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Thread: JDubs ATP Tennis Picks 2018

  1. #1 JDubs ATP Tennis Picks 2018 
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    Hello everyone, I just thought I would start a thread to track my tennis picks. I have been doing okay and seem to have a decent grasp on the research and capping end of it, but it is still a work in progress. I have won more than I have lost in the last 2 months of doing this so I thought I would track my picks publicly to see how it goes. I will start with any picks I make from today forward and you can tail or fade as you see fit, or just follow along.

    Here is a recent copy and paste of my most recent picks, turned out to be a really good day. These won't count towards the ongoing W/L total, just thought I would put them here to show that I do have a decent grasp of what I am doing.

    407370123 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:36 PM Spread $5.00 $4.95 Win Tennis - 81013 Nishikori, Kei -5 -101 for Match
    407369331 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:33 PM Parlay $5.00 $4.22 Win Tennis - 81023 Edmund, Kyle -300 for Match
    Tennis - 81020 Del Potro, Juan Martin -261 for Match
    407369321 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:33 PM Parlay $5.00 $8.07 Win Tennis - 81023 Edmund, Kyle -300 for Match
    Tennis - 81020 Del Potro, Juan Martin -261 for Match
    Tennis - 81013 Nishikori, Kei -926 for Match
    Tennis - 81028 Federer, Roger -358 for Match
    407368720 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:27 PM Money Line $5.00 $6.35 Win Tennis - 81007 Tsitsipas, Stefanos +127 for Match
    407368619 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:24 PM Total $5.00 $4.39 Loss Tennis - 81023 Edmund, Kyle/Seppi, Andreas over 22 -114 for Match
    407368355 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:17 PM Money Line $8.00 $5.00 Win Tennis - 81017 De Minaur, Alex -160 for Match
    407368312 - 1 Oct 09, 2018 11:16 PM Total $5.00 $4.55 Loss Tennis - 81017 De Minaur, Alex/Paire, Benoit over 23 -110 for Match

    Mostly favorites as you can see, and the game total is still hard to figure sometimes, but a winning day over all and I will take it. When the odds are too high on the favorites I just parlay them to make it worthwhile.

    Be back later today with my first official picks.

    JDub
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  2. #2  
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    10/10/18
    0-0

    Ok, it was much easier when I wasn't worried about someone else maybe betting on what I put up. I am going to paste my pending wagers, it's just easier and it proves that I actually bet what I am putting on here, not that bets this small should be doubted, just wanted to be transparent. I plan on making larger bets as my bankroll grows.

    All bets are for the matches occuring at the Rolex Shanghai Masters.
    407404753 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:25 PM Total $5.00 $4.81 Tennis - 81011 Coric, Borna/Del Potro, Juan Martin under 22 -104 for Match
    407404535 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:21 PM Spread $11.00 $10.28 Tennis - 81029 Ebden, Matthew - -107 for Match
    407404520 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:21 PM Total $5.60 $5.05 Tennis - 81031 Djokovic, Novak/Cecchinato, Marco under 19 -111 for Match
    407404480 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:20 PM Total $6.00 $5.04 Tennis - 81033 Tsitsipas, Stefanos/Anderson, Kevin over 25 -119 for Match
    407404462 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:20 PM Total $5.50 $5.05 Tennis - 81003 Edmund, Kyle/Jarry, Nicolas under 23 -109 for Match
    407404437 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:20 PM Parlay $10.00 $10.08 Tennis - 81001 Zverev, Alexander -299 for Match
    Tennis - 81035 Nishikori, Kei -198 for Match


    Good luck to any that follow.
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  3. #3  
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    10-11-2018
    4-1 (1 Match Pending)

    Well, the worst I can do is 4-2 if the Coric/Del Potro match goes over 22 games. The match hasn't started yet, but I am leaving for a short vacation to Berlin, Ohio in about an hour so I probably won't be posting anymore picks till I return. I may try, but the wife will probably get mad if I spend my free time capping tennis matches. I am not winning that kind of money.....happy wife, happy life and all that. Congrats to anyone that followed, winning day no matter how the next match turns out, hoping for a winner though, 5-1 is way better than 4-2.

