Friday Service Plays 10/19/18

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Betallsports

Betallsports

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Sleez

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Stephen Nover


3*GOY

Milwaukee +105

2*

Golden state -130

1*

Cleveland +8.5
 
Betallsports

Betallsports

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Miller locks

7:38 pm est nba
new york knicks vs. Brooklyn nets

pick: New york knicks +4 (-105)

risk: 11 units

8:39 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Milwaukee brewers

pick: Milwaukee brewers (-102)

risk: 11 units

10:38 pm est nba
golden state warriors vs. Utah jazz

pick: Utah jazz +3 (-110)

risk: 11 units
 
Betallsports

Betallsports

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Fezzik

2* Boise st / Colorado st over 63.5

2* Boston / Toronto over 207.5

2* Minnesota / Cleveland over 223.5
 
bmd1803

bmd1803

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Matt Fargo NHL top Play

Play on: Panthers +155 10*

This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Panthers entered the 2018-19 season with high expectations after missing the playoffs a season ago as they were inconsistent enough to end up a point short of the postseason. Four games in and they do not have a victory but it certainly is not because of a lack of competing as two losses have been by a single goal while the other two have come in a shootout. Three of those have come against future playoff teams while the other came against surprisingly good Vancouver so the schedule has been challenging along the way. The Capitals stopped a two-game skid with a 4-3 overtime win against the visiting Rangers on Wednesday night as it continues to be an inconsistent season for the reining Stanley Cup Champions. Special teams will be big for Florida as Washington has scored nine power-play goals in six games but have scored just two even strength goals in its last three games. The Panthers have been solid in the penalty kill, allowing just three goals in 12 man down situations. That 12 is key as it is the fewest in the NHL so Florida does not give opponents many opportunities and that is big in this spot as Washington is second in the NHL in power play percentage and is tied for first with nine power play goals. Here, we play on teams against the moneyline after three straight losses by one goal or extra time going up against an opponent after playing a game where seven or more total goals were scored. This situation is 25-8 (75.8 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (51) Florida Panthers
 
bmd1803

bmd1803

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Date Expert Rating Game Play
Oct 19 Teddy Covers 4% [CFB] (307) COLORADO STATE at (308) BOISE STATE

Time: 9:00 PM EDT COLORADO STATE 24.0 (-108)
Analysis:4% Take Colorado State (#307)
Here’s an excerpt from what I have written supporting Colorado State over the last two weeks – wins and covers over San Jose State and New Mexico:
“The Rams have been consistently good in the Bobo era, winning at least seven games in each of the last five seasons. Their talent level isn’t way down, despite graduation losses. I understand that Colorado State’s first five games in 2018 were nothing short of dismal; a major disappointment thusfar. But make no mistake about it – the Rams are an undervalued commodity right now. Yes, they are coming off a truly embarrassing loss to 1-AA Illinois State prior to their bye week. But the Rams were also good enough to beat an SEC foe, Arkansas. They’ve got seven Mountain West games remaining. Senior cornerback VJ Banks: “This is a brand-new season in a sense, so we’ve got a fresh slate. Our goal of a conference championship is still attainable, so we have plenty to play for.” Sophomore safety Jamal Hicks after hearing ‘we came back from the dead to earn bowl eligibility stories from multiple coaches on the staff: “We're trying to be like that; we're trying to create some madness around here.
The betting markets aren’t buying the concept that the Rams have turned their season around with those back-2-back hard fought victories; both games where Colorado State had to execute effectively on both sides of the football to emerge victorious – legit confidence builders. This certainly isn’t a ‘blowout’ series. Last year’s game in FT Collins was an OT thriller. In 2016, Boise won at home by only five points as 28 point favorites. Four of the last five meetings have been highly competitive, decided by less than two touchdowns.
And it’s not like Boise enjoys a huge home field edge on the blue turf these days. The Broncos are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 tries as home chalk, an under-the-radar ATS disaster area in this role. Boise has shown defensive vulnerability in each of the last two weeks, bad news in this pointspread range. Take Colorado State.
 
bmd1803

bmd1803

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Betallsports said:
Dwayne Bryant

4% Dodgers Under 7.5
Click to expand...


Added Write Up

Date Expert Rating Game Play
Oct 19 Dwayne Bryant 4% [MLB] (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Milwaukee Brewers

Time: 8:35 PM EDT Total Under 7.5 (-106)
Analysis:MLB -- 8:35 PM ET
[957] Los Angeles Dodgers at [958] Milwaukee Brewers
List Ryu & Miley

PLAY: UNDER 7.5 (-106)
BET SIZE: 4%

My baseball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Runs Scored = 6
 
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