[h=1]Betting guide for Eagles-Giants[/h]
NFL VEGAS EXPERTS
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Where does the betting value lie in Thursday's prime-time matchup? Warren Sharp, Preston Johnson and Mike Clay provide their picks to help you place your bets.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, as of Thursday morning.
[h=3]Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at New York Giants[/h]Total: 44.5
PickCenter public consensus pick: 58 percent Philadelphia
Sharp: With both teams losing three of their last four games (four of five in the Giants' case), the Eagles and Giants are looking to rebound in a big way on a short week. With both offenses having somewhat erratic passing and rushing games, <offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer>the best unit in this game is the run defense of the Eagles, which will need to shut down Saquon Barkley and make Eli Manning one-dimensional on offense. The only problem with that strategy is that most teams have been able to take advantage of this Eagles secondary, which has been picked on successfully by good passing offenses like the Vikings and poor ones like the Titans over the past two weeks.
The Giants defense has played its share of mobile quarterbacks, facing Cam Newton, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott in three of its past four games. Going up against Carson Wentz, who is looking sharp of late, shouldn't be too big of a surprise as they have the experience of having faced this offense from 2017; the Giants covered both of those games, and both were one-score contests. Philadelphia's passing game looks healthy, but the run game is beat up as the Eagles deal with the loss of Jay Ajayi.
Lean: Giants +3
Johnson: I was actually eyeing this game a week ago as a spot to potentially back an Eagles offense that is struggling with injuries in the backfield, forcing Doug Pederson to throw the ball 41 times per game (seventh-most in the NFL). Last year they threw the ball only 35 times per game (13th) with a balanced rushing attack that ranked third, gaining over 130 yards per game. The Giants rank 27th in the NFL against the run.
This was setting up to be a breath of fresh air for Wentz, but then the injuries compounded this past Sunday when Ajayi tore his ACL. Corey Clement had already missed two weeks with a quad strain, and Darren Sproles has been out with a hamstring injury. The Eagles' top three running backs are likely out, and Wendell Smallwood will be getting the bulk of the load Thursday night. This obviously makes it much tougher for Philadelphia to take advantage of the Giants' weakness.
My raw number is Eagles -2.7 with a total lined at 42.9. I don't envision we see a 45 pop up today, but if we do at some point I will be taking a look at the under for a smaller-sized wager.
Pick: Pass
[h=2]Prop bets[/h]Wentz over/under 287.5 passing yards
Clay: The early line on this one was 292.5 yards. It quickly got bumped down to 287.5, and rightfully so. The Eagles offense is struggling this season, but this is still (A) a very good team and (B) a team that is favored despite the road trip to face the division-rival Giants. That should lead to a positive game script that keeps Wentz's pass attempts in check (I have him projected at 35 attempts for the game).
Wentz failed to reach 288 passing yards during eight of 13 games last season. He hit that number during each of his past two games, though the Eagles were trailing the Titans (50 attempts) and Vikings (35 attempts). I have Wentz at 245 yards against a Giants defense allowing 229 passing yards per game this season.
Pick: Under 287.5 passing yards (-110)
NFL VEGAS EXPERTS
ESPN PLUS ($ MATERIAL)
Where does the betting value lie in Thursday's prime-time matchup? Warren Sharp, Preston Johnson and Mike Clay provide their picks to help you place your bets.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, as of Thursday morning.
PickCenter public consensus pick: 58 percent Philadelphia
Sharp: With both teams losing three of their last four games (four of five in the Giants' case), the Eagles and Giants are looking to rebound in a big way on a short week. With both offenses having somewhat erratic passing and rushing games, <offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer>the best unit in this game is the run defense of the Eagles, which will need to shut down Saquon Barkley and make Eli Manning one-dimensional on offense. The only problem with that strategy is that most teams have been able to take advantage of this Eagles secondary, which has been picked on successfully by good passing offenses like the Vikings and poor ones like the Titans over the past two weeks.
The Giants defense has played its share of mobile quarterbacks, facing Cam Newton, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott in three of its past four games. Going up against Carson Wentz, who is looking sharp of late, shouldn't be too big of a surprise as they have the experience of having faced this offense from 2017; the Giants covered both of those games, and both were one-score contests. Philadelphia's passing game looks healthy, but the run game is beat up as the Eagles deal with the loss of Jay Ajayi.
Lean: Giants +3
Johnson: I was actually eyeing this game a week ago as a spot to potentially back an Eagles offense that is struggling with injuries in the backfield, forcing Doug Pederson to throw the ball 41 times per game (seventh-most in the NFL). Last year they threw the ball only 35 times per game (13th) with a balanced rushing attack that ranked third, gaining over 130 yards per game. The Giants rank 27th in the NFL against the run.
This was setting up to be a breath of fresh air for Wentz, but then the injuries compounded this past Sunday when Ajayi tore his ACL. Corey Clement had already missed two weeks with a quad strain, and Darren Sproles has been out with a hamstring injury. The Eagles' top three running backs are likely out, and Wendell Smallwood will be getting the bulk of the load Thursday night. This obviously makes it much tougher for Philadelphia to take advantage of the Giants' weakness.
My raw number is Eagles -2.7 with a total lined at 42.9. I don't envision we see a 45 pop up today, but if we do at some point I will be taking a look at the under for a smaller-sized wager.
Pick: Pass
[h=2]Prop bets[/h]Wentz over/under 287.5 passing yards
Clay: The early line on this one was 292.5 yards. It quickly got bumped down to 287.5, and rightfully so. The Eagles offense is struggling this season, but this is still (A) a very good team and (B) a team that is favored despite the road trip to face the division-rival Giants. That should lead to a positive game script that keeps Wentz's pass attempts in check (I have him projected at 35 attempts for the game).
Wentz failed to reach 288 passing yards during eight of 13 games last season. He hit that number during each of his past two games, though the Eagles were trailing the Titans (50 attempts) and Vikings (35 attempts). I have Wentz at 245 yards against a Giants defense allowing 229 passing yards per game this season.
Pick: Under 287.5 passing yards (-110)