    Here are the winning wagers minus the one:
    407404535 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:21 PM Spread $11.00 $10.28 Win Tennis - 81029 Ebden, Matthew - -107 for Match
    407404520 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:21 PM Total $5.60 $5.05 Win Tennis - 81031 Djokovic, Novak/Cecchinato, Marco under 19 -111 for Match
    407404480 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:20 PM Total $6.00 $5.04 Loss Tennis - 81033 Tsitsipas, Stefanos/Anderson, Kevin over 25 -119 for Match
    407404462 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:20 PM Total $5.50 $5.05 Win Tennis - 81003 Edmund, Kyle/Jarry, Nicolas under 23 -109 for Match
    407404437 - 1 Oct 10, 2018 04:20 PM Parlay $10.00 $10.08 Win Tennis - 81001 Zverev, Alexander -299 for Match
    Tennis - 81035 Nishikori, Kei -198 for Match

    I will try to update the record sometime today with the last match. I hope someone followed and won some money. This community has helped me win in football the last 2 years, and I wanted to give something back. I know it is a small sample size, but I hope to keep posting winners for everyone to cash in on. BOL on all your wagers over the next few days.

    JDub984
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  4. #4  
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    Fuck it. Keep on posting. Just post when your wife goes to the bathroom and takes a shower! =)
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  5. #5  
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    10-11-2018
    4-1-1
    Del Potro/Coric ended with Del Potro retiring after losing first set 7-5. He was battling a cold so not unexpected.

    4-1-1 not a bad first official posting. Will post again when I can.
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  6. #6  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDub984 View Post
    10-11-2018
    4-1-1
    Del Potro/Coric ended with Del Potro retiring after losing first set 7-5. He was battling a cold so not unexpected.

    4-1-1 not a bad first official posting. Will post again when I can.
    Good work! Keep em coming.

    You think your wife is upset that you went 4-1-1? Tell her you'll buy her some new shoes. DONE & DONE!
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  7. #7  
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    10-11-2018
    4-1-1

    Alrighty, got away for a few to give you tonights picks. The odds weren't too good for the favs I really like so I went with a 3 man parlay. I like all three to win buy don't like +200 odds so here they are.

    Zverev, A./ Djokovic, N./ Coric, B. ........Parlay 10 to win 12.47
    Djokovic, N -4 -106 for match 6 to win .72
    Zverev/Edmund Under 22.5
    Djokovic/Anderson Under 22 5 to win 5

    Good luck to all that follow. Gotta buy the wife new shoes.
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  8. #8  
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    10-12-2018
    6-1-3

    Well good night overall, the Djokovic/Anderson bet I made was at 22 not 22.5 like I thought. I pushed on it, can't remember if I read it wrong or it was actually at 22.5 when I first read it and just didn't notice that it had changed when I made the bet. Anywhoo, the computer at the hotel we are at doesn't like me being on the BetOnline site, so I can't actually copy and paste my actual bets but here is how it all washed out. I missed a couple bet sizes when I first posted the picks. Here they are now:

    Zverev/ Djokovic/ Coric......Parlay 10 for 12.47 WIN
    Zverev/ Edmund Under 22.5 6.77 for 6.04 WIN
    Djokovic -4 for match 6.06 for 5.72 PUSH/CANCEL
    Djokovic/ Anderson Under 22 5.00 for 5.00 PUSH/CANCEL

    If only Djokovic breaks Anderson once in first set 4-0. I'll take two wins and no losses any day though. Congrats to any who followed and cashed, I'll try to post again tonight if possible. Thanks Varkeyboy for the encouragement hope you have been cashing in with me.

