Thistledowns 10-15-2018
Last post (Woodbine) was a disappointment albeit slightly profitable. Went 3 for 11 ($24.90 return) with 3 exactas ($122 return). We lost the 1st race by a nose with a 9-1 horse. That frustration continued throughout the day.
race #1 - 6f
... we'll play against the top ML favs in here. #6 (3-1) WIDE OPEN broke maiden in last and this does appear like a significant rise.
#3 6-1 SUCH APPEAL - speed threat.
#1 6-1 SUMMIT POINT - should be there
#4 7-2 KIM'S KREW - could actually crush this field if ready to fire off layoff, but I'm going to wager Rone will prep this race for Mahoning Valley meet which starts in 2 weeks. Rone cranked 41% winners at MVR last season.
#2 8-1 FLY AWAY FLO - exotic booster
race #2 - 6f
... could not decide between my top 2.
#6 9-2 AL'S BRIDE - like a lot
#2 6-1 DANCIN'ROSIE - could crush these if ready off layoff. Inspect.
#7 10-1 PAPPIAS PLEASURE
#5 5-2 KAYLEE'S HOPE
race #3 - 6f
... half the field with a shot.
#6 6-1 SPEEDY MOBILE
#9 10-1 PYRITE MILL - bomb alert, speed threat
#3 8-1 EASY BLING
#1 4-1 SHOW SLIDING HOME
race #4 - 8f
... tough race
#9 4-1 CARAMELO
#7 8-1 SUNSET STRUT
#6 6-1 COTTONWOOD CANYON
race #5 - 6f
... very tough race.
#4 7-2 MARRIEDTOAMINISTER
#5 8-1 BROOK'S ON FIRE
#3 6-1 JIGGIN WITIT
race #6 - 8f
#7 8-1 PUSHY GIRL
#9 15-1 GOLFIN'DE AN - repeat wins this
#8 4-1 COMMISSIONED
race #7 - 8f
#4 3-1 PALTARREVENGE - win streak
#3 9-2 SNUGGLEY BEAR
#6 7-2 KISS SIN GOODBYE
#1A 15-1 LITTLE TRICKS
race #8 - 8f
#4 6-1 DISTINCTIVE FLOWER - lone speed
#5 7-2 A ROSE FOR LIZZY
#7 9-2 MIDNIGHT CUTE
#3 10-1 RYOAN - exotic booster
race #9 - 6f
#7 6-1 DEE WAY TO GO - speed of the speed?
#5 4-1 FEDERICA
FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick with equal straight win on top pick.
Good luck to all!