Brooklynworm's picks and predictions for week #6 nfl

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PHILADELPHIA (44.0) @ NEW YORK GIANTS (+3)
Philadelphia, has regressed in 2018, since winning the Super Bowl last season. The Eagles, lost their top RB Ajayi, for the year. The team is committing too many mistakes. The offensive line, has played poorly. Their Cornerbacks, are awful, and will not be able to cover Beckham Jr., or Shepard, at the wide out position. Victory in this game, all falls on Manning’s lap. The Eagles on offense, will have to heavily rely on their TE Ertz. Philadelphia, has a chance to win this game, if their defensive front seven, can pressure, hurry, and sack Eli Manning. Also the Eagle front seven is tough against the run, and Barkley can be held in check. Philadelphia on paper is the better team, however, consider this. Road favorites in week #5, went 0-4-1 against the spread. Road Favorites are 2-9-0 against the spread, the last 3 weeks. Predicted score. New York Giants 23 Philadelphia 20, New York Giants (+3), Under (44.0).

ARIZONA (43.0) @ MINNESOTA (-10)
Recall a few weeks back, when Minnesota, was upset at home, against the lowly Buffalo Bills. They now face another bottom feeder team, the Arizona Cardinals. I am sure that the Vikings learned a valuable lesson, and will be, motivated, and ready to explode. Arizona last week scored 28 points, against San Francisco. Problem was, that the Cardinal defense, did most of their scoring. Arizona Josh Rosen, was inaccurate with his passes, and didn’t have much in way of pass protection. So consider a rookie quarterback on the road, versus Cousins, a veteran quarterback. If Cousins gets pass protection, Minnesota should run away with this game. Predicted Score. Minnesota 27, Arizona 13, Minnesota (-10), Under (43.0).

CHICAGO (42) @ MIAMI (+3).
What can I say about Miami? Last week blew a 17-0 lead over Cincinnati, and lost. Just like the NY Giants, with Eli Manning, Tannehill’s ineptness is hurting his team. This week, the Dolphins play the Bears, who have a solid front seven on defense, and an excellent pass rush led by Khali Mack. Miami simply doesn’t match up in the trenches, with their offensive line. I don’t see Miami scoring at least 20 points, against this defense, QB Trubisky , is the key to victory. Chicago has a slight edge, and would have been more, if they weren’t the away team, playing in 90 degree heat, and humidity. Predicted score. Miami 20, Chicago 17, Miami (+3), Under (42.0).

LA CHARGERS (44) @ CLEVELAND (+1)
Thus far, Cleveland has played hard this season, win or lose. Cleveland has upgraded their team, and have actual playmakers.QB Baker Mayfield, has brought life to this team, and they are motivated on winning. Let’s go back to week one, when Cleveland tied the Pittsburgh Steelers 21-21. You would think, that the Browns, in week two, would letdown, and get destroyed on the road, against New Orleans. Instead the lost a close game they should won, 21-18. In week 5, they went on to beat their divisional rivals Baltimore 12-9. Keep in mind, that Cleveland beat Baltimore, one of the top defenses in the league. Now they play a West Coast Chargers team, at 1pm, at home. The Chargers defense, isn’t as good as Baltimore. LA Chargers, have suffered on defense without a pass rush, after losing Bosa to injury. I expect Mayfield, to look for his Tight Ends, and RB’s, challenging the Charger linebackers, with short passes. Mayfield will also utilize his legs to scramble for yardage, and also to extend plays when forced from the pocket.LA Chargers QB Rivers, didn’t face an Oakland pass rush last game. Cleveland, on the other hand, has a front seven that can pressure Rivers, and force mistakes, and turnovers. Predicted score. Cleveland 24 LA Chargers 21. Cleveland (+1), Over (44.0).

CAROLINA (45) @ WASHINGTON (-1)
Last Monday Night, The Washington Redskins, where caught up in the moment of Drew Bree’s attempt of setting the all-time passing record, and lost by 24 points. The Saints were at home, the game was on national TV, and the fans were loud. With that game behind the Redskins, expect them to become more focused, and give a 100 % effort at home on Sunday. I expect QB Alex Smith, to torch the Panthers secondary. If Eli Manning was able to throw for over 300 yards, surely Smith can do the same. So Alex Smith can expect his offensive line, to pass block, and take away the Carolina pass rush. Bottom line, the Redskins offensive line, will win in the trenches. Predicted score. Washington 23 Carolina 21, Washington (-1) Under (45.0).