    JDub984
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  9. #9  
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    Keep it going!!!
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  10. #10  
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    10-12-2018
    6-1-3

    Ok, gonna keep it short and sweet. Two bets tonight:

    10/12/2018 10:52:06 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - TENNIS - ATP - 81004 CORIC, BORNA/FEDERER, ROGER OVER 23 -111 FOR MATCH

    TYPE
    RISK
    TO WIN
    TOTAL
    $6.11
    $5.50


    ACCEPTED:
    10/12/2018 10:50:59 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - TENNIS - ATP - 81001 DJOKOVIC, NOVAK -291 FOR MATCH

    MOBILE - TENNIS - ATP - 81004 FEDERER, ROGER -270 FOR MATCH

    TYPE
    RISK
    TO WIN
    PARLAY
    $20.00
    $16.83

    That's it folks, good luck and be back tomorrow with the results.
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  11. #11  
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    10-13-2018
    6-3-3

    We'll, the run came to an end, 0-2 today. The Federer match isn't over yet, but it seems to me that it is. He doesn't have an answer for Coric and couldn't even take a set. We'll file that away for any future h2h between the two. Dojokovic is back to looking like his best player in tennis self, so he held up his end of the parlay. We'll get it back next time. Be back soon for next picks.
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  12. #12  
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    10-13-2018
    6-3-3

    Keeping things short and sweet again since I am still on vacation and the wife is keeping me in vacation mode. Let's get back on track after an 0-2 day.
    ATP
    Djokovic Sets -1.5 8.70 for 5.12
    WTA
    Pliskova, Karolina -2 for match 6.09 for 5.59
    Pliskova, K. -145 for match 10.45 for 7.21
    Garcia, C./Pliskova, K. over 21.5 for match 6.18 for 5.24

    Love Djokovic to win but odds are around -600 so ain't betting ML, and I think Coric might keep it competitive, but they have no previous h2h to go from. Joko wants to be number 1 again and he is playing like it lately.

    Pliskova has won last 2 match ups between these two and I see this one going the same way, but I don't think Garcia will make it easy.

    Good luck if you follow, be back tomorrow with results.

    JDub984
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  13. #13  
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    10-14-2018
    8-5-3

    2-2, not the kind of night I was hoping for. Lost a few bucks out of the whole deal, but it was definitely better than going 0-2 the night before. Djokovic looking like the best player in the world once again while handling Coric with ease. Pliskova didn't have what it took to beat Garcia this time, but she did take her to the over so that was a small blessing. I tend to stay away from WTA, but with only one ATP match going I thought I would put one out there. I will mostly stick to ATP in the future unless I see something I like on the ladies side. Below is my actual graded wagers.

    407778944 - 1 Oct 13, 2018 09:13 PM Spread $8.70 $5.12 Win Mobile - TENNIS - 810053 N. Djokovic Sets -1 -170 for MATCH
    407778447 - 1 Oct 13, 2018 09:09 PM Spread $6.09 $5.59 Loss Mobile - TENNIS - 81302 Pliskova, Karolina -2 -109 for MATCH
    407778374 - 1 Oct 13, 2018 09:08 PM Money Line $10.45 $7.21 Loss Mobile - TENNIS - 81302 Pliskova, Karolina -145 for MATCH
    407778302 - 1 Oct 13, 2018 09:07 PM Total $6.18 $5.24 Win Mobile - TENNIS - 81302 Garcia, Caroline/Pliskova, Karolina over 21 -118 for MATCH



    May be back later tonight with a few plays, have to see if there is anything I like out there.

    JDub984
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  14. #14  
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    10-14-2018
    8-5-3

    Football, football, football.....but once it is all said and done, and the last TD dance has been performed we will be left with tennis in the wee hours of the morning.

