[h=1]Betting guide for 49ers-Packers[/h]
NFL VEGAS EXPERTS
ESPN PLUS ($ MATERIAL)
Preston Johnson and Warren Sharp provide their insights to help you navigate the betting market for this Monday night matchup.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, as of Sunday.
[h=3]San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-9)[/h]Total: 46
PickCenter public consensus pick: 74 percent pick Green Bay
Sharp: The Packers have played three very difficult pass defenses this year, <offer style="box-sizing: border-box;">going up against the Chicago Bears, Buffalo Bills and Washington Redskins. But when they played the Vikings, they put up 29 points. Last week against the Lions, they put up 23 points but that was a misleading final score as the Packers did not punt on any of their 11 drives. They scored three touchdowns, missed four field goals, made one FG, fumbled twice and had one other possession at the end of the half when the clock ran out.
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Now they get the 49ers defense. Last week against the Cardinals, who had Josh Rosen playing in his first road start, the 49ers' defense surrendered 28 points. Arizona's passing offense wasn't ideal, but the 49ers had terrible ball security and turned the ball over five times in the game. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers should have more than enough opportunities to get right on Monday night.
Lean: Packers -9
Johnson: Both the Packers and the 49ers played a part in the two most misleading final scores of Week 5. Both teams lost, but the box scores would tell a different story outside of the turnovers and missed field goals. This is typically a spot where we could see an overreaction of some sort in the market, and an opportunity to bet on these teams. Unfortunately, they are playing each other, and my raw number at Packers -8.7 doesn't offer any value in this game.
Surprisingly, both Green Bay and San Francisco have defenses that rank top-10 in opponent yards per play. When I looked at the total initially, I thought it was low. My numbers, however, line this total at 45.8. I hadn't realized how strong both defenses had been playing to this point in the season. This is why having projections to gauge where the sides and totals should be lined is vital to be a profitable sports bettor. I may have wound up betting the over if I didn't know otherwise. Now I'm assured it's a complete pass.
Pick: Pass
NFL VEGAS EXPERTS
ESPN PLUS ($ MATERIAL)
Preston Johnson and Warren Sharp provide their insights to help you navigate the betting market for this Monday night matchup.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, as of Sunday.
PickCenter public consensus pick: 74 percent pick Green Bay
Sharp: The Packers have played three very difficult pass defenses this year, <offer style="box-sizing: border-box;">going up against the Chicago Bears, Buffalo Bills and Washington Redskins. But when they played the Vikings, they put up 29 points. Last week against the Lions, they put up 23 points but that was a misleading final score as the Packers did not punt on any of their 11 drives. They scored three touchdowns, missed four field goals, made one FG, fumbled twice and had one other possession at the end of the half when the clock ran out.
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Now they get the 49ers defense. Last week against the Cardinals, who had Josh Rosen playing in his first road start, the 49ers' defense surrendered 28 points. Arizona's passing offense wasn't ideal, but the 49ers had terrible ball security and turned the ball over five times in the game. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers should have more than enough opportunities to get right on Monday night.
Lean: Packers -9
Johnson: Both the Packers and the 49ers played a part in the two most misleading final scores of Week 5. Both teams lost, but the box scores would tell a different story outside of the turnovers and missed field goals. This is typically a spot where we could see an overreaction of some sort in the market, and an opportunity to bet on these teams. Unfortunately, they are playing each other, and my raw number at Packers -8.7 doesn't offer any value in this game.
Surprisingly, both Green Bay and San Francisco have defenses that rank top-10 in opponent yards per play. When I looked at the total initially, I thought it was low. My numbers, however, line this total at 45.8. I hadn't realized how strong both defenses had been playing to this point in the season. This is why having projections to gauge where the sides and totals should be lined is vital to be a profitable sports bettor. I may have wound up betting the over if I didn't know otherwise. Now I'm assured it's a complete pass.
Pick: Pass
