... 6-9...historically the Favs are 56% on my chart in all weeks so look elsewhere when thinking about Cinncy, Buff & Det ...interesting that two of those teams are coming off big upsets
Keep on eye on Favs who's line has not moved by Friday PM. 15-9 so far ....NE INDY CHIC NO PITT KC
Last strong week for divisional dogs they are 20-12 in week 4.... MIA, Hou, Ariz ,BALT, Denver.... 3 maybe 4 winners in that group.
Oh and one thing to keep an eye on RLM Fav..... Historically those plays are 61% on my chart they are rare - The Rams are close. Line definitely up but on 52% of the public right now
I got two plays in already
LA RAM -6 -136 $408 to win $300 - Bought this line this morning before PINNY moved up to 7.5 The rams are top 10 in offense and defense efficiency - the Vikes are bottom third in both...Don't over thing this the Rams wear teams out and pull away late I expect nothing different here. Yes i know about the corners being out for the rams but cousins has not looked good in his new offense. The Rams defense is confident Shields, Hill and Robey-Coleman will be ready. (from the AP) those are the starting cornerbacks without Talib and if Peters cant go.....
OAK O45 -100 $200 - The Raiders have yet to score over 20 points yet their implied TT is 24....if they score 24 I feel the browns wont quit and will keep coming knowing how the raiders have folded in the second half of games this year. We could have a shoot out on our hands.
GL GUYS
Back Friday or Saturday with the rest of the card
Powerz
Super contest 3-2 sitting at 7.5 points Managed to go 4-1 in the RX super contest not sure why I changed up picks when I emailled in stupid
What a crazy week that was almost won two online spread pools but lost out of 3 of my 4 survivor pools - only one left and it is a loser pool.
Last week I cautioned about over valued Favs ...Clev, Hous, Chic, & Pitt. Clev was on their way to losing that game until Baker Mayfield joined the fray. Not going to say Pitt got lucky winning the first half turnover battle b/c they were heavily penalised in that game. It was not a fun game to watch had the two spread pools + my wager riding on the Bucs and how bad are the MNF announcers - Is that the best ESPN can put out there?
Division dogs also went 2-0 for another strong showing.
So on to week 4 ...
Injuries are mounting for teams on both sides of the ball - ATLANTA starting D, lucky for them AJ green will not be 100% & no Mixon again. My Niners what loss , but Sherman also goes down. Titans QB situation is very shaky but apparently they don't need any offense to win a game.
My Notes for week 4 are sparse other than the following
The public will get back on track after getting sniped the last 3 weeks
Favs that open below My projected Power rating have fared well in Week 4 21-12.....Philly Sea NO
Public backing the dog in week 4... 6-9...historically the Favs are 56% on my chart in all weeks so look elsewhere when thinking about Cinncy, Buff & Det ...interesting that two of those teams are coming off big upsets
Keep on eye on Favs who's line has not moved by Friday PM. 15-9 so far ....NE INDY CHIC NO PITT KC
Last strong week for divisional dogs they are 20-12 in week 4.... MIA, Hou, Ariz ,BALT, Denver.... 3 maybe 4 winners in that group.
Oh and one thing to keep an eye on RLM Fav..... Historically those plays are 61% on my chart they are rare - The Rams are close. Line definitely up but on 52% of the public right now
I got two plays in already
LA RAM -6 -136 $408 to win $300 - Bought this line this morning before PINNY moved up to 7.5 The rams are top 10 in offense and defense efficiency - the Vikes are bottom third in both...Don't over thing this the Rams wear teams out and pull away late I expect nothing different here. Yes i know about the corners being out for the rams but cousins has not looked good in his new offense. The Rams defense is confident Shields, Hill and Robey-Coleman will be ready. (from the AP) those are the starting cornerbacks without Talib and if Peters cant go.....
OAK O45 -100 $200 - The Raiders have yet to score over 20 points yet their implied TT is 24....if they score 24 I feel the browns wont quit and will keep coming knowing how the raiders have folded in the second half of games this year. We could have a shoot out on our hands.
GL GUYS
Back Friday or Saturday with the rest of the card
Powerz