INDIANAPOLIS (45) @ NEW YORK JETS (-2.5)
The Colts injuries continue to mount up, and doesn’t look like it will improve this weekend. The Colts lost their big offensive play maker, TY Hilton. The Colts defense has struggled, and QB Darnold, will get a shot at their secondary. Darnold, last week threw two de and company ep vertical passes for touchdowns, and is now playing with confidence. So you can expect the Jet coaching staff, to open up the playing field for Darnold, and do more than just check down his receivers. The Colts have no ground attack, and Luck doesn’t have any pass blocking protection. Luck, doesn’t have any go to receivers, since his wide outs dropped 12 passes in their last two games. On top of that, the New York Jets, have a good secondary. Predicted score. New York Jets 23 Indianapolis 17, NY Jets -2.5, Under (45.0).

PITTSBURGH (53) @ CINCINNATI (-2.5)
This is one of the most hated rivalries in the NFL, which winds up in brawls, and fist fights. Cincinnati likes physical players, with bad character, and bad reputations. However, when the Bengals play Pittsburgh, they lose their cool, and control, and wind up penalized or ejected from the game. If the Bengals don’t shoot themselves in the foot, they can win this game. Pittsburgh’s improved their secondary, with the return of their injured starters. Vontaze Burfict, and Mixon, have also returned to play this game. We know, Roethlisberger, doesn’t play good football on the road. Cincinnati, has top cornerbacks, and a defensive front seven, that will give the Steelers offensive line fits. Predicted score. Pittsburgh 27 Cincinnati 24, Pittsburgh (+2.5), Under (53.0).

TAMPA BAY (57) @ ATLANTA (-3)
Atlanta has been struggling through this injury ridden season thus far. Last week, the Falcon offense was shutdown, when Pittsburgh’s two top corners returned to the lineup on defense. QB Ryan, and WR Julio Jones, had no place to go. This game against Tampa Bay, at home, may be what the doctor ordered. Tampa Bay, has one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. I am sure Matt Ryan, and the Atlanta offense, will take full advantage. There will be plenty of passing, and plenty of scoring, in this affair... Predicted score Atlanta 33 Tampa Bay 27, Atlanta (-3), Over (57.0).

SEATTLE (48) @ OAKLAND (+3) (LONDON)
Both these teams are almost identical. Both teams don’t have a pass rush, or a secondary. So expect both teams to exploit each other in the air. I wouldn’t be surprised if both teams threw over 35 passes each, this game. So Russell Wilson should have the edge, with his legs, and have more time in the pocket. QB Carr, should also take his liberties, and take advantage of the Seahawk secondary. This game should be a high scorer. Predicted score. Seattle 30 Oakland 24, Seattle (-3), Over (48.0).

BUFFAL0 (41) @ HOUSTON (-10)
Let me start, by going back to week #3, when Buffalo upset Minnesota 27-6. The following week, Buffalo plays a banged up Rodgers at Green Bay, and lose 22-0. In week #5, Buffalo upset Baltimore 12-9, now they play on the road in Houston. So what I am establishing, is that Buffalo is in for big let downs, after they upset a favorite. The Latest on the QB Watson is, that he will be ready to play. Watson, is proficient scrambling away from pass rushers, and makes the difference here. Buffalo has a poor offensive line, and the matchup in the trenches against the Texan’s defensive front seven, favors JJ Watt, and Clowney, all the way. With Houston’s ability to get to the QB, Buffalo QB Allen, will be limited gaining yardage on the ground, or extending the plays on his feet. Predicted score. Houston 30 Buffalo 17, Houston (-10), Over (41.0).

LA RAMS (52.5) @ DENVER (+7)
Check the status on two LA Ram playmakers, Cook and Kupp. They have a big say in the offensive scheme of things. If they don’t suit up, Denver’s inept secondary won’t be challenged. So the Rams will place most of the offense, on RB Gurley’s shoulders. Recall last week, Denver’s rush defense allowed over 300 yards rushing to the Jets.LA Rams secondary is banged up, and Denver’s playmakers at the wide out position, should be able to move the offense. In addition, the Broncos, may even have success running the football. If QB Case Keenum , doesn’t commit turnover, after turnover, they should be able to cover the +7 spread. I wouldn’t be a surprise of an upset. Predicted score. LA Rama 27 Denver 23, Denver (+7), Under (52.5).

