Jameis Winston Prop Bet

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Hey guys, I don't post much. Stumbled across a line this morning that I absolutely love:

Winston Passing Yards 284.5 - Over (-140) @ 5Dimes

It's a lot of juice, but, I think there's still value.

We all know the Atlanta defensive has been decimated by injuries. And TB's D has been bad for a long time. Offensively, both of these teams are stacked and healthy. Game has all the makings of a shootout, as evidenced by the o/u of 57. Also, it's hard to imagine TB taking a large lead and keeping the ball on the ground. ATL needs a win worse than any other team this week, and Matt Ryan and company will deliver the points. Jameis could be forced to throw 45+ passes to keep up.

Oh, and don't underestimate TB's receiving corp! They are one of the deepest groups and most well rounded in the league. OJ Howard is going to play. He along with Brate and Evans are all 6'5"+. Deshaun Jackson will stretch the D. Godwin and Humphries are solid contributors as well. "Fitz-Magic" could have been less about magic, and more about supporting cast.

Consider Winston's yardage totals from last year (only games he started and finished): 204, 328, 332, 334, 384, 210, 270, 285, 299, 367, 363. Not too concerned about rust: he did play in the preseason, played the second half last week, and practiced with the first team all this week.

Too many weapons, and too perfect of a spot for this not to hit... but, I've been wrong before.
 

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Agree.
Indoors with these two offenses and defenses the ball will be in the air all day.
Unless one coach commits to the running game to protect their weak defenses, it is an over for the game, the half, and both TT's, too.
Might want to see how it is shaping up and do in game live wagers on this...
GL!
 

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Quite a writeup but jameis is gunna take all the blameis after this loss. I’m going to say he throws between 260-280
 

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I like it. Jamies doesn’t have a running game to lean on and will have to use all his weapons at WR and Brate at TE to keep up with ATL. Good find Tesla.

Another one I’m looking at is Bortles under 252.5 passing yards. My thinking here is that Jax will use the run more than usual after Bortles had a 4 INT game last week. Don’t think this game will be high scoring and they will be able to stay in this game with out having to air it out much.
 

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