(3) NBA System NBA Moneyline Dogs

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Jho

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This is a moneyline system that starts at game 4 and ends on game 51

Since 2004 this system is up 204 units

Starting bankroll is 10k
 
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This is a moneyline system that starts at game 4 and ends on game 51

Since 2004 this system is up 204 units

Starting bankroll is 10k

If you would, please elaborate on your unit system. You’re wagering $100 in Orlando ML +725 this evening. Your bankroll is $10K. Is one unit $100? Will you be playing future games for more than one unit? Just trying to get a full picture here from the money management side of things.

Thank you.
 

Jho

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If you would, please elaborate on your unit system. You’re wagering $100 in Orlando ML +725 this evening. Your bankroll is $10K. Is one unit $100? Will you be playing future games for more than one unit? Just trying to get a full picture here from the money management side of things.

Thank you.
Sure thing!
I wager 1% of my bankroll. So when we win and my bankroll rises then I adjust my wager. For example if I win this match tonight..my bankroll will be $10,725. I think increase my "unit size" to $107 (1%)...I never lower my wager even if I lose 5 in a row...I would keep the bet $107 in this example....I hope I have explained it to where this make sense...let me know if you have any other questions.
J
 

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Sure thing!
I wager 1% of my bankroll. So when we win and my bankroll rises then I adjust my wager. For example if I win this match tonight..my bankroll will be $10,725. I think increase my "unit size" to $107 (1%)...I never lower my wager even if I lose 5 in a row...I would keep the bet $107 in this example....I hope I have explained it to where this make sense...let me know if you have any other questions.
J

How many units do you usually win per season?
 
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Sure thing!
I wager 1% of my bankroll. So when we win and my bankroll rises then I adjust my wager. For example if I win this match tonight..my bankroll will be $10,725. I think increase my "unit size" to $107 (1%)...I never lower my wager even if I lose 5 in a row...I would keep the bet $107 in this example....I hope I have explained it to where this make sense...let me know if you have any other questions.
J
So, when you say this system is up 204 units since 2004, what amount or percentage of your bankroll represents a “unit”? Your unit size, in the scenario you described, is not constant. It varies based on your bankroll (even though you don’t stick to 1% of your adjusted bankroll since you don’t reduce your wager after a loss or consecutive losses). Will be interesting to follow through game 51; thank you for sharing.
 

Jho

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Last 5 years
All numbers rounded...
2013 -100
2014 +5100
2015 +1300
2016 +2000
2017 -600

Did you understand how I'm doing my money management and bet sizing in my above post?
 

Fortune favors the bold.
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Nice win on Orlando +725... Wow! I had Celtics ML in a bunch of parlays .. Lol
 
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Last 5 years
All numbers rounded...
2013 -100
2014 +5100
2015 +1300
2016 +2000
2017 -600

Did you understand how I'm doing my money management and bet sizing in my above post?
.

I understand; yes. Are these dollar figures at the end of each season based on 1% of bankroll flat betting (increasing after a win to the updated 1%)?
 

Jho

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So, when you say this system is up 204 units since 2004, what amount or percentage of your bankroll represents a “unit”? Your unit size, in the scenario you described, is not constant. It varies based on your bankroll (even though you don’t stick to 1% of your adjusted bankroll since you don’t reduce your wager after a loss or consecutive losses). Will be interesting to follow through game 51; thank you for sharing.
Sorry I just now saw this post...to be fair

I haven't bet this system since 2004...I have just back tested it dating back to 04.

204 units...I'm actually saying this is what the system would of made if you bet a static 100 bucks (1 unit)since 2004. I'm using a bankroll and betting strategy to increase my wager size to increase the amount of implied profitably based on the prior results. Thanks for your interest in this subject...and sorry for not explaining the appropriate way
 

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