    407951287 - 1 Oct 14, 2018 08:31 PM Spread $10.00 $8.55 Tennis - 81240 Kyrgios, Nick -2 -117 for Match
    407951254 - 1 Oct 14, 2018 08:30 PM Total $10.00 $8.13 Tennis - 81327 Pospisil, Vasek/Mayer, Leonardo over 23 -123 for Match
    407950255 - 1 Oct 14, 2018 08:20 PM Spread $5.00 $4.85 Tennis - 81245 Klizan, Martin -3 -103 for Match
    Kyrgios and Klizan wagers from ATP Moscow. Pospisil/Mayer wager from ATP Antwerp. Good luck to any that follow and I will be back tomorrow with the results. Let's cash some winners.

    JDub984
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  15. #15  
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    FYI, it is very important to keep track of units in Tennis.
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  16. #16  
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    Yeah, that is why I try to post my bet along with the picks, so people can see what I win and lose. Since I am still new to this and trying to tweak how I research and make my picks I am keeping the bets really low until I am more sure about my methods.
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  17. #17  
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    10-15-2018
    8-6-3

    Quick update since the match has ended:
    Really liked Pospisil to win, but thought that Mayer would make him work a little harder for it.

    407951254 - 1 Oct 14, 2018 08:30 PM Total $10.00 $8.13 Loss Tennis - 81327 Pospisil, Vasek/Mayer, Leonardo over 23 -123 for Match

    Adding extra to Klizan pick:
    407983211 - 1 Oct 15, 2018 10:20 AM Spread $6.00 $5.22 Tennis - 81245 Klizan, Martin -2 -115 for Match


    Back tomorrow with results from other two picks.

    JDub984
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  18. #18  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDub984 View Post
    Yeah, that is why I try to post my bet along with the picks, so people can see what I win and lose. Since I am still new to this and trying to tweak how I research and make my picks I am keeping the bets really low until I am more sure about my methods.
    I see, GL!
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  19. #19  
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    10-16-2018
    9-8-3

    Another favorite goes down with Klizan losing in straight sets to Seppi, but Kyrgios saves the day with a 2-1 win over Rublev. Since I bet Klizan twice it will count as two losses. Need to right the ship here and get back to winning. I'll also show the dumb bet I made just because I was mad, it was a win but it was I close one and shouldn't have been made with the horrible odds that were up. Won't do that again because it was a close one at the end and could have went either way and just bad betting overall, it won't count on my record since it wasn't a recorded pick.

    Posted picks results:
    407983211 - 1 Oct 15, 2018 10:20 AM Spread $6.00 $5.22 Loss Tennis - 81245 Klizan, Martin -2 -115 for Match
    407951287 - 1 Oct 14, 2018 08:31 PM Spread $10.00 $8.55 Win Tennis - 81240 Kyrgios, Nick -2 -117 for Match
    407950255 - 1 Oct 14, 2018 08:20 PM Spread $5.00 $4.85 Loss Tennis - 81245 Klizan, Martin -3 -103 for Match
    Stupid pick result, doesn't count in posted record:
    408119605 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 01:44 PM DGS - RBL $50.00 $8.99 Win TSONGA, JO-WILFRIED vs. PELLA, GUIDO Match Winner J.W. TSONGA
    Dumb move, but turned out ok this time.....won't do that again.

    Be back soon with more picks.

    JDub984
    Last edited by JDub984; 10-16-2018 at 03:10 PM. Reason: adding text
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  20. #20  
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    10-16-2018
    9-8-3

    Two official picks for today and one that I made that I didn't have time to post on here so it won't count towards the record it is ongoing as I post this.
    (Official) Antwerp:
    408127914 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 03:25 PM Total $12.00 $10.17 Tennis - 81321 Raonic, Milos/Pospisil, Vasek under 23 -118 for Match
    408127842 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 03:25 PM Parlay $12.00 $10.39 Tennis - 81320 Simon, Gilles -213 for Match
    Tennis - 81332 Gasquet, Richard -371 for Match
    (Unofficial)
    408120379 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 01:56 PM Spread $12.00 $10.26 Tennis - 81314 Monfils, Gael -3 -117 for Match
    Sorry I didn't get the last on posted before the match started as it looks like Monfils is having an easy time winning the first set 6-0.
    Let's go 2-0 tonight, need to get back to winning ways. GL to any that follow.