JACKSONVILLE (40.5) @ DALLAS (+3)
For a minute there, is was going to jump on the Cowboys band wagon. However, I changed my mind after watching the NY Giants play on Thursday night. Did you see all the drama, and the on field antics of Beckham Jr.? All week, Beckham, put down his quarterback, the organization, and his displeasure of playing in the Big Apple. The Giants issues, are almost identical on the Dallas Cowboys. Players are running to the media, complaining about QB Dak Prescott’s regression at quarterback. The turmoil is starting to build up in Dallas, just like New York, and you see what happened to the Giants on Thursday night. Just last week, when Dallas played Houston. Houston outgained Dallas by 200 yards. Jacksonville, is a good team, with good coaching, and an outstanding defense. The Jags will be hungry coming off a loss. The Jags defense, will force Dak Prescott to struggle, and cause mistakes. On top of that, Dallas, has no playmakers at the wide out position, to help Dak out. So expect the Jags line backers to key on Ezekiel Elliott, to keep him in check. The Jags should have no problem slowing Elliott, since the Dallas offensive line has played poorly. As for the Jags offense, Dallas has a decent front seven, to attack the Jags suspect offensive line, and pressure the erratical QB Bortles, who threw for 5 interceptions in KC last week. I am counting on Bortles, to play a solid game, and make fewer errors. The Dallas secondary of late, is allowing 77% pass completions. Predicted score. Jacksonville 27 Dallas 17, Jacksonville (-3), Over (40.5).

BALTIMORE (41) @ TENNESSEE (+3)
Most of the time, when I see a team favorite on the road, I always go with the dog at home. This is a tough game to handicap, and I see both these teams almost even. The Titan offensive line looks banged up. You need to stay posted, and updated, on the injuries to the Tennessee O-Line. Any weakness to their line, Terrell Suggs will control the trenches, and QB Mariota, won’t have a prayer, too escape the raven’s clutches. The biggest problem for Mariota, he doesn’t have his playmaker, Delanie Walker. With Walker down, the Raven corners, will keep the Titans wide outs in check. Baltimore’s defensive line is so good, that they take away their opponent’s running game. Baltimore, offensively has concerns. Flacco, goes up against a stout Tennessee defense. The Titans field a good secondary, and Tennessee, has a pass rush, to force QB Flacco to struggle. Overall, this is a low scoring game. I don’t think either team, can score more than 20 points. Predicted score. Baltimore 17 Tennessee 10, Baltimore (-3), Under (41.0).

KANSAS CITY (59) @ NEW ENGLAND (-3.5)
Before you jump on the Kansas City band wagon, and you start eating all the hype from the media, please read this first. You remember that unpredictable QB named Bortles? Last week, Bortles, made 61 pass attempts against the Chiefs secondary, for over 430 yards. And committed 4 interceptions. If Bortles, can achieve passing numbers like this, imagine what Tom Brady could accomplish. KC, will offer up numerous holes in their defense to Brady, and the Patriots now have their playmakers in place to take advantage. I expect Josh Gordon, to be utilized more in this contest. He had the extra time to learn the Pats playbook. KC has a weak linebacker corp. To Brady feeds off the line backers, because defenses like that, can’t cover the slot receiver, or passes over the middle. New England, will have the hands full with the KC offense. KC too, has a bunch of offensive playmakers that can exploit New England’s suspect secondary. Especially watch Kelce, after the Colts Eric Ebron had a big game against the pats last week, it will be Kareem Hunt at running back, versus White, and Michel for the Pats. The media is already talking about what kind of game plan, Belichick will will execute on Sunday Night. The key to this game, is DE Troy Flowers. If he can win in the trenches, on KC’s left guard blindside, this should enable the Pats to establish a pass rush, and hurry Mahomes throughout this game. Lastly, this trend. Coaches with extra time to prepare for a game, are 17-10 against the spread. Predicted score. New England 40 Kansas City 30, New England (-3.5), Over (59.0).

SAN FRANCISCO (46) @ GREEN BAY (-9.5)
I watched QB Aaron Rodgers putrid performance last week, against an inept Detroit secondary, and I couldn’t comprehend why? However, a few days after that game, I read that Rodgers, was having trouble with his knee brace, and it had to be altered in order for Aaron to play. So that tells us, ever since Rodgers injured his knee, his knee is not at 100%, and his confidence level has fallen. You can see how poorly Rodgers has been playing. He has been making bad decisions, missing open receivers, and hasn’t been focused. Luckily, they are playing a San Francisco team that lost their starting quarterback weeks back. His replacement, QB Beat hard, cannot make this offense click, and he doesn’t have an offensive line to block for him. This reminds me of the game that the Packers played at home, against Buffalo. GB laid (-10.5), as favorites, and managed to win with a struggling Rodgers 22-0. This game is before a national TV audience, followed with a bye week. Tough task for any road team that visits Lambeau Field. Predicted Score Green Bay 23 San Francisco 13, Green Bay (-9.5), Under (46.0).
 

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B.worm.......solid write ups buddy........BOL with all your action...........indy
 
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Just found out , No Tannehill at starting QB for Miami. Yikes!. Hold the phone , I picked Miami earlier in the week. Scratch that pick.
 

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At the risk of getting too anal retentive it looks like you are up around 5 units or so for the week before juice and the MNF game. cheersgif
 

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