Ufc 229

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Tony Martin +120...................................0.5 unit -played early at +160, but this is the current line. Should be a great fight...

Tonya Evinger +150...............................0.25 unit -helluvit play bc Ladd looked like she was about to pass out at weigh-ins. She did look game later in the day,though.

J. Formiga +150....................................0.50 unit -thinking Formiga can handle the speed, and control this one on the ground. Not big on Lil Pettis anyways...

F. Herrig -110.......................................1 unit -Herrig is way stronger, hits harder, and is better on the ground (idk why they keep saying Waterson is). She always seems to get in really close fights, and this one could be a split too, but I think she can overpower Waterson and get a stoppage even if she breathes and doesn't gas. Stay composed, and do your thing...

D. Lewis +145.....................................1 unit -toss up fight, maybe, but Lewsi last performance is playing into this. Didn't like the hat flip at weigh-ins yesterday, but it's not changing my wager here. Almost wanna play Lewsi by KO +200 as well, but he may just lay and pray to make sure he doesn't gas. A play on the fight goes the distance may not be a bad wager, especially since a good fade here is on the Under...lol

T. Ferguson by sub +200......................0.5 unit -I don't really know what to expect on this fight, but I don't think Pettis can finish the fight, although he looks focused, so I'll roll with El Cucoy getting this to the ground and his length and strength securing the finish, RNC...

V. Luque by sub +140..........................0.5 unit -might as well, hell. Turner's best shot is on the feet, so Luque should be content to secure a takedown and gain control, RNC style...Luque is a gatekeeper to me, so anything can happen. This is the largest odds of the night, so a small play on Turner +650 wouldn't hurt my feelings...

Khabib -160.......................................3 units -this has been discussed for months at great lengths for the whys and why nots here, so no need to do it all over again...

Khabib ITD +125................................0.5 unit -I really wanna play Round 2 +300 as well, but I'm afraid given the chance, Khabib wants to "work their boy", and no telling when it ends, or if at all...

Good luck to all, and enjoy the weekend of football and fights...
 

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Good luck.....solid picks across the board

Like Herrig and Khabib but am going to wait on the Conner fanboys to hopefully bring it down closer to fight time.
 

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Good luck.....solid picks across the board

Like Herrig and Khabib but am going to wait on the Conner fanboys to hopefully bring it down closer to fight time.

Thanks. I’m actually in at -140 from weeks and weeks ago, but idk if I’ll get much better than that. If so, I may throw a couple more units on it if the night goes as expected before then...

Good luck and enjoy...
 

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loaded up to play Khabib, jumped on just to see where you stood matty. glad we agree. trying to see how much I can get down!

good luck to us!
 

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I really think Herrig is the best bet on the card. Waterson is a 105er. It is one thing to be small but you better have great hands and movement or wrestling if you want to survive. She is a kicker. Average hands.Think she get bullied. Wasn't gonna take Khabib, but since you like it so much I might bet it. I don't know. Might just pass and enjoy it without money on the line GL. Big card for you
 

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I really think Herrig is the best bet on the card. Waterson is a 105er. It is one thing to be small but you better have great hands and movement or wrestling if you want to survive. She is a kicker. Average hands.Think she get bullied. Wasn't gonna take Khabib, but since you like it so much I might bet it. I don't know. Might just pass and enjoy it without money on the line GL. Big card for you

People don’t like Herrig bc they don’t like how she portrays herself (most think she’s an attention whore). But, she takes training serious, constantly keeps her nutrition and physique on point, and is probably one of the hardest working and most improved fighters in all of WMMA. She took it to heart and posted about how she thought it was utter BS when Waterson got ranked above her out of nowhere because Felice has been winning, and Waterson is just a name they hope does well. I agree with her...This is her fight to lose, and if she stays patient, breathes, and picks her spots, I think she can absolutely manhandle Waterson. Then idk what she or UFC does with her because I don’t think they genuinely like her either, and she wants to do fitness/physique bodybuilding too, and she definitely has the physique and discipline to do so...

A small play on Herrig by submission might not be a bad play, either...
 

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As for Khabib, if you weren’t gonna bet it to begin with, I’d stick to not betting it at all, honestly.
 

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Evinger v. Ladd is the mom vs. daughter fight haha.

I don’t really promote folks having children at 14, but if that’s what you wanna call it, go right ahead...

Ole Skool Gatekeeper vs Prospective Newcomer
 

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The Irish and the Russians are already fighting each other before McGregor-Khabib

<a href="https://www.facebook.com/barstoolsports/videos/550256885413082/UzpfSTEwMDAxMDEzNzU4NDE5NTo3NDcyMDYyNTU2MjcyODc/?id=100010137584195" target="_blank"> https://www.facebook.com/barstoolsports/videos/550256885413082/UzpfSTEwMDAxMDEzNzU4NDE5NTo3NDcyMDYyNTU2MjcyODc/?id=100010137584195The Irish and the Russians are already fighting each other before McGregor-Khabib
 

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Yea, that happened yesterday after the media weigh-in. Irishman don’t want none...
 

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Lmao! Herrig with constant clinch and cage control does nothing...Gets a great TD and pulls guard, rookie move.

Waterson may have won, but she’s garbage too. Lol

Thwy both gassed and are a as flat as their chest.
 
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I can't believe the stopped that fight with 11 seconds left. What a joke just ride it out it was about to end.
 

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