    JDub984
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  21. #21  
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    Good luck.
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  22. #22  
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    10-18-2018
    10-9-3

    Sorry haven't updated in two days, but back to work and haven't had time to update plays on here. Went 1-1 on official plays, but hit on the Unofficial Monfils play, so ahead for that day.
    Official:
    408127914 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 03:25 PM Total $12.00 $10.17 Loss Tennis - 81321 Raonic, Milos/Pospisil, Vasek under 23 -118 for Match
    408127842 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 03:25 PM Parlay $12.00 $10.39 Win Tennis - 81320 Simon, Gilles -213 for Match
    Tennis - 81332 Gasquet, Richard -371 for Match




    Unofficial:
    408120379 - 1 Oct 16, 2018 01:56 PM Spread $12.00 $10.26 Win Tennis - 81314 Monfils, Gael -3 -117 for Match
    Two more unofficial ones from yesterday that I didn't have the time to post but won on, not helping my record.
    Unofficial:
    408272340 - 1 Oct 18, 2018 01:37 AM Parlay $12.00 $10.30 Win Mobile - TENNIS - 81427 Fognini, Fabio -270 for MATCH Mobile - TENNIS - 81243 Medvedev, Daniil -281 for MATCH
    408272182 - 1 Oct 18, 2018 01:33 AM Spread $12.37 $10.48 Win Mobile - TENNIS - 81427 Fognini, Fabio -3 -118 for MATCH
    Try to get some official winners out there today. Once again just posting the unofficial ones to show that I am picking better recently, just need to get them on here before start of match.

    JDub984
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  23. #23  
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    10-18-2018
    10-9-3

    Back at it with a couple winners for today. Went smaller on games over/under since that is where I seem to struggle.

    408292570 - 1 Oct 18, 2018 01:12 PM Total $5.50 $5.09 Tennis - 81305 Struff, Jan-Lennard/Gasquet, Richard under 23 -108 for Match
    408292532 - 1 Oct 18, 2018 01:11 PM Spread $12.00 $10.71 Tennis - 81306 Gasquet, Richard -2 -112 for Match
    408292323 - 1 Oct 18, 2018 01:08 PM Parlay $10.00 $11.88 Tennis - 81432 Isner, John -2 -131 for Match
    Tennis - 81318 Edmund, Kyle -415 for Match
    Good luck to any that follow.
    JDub984
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  24. #24  
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    10-20-2018
    10-11-4
    Can't seem to get the mojo back going 0-2-1. Been working alot lately so haven't had much time to post. Will be back soon and too see if I can right the ship.
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  25. #25  
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    10-20-2018
    10-11-1

    Well here we go with a big day of tennis, gonna right this ship and put some money back into the account today. Tweaked my research and capping a bit, but we are getting down to semi-finals so the players are more evenly matched. Hoping for better results than the recent past need to get back to winning.

    408482368 - 1 Oct 20, 2018 06:21 AM Money Line $15.05 $9.65 Tennis - 81406 Isner, John -156 for Match
    408482310 - 1 Oct 20, 2018 06:18 AM Money Line $10.00 $5.71 Tennis - 82304 Goerges, Julia -175 for Match
    408482214 - 1 Oct 20, 2018 06:15 AM Money Line $15.00 $10.64 Tennis - 81201 Seppi, Andreas -141 for Match
    408440095 - 1 Oct 19, 2018 08:39 PM Money Line $4.00 $4.68 Mobile - TENNIS - 81303 Schwartzman, Diego Sebastian +117 for MATCH
    408430720 - 1 Oct 19, 2018 07:37 PM Money Line $11.00 $15.29 Mobile - TENNIS - 81403 Fognini, Fabio +139 for MATCH
    Good luck to any the follow.

    JDub984